A.J. Labas — OGILVIE

A.J. Labas P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 223 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 24 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 102

ERA4.50

FIP4.50

K%21.4%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%12.5%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	1	11	58	14	2	2	14%	1.6	17.8%	4.7%	13.0%	5.7%	9.82	5.34	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	1	11	58	14	2	2	14%	1.6	24.1%	3.4%	20.7%	3.4%	9.82	3.46	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	2	14	60	18	3	0	25%	1.8	30.0%	5.0%	25.0%	0.0%	5.14	1.20	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	2	14	60	18	3	0	25%	1.8	30.0%	5.0%	25.0%	0.0%	5.14	1.17	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	54	234	47	19	6	0%	1.4	15.1%	9.5%	5.6%	3.3%	4.86	4.85	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	54	234	47	19	6	0%	1.4	20.1%	8.1%	12.0%	2.6%	4.86	3.86	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	26	0	41	177	36	13	11	0%	1.6	15.7%	8.4%	7.2%	6.5%	5.49	6.43	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	26	0	41	177	36	13	11	0%	1.6	15.7%	8.4%	7.2%	6.5%	5.49	6.43	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	26	0	41	177	36	13	11	0%	1.6	20.3%	7.3%	13.0%	6.2%	5.49	5.78	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	MIN	23	0	24	101	22	9	3	0%	1.0	21.4%	8.9%	12.5%	3.1%	4.50	4.50	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIN	22	0	23	98	21	9	3	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.2%	12.2%	3.2%	4.56	4.61	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIN	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.3%	9.2%	12.2%	3.2%	4.56	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.3%	9.2%	12.2%	3.2%	4.56	4.23	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	86	29	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.2%	12.2%	3.2%	4.56	4.23	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		79	3	120	529	91	43	23	4%	1.5	17.3%	8.1%	9.2%	4.3%	5.57	5.02	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		132	5	200	884	153	72	38	4%	1.5	17.3%	8.1%	9.2%	4.3%	5.57	5.02	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
A.J. Labas (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.50	21.4%	8.9%	3.1%	—	4.61	21.3%	12.2%	23	+0.11	—	—	—
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	89
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	86
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	85
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	84
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	84
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	83
Santiago Casilla R 2008 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	18.8%	7.9%	2.2%	.337	3.37	20.6%	10.4%	155	-0.34	2.76	647	83
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	82
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	82
Tyler Yates R 2006 · 4.17 FIP	28	SU	4.17	21.2%	10.6%	2.8%	.254	3.70	20.7%	11.1%	151	-0.47	3.23	248	82
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	82
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	81
Miguel Mejia R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.21	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.84	3.37	108	81
Josh Lueke R 2013 · 4.09 FIP	28	SU	4.09	25.3%	11.1%	3.1%	.333	3.28	24.6%	20.9%	90	-0.81	2.29	191	81
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	81
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	80
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	80
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	80
Matt Pushard R 2024 · 3.87 FIP	26	SU	3.87	24.1%	8.9%	3.0%	.242	3.29	22.2%	14.0%	115	-0.58	2.84	220	80
Jack Hartman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	26	SU	4.34	20.9%	8.8%	3.4%	.310	4.29	17.6%	5.6%	46	-0.05	3.46	161	80