Raymond Burgos — OGILVIE

Raymond Burgos P Worcester Red Sox

Age 27 LHP 6'5" / 209 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION86 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 97105vR 113

ERA4.22

FIP4.22

K%18.2%

BB%7.1%

K-BB%11.1%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 88 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1090.5

Whiff%

p1019.7%

p2819.0%

xwOBA vs

p780.285

CH (24%)

SI (48%)

FB-0.6 (60%)

SL-0.6 (16%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Indians 1	12	8	52	219	58	17	2	67%	4.4	18.0%	9.7%	8.3%	1.3%	3.78	3.51	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	AZL Indians 1	12	8	52	219	58	17	2	67%	4.4	26.5%	7.8%	18.7%	0.9%	3.78	2.35	—
2019	20	A MLE	Lake County Captains	8	8	37	159	40	12	3	100%	4.6	18.6%	8.9%	9.7%	2.5%	3.44	4.02	—
2019	20	A RAW	Lake County Captains	8	8	37	159	40	12	3	100%	4.6	25.2%	7.5%	17.6%	1.9%	3.44	2.96	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	4	12	55	10	4	1	67%	2.0	18.2%	7.3%	10.9%	1.8%	5.25	3.48	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	4	12	55	10	4	1	67%	2.0	18.2%	7.3%	10.9%	1.8%	5.25	3.52	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	37	0	65	262	67	22	2	0%	1.8	19.7%	9.7%	10.0%	0.8%	2.08	3.12	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	37	0	65	262	67	22	2	0%	1.8	25.6%	8.4%	17.2%	0.8%	2.08	2.45	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	1	59	247	54	25	6	3%	1.6	17.8%	10.3%	7.5%	2.8%	3.37	4.41	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	1	59	247	54	25	6	3%	1.6	17.8%	10.3%	7.5%	2.8%	3.37	4.41	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	1	59	247	54	25	6	3%	1.6	21.9%	10.1%	11.7%	2.4%	3.37	3.87	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	18	0	34	132	35	6	3	0%	1.9	21.3%	4.3%	17.1%	3.1%	1.60	3.55	+0.4
2024	25	MIX MLE	4 levels	18	0	34	132	35	6	3	0%	1.9	21.3%	4.3%	17.1%	3.1%	1.60	3.55	+0.4
2024	25	MIX RAW	4 levels	18	0	34	132	35	6	3	0%	1.9	26.5%	4.5%	22.0%	2.3%	1.60	2.71	+0.7
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	32	156	34	12	4	0%	1.2	16.9%	6.4%	10.5%	4.2%	6.68	4.76	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	32	156	34	12	4	0%	1.2	16.9%	6.4%	10.5%	4.2%	6.68	4.76	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	32	156	34	12	4	0%	1.2	21.8%	7.7%	14.1%	2.6%	6.68	3.72	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			7	0	17	70	13	2	3	0%	2.5	18.6%	2.9%	15.7%	4.3%	5.71	4.20	+0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	23	15	86	378	70	30	10	65%	3.8	15.9%	7.2%	8.7%	2.9%	5.21	4.23	—
YTD	27	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	23	15	86	378	70	30	10	65%	3.8	15.9%	7.2%	8.7%	2.9%	5.21	4.23	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AAA RAW	BOS	17	15	70	315	58	29	7	88%	4.1	18.4%	9.2%	9.2%	2.2%	5.14	3.93	—
2026	27	MLB RAW	BOS	6	0	16	63	12	1	3	0%	2.7	19.0%	1.6%	17.5%	4.8%	5.51	4.31	+0.0
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	BOS	6	0	16	63	12	1	3	0%	2.7	19.0%	1.6%	17.5%	4.8%	5.51	4.31	+0.0
ROS	27	MLB MLE	BOS	1	1	1	6	1	0	0	100%	1.5	18.2%	7.1%	11.1%	3.2%	4.22	4.22	+0.0
ROS	27	MLB CTX	BOS	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	18.2%	7.1%	11.1%	3.2%	4.22	4.22	+0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	BOS	—	—	88	384	71	30	10	—	—	18.5%	7.9%	10.6%	2.7%	5.20	4.23	+0.6
FULL	27	MLB A+C	BOS	—	—	18	75	71	30	10	—	—	94.5%	40.4%	54.1%	13.6%	25.59	7.68	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	BOS	19	0	20	84	16	6	3	0%	1.1	19.3%	6.7%	12.6%	3.4%	4.55	4.59	-0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	BOS	18	0	19	80	15	5	3	0%	1.1	19.3%	6.7%	12.6%	3.4%	4.55	4.59	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		25	0	38	157	30	8	6	0%	1.5	18.9%	5.0%	13.9%	3.8%	5.07	4.22	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		134	1	200	828	159	42	32	1%	1.5	18.9%	5.0%	13.9%	3.8%	5.07	4.22	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		167	36	377	1608	289	133	38	22%	2.3	18.0%	8.3%	9.7%	2.4%	3.82	3.93	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	19	200	853	154	71	20	22%	2.3	18.0%	8.3%	9.7%	2.4%	3.82	3.93	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Raymond Burgos (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.54	18.9%	7.1%	3.2%	—	4.59	19.3%	12.6%	20	+0.05	—	—	—
David Huff L 2015 · 3.40 FIP	30	SW	3.40	17.1%	3.8%	2.3%	.271	4.06	19.5%	14.6%	52	+0.66	3.40	158	70
Hector Hernandez L 2019 · 3.39 FIP	28	SW	3.39	20.2%	9.0%	1.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	121	70
Wes Benjamin L 2020 · 4.28 FIP	27	SU	4.28	21.4%	7.1%	3.8%	.303	5.03	17.7%	6.2%	100	+0.75	3.87	666	69
Joe La Sorsa L 2023 · 4.02 FIP	25	SU	4.02	16.9%	6.6%	2.8%	.304	3.90	16.8%	10.3%	155	-0.12	2.89	364	68
Brian Flynn L 2017 · 4.81 FIP	27	SW	4.81	19.1%	4.6%	5.0%	.362	4.25	15.8%	6.0%	148	-0.56	3.80	277	68
Carson Teel L 2022 · 4.26 FIP	26	SU	4.26	17.7%	7.1%	3.2%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	248	67
Reid Love L 2018 · 3.98 FIP	26	SW	3.98	19.6%	7.2%	3.0%	.373	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	280	67
Greg Nappo L 2016 · 5.09 FIP	27	SU	5.09	17.2%	10.3%	3.9%	.285	6.26	12.3%	-0.3%	11	+1.17	3.37	144	66
Matt Dermody L 2017 · 4.87 FIP	27	SU	4.87	17.6%	5.2%	4.7%	.294	4.18	19.8%	16.7%	23	-0.69	2.38	348	65
Jordan Carr L 2023 · 3.49 FIP	26	SW	3.49	17.2%	8.5%	1.4%	.270	5.16	12.7%	2.3%	137	+1.67	3.49	269	65
Jimmy Reyes L 2016 · 3.82 FIP	27	SU	3.82	14.6%	6.2%	2.1%	.313	4.92	13.8%	5.8%	66	+1.10	3.02	200	65
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	65
Adam Liberatore L 2015 · 3.64 FIP	28	SU	3.64	21.1%	7.3%	2.5%	.267	3.17	23.3%	15.2%	73	-0.47	2.38	124	65
Brendan Nail L 2023 · 4.39 FIP	27	SU	4.39	18.9%	10.5%	2.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	165	64
Ivan Pelaez L 2021 · 4.66 FIP	27	SU	4.66	16.9%	5.1%	4.3%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.66	210	64
Jordan Jess L 2018 · 3.64 FIP	25	SU	3.64	19.3%	5.3%	2.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	136	64
Joel Bender L 2018 · 3.42 FIP	26	SU	3.42	18.6%	4.9%	2.3%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	117	64
Scott Alexander L 2016 · 3.42 FIP	27	SU	3.42	17.3%	7.7%	1.5%	.342	3.38	19.8%	10.6%	152	-0.04	2.90	426	64
Triston Polley L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.8%	8.9%	2.6%	.331	4.53	17.4%	-0.3%	22	+0.38	4.15	151	64
Ozzie Mendez L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	14.6%	6.7%	2.6%	.269	3.99	11.3%	3.0%	68	-0.17	3.95	161	64