Adam Tulloch

P Akron RubberDucks

Age 27 LHP 6'2" / 215 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	A+CLE	31	0	60	3.60	3.53	23.2%	12.2%	—	K 17.9% · BB 14.0% · FIP 4.24
2025	25	MIX2 levels	32	1	57	3.97	3.93	22.1%	14.1%	—	K 17.4% · BB 15.7% · FIP 4.74
2026	26	MIX2 levels	32	0	36	2.78	4.28	24.9%	19.7%	—	K 19.5% · BB 22.5% · FIP 5.10
2027PROJ	27	MLBCLE	25	0	26	5.55	5.55	19.1%	17.7%	-0.3
2028PROJ38% MLB	28	MLBCLE	9	0	9	5.48	5.51	19.4%	17.0%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJohn Bale (age 27) · Brian Moran (age 26) · Nick Lee (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122130vR 139

ERA5.55

FIP5.55

K%19.1%

BB%17.7%

K-BB%1.4%

Proj IP26

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	2	0	2	16	1	2	1	0%	0.8	6.2%	12.5%	-6.2%	6.2%	37.80	7.59	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	2	0	2	16	1	2	1	0%	0.8	6.2%	12.5%	-6.2%	6.2%	37.80	13.30	—
2023	23	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	28	20	96	419	115	50	8	71%	3.4	20.3%	14.1%	6.2%	2.4%	4.89	4.51	—
2023	23	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	28	20	96	419	115	50	8	71%	3.4	27.4%	11.9%	15.5%	1.9%	4.89	3.35	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	31	0	60	263	61	32	4	0%	1.9	17.9%	14.0%	3.9%	1.6%	3.60	4.24	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	31	0	60	263	61	32	4	0%	1.9	17.9%	14.0%	3.9%	1.6%	3.60	4.24	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	31	0	60	263	61	32	4	0%	1.9	23.2%	12.2%	11.0%	1.5%	3.60	3.53	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	1	57	249	55	35	4	3%	1.8	17.4%	15.7%	1.6%	2.0%	3.97	4.74	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	1	57	249	55	35	4	3%	1.8	17.4%	15.7%	1.6%	2.0%	3.97	4.74	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	1	57	249	55	35	4	3%	1.8	22.1%	14.1%	8.0%	1.6%	3.97	3.93	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	36	173	43	34	2	0%	1.1	19.5%	22.5%	-3.0%	1.4%	2.78	5.10	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	36	173	43	34	2	0%	1.1	19.5%	22.5%	-3.0%	1.4%	2.78	5.10	—
2026	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	36	173	43	34	2	0%	1.1	24.9%	19.7%	5.2%	1.2%	2.78	4.28	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	CLE	25	0	26	110	21	19	3	0%	1.0	19.1%	17.7%	1.4%	2.6%	5.55	5.55	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CLE	24	0	25	105	20	18	3	0%	1.0	19.4%	17.0%	2.4%	2.8%	5.48	5.51	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	CLE	9	0	9	38	7	6	1	0%	1.0	19.4%	17.0%	2.4%	2.8%	5.48	5.51	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	40	8	7	1	0%	1.0	19.4%	17.0%	2.4%	2.8%	5.48	5.13	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	150	21	0%	1.1	19.4%	17.0%	2.4%	2.8%	5.48	5.13	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		125	21	250	1120	210	176	23	17%	2.0	18.8%	15.7%	3.0%	2.1%	4.29	4.63	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		100	17	200	897	168	141	18	17%	2.0	18.8%	15.7%	3.0%	2.1%	4.29	4.63	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adam Tulloch (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.55	19.1%	17.7%	2.6%	—	5.51	19.4%	2.4%	25	-0.04	—	—	—
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	82
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	80
Nick Lee L 2016 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	19.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	102	78
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	78
Stephen Randolph L 2003 · 4.83 FIP	29	SU	4.83	18.5%	14.8%	2.6%	.247	5.69	15.8%	-3.0%	82	+0.86	4.83	155	77
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	76
Andrew Mitchell L 2022 · 6.04 FIP	27	SU	6.04	18.2%	17.0%	4.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	119	76
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	76
Sean Keselica L 2019 · 4.47 FIP	26	SU	4.47	18.0%	14.5%	1.9%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	2.79	235	76
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	75
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	75
Chandler Jozwiak L 2024 · 5.33 FIP	25	SU	5.33	16.9%	15.3%	3.1%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	2.86	161	75
Kit Scheetz L 2021 · 5.08 FIP	27	SU	5.08	16.2%	13.6%	2.9%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.34	195	74
Nick Hagadone L 2013 · 4.75 FIP	27	SU	4.75	22.6%	15.0%	3.0%	.253	3.34	25.9%	19.0%	51	-1.41	2.97	141	74
Justin Wright L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	26	SU	4.42	14.7%	13.7%	1.5%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.28	109	73
Anderson Polanco L 2019 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	18.9%	16.3%	2.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	73
Hunter Cervenka L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	27	SU	5.91	18.9%	15.0%	4.6%	.282	3.10	25.9%	15.0%	81	-2.81	3.08	194	73
Matt Mikulski L 2024 · 6.18 FIP	25	SU	6.18	15.3%	17.1%	4.0%	.275	4.98	19.5%	-8.3%	18	-1.20	4.92	223	73
Davis Schwab L 2022 · 5.70 FIP	25	SU	5.70	20.3%	18.7%	3.5%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	114	73
Cody Beckman L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	26	SU	5.27	19.3%	14.9%	3.5%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	189	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	19.2%	17.3%	1.04	5.52
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
John Parrish ('10)	1.4	46	17.6%	14.8%	0.88	4.51
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*