Manuel Cachutt prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Manuel Cachutt P Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 29 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 43 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA5.00

FIP5.00

K%19.1%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%7.5%

ROS IP44

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	20	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	14	8	54	212	49	15	1	57%	3.9	15.7%	8.8%	6.9%	0.7%	2.00	3.26	—
2017	20	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	14	8	54	212	49	15	1	57%	3.9	23.1%	7.1%	16.0%	0.5%	2.00	2.36	—
2018	21	ROK MLE	Greeneville Reds	16	0	30	149	15	15	1	0%	1.9	6.8%	12.6%	-5.7%	0.9%	4.15	4.63	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	Greeneville Reds	16	0	30	149	15	15	1	0%	1.9	10.1%	10.1%	0.0%	0.7%	4.15	4.02	—
2021	24	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	22	0	49	229	53	29	3	0%	2.2	17.1%	14.9%	2.2%	1.8%	4.62	4.51	—
2021	24	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	22	0	49	229	53	29	3	0%	2.2	23.1%	12.7%	10.5%	1.3%	4.62	3.51	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	52	222	30	24	5	0%	1.9	10.6%	12.3%	-1.7%	3.0%	4.35	5.41	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	52	222	30	24	5	0%	1.9	13.5%	10.8%	2.7%	2.3%	4.35	4.59	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	4	64	270	44	34	8	12%	1.9	13.1%	14.0%	-0.9%	3.5%	3.82	5.68	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	4	64	270	44	34	8	12%	1.9	13.1%	14.0%	-0.9%	3.5%	3.82	5.68	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	4	64	270	44	34	8	12%	1.9	16.3%	12.6%	3.7%	3.0%	3.82	4.95	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	CIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.1%	11.5%	7.5%	3.0%	5.00	5.00	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	CIN	39	0	41	174	33	20	6	0%	1.1	19.1%	11.6%	7.5%	3.2%	5.04	5.11	-0.3
2027	30	MLB CTX	CIN	12	0	13	55	11	6	2	0%	1.1	19.1%	11.6%	7.5%	3.2%	5.04	5.11	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	54	10	6	2	0%	1.1	19.1%	11.6%	7.5%	3.2%	5.04	4.73	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	155	93	31	0%	1.1	19.1%	11.6%	7.5%	3.2%	5.04	4.73	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		112	12	248	1082	142	137	23	11%	2.2	13.1%	12.6%	0.4%	2.1%	3.73	4.76	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	10	200	871	114	110	18	11%	2.2	13.1%	12.6%	0.4%	2.1%	3.73	4.76	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Manuel Cachutt (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.00	19.1%	11.5%	3.0%	—	5.11	19.1%	7.5%	41	+0.11	—	—	—
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	84
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	82
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	82
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	81
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	80
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	80
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.49 FIP	29	SU	5.49	15.9%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	79
Willie Eyre R 2007 · 4.53 FIP	29	SU	4.53	13.7%	9.1%	2.6%	.306	2.87	11.1%	5.5%	18	-1.66	2.87	164	79
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	78
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	77
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	77
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	77
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	76
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	76
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	76
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	75
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	75
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	75
Bo Schultz R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SU	4.30	18.3%	7.9%	3.2%	.218	3.49	15.1%	8.9%	77	-0.81	2.73	141	74
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	42	19.1%	11.6%	1.21	5.02
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54