Zach Muckenhirn — OGILVIE

Zach Muckenhirn P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 31 LHP 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105113vR 122

ERA4.65

FIP4.65

K%18.6%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%9.8%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

FB-2.9

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	22	21	115	529	89	34	12	95%	5.2	12.4%	7.6%	4.9%	3.6%	5.09	5.01	—
2017	22	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	22	21	115	529	89	34	12	95%	5.2	16.8%	6.4%	10.4%	2.3%	5.09	3.80	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	0	64	274	79	26	2	0%	1.5	22.3%	10.7%	11.6%	0.7%	3.64	2.98	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	44	0	64	274	79	26	2	0%	1.5	28.8%	9.5%	19.3%	0.7%	3.64	2.26	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	57	245	73	24	4	0%	1.4	23.8%	10.5%	13.4%	1.7%	4.11	3.32	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	57	245	73	24	4	0%	1.4	29.8%	9.8%	20.0%	1.6%	4.11	2.71	—
2021	26	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	30	0	41	166	42	19	3	0%	1.4	20.5%	12.6%	7.9%	2.0%	1.77	4.06	—
2021	26	AA RAW	Birmingham Barons	30	0	41	166	42	19	3	0%	1.4	25.3%	11.4%	13.9%	1.8%	1.77	3.40	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	47	0	55	235	56	23	9	0%	1.2	21.0%	10.3%	10.7%	3.0%	3.11	4.26	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	47	0	55	235	56	23	9	0%	1.2	23.8%	9.8%	14.0%	3.8%	3.11	4.45	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	1	54	228	35	20	5	3%	1.6	13.5%	8.2%	5.3%	2.4%	3.15	4.33	+0.1
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	1	54	228	35	20	5	3%	1.6	13.5%	8.2%	5.3%	2.4%	3.15	4.33	+0.1
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	1	54	228	35	20	5	3%	1.6	15.4%	8.8%	6.6%	2.2%	3.15	4.11	+0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			3	0	6	31	3	2	0	0%	2.0	9.7%	6.5%	3.2%	0.0%	6.00	3.10	+0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	NYM	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	18.6%	8.8%	9.8%	3.0%	4.65	4.65	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	NYM	24	0	25	104	19	10	3	0%	1.0	18.7%	9.2%	9.4%	3.2%	4.75	4.84	-0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	NYM	9	0	9	38	7	4	1	0%	1.0	18.7%	9.2%	9.4%	3.2%	4.75	4.84	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	15	69	10	6	1	0%	1.3	14.7%	8.0%	6.7%	1.8%	5.25	3.85	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		154	0	200	920	133	80	13	0%	1.3	14.7%	8.0%	6.7%	1.8%	5.25	3.85	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		217	22	386	1677	299	159	41	10%	1.8	17.9%	9.5%	8.4%	2.5%	3.80	4.14	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		112	11	200	868	155	82	21	10%	1.8	17.9%	9.5%	8.4%	2.5%	3.80	4.14	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zach Muckenhirn (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.65	18.6%	8.8%	3.0%	—	4.84	18.7%	9.4%	25	+0.19	—	—	—
Phil Coke L 2015 · 3.89 FIP	33	SU	3.89	18.8%	9.1%	2.2%	.373	3.04	18.0%	11.3%	70	-0.85	3.04	101	72
Jake McGee L 2018 · 4.33 FIP	31	SU	4.33	20.7%	6.6%	3.9%	.316	3.59	25.6%	21.2%	121	-0.74	1.39	350	71
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	71
Jeremy Bleich L 2018 · 3.69 FIP	31	SU	3.69	20.3%	6.6%	2.7%	.296	4.41	20.1%	13.1%	33	+0.72	3.20	241	70
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	69
Edward Paredes L 2018 · 3.81 FIP	31	SU	3.81	22.7%	11.9%	2.0%	.351	5.10	21.5%	14.2%	18	+1.29	2.36	130	69
Jared Koenig L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	29	SU	4.16	20.7%	9.2%	3.0%	.364	2.92	23.7%	16.1%	146	-1.24	2.79	473	68
Fernando Abad L 2017 · 3.53 FIP	31	SU	3.53	20.3%	7.1%	2.2%	.281	2.37	23.3%	21.0%	44	-1.16	2.37	306	67
Josh Outman L 2016 · 4.53 FIP	31	SU	4.53	15.3%	3.7%	4.1%	.323	5.73	12.8%	-1.0%	86	+1.20	4.53	106	67
Craig Breslow L 2015 · 4.94 FIP	34	SU	4.94	16.4%	6.4%	4.4%	.279	4.42	16.2%	6.5%	94	-0.52	4.22	159	66
Jason Gurka L 2019 · 5.13 FIP	31	SW	5.13	15.5%	7.6%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	183	66
Mike Dunn L 2016 · 3.71 FIP	31	SU	3.71	21.6%	6.2%	3.0%	.311	4.63	22.4%	8.9%	85	+0.92	3.71	181	65
Marc Rzepczynski L 2017 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	18.2%	10.9%	1.5%	.284	5.47	15.5%	1.4%	67	+1.70	2.73	181	65
Robbie Ross Jr. L 2021 · 4.98 FIP	32	SU	4.98	15.2%	7.0%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	159	65
Buddy Boshers L 2019 · 3.73 FIP	31	SU	3.73	25.3%	10.4%	2.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	223	64
Kraig Sitton L 2017 · 3.87 FIP	29	SU	3.87	14.7%	6.1%	2.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	166	64
Brian Duensing L 2015 · 4.47 FIP	32	SU	4.47	11.5%	8.1%	2.4%	.252	3.76	20.2%	11.8%	137	-0.71	2.57	198	64
Colt Hynes L 2016 · 3.55 FIP	31	SU	3.55	22.3%	4.8%	3.1%	.353	3.75	14.1%	9.5%	56	+0.20	3.42	152	63
Dan Jennings L 2018 · 3.88 FIP	31	SU	3.88	16.6%	8.1%	2.1%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	244	63
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	62

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	18.7%	9.0%	1.19	4.70
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38