Matt Cronin

P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 29 LHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	25	AAAWSH	14	14	5.02	6.03	19.4%	20.9%	—	K 16.7% · BB 18.8% · FIP 5.78
2024	26	MIX2 levels	40	44	1.42	1.34	31.6%	5.8%	—	K 24.8% · BB 6.5% · FIP 1.83
2025	27	MIX2 levels	15	21	0.86	3.29	24.4%	12.8%	—	K 16.9% · BB 10.6% · FIP 3.02
2027PROJ	29	MLBSEA	11	12	4.31	4.31	21.3%	8.8%	0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBSEA	7	7	4.42	4.49	21.2%	9.1%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJeff Ibarra (age 29) · Nick Hagadone (age 29) · Raul Valdes (age 32)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99107vR 115

ERA4.31

FIP4.31

K%21.3%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%12.6%

Proj IP12

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	21	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	17	0	22	85	41	11	1	0%	1.3	35.7%	15.3%	20.4%	1.6%	0.82	2.88	—
2019	21	A RAW	Hagerstown Suns	17	0	22	85	41	11	1	0%	1.3	48.2%	12.9%	35.3%	1.2%	0.82	1.46	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	0	30	121	50	16	2	0%	1.3	34.1%	15.8%	18.3%	2.2%	3.00	3.42	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	0	30	121	50	16	2	0%	1.3	41.3%	13.2%	28.1%	1.7%	3.00	2.23	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	52	208	56	21	3	0%	1.1	23.0%	10.8%	12.2%	1.5%	2.42	3.33	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	52	208	56	21	3	0%	1.1	26.9%	10.1%	16.8%	1.4%	2.42	2.91	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	14	0	14	67	13	14	2	0%	1.0	16.7%	18.8%	-2.1%	3.1%	5.02	5.78	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	14	0	14	67	13	14	2	0%	1.0	19.4%	20.9%	-1.5%	3.0%	5.02	6.03	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	44	171	54	10	0	0%	1.1	24.8%	6.5%	18.3%	0.0%	1.42	1.83	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	44	171	54	10	0	0%	1.1	24.8%	6.5%	18.3%	0.0%	1.42	1.83	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	44	171	54	10	0	0%	1.1	31.6%	5.8%	25.7%	0.0%	1.42	1.34	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	21	86	21	11	1	0%	1.4	16.9%	10.6%	6.3%	0.0%	0.86	3.02	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	21	86	21	11	1	0%	1.4	16.9%	10.6%	6.3%	0.0%	0.86	3.02	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	0	21	86	21	11	1	0%	1.4	24.4%	12.8%	11.6%	1.2%	0.86	3.29	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	SEA	11	0	12	51	11	4	1	0%	1.1	21.3%	8.8%	12.6%	2.8%	4.31	4.31	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	SEA	19	0	20	84	18	8	3	0%	1.1	21.2%	9.1%	12.1%	3.0%	4.42	4.49	+0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	SEA	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.2%	9.1%	12.1%	3.0%	4.42	4.49	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	3	1	0%	1.1	21.2%	9.1%	12.1%	3.0%	4.42	4.11	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	190	82	27	0%	1.1	21.2%	9.1%	12.1%	3.0%	4.42	4.11	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		157	0	184	738	187	87	9	0%	1.2	25.4%	11.8%	13.6%	1.2%	2.11	3.13	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		171	0	200	804	204	95	10	0%	1.2	25.4%	11.8%	13.6%	1.2%	2.11	3.13	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Matt Cronin (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.31	21.3%	8.8%	2.8%	—	4.49	21.2%	12.1%	20	+0.18	—	—	—
Jeff Ibarra L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	18.1%	7.0%	2.1%	.342	2.85	20.6%	17.2%	29	-0.79	2.85	101	84
Nick Hagadone L 2015 · 3.65 FIP	29	SU	3.65	22.6%	8.9%	2.4%	.329	3.74	22.6%	13.3%	33	+0.09	2.97	141	82
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	82
Arturo Barradas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	29	SU	3.42	18.1%	7.0%	1.8%	.288	3.24	16.1%	9.5%	34	-0.18	3.24	163	81
Clay Rapada L 2011 · 4.34 FIP	30	SU	4.34	26.1%	10.1%	3.9%	.268	3.00	24.5%	14.2%	38	-1.34	3.00	120	80
Josh Smoker L 2018 · 3.66 FIP	29	SU	3.66	22.1%	8.4%	2.5%	.318	6.58	14.2%	3.4%	14	+2.92	2.71	230	80
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	79
Matt Thornton L 2006 · 3.43 FIP	29	SU	3.43	21.6%	7.5%	2.2%	.263	2.61	27.2%	20.5%	196	-0.82	1.71	663	79
Colt Hynes L 2013 · 4.76 FIP	28	SU	4.76	15.5%	8.3%	3.5%	.361	3.49	19.3%	12.8%	96	-1.27	3.42	169	79
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	77
Sammy Solís L 2018 · 4.39 FIP	29	SU	4.39	24.9%	9.6%	4.0%	.330	4.05	26.2%	17.3%	23	-0.34	2.51	190	77
Edward Paredes L 2016 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	24.1%	13.0%	1.4%	.225	3.55	23.7%	14.0%	86	+0.08	2.36	130	76
Darin Downs L 2014 · 3.78 FIP	29	SU	3.78	18.2%	11.5%	1.4%	.255	4.06	12.9%	8.7%	16	+0.28	2.83	107	76
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	75
Chad Zerbe L 2001 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	13.6%	6.2%	1.8%	.299	3.88	9.4%	2.6%	106	+0.13	3.75	145	74
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	74
Buddy Boshers L 2017 · 4.56 FIP	29	SU	4.56	18.9%	8.0%	3.7%	.300	3.47	24.1%	15.6%	112	-1.09	2.76	239	74
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	73
Scott Alexander L 2018 · 3.30 FIP	29	SU	3.30	20.9%	9.3%	1.4%	.290	4.64	13.3%	5.0%	45	+1.34	2.90	427	73
Yuki Matsui L 2024 · 3.63 FIP	28	SU	3.63	26.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.242	4.25	23.9%	12.6%	140	+0.62	3.63	203	73