Raul Brito — OGILVIE

Raul Brito P St. Paul Saints

Age 29 RHP 6'1" / 180 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.58

FIP4.58

K%23.7%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%13.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

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Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	3	0	6	27	5	2	0	0%	2.0	18.5%	7.4%	11.1%	0.0%	0.00	2.47	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	3	0	6	27	5	2	0	0%	2.0	18.5%	7.4%	11.1%	0.0%	0.00	2.43	—
2017	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	18	0	31	146	28	16	0	0%	1.7	13.0%	13.7%	-0.7%	0.0%	4.02	3.73	—
2017	20	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	18	0	31	146	28	16	0	0%	1.7	19.2%	11.0%	8.2%	0.0%	4.02	2.84	—
2018	21	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	13	0	23	108	21	15	0	0%	1.8	13.2%	17.4%	-4.1%	0.0%	2.35	4.18	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	13	0	23	108	21	15	0	0%	1.8	19.4%	13.9%	5.6%	0.0%	2.35	3.23	—
2019	22	A MLE	Clinton LumberKings	20	0	27	130	29	17	0	0%	1.3	16.5%	15.4%	1.1%	0.0%	4.39	3.66	—
2019	22	A RAW	Clinton LumberKings	20	0	27	130	29	17	0	0%	1.3	22.3%	13.1%	9.2%	0.0%	4.39	2.84	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	38	181	44	28	5	0%	1.6	18.3%	18.0%	0.3%	3.4%	5.97	5.68	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	0	38	181	44	28	5	0%	1.6	24.3%	15.5%	8.8%	2.8%	5.97	4.72	—
2022	25	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	33	0	52	217	55	18	1	0%	1.6	19.5%	9.5%	10.0%	0.7%	3.10	3.02	—
2022	25	A+ RAW	Beloit Sky Carp	33	0	52	217	55	18	1	0%	1.6	25.3%	8.3%	17.1%	0.5%	3.10	2.28	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	62	263	78	28	1	0%	2.3	23.6%	11.9%	11.7%	0.6%	2.60	2.92	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	62	263	78	28	1	0%	2.3	23.6%	11.9%	11.7%	0.6%	2.60	2.92	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	62	263	78	28	1	0%	2.3	29.7%	10.6%	19.0%	0.4%	2.60	2.15	—
2024	27	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	33	1	54	217	63	23	5	3%	1.6	23.5%	11.7%	11.9%	2.9%	3.31	4.18	—
2024	27	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	33	1	54	217	63	23	5	3%	1.6	23.5%	11.7%	11.9%	2.9%	3.31	4.18	—
2024	27	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	33	1	54	217	63	23	5	3%	1.6	29.0%	10.6%	18.4%	2.3%	3.31	3.25	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	48	0	63	297	82	35	10	0%	1.3	22.9%	10.6%	12.3%	3.8%	6.11	4.58	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	48	0	63	297	82	35	10	0%	1.3	22.9%	10.6%	12.3%	3.8%	6.11	4.58	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	48	0	63	297	82	35	10	0%	1.3	27.6%	11.8%	15.8%	3.4%	6.11	4.22	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	32	0	53	240	50	32	6	0%	1.7	17.3%	12.0%	5.3%	2.8%	4.25	4.67	—
YTD	29	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	32	0	53	240	50	32	6	0%	1.7	17.3%	12.0%	5.3%	2.8%	4.25	4.67	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AAA RAW	MIN	32	0	53	240	50	32	6	0%	1.7	20.8%	13.3%	7.5%	2.5%	4.25	4.40	—
ROS	29	MLB MLE	MIN	6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	23.7%	10.7%	13.1%	3.2%	4.58	4.58	-0.0
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	MIN	—	—	59	266	56	35	7	—	—	21.1%	13.1%	8.0%	2.6%	4.28	4.66	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	MIN	61	0	64	272	64	29	9	0%	1.1	23.3%	10.8%	12.5%	3.4%	4.66	4.73	-0.1
2028	31	MLB MLE	MIN	57	0	60	254	58	28	9	0%	1.1	22.9%	11.0%	11.9%	3.6%	4.79	4.90	-0.2
2027	30	MLB CTX	MIN	23	0	24	101	24	11	3	0%	1.0	23.3%	10.8%	12.5%	3.4%	4.66	4.73	-0.0
2028	31	MLB CTX	MIN	31	0	33	139	32	15	5	0%	1.1	22.9%	11.0%	11.9%	3.6%	4.79	4.90	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		55	0	57	243	56	27	8	0%	1.0	23.1%	10.9%	12.2%	3.5%	4.73	4.44	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	195	94	28	0%	1.1	23.1%	10.9%	12.2%	3.5%	4.73	4.44	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		251	1	410	1826	358	231	33	0%	1.6	19.6%	12.6%	7.0%	1.8%	4.00	4.04	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		122	0	200	891	175	113	16	0%	1.6	19.6%	12.6%	7.0%	1.8%	4.00	4.04	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Raul Brito (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.58	23.7%	10.7%	3.2%	—	4.81	23.1%	12.2%	125	+0.23	—	—	—
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	89
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	84
Dalier Hinojosa R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	29	SU	3.41	20.4%	9.8%	1.4%	.283	4.30	18.7%	6.1%	24	+0.89	3.41	104	83
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	83
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	82
Pedro Beato R 2016 · 4.20 FIP	29	SU	4.20	19.2%	8.5%	3.0%	.275	3.72	18.5%	11.1%	152	-0.48	3.47	295	82
Al Alburquerque R 2015 · 3.54 FIP	29	SU	3.54	21.4%	11.1%	1.5%	.330	3.23	21.3%	12.5%	114	-0.31	2.84	228	82
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	81
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	81
Carlos Fisher R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.17	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.28	2.48	147	81
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	80
Kevin Jepsen R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	31	SU	3.47	20.7%	9.1%	1.8%	.241	5.85	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.38	3.47	160	80
Nolan Clenney R 2023 · 4.79 FIP	27	SU	4.79	22.6%	10.1%	4.2%	.341	4.58	17.2%	7.5%	71	-0.21	3.73	223	80
Danny Farquhar R 2016 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	21.7%	7.6%	3.3%	.272	3.62	22.3%	11.3%	62	-0.40	3.62	224	80
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	80
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	79
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	79
Luis García R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	20.6%	10.9%	1.8%	.281	3.74	21.6%	12.6%	179	-0.01	2.33	617	79
Cody Hall R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	29	SU	4.03	26.8%	10.0%	3.5%	.299	3.92	25.9%	8.4%	19	-0.11	3.51	134	79
Roman Mendez R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SU	4.42	20.8%	11.1%	3.0%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	230	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	64	23.3%	10.8%	1.30	4.67
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22