Raymond Burgos
P
Worcester Red Sox
Age 27
LHP
6'5" / 209 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 16 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 121
ERA4.51
FIP4.51
K%21.4%
BB%8.3%
K-BB%13.1%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CH (24%)
SI (48%)
FB-0.6 (60%)
SL-0.6 (16%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | AZL Indians 1 | 12 | 8 | 52 | 219 | 58 | 17 | 2 | 67% | 4.4 | 18.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 1.3% | 3.78 | 3.51 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | AZL Indians 1 | 12 | 8 | 52 | 219 | 58 | 17 | 2 | 67% | 4.4 | 26.5% | 7.8% | 18.7% | 0.9% | 3.78 | 2.35 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Lake County Captains | 8 | 8 | 37 | 159 | 40 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 4.6 | 18.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 3.44 | 4.03 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Lake County Captains | 8 | 8 | 37 | 159 | 40 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 4.6 | 25.2% | 7.5% | 17.6% | 1.9% | 3.44 | 2.96 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 67% | 2.0 | 18.2% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 1.8% | 5.25 | 3.48 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 67% | 2.0 | 18.2% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 1.8% | 5.25 | 3.52 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 37 | 0 | 65 | 262 | 67 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 0.8% | 2.08 | 3.07 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 37 | 0 | 65 | 262 | 67 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 25.6% | 8.4% | 17.2% | 0.8% | 2.08 | 2.45 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 1 | 59 | 247 | 54 | 25 | 6 | 3% | 1.6 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 3.37 | 4.48 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 1 | 59 | 247 | 54 | 25 | 6 | 3% | 1.6 | 21.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 2.4% | 3.37 | 3.87 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 18 | 0 | 34 | 132 | 35 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.9 | 22.6% | 5.0% | 17.6% | 3.1% | 1.60 | 3.51 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 4 levels | 18 | 0 | 34 | 132 | 35 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.9 | 26.5% | 4.5% | 22.0% | 2.3% | 1.60 | 2.71 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 32 | 156 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.9% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 6.68 | 4.97 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 32 | 156 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.8% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 2.6% | 6.68 | 3.72 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 11 | 10 | 45 | 211 | 38 | 20 | 5 | 91% | 4.1 | 15.8% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 6.35 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | BOS | 3 | 3 | 16 | 70 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 5.5 | 21.4% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | BOS | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 21.4% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 62 | 281 | 53 | 26 | 7 | — | — | 18.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 5.86 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 21.4% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.51 | 4.13 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 3.3% | 4.54 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 3.3% | 4.54 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 11 | 50 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.11 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 170 | 7 | 200 | 894 | 179 | 90 | 18 | 4% | 1.2 | 20.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 155 | 31 | 336 | 1441 | 267 | 131 | 33 | 20% | 2.2 | 18.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 2.3% | 3.80 | 3.95 | +5.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 92 | 18 | 200 | 858 | 159 | 78 | 20 | 20% | 2.2 | 18.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 2.3% | 3.80 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Raymond Burgos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 21.4% | 8.3% | 3.2% | — | 4.57 | 21.4% | 12.9% | 20 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Hector Hernandez L 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 76 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 75 |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 73 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 221 | 71 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 71 |
| Greg Nappo L 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.29 | 17.2% | 10.3% | 4.3% | .285 | 6.48 | 12.3% | -0.3% | 11 | +1.19 | 3.40 | 144 | 71 |
| Reid Love L 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% | .373 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 280 | 71 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.43 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 165 | 70 |
| Carson Teel L 2025 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.22 | 17.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 248 | 70 |
| Samuel Strickland L 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.58 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 3.8% | .380 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 277 | 70 |
| James Reeves L 2025 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.79 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 2.3% | .226 | 5.24 | 27.0% | 10.8% | 51 | +1.45 | 2.02 | 280 | 70 |
| David Huff L 2029 · 3.63 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.63 | 17.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.00 | 19.5% | 14.6% | 52 | +0.37 | 3.63 | 158 | 70 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 69 |
| Will Gilbert L 2024 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 69 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.26 | 17.9% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .281 | 3.91 | 20.1% | 10.8% | 34 | -0.35 | 2.34 | 338 | 68 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 23.8% | 11.7% | 3.0% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 265 | 68 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2025 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 68 |
| Giovanni Soto L 2025 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 25.6% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 128 | 68 |
| Robby Ahlstrom L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.65 | 20.5% | 8.0% | 2.3% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 308 | 68 |
| Patrick Schuster L 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.88 | 19.8% | 8.3% | 4.4% | .381 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 160 | 68 |