John Schreiber
P
Kansas City Royals
+0.4
WAR
Age 32
RHP
6'2" / 224 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA4.02
FIP4.18
xFIP6.66
SIERA6.16
K%23.0%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%15.0%
IP54
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL5050
CMD5050
K†5050
FB Velo
p4093.8
Whiff%
p3723.4%
K%
p5723.4%
xwOBA vs
p510.311
CH+0.7 (12%)
CT+0.6 (18%)
SI (25%)
FB (47%)
SL-3.5 (23%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 23 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | 27 | 0 | 50 | 182 | 70 | 7 | 0 | 28.5% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.54 | 1.27 | +2.1 |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 49 | 0 | 58 | 238 | 59 | 14 | 2 | 20.1% | 6.5% | 0.9% | 2.48 | 2.72 | +1.5 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 66 | 0 | 79 | 326 | 101 | 28 | 8 | 27.1% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 2.95 | 3.44 | +1.5 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 15 | 0 | 16 | 70 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 20.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 6.32 | 3.57 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 34 | 8 | 69 | 293 | 70 | 27 | 3 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 0.9% | 2.73 | 3.13 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 71 | 0 | 77 | 306 | 89 | 22 | 5 | 28.8% | 7.4% | 1.1% | 2.09 | 2.23 | +2.5 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 52 | 2 | 52 | 224 | 59 | 24 | 7 | 26.0% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 3.61 | 4.11 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 61 | 1 | 54 | 234 | 49 | 19 | 2 | 20.5% | 8.5% | 0.5% | 4.02 | 2.69 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 74 | 0 | 64 | 265 | 62 | 18 | 10 | 23.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.80 | 4.16 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 8 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | 7.11 | — | — |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | KC | 47 | — | 47 | 200 | 44 | 16 | 6 | 21.8% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 4.01 | 4.28 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 32 | MLB | KC | — | — | 54 | 233 | 48 | 20 | 8 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 4.38 | 3.77 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | KC | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 43 | 18 | 7 | 19.8% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 4.52 | 4.68 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | KC | 49 | — | 49 | 205 | 39 | 18 | 7 | 19.1% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 4.70 | 4.82 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | KC | 46 | — | 46 | 193 | 35 | 17 | 7 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 4.86 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB | KC | 43 | — | 43 | 181 | 32 | 17 | 6 | 17.6% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 5.02 | 5.13 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 457 | 11 | 526 | 2171 | 522 | 174 | 40 | 24.1% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 2.94 | 3.10 | +13.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 174 | 4 | 200 | 825 | 198 | 66 | 15 | 24.1% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 2.94 | 3.10 | +5.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| John Schreiber (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.28 | 21.8% | 8.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.82 | 19.1% | 10.4% | 146 | +0.54 | — | — | — |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 78 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 78 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.53 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .268 | 4.27 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.26 | 3.50 | 292 | 78 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.08 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .292 | 3.82 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 55 | -0.26 | 3.17 | 272 | 78 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.53 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .338 | 4.03 | 24.4% | 11.0% | 97 | +0.50 | 2.80 | 410 | 77 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.37 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.8% | .319 | 2.59 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.78 | 2.00 | 380 | 75 |
| Elian Leyva R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 158 | 75 |
| Hector Ambriz R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.55 | 16.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | .273 | 6.40 | 10.4% | 2.9% | 91 | +2.85 | 3.55 | 155 | 75 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2028 · 3.82 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.82 | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .294 | 3.34 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.48 | 3.21 | 225 | 75 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.68 | 16.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 337 | 75 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.60 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.87 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.27 | 3.12 | 352 | 74 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2025 · 4.27 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.27 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 125 | 74 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.34 | 17.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.67 | 22.0% | 14.1% | 185 | +0.33 | 2.57 | 251 | 74 |
| Tyler Herron R 2024 · 3.99 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.99 | 16.4% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .377 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 117 | 74 |
| Erik Davis R 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.54 | 17.4% | 8.9% | 1.4% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 227 | 74 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.65 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.36 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.71 | 3.65 | 137 | 74 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 74 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.29 | 18.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | .296 | 2.73 | 24.5% | 18.6% | 25 | -0.56 | 2.73 | 316 | 73 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.49 | 13.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 149 | 73 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 73 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.