Nate Webb — OGILVIE

Nate Webb P Norfolk Tides

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 215 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 121

ERA5.50

FIP5.50

K%15.6%

BB%15.1%

K-BB%0.5%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	12	0	16	74	16	12	0	0%	1.3	14.7%	20.3%	-5.6%	0.0%	5.06	4.43	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	AZL Royals	12	0	16	74	16	12	0	0%	1.3	21.6%	16.2%	5.4%	0.0%	5.06	3.35	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	Burlington Royals	12	12	58	257	44	22	5	100%	4.8	11.6%	10.7%	0.9%	2.7%	5.28	4.97	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	Burlington Royals	12	12	58	257	44	22	5	100%	4.8	17.1%	8.6%	8.6%	1.9%	5.28	3.84	—
2018	20	ROK MLE	Idaho Falls Chukars	11	1	38	192	36	29	10	9%	3.5	12.8%	18.9%	-6.1%	7.3%	10.42	8.42	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	Idaho Falls Chukars	11	1	38	192	36	29	10	9%	3.5	18.8%	15.1%	3.6%	5.2%	10.42	6.92	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	59	236	89	19	5	0%	1.7	28.5%	9.4%	19.1%	2.4%	3.94	3.19	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	59	236	89	19	5	0%	1.7	37.7%	8.1%	29.7%	2.1%	3.94	2.16	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	1	33	178	39	27	5	4%	1.2	17.1%	15.5%	1.6%	3.7%	9.99	5.67	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	1	33	178	39	27	5	4%	1.2	21.9%	15.2%	6.7%	2.8%	9.99	5.14	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	44	199	35	34	3	0%	1.6	14.4%	16.5%	-2.1%	1.6%	4.70	4.82	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	44	199	35	34	3	0%	1.6	14.4%	16.5%	-2.1%	1.6%	4.70	4.82	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	44	199	35	34	3	0%	1.6	17.6%	17.1%	0.5%	1.5%	4.70	4.71	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	BAL	2	0	2	8	1	1	0	0%	1.0	15.6%	15.1%	0.5%	2.6%	5.50	5.50	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	BAL	24	0	25	104	17	15	3	0%	1.0	16.1%	14.7%	1.4%	2.8%	5.46	5.51	-0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	BAL	9	0	9	38	6	6	1	0%	1.0	16.1%	14.7%	1.4%	2.8%	5.46	5.51	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	38	6	6	1	0%	1.0	16.1%	14.7%	1.4%	2.8%	5.46	5.13	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	132	132	22	0%	1.1	16.1%	14.7%	1.4%	2.8%	5.46	5.13	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		125	14	249	1136	192	161	36	11%	2.0	16.9%	14.2%	2.7%	3.2%	6.26	5.23	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		101	11	200	914	154	130	29	11%	2.0	16.9%	14.2%	2.7%	3.2%	6.26	5.23	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nate Webb (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.50	15.6%	15.1%	2.6%	—	5.51	16.1%	1.4%	25	+0.01	—	—	—
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	81
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	81
Dustin Antolin R 2017 · 4.35 FIP	27	SW	4.35	16.2%	14.4%	1.4%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	159	79
Jake Haberer R 2023 · 5.10 FIP	28	SU	5.10	16.4%	14.7%	2.8%	.262	5.03	16.2%	-1.4%	15	-0.07	3.46	183	79
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	79
Jose De La Torre R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	29	SU	4.40	14.5%	13.1%	1.6%	.256	2.98	21.6%	14.2%	65	-1.42	2.64	130	79
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	78
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	78
Trey Haley R 2016 · 4.98 FIP	26	SU	4.98	14.0%	16.5%	1.8%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	111	78
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	78
Kyle McMyne R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	27	SU	4.84	12.5%	12.8%	2.1%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	181	78
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	77
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	77
Fernando Villalobos R 2015 · 5.33 FIP	30	SU	5.33	8.3%	13.1%	2.3%	.365	4.36	11.4%	3.1%	109	-0.97	4.00	152	77
Mark Peterson R 2017 · 4.78 FIP	26	SU	4.78	13.7%	11.9%	2.4%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.65	185	75
Mike Hepple R 2016 · 5.75 FIP	26	SU	5.75	11.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	116	74
Chris Jefferson R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	26	SU	4.45	16.6%	11.8%	2.3%	.333	5.65	16.4%	2.8%	46	+1.20	3.53	140	74
Brian Glowicki R 2022 · 5.39 FIP	27	SU	5.39	18.2%	15.9%	3.3%	.229	—	—	—	—	—	2.31	189	74
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	74
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	15.8%	14.9%	1.04	5.48
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99