Cam Brown — OGILVIE

Cam Brown P Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 29 RHP 6'2" / 165 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 58 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.14

FIP5.14

K%17.8%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%5.2%

ROS IP58

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	35	155	35	17	0	0%	1.6	16.3%	12.6%	3.7%	0.0%	0.76	3.32	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	35	155	35	17	0	0%	1.6	22.6%	11.0%	11.6%	0.0%	0.76	2.56	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	53	225	56	20	4	0%	1.3	18.6%	10.4%	8.2%	2.1%	4.44	3.97	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	53	225	56	20	4	0%	1.3	24.9%	8.9%	16.0%	1.8%	4.44	3.10	—
2024	26	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	40	0	56	245	56	24	2	0%	1.4	16.9%	11.6%	5.4%	1.0%	3.51	3.67	—
2024	26	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	40	0	56	245	56	24	2	0%	1.4	16.9%	11.6%	5.4%	1.0%	3.51	3.67	—
2024	26	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	40	0	56	245	56	24	2	0%	1.4	22.9%	9.8%	13.1%	0.8%	3.51	2.85	—
2025	27	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	27	0	41	171	41	17	1	0%	1.5	17.7%	11.7%	6.0%	0.8%	2.43	3.50	—
2025	27	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	27	0	41	171	41	17	1	0%	1.5	17.7%	11.7%	6.0%	0.8%	2.43	3.50	—
2025	27	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	27	0	41	171	41	17	1	0%	1.5	24.0%	9.9%	14.0%	0.6%	2.43	2.66	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	HOU	55	0	58	245	44	31	7	0%	1.1	17.8%	12.6%	5.2%	2.9%	5.14	5.14	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	HOU	52	0	55	231	42	29	7	0%	1.1	18.0%	12.5%	5.4%	3.1%	5.16	5.23	-0.4
2029	31	MLB MLE	HOU	49	0	51	216	39	27	7	0%	1.0	18.0%	12.6%	5.4%	3.3%	5.26	5.37	-0.5
2028	30	MLB CTX	HOU	15	0	16	68	12	8	2	0%	1.1	18.0%	12.5%	5.4%	3.1%	5.16	5.23	-0.1
2029	31	MLB CTX	HOU	25	0	26	110	20	14	4	0%	1.0	18.0%	12.6%	5.4%	3.3%	5.26	5.37	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		40	0	42	178	32	22	6	0%	1.1	18.0%	12.6%	5.4%	3.2%	5.22	4.93	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	152	104	28	0%	1.1	18.0%	12.6%	5.4%	3.2%	5.22	4.93	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		129	0	185	796	139	91	8	0%	1.4	17.4%	11.5%	6.0%	1.0%	3.02	3.65	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		139	0	200	861	150	99	9	0%	1.4	17.4%	11.5%	6.0%	1.0%	3.02	3.65	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cam Brown (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.14	17.8%	12.6%	2.9%	—	5.30	18.0%	5.4%	106	+0.16	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	90
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	86
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	85
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	83
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	83
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	82
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	82
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	81
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	81
Santiago Casilla R 2009 · 4.44 FIP	29	SU	4.44	15.0%	9.4%	2.6%	.324	3.29	22.1%	13.0%	170	-1.15	2.76	647	80
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.49 FIP	29	SU	5.49	15.9%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	80
Eder Llamas R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	29	SU	4.84	12.3%	8.8%	3.0%	.261	3.64	11.3%	4.6%	120	-1.20	3.23	171	80
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	79
Willie Eyre R 2007 · 4.53 FIP	29	SU	4.53	13.7%	9.1%	2.6%	.306	2.87	11.1%	5.5%	18	-1.66	2.87	164	79
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	79
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	79
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	78
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	78
Dan Winkler R 2019 · 4.99 FIP	29	SU	4.99	20.6%	15.2%	3.1%	.237	4.44	23.0%	8.4%	104	-0.55	2.40	231	78
Matt Lindstrom R 2009 · 4.12 FIP	29	SU	4.12	17.8%	10.0%	2.3%	.320	3.16	17.7%	11.7%	154	-0.96	2.40	443	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	55	17.9%	12.6%	1.18	5.18
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99