Brayan De Paula

P Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 28 LHP 6'3" / 225 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2021	22	MIX2 levels	18	9	59	4.14	3.65	27.7%	12.7%	—	K 20.9% · BB 14.8% · FIP 4.58
2023	24	MIX2 levels	30	6	67	6.01	3.01	31.5%	15.0%	—	K 24.2% · BB 17.3% · FIP 3.97
2024	25	AAHOU	25	0	33	5.23	5.89	21.3%	22.6%	—	K 17.2% · BB 24.8% · FIP 6.54
2027PROJ	28	MLBHOU	18	0	19	5.18	5.18	21.4%	14.7%	-0.1
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBHOU	6	0	6	5.17	5.23	21.4%	14.4%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJohn Bale (age 27) · John Rheinecker (age 28) · Juan Grullon (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115123vR 132

ERA5.18

FIP5.18

K%21.4%

BB%14.7%

K-BB%6.8%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	7	1	15	63	12	4	1	14%	2.1	13.0%	7.9%	5.0%	2.2%	5.52	4.23	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	7	1	15	63	12	4	1	14%	2.1	19.0%	6.3%	12.7%	1.6%	5.52	3.17	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	15	4	44	183	45	12	2	27%	3.0	16.7%	8.2%	8.5%	1.5%	2.23	3.57	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	15	4	44	183	45	12	2	27%	3.0	24.6%	6.6%	18.0%	1.1%	2.23	2.47	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	11	3	28	137	34	18	4	27%	2.6	16.9%	16.4%	0.5%	4.1%	6.99	6.00	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Astros	11	3	28	137	34	18	4	27%	2.6	24.8%	13.1%	11.7%	2.9%	6.99	4.44	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	9	59	267	74	34	6	50%	3.3	20.9%	14.8%	6.1%	2.5%	4.14	4.58	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	9	59	267	74	34	6	50%	3.3	27.7%	12.7%	15.0%	2.2%	4.14	3.65	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	6	67	321	101	48	4	20%	2.2	24.2%	17.3%	6.9%	1.3%	6.01	3.97	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	6	67	321	101	48	4	20%	2.2	31.5%	15.0%	16.5%	1.2%	6.01	3.01	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	25	0	33	155	33	35	4	0%	1.3	17.2%	24.8%	-7.6%	3.2%	5.23	6.54	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	25	0	33	155	33	35	4	0%	1.3	17.2%	24.8%	-7.6%	3.2%	5.23	6.54	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	25	0	33	155	33	35	4	0%	1.3	21.3%	22.6%	-1.3%	2.6%	5.23	5.89	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	HOU	18	0	19	80	17	12	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	14.7%	6.8%	3.0%	5.18	5.18	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	HOU	19	0	20	84	18	12	3	0%	1.1	21.4%	14.4%	7.0%	3.2%	5.17	5.23	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	HOU	6	0	6	25	5	4	1	0%	1.0	21.4%	14.4%	7.0%	3.2%	5.17	5.23	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	4	1	0%	1.0	21.4%	14.4%	7.0%	3.2%	5.17	4.85	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	128	32	0%	1.1	21.4%	14.4%	7.0%	3.2%	5.17	4.85	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		106	23	246	1126	222	176	26	22%	2.3	19.7%	15.6%	4.1%	2.3%	4.87	4.66	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	19	200	915	181	143	21	22%	2.3	19.7%	15.6%	4.1%	2.3%	4.87	4.66	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brayan De Paula (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.18	21.4%	14.7%	3.0%	—	5.23	21.4%	7.0%	20	+0.05	—	—	—
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	76
John Rheinecker L 2007 · 5.13 FIP	28	SW	5.13	16.7%	10.9%	3.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	121	73
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	72
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	71
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	71
Stephen Randolph L 2003 · 4.83 FIP	29	SU	4.83	18.5%	14.8%	2.6%	.247	5.69	15.8%	-3.0%	82	+0.86	4.83	155	71
Randy Keisler L 2005 · 5.07 FIP	29	SW	5.07	16.4%	9.9%	3.8%	.295	5.51	6.5%	0.0%	17	+0.44	5.07	135	71
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	70
Will Lamb L 2017 · 5.78 FIP	26	SU	5.78	20.0%	14.0%	4.7%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	178	70
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	69
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	69
Braulio Lara L 2017 · 5.80 FIP	28	SU	5.80	19.8%	17.8%	3.9%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	118	68
Brendan Nail L 2023 · 4.36 FIP	27	SU	4.36	19.3%	10.5%	2.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	165	68
Ashur Tolliver L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	28	SU	4.19	21.3%	9.8%	3.0%	.308	5.03	13.8%	-5.1%	35	+0.84	3.49	134	68
Brian Holmes L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	26	SW	5.91	15.5%	11.7%	4.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	205	67
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	67
Kit Scheetz L 2021 · 5.08 FIP	27	SU	5.08	16.2%	13.6%	2.9%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.34	195	67
Tyler Thomas L 2024 · 4.48 FIP	28	SU	4.48	18.5%	12.9%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	2.66	279	67
Trevor Lane L 2022 · 4.05 FIP	28	SU	4.05	22.2%	12.7%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	246	67
Ron Mahay L 2000 · 6.03 FIP	29	SU	6.03	16.1%	12.1%	5.0%	.353	4.58	22.4%	12.1%	81	-1.45	3.14	568	66