Jackson Rutledge
P
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 27
RHP
6'8" / 241 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 75 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131121vR 112
ERA5.10
FIP5.11
K%20.8%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%10.7%
ROS IP75
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 105 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6595.6
Whiff%
p5025.3%
K%
p3219.6%
xwOBA vs
p300.335
SI (27%)
CT-0.9 (45%)
FB-0.9 (27%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 7 | 28 | 115 | 33 | 12 | 0 | 100% | 4.0 | 21.6% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 3.18 | 2.82 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 7 | 28 | 115 | 33 | 12 | 0 | 100% | 4.0 | 28.7% | 10.4% | 18.3% | 0.0% | 3.18 | 2.04 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 13 | 36 | 172 | 41 | 20 | 2 | 100% | 2.8 | 17.3% | 13.4% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 7.68 | 3.69 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 13 | 36 | 172 | 41 | 20 | 2 | 100% | 2.8 | 23.8% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 1.2% | 7.68 | 3.21 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 20 | 20 | 97 | 423 | 99 | 29 | 7 | 100% | 4.9 | 17.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 1.9% | 4.90 | 3.69 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 20 | 20 | 97 | 423 | 99 | 29 | 7 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.4% | 6.9% | 16.5% | 1.7% | 4.90 | 2.89 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 27 | 139 | 585 | 118 | 61 | 16 | 100% | 5.1 | 17.3% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 4.14 | 4.53 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 27 | 139 | 585 | 118 | 61 | 16 | 100% | 5.1 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 4.14 | 4.22 | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 28 | 131 | 597 | 137 | 79 | 18 | 93% | 4.4 | 20.0% | 14.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 6.20 | 5.10 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 28 | 131 | 597 | 137 | 79 | 18 | 93% | 4.4 | 22.9% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 6.20 | 4.61 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 0 | 76 | 340 | 69 | 25 | 16 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.7% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 5.54 | 5.02 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 0 | 76 | 340 | 69 | 25 | 16 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.3% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 4.7% | 5.54 | 5.00 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 30 | 0 | 30 | 139 | 21 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.8% | 13.0% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 5.76 | 4.93 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | WSH | 72 | 0 | 75 | 318 | 66 | 32 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 5.10 | 5.11 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | WSH | 71 | 0 | 75 | 317 | 66 | 32 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 5.10 | 5.11 | -0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 105 | 457 | 87 | 52 | 15 | — | — | 19.1% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 5.29 | 5.06 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 77 | 324 | 87 | 52 | 15 | — | — | 26.9% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 7.24 | 5.44 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 71 | 0 | 74 | 314 | 65 | 32 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 5.15 | 5.19 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 68 | 0 | 71 | 300 | 60 | 32 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 5.27 | 5.35 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 68 | 0 | 71 | 300 | 62 | 31 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 5.15 | 5.19 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 58 | 30 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 5.27 | 5.35 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 274 | 5 | 317 | 1366 | 273 | 127 | 56 | 2% | 1.2 | 20.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 4.1% | 5.53 | 4.86 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 173 | 3 | 200 | 863 | 172 | 80 | 35 | 2% | 1.2 | 20.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 4.1% | 5.53 | 4.86 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 192 | 95 | 538 | 2371 | 434 | 265 | 65 | 49% | 2.8 | 18.3% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 5.26 | 4.48 | +5.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 71 | 35 | 200 | 882 | 162 | 99 | 24 | 49% | 2.8 | 18.3% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 5.26 | 4.48 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jackson Rutledge (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.11 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 3.8% | — | 5.27 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 146 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 80 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 79 |
| Bud Norris R 2029 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 78 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 78 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 77 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 77 |
| Jose Pina R 2028 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 74 |
| Josh Roeder R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 73 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 73 |
| Tristan Beck R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.69 | 19.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | .271 | 3.68 | 21.1% | 13.0% | 148 | -1.01 | 3.52 | 473 | 72 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 16.4% | 9.4% | 2.3% | .297 | 4.10 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 293 | -0.05 | 3.33 | 556 | 72 |
| Mike Adams R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 71 |
| Colby Morris R 2024 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 71 |
| Nick Morreale R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.92 | 19.0% | 8.5% | 2.5% | .271 | 3.72 | 11.7% | -1.1% | 14 | -0.20 | 2.97 | 280 | 71 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 71 |
| Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 356 | 71 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2028 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 71 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 70 |
| Adam Quintana R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 18.6% | 11.7% | 2.1% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.72 | 201 | 70 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 74 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.52 | 5.17 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |