Zach Muckenhirn
P
Tacoma Rainiers
Age 31
LHP
6'0" / 205 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 119
ERA4.40
FIP4.40
K%22.2%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%12.9%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB-2.9
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 22 | 21 | 115 | 529 | 89 | 34 | 12 | 95% | 5.2 | 12.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.09 | 5.62 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 22 | 21 | 115 | 529 | 89 | 34 | 12 | 95% | 5.2 | 16.8% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 2.3% | 5.09 | 3.80 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 0 | 64 | 274 | 79 | 26 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 0.7% | 3.64 | 2.93 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 0 | 64 | 274 | 79 | 26 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 28.8% | 9.5% | 19.3% | 0.7% | 3.64 | 2.26 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 57 | 245 | 73 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.8% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 1.7% | 4.11 | 3.33 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 57 | 245 | 73 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 29.8% | 9.8% | 20.0% | 1.6% | 4.11 | 2.71 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 30 | 0 | 41 | 166 | 42 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 1.77 | 3.98 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 30 | 0 | 41 | 166 | 42 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.3% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 1.8% | 1.77 | 3.40 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 47 | 0 | 55 | 235 | 56 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 2.3% | 3.11 | 3.89 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 47 | 0 | 55 | 235 | 56 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.8% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 3.8% | 3.11 | 4.45 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 1 | 54 | 228 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 3% | 1.6 | 14.3% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 3.15 | 4.27 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 1 | 54 | 228 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 3% | 1.6 | 15.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 3.15 | 4.11 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | NYM | 25 | 0 | 27 | 113 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | NYM | 24 | 0 | 25 | 104 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | NYM | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 0 | 15 | 69 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 5.11 | 3.73 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 154 | 0 | 200 | 920 | 146 | 80 | 13 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 5.11 | 3.73 | +3.9 | ||
| Career | — | 217 | 22 | 386 | 1677 | 301 | 162 | 44 | 10% | 1.8 | 18.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 3.80 | 4.26 | +5.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 112 | 11 | 200 | 868 | 156 | 84 | 23 | 10% | 1.8 | 18.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 3.80 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zach Muckenhirn (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.40 | 22.2% | 9.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.61 | 21.9% | 12.2% | 25 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Jake McGee L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 20.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | .316 | 3.48 | 25.6% | 21.2% | 121 | -0.56 | 1.52 | 350 | 77 |
| Justin Wilson L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.56 | 26.5% | 10.8% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.09 | 22.1% | 12.0% | 54 | +0.53 | 2.48 | 420 | 71 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.70 | 20.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .296 | 4.51 | 20.1% | 13.1% | 33 | +0.81 | 3.21 | 241 | 71 |
| Phil Coke L 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 70 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .351 | 5.19 | 21.5% | 14.2% | 18 | +1.40 | 2.29 | 130 | 70 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2024 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 70 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.73 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 223 | 69 |
| Brian Moran L 2025 · 3.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.29 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .269 | 3.00 | 25.5% | 18.5% | 99 | -0.29 | 1.67 | 421 | 69 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.48 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 2.2% | .281 | 2.35 | 23.3% | 21.0% | 44 | -1.13 | 2.35 | 306 | 68 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.47 | 25.2% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .269 | 4.81 | 24.3% | 12.6% | 78 | +1.34 | 2.37 | 296 | 68 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 124 | 68 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.72 | 21.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | .311 | 4.39 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.72 | 181 | 68 |
| Tommy Layne L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.42 | 20.3% | 9.6% | 1.5% | .266 | 4.27 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 90 | +0.85 | 1.32 | 182 | 65 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.85 | 22.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | .353 | 3.52 | 14.1% | 9.5% | 56 | -0.33 | 3.44 | 152 | 65 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.1% | 2.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 244 | 64 |
| Marc Rzepczynski L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .284 | 5.42 | 15.5% | 1.4% | 67 | +1.63 | 2.79 | 181 | 64 |
| Zack Britton L 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.50 | 21.6% | 12.7% | 1.1% | .222 | 3.65 | 20.3% | 7.2% | 37 | +0.15 | 1.59 | 309 | 64 |
| Craig Breslow L 2029 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.86 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .279 | 4.51 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 94 | -0.35 | 4.22 | 159 | 64 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.36 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 113 | 63 |
| Chris Narveson L 2028 · 4.83 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.83 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | .333 | 4.57 | 14.1% | 4.5% | 193 | -0.26 | 4.40 | 249 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 22.0% | 9.4% | 1.19 | 4.46 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |