Jackson Rutledge

Jackson Rutledge P Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 28 RHP 6'8" / 241 lbs AAA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 161 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.94

FIP4.95

K%20.0%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%10.7%

ROS IP161

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 161 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5555

CMD4545

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6595.6

Whiff%

p5025.3%

p3219.6%

xwOBA vs

p300.335

SI (27%)

CT-0.9 (45%)

FB-0.9 (27%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	7	28	115	33	12	0	100%	4.0	21.6%	12.2%	9.4%	0.0%	3.18	2.82	—
2019	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	7	28	115	33	12	0	100%	4.0	28.7%	10.4%	18.3%	0.0%	3.18	2.04	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	13	36	172	41	20	2	100%	2.8	17.3%	13.4%	3.8%	0.7%	7.68	3.74	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	13	36	172	41	20	2	100%	2.8	23.8%	11.6%	12.2%	1.2%	7.68	3.21	—
2022	23	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	20	20	97	423	99	29	7	100%	4.9	17.3%	8.1%	9.2%	2.0%	4.90	3.76	—
2022	23	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	20	20	97	423	99	29	7	100%	4.9	23.4%	6.9%	16.5%	1.7%	4.90	2.89	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	27	139	585	118	61	16	100%	5.1	17.1%	10.3%	6.8%	2.8%	4.14	4.53	+0.6
2023	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	27	139	585	118	61	16	100%	5.1	20.2%	10.4%	9.7%	2.7%	4.14	4.22	+1.1
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	28	131	597	137	79	18	93%	4.4	19.6%	12.3%	7.2%	3.4%	6.20	4.86	+0.1
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	28	131	597	137	79	18	93%	4.4	19.6%	12.3%	7.2%	3.4%	6.20	4.86	+0.1
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	28	131	597	137	79	18	93%	4.4	22.9%	13.2%	9.7%	3.0%	6.20	4.61	+0.4
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	65	0	76	340	69	25	16	0%	1.2	19.7%	7.3%	12.4%	4.8%	5.54	5.02	-0.4
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	65	0	76	340	69	25	16	0%	1.2	19.7%	7.3%	12.4%	4.8%	5.54	5.02	-0.4
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	65	0	76	340	69	25	16	0%	1.2	20.3%	7.4%	12.9%	4.7%	5.54	5.00	-0.4
2026	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	0	25	115	20	15	2	0%	1.0	13.5%	11.1%	2.4%	2.5%	5.84	4.72	-0.1
2026	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	0	25	115	20	15	2	0%	1.0	13.5%	11.1%	2.4%	2.5%	5.84	4.72	-0.1
2026	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	0	25	115	20	15	2	0%	1.0	17.4%	13.0%	4.3%	1.7%	5.84	4.36	+0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			71	5	103	464	88	34	21	7%	1.5	19.0%	7.3%	11.6%	4.5%	6.29	5.03	-0.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	WSH	153	0	161	680	136	64	24	0%	1.1	20.0%	9.4%	10.7%	3.6%	4.94	4.95	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	WSH	146	0	154	648	126	62	24	0%	1.1	19.4%	9.6%	9.8%	3.7%	5.04	5.11	-1.0
2029	30	MLB MLE	WSH	137	0	144	609	114	60	24	0%	1.1	18.7%	9.9%	8.8%	3.9%	5.21	5.32	-1.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	WSH	53	0	56	236	46	23	9	0%	1.1	19.4%	9.6%	9.8%	3.7%	5.04	5.11	-0.4
2029	30	MLB CTX	WSH	76	0	80	338	63	33	13	0%	1.1	18.7%	9.9%	8.8%	3.9%	5.21	5.32	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		201	5	239	1038	197	90	43	2%	1.2	19.0%	8.7%	10.3%	4.2%	5.64	4.88	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		168	4	200	869	165	75	36	2%	1.2	19.0%	8.7%	10.3%	4.2%	5.64	4.88	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		186	95	533	2347	427	243	66	51%	2.9	18.2%	10.4%	7.8%	2.8%	5.25	4.41	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	36	200	881	160	91	25	51%	2.9	18.2%	10.4%	7.8%	2.8%	5.25	4.41	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jackson Rutledge (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.95	20.0%	9.4%	3.6%	—	5.21	19.1%	9.4%	298	+0.26	—	—	—
Eddie Bonine R 2009 · 5.60 FIP	28	SW	5.60	13.1%	7.6%	4.8%	.306	4.54	8.6%	2.0%	68	-1.06	4.40	129	70
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	69
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	68
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	68
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	67
Carlos Torres R 2010 · 4.50 FIP	27	SW	4.50	18.3%	11.3%	2.8%	.438	3.89	20.1%	13.2%	139	-0.61	2.89	604	66
Dustin Nippert R 2009 · 4.09 FIP	28	SP-	4.09	18.0%	9.7%	2.3%	.271	4.49	17.9%	6.1%	57	+0.40	3.83	268	66
Jeff Manship R 2013 · 5.11 FIP	28	SW	5.11	12.9%	7.9%	3.8%	.298	3.57	20.0%	11.7%	137	-1.54	2.83	250	66
Ryan Glynn R 2004 · 5.23 FIP	29	SW	5.23	15.7%	7.9%	4.5%	.234	5.98	18.3%	9.8%	17	+0.75	5.23	226	65
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	65
Reinier Roibal R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	27	SW	4.37	16.9%	7.1%	3.3%	.371	4.91	17.5%	5.7%	37	+0.54	3.11	133	65
Todd Wellemeyer R 2007 · 4.74 FIP	28	SW	4.74	17.0%	10.8%	3.1%	.270	4.86	15.5%	6.4%	373	+0.12	3.35	615	64
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	64
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	63
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	63
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	63
Jon Leicester R 2007 · 4.44 FIP	28	SP-	4.44	11.0%	9.0%	2.1%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	113	63
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	62
Hunter Stanley R 2024 · 5.47 FIP	26	SW	5.47	19.6%	8.6%	5.3%	.365	5.30	18.6%	9.5%	58	-0.17	3.84	220	62
Jason García R 2021 · 4.76 FIP	28	SP-	4.76	17.7%	13.5%	2.6%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	356	62

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,251 pitcher careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.8	112	19.3%	9.2%	1.51	5.28
Matt Kinney ('05)	1.9	97	16.8%	9.9%	1.39	5.29
Hideki Irabu ('02)	2.6	103	18.1%	7.8%	1.59	5.15
Claudio Vargas ('10)	3.8	109	16.2%	8.7%	1.49	4.83
Sal Romano ('21)	1.4	92	17.2%	8.9%	1.34	5.23
Jason Bergmann ('10)	1.9	97	17.5%	9.0%	1.50	5.04
Casey Fossum ('09)	3.9	98	17.2%	9.0%	1.31	5.45