Nate Webb
P
Norfolk Tides
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 113
ERA4.97
FIP4.97
K%19.4%
BB%13.6%
K-BB%5.9%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | AZL Royals | 12 | 0 | 16 | 74 | 16 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 14.7% | 20.3% | -5.6% | 0.0% | 5.06 | 4.43 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | AZL Royals | 12 | 0 | 16 | 74 | 16 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.6% | 16.2% | 5.4% | 0.0% | 5.06 | 3.35 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Burlington Royals | 12 | 12 | 58 | 257 | 44 | 22 | 5 | 100% | 4.8 | 11.6% | 10.7% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 5.28 | 4.97 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Burlington Royals | 12 | 12 | 58 | 257 | 44 | 22 | 5 | 100% | 4.8 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 1.9% | 5.28 | 3.84 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | 11 | 1 | 38 | 192 | 36 | 29 | 10 | 9% | 3.5 | 12.8% | 18.9% | -6.1% | 7.3% | 10.42 | 8.42 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | 11 | 1 | 38 | 192 | 36 | 29 | 10 | 9% | 3.5 | 18.8% | 15.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 10.42 | 6.92 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 59 | 236 | 89 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 28.5% | 9.4% | 19.1% | 2.2% | 3.94 | 3.07 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 59 | 236 | 89 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 37.7% | 8.1% | 29.7% | 2.1% | 3.94 | 2.16 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 1 | 33 | 178 | 39 | 27 | 5 | 4% | 1.2 | 17.1% | 15.5% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 9.99 | 5.91 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 1 | 33 | 178 | 39 | 27 | 5 | 4% | 1.2 | 21.9% | 15.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 9.99 | 5.14 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 44 | 199 | 35 | 34 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 14.9% | 18.2% | -3.3% | 1.4% | 4.70 | 4.93 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 44 | 199 | 35 | 34 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 17.6% | 17.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 4.70 | 4.71 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 25 | 0 | 26 | 109 | 21 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 13.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 4.97 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 24 | 0 | 25 | 104 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 5.04 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 5.04 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 4.66 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 176 | 110 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 4.66 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 125 | 14 | 249 | 1136 | 193 | 165 | 36 | 11% | 2.0 | 17.0% | 14.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.26 | 5.26 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 101 | 11 | 200 | 914 | 155 | 132 | 29 | 11% | 2.0 | 17.0% | 14.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.26 | 5.26 | +0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nate Webb (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.97 | 19.4% | 13.6% | 2.6% | — | 5.04 | 19.6% | 6.2% | 25 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 88 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 83 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 83 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 82 |
| Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 81 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 81 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.96 | 17.9% | 13.5% | 1.2% | .363 | 3.59 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 181 | -0.37 | 3.07 | 227 | 81 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.44 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 2.3% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.06 | 3.03 | 115 | 80 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 80 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 79 |
| Sean Harney R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.28 | 16.9% | 14.8% | 1.3% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 123 | 79 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 79 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 79 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.37 | 16.4% | 13.6% | 3.5% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 140 | 79 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 78 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 78 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 1.7% | .290 | 3.63 | 21.3% | 12.7% | 181 | -0.94 | 2.96 | 230 | 78 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.36 | 16.2% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 159 | 77 |
| Mike Adams R 2025 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 77 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.85 | 17.5% | 12.2% | 1.3% | .250 | 4.30 | 18.6% | 5.6% | 68 | +0.45 | 3.63 | 281 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 25 | 19.5% | 13.5% | 1.03 | 4.97 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |