Gabriel Yanez
P
Cedar Rapids Kernels
Age 27
LHP
6'3" / 225 lbs
A+
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 94104vR 113
ERA4.11
FIP4.11
K%20.4%
BB%7.9%
K-BB%12.4%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.45 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.60 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies East | 15 | 3 | 35 | 164 | 33 | 3 | 4 | 20% | 2.3 | 13.7% | 2.3% | 11.4% | 3.4% | 6.43 | 4.11 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies East | 15 | 3 | 35 | 164 | 33 | 3 | 4 | 20% | 2.3 | 20.1% | 1.8% | 18.3% | 2.4% | 6.43 | 2.96 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Phillies East | 7 | 3 | 20 | 80 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 43% | 2.9 | 11.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 0.0% | 1.33 | 2.69 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Phillies East | 7 | 3 | 20 | 80 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 43% | 2.9 | 17.5% | 3.8% | 13.7% | 0.0% | 1.33 | 2.17 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 56 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 4.5% | 2.32 | 5.06 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 0 | 43 | 181 | 56 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 30.9% | 9.9% | 21.0% | 2.8% | 2.32 | 3.26 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 33 | 0 | 50 | 209 | 58 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.5% | 6.8% | 13.8% | 1.9% | 3.22 | 3.25 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 33 | 0 | 50 | 209 | 58 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 27.8% | 5.7% | 22.0% | 1.4% | 3.22 | 2.29 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 60 | 249 | 69 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 21.1% | 6.1% | 15.0% | 1.9% | 4.83 | 3.14 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 60 | 249 | 69 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 27.7% | 5.6% | 22.1% | 1.2% | 4.83 | 2.14 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 38 | 0 | 56 | 228 | 49 | 16 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 0.4% | 2.26 | 2.94 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 38 | 0 | 56 | 228 | 49 | 16 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.5% | 7.0% | 14.5% | 0.4% | 2.26 | 2.44 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 0 | 60 | 247 | 56 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 16.5% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 1.2% | 4.50 | 3.19 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 0 | 60 | 247 | 56 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.7% | 6.9% | 15.8% | 0.8% | 4.50 | 2.52 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 37 | 0 | 38 | 162 | 33 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 2.5% | 4.11 | 4.11 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 35 | 0 | 37 | 157 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 4.19 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 34 | 0 | 36 | 150 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 32 | 0 | 33 | 141 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 4.19 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 4.29 | 4.36 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.43 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 53 | 0 | 56 | 235 | 48 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 2.8% | 4.32 | 4.01 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 172 | 72 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 2.8% | 4.32 | 4.01 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 199 | 6 | 328 | 1371 | 249 | 92 | 26 | 3% | 1.6 | 18.2% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 1.9% | 3.65 | 3.47 | +7.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 121 | 4 | 200 | 837 | 152 | 56 | 16 | 3% | 1.6 | 18.2% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 1.9% | 3.65 | 3.47 | +4.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gabriel Yanez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.11 | 20.4% | 7.9% | 2.5% | — | 4.36 | 20.5% | 12.0% | 106 | +0.25 | — | — | — |
| Adam Liberatore L 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 85 |
| Jason Gurka L 2026 · 3.09 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.09 | 17.5% | 7.0% | 1.1% | .303 | 3.22 | 23.4% | 17.6% | 95 | +0.13 | 2.59 | 183 | 85 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.46 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .259 | 5.31 | 16.5% | -3.3% | 54 | +1.85 | 3.46 | 154 | 82 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.26 | 17.9% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .281 | 3.91 | 20.1% | 10.8% | 34 | -0.35 | 2.34 | 338 | 82 |
| Dan Jennings L 2027 · 3.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.09 | 18.9% | 7.4% | 1.2% | .294 | 3.85 | 17.8% | 8.5% | 188 | +0.76 | 3.09 | 244 | 82 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 82 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.33 | 19.0% | 9.3% | 1.2% | .305 | 4.87 | 17.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +1.54 | 3.33 | 228 | 81 |
| Jeff Malm L 2024 · 3.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.12 | 22.0% | 7.2% | 1.8% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 101 | 81 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .321 | 3.39 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.23 | 2.95 | 101 | 81 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 221 | 81 |
| Ozzie Mendez L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.07 | 14.6% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .269 | 3.89 | 11.3% | 3.0% | 68 | -0.18 | 3.86 | 161 | 80 |
| James Pazos L 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.23 | 21.3% | 6.6% | 2.0% | .291 | 4.49 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 97 | +1.26 | 2.55 | 261 | 80 |
| Robby Ahlstrom L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.65 | 20.5% | 8.0% | 2.3% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 308 | 80 |
| Bryan Harper L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .197 | 4.72 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.75 | 3.97 | 133 | 80 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 80 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.32 | 21.9% | 11.1% | 1.2% | .368 | 3.66 | 21.7% | 11.5% | 100 | +0.34 | 3.04 | 153 | 80 |
| Colton Turner L 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.10 | 21.1% | 8.4% | 1.3% | .235 | 3.96 | 22.4% | 13.2% | 94 | +0.86 | 2.83 | 325 | 80 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.24 | 16.3% | 6.2% | 1.3% | .250 | 3.55 | 14.3% | 7.3% | 95 | +0.31 | 3.17 | 163 | 79 |
| Scott Alexander L 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.39 | 17.3% | 7.7% | 1.4% | .342 | 3.43 | 19.8% | 10.6% | 152 | +0.04 | 2.90 | 414 | 79 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2027 · 3.42 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.42 | 14.3% | 6.3% | 1.4% | .291 | 3.63 | 16.5% | 10.2% | 155 | +0.21 | 3.21 | 241 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 36 | 20.4% | 8.4% | 1.05 | 4.25 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Trevor Gott ('23) | 4 | 51 | 22.0% | 7.4% | 0.79 | 3.97 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |