Gabriel Yanez — OGILVIE

Gabriel Yanez P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 27 LHP 6'3" / 225 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 98106vR 114

ERA4.24

FIP4.24

K%17.8%

BB%7.2%

K-BB%10.5%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	3	0	4	13	1	0	0	0%	1.3	7.7%	0.0%	7.7%	0.0%	0.00	2.45	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	3	0	4	13	1	0	0	0%	1.3	7.7%	0.0%	7.7%	0.0%	0.00	2.60	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies East	15	3	35	164	33	3	4	20%	2.3	13.7%	2.3%	11.4%	3.4%	6.43	4.11	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies East	15	3	35	164	33	3	4	20%	2.3	20.1%	1.8%	18.3%	2.4%	6.43	2.96	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies East	7	3	20	80	14	3	0	43%	2.9	11.9%	4.7%	7.2%	0.0%	1.33	2.69	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies East	7	3	20	80	14	3	0	43%	2.9	17.5%	3.8%	13.7%	0.0%	1.33	2.17	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	29	0	43	181	56	18	5	0%	1.5	23.5%	11.4%	12.1%	4.5%	2.32	5.04	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	29	0	43	181	56	18	5	0%	1.5	30.9%	9.9%	21.0%	2.8%	2.32	3.26	—
2022	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	33	0	50	209	58	12	3	0%	1.5	20.5%	6.8%	13.8%	1.9%	3.22	3.25	—
2022	23	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	33	0	50	209	58	12	3	0%	1.5	27.8%	5.7%	22.0%	1.4%	3.22	2.29	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	60	249	69	14	3	0%	1.6	21.1%	6.1%	15.0%	1.9%	4.83	3.11	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	60	249	69	14	3	0%	1.6	21.1%	6.1%	15.0%	1.9%	4.83	3.11	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	60	249	69	14	3	0%	1.6	27.7%	5.6%	22.1%	1.2%	4.83	2.14	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	38	0	56	228	49	16	1	0%	1.5	16.5%	8.1%	8.5%	0.5%	2.26	2.98	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	38	0	56	228	49	16	1	0%	1.5	16.5%	8.1%	8.5%	0.5%	2.26	2.98	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	38	0	56	228	49	16	1	0%	1.5	21.5%	7.0%	14.5%	0.4%	2.26	2.44	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	37	0	60	247	56	17	2	0%	1.6	16.5%	6.6%	10.0%	1.1%	4.50	3.16	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	37	0	60	247	56	17	2	0%	1.6	16.5%	6.6%	10.0%	1.1%	4.50	3.16	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	37	0	60	247	56	17	2	0%	1.6	22.7%	6.9%	15.8%	0.8%	4.50	2.52	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	MIN	3	0	3	13	2	1	0	0%	1.0	17.8%	7.2%	10.5%	2.5%	4.24	4.24	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIN	35	0	37	157	29	12	4	0%	1.1	18.2%	7.6%	10.6%	2.6%	4.30	4.33	+0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIN	13	0	14	59	11	4	2	0%	1.1	18.2%	7.6%	10.6%	2.6%	4.30	4.33	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	58	10	4	2	0%	1.0	18.2%	7.6%	10.6%	2.6%	4.30	3.96	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	147	59	29	0%	1.1	18.2%	7.6%	10.6%	2.6%	4.30	3.96	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		199	6	328	1371	249	92	26	3%	1.6	18.2%	6.7%	11.5%	1.9%	3.65	3.46	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		121	4	200	837	152	56	16	3%	1.6	18.2%	6.7%	11.5%	1.9%	3.65	3.46	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gabriel Yanez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.24	17.8%	7.2%	2.5%	—	4.33	18.2%	10.6%	37	+0.09	—	—	—
Jason Gurka L 2015 · 3.15 FIP	27	SU	3.15	17.5%	7.0%	1.2%	.303	3.25	23.4%	17.6%	95	+0.10	2.82	183	88
Ozzie Mendez L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	14.6%	6.7%	2.6%	.269	3.99	11.3%	3.0%	68	-0.17	3.95	161	87
Jeremy Bleich L 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	14.3%	6.3%	1.2%	.291	3.67	16.5%	10.2%	155	+0.35	3.20	241	85
Jimmy Reyes L 2016 · 3.82 FIP	27	SU	3.82	14.6%	6.2%	2.1%	.313	4.92	13.8%	5.8%	66	+1.10	3.02	200	84
Arturo Barradas L 2015 · 3.31 FIP	27	SU	3.31	16.3%	6.2%	1.5%	.250	3.54	14.3%	7.3%	95	+0.23	3.24	163	83
Adam Liberatore L 2015 · 3.64 FIP	28	SU	3.64	21.1%	7.3%	2.5%	.267	3.17	23.3%	15.2%	73	-0.47	2.38	124	83
Triston Polley L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.8%	8.9%	2.6%	.331	4.53	17.4%	-0.3%	22	+0.38	4.15	151	83
Jeff Ibarra L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	17.8%	9.7%	1.7%	.321	3.29	19.2%	13.8%	66	-0.46	2.85	101	83
Dan Jennings L 2015 · 3.11 FIP	28	SU	3.11	18.9%	7.4%	1.2%	.294	3.80	17.8%	8.5%	188	+0.69	3.11	244	82
Scott Alexander L 2016 · 3.42 FIP	27	SU	3.42	17.3%	7.7%	1.5%	.342	3.38	19.8%	10.6%	152	-0.04	2.90	426	81
Keith Hessler L 2016 · 3.31 FIP	27	SU	3.31	19.0%	9.3%	1.1%	.305	5.06	17.8%	5.2%	98	+1.75	3.31	228	81
Franklin Morales L 2015 · 3.37 FIP	29	SU	3.37	15.9%	5.4%	1.7%	.271	4.02	15.0%	7.0%	39	+0.65	3.37	101	81
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	80
Hayden Howard L 2019 · 3.76 FIP	25	SU	3.76	17.5%	8.4%	1.9%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	200	80
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	80
Bryan Harper L 2016 · 4.13 FIP	26	SU	4.13	19.3%	9.6%	2.6%	.197	4.63	14.9%	1.0%	46	+0.50	4.13	133	80
Colt Hynes L 2015 · 3.42 FIP	30	SU	3.42	16.2%	8.4%	1.1%	.290	3.66	17.9%	13.2%	105	+0.24	3.42	152	79
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	79
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	79
Daniel Gibson L 2018 · 3.73 FIP	26	SU	3.73	18.6%	8.7%	2.0%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	159	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	38	18.0%	7.4%	0.98	4.27
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Alex Claudio ('21)	1.5	59	16.3%	6.1%	0.76	3.66
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Adam Cimber ('24)	1.6	52	18.3%	6.6%	0.75	3.75