Tobias Myers
P
New York Mets
Age 27
RHP
6'1" / 223 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118108vR 99
ERA4.00
FIP4.24
K%18.3%
BB%6.7%
K-BB%11.7%
ROS IP80
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 79 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2592.7
Whiff%
p1017.8%
K%
p1216.7%
xwOBA vs
p330.332
FB+2.1 (48%)
SL+1.8 (16%)
CT (13%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | GCL Orioles | 3 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 2.6 | 11.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 4.70 | 4.43 | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | GCL Orioles | 3 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 2.6 | 11.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 4.70 | 4.53 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 23 | 21 | 119 | 514 | 101 | 41 | 11 | 91% | 5.2 | 14.5% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.71 | 4.49 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 23 | 21 | 119 | 514 | 101 | 41 | 11 | 91% | 5.2 | 19.6% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 2.1% | 3.71 | 3.64 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 14 | 85 | 342 | 59 | 28 | 4 | 67% | 4.0 | 12.8% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 2.13 | 4.15 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 14 | 85 | 342 | 59 | 28 | 4 | 67% | 4.0 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 1.2% | 2.13 | 3.31 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 22 | 118 | 479 | 146 | 28 | 19 | 88% | 4.7 | 25.6% | 6.2% | 19.4% | 4.6% | 3.90 | 4.22 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 22 | 118 | 479 | 146 | 28 | 19 | 88% | 4.7 | 30.5% | 5.8% | 24.6% | 4.0% | 3.90 | 3.43 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 23 | 22 | 76 | 379 | 54 | 51 | 15 | 96% | 3.3 | 12.5% | 14.1% | -1.6% | 2.4% | 7.82 | 5.13 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 23 | 22 | 76 | 379 | 54 | 51 | 15 | 96% | 3.3 | 14.2% | 13.5% | 0.8% | 4.0% | 7.82 | 6.26 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 26 | 141 | 597 | 175 | 46 | 30 | 90% | 4.9 | 23.2% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 5.5% | 4.93 | 5.25 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 26 | 141 | 597 | 175 | 46 | 30 | 90% | 4.9 | 29.3% | 7.7% | 21.6% | 5.0% | 4.93 | 4.37 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 28 | 157 | 644 | 151 | 43 | 20 | 88% | 4.9 | 23.0% | 6.7% | 16.3% | 3.3% | 2.81 | 3.84 | +2.9 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 28 | 157 | 644 | 151 | 43 | 20 | 88% | 4.9 | 23.4% | 6.7% | 16.8% | 3.1% | 2.81 | 3.66 | +3.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 18 | 110 | 471 | 93 | 32 | 10 | 53% | 3.2 | 18.3% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 2.1% | 3.67 | 3.57 | +2.4 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 18 | 110 | 471 | 93 | 32 | 10 | 53% | 3.2 | 19.7% | 6.8% | 13.0% | 2.1% | 3.67 | 3.46 | +2.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | New York Mets | 30 | 5 | 55 | 231 | 40 | 14 | 9 | 17% | 1.8 | 16.7% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 4.5% | 5.56 | 4.96 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 12 | 12 | 72 | 304 | 56 | 21 | 11 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.5% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 4.56 | 4.68 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | NYM | 11 | 11 | 69 | 290 | 52 | 20 | 11 | 100% | 6.3 | 17.9% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | NYM | 11 | 11 | 65 | 273 | 47 | 20 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 4.92 | 5.05 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 53 | 20 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.5% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 4.56 | 4.68 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | NYM | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 49 | 19 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.9% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 4.73 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | NYM | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 44 | 19 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 4.92 | 5.05 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 108 | 67 | 430 | 1811 | 346 | 121 | 62 | 62% | 4.0 | 19.1% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 3.4% | 4.20 | 4.21 | +6.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 31 | 200 | 843 | 161 | 56 | 29 | 62% | 4.0 | 19.1% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 3.4% | 4.20 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 220 | 159 | 868 | 3692 | 705 | 305 | 126 | 72% | 3.9 | 19.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.10 | 4.41 | +10.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 37 | 200 | 851 | 162 | 70 | 29 | 72% | 3.9 | 19.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.10 | 4.41 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tobias Myers (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.28 | 20.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.85 | 17.9% | 10.9% | 206 | +0.57 | — | — | — |
| Chase Whitley R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.04 | 19.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .217 | 3.24 | 18.0% | 11.8% | 81 | -0.80 | 3.11 | 159 | 73 |
| Kris Medlen R 2028 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 70 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .313 | 3.72 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 224 | -0.04 | 2.53 | 507 | 69 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 69 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 69 |
| Hector Noesí R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 68 |
| Evan McKendry R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.14 | 14.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.14 | 474 | 68 |
| Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 68 |
| Preston Johnson R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 68 |
| Justin Topa R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.05 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.2% | .374 | 2.66 | 19.2% | 12.6% | 40 | -1.39 | 2.66 | 259 | 68 |
| Jacob Turner R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 67 |
| Vance Worley R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.01 | 15.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | .296 | 4.76 | 13.4% | 4.9% | 220 | +0.75 | 4.01 | 411 | 66 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 66 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 66 |
| Aldo Montes R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.65 | 12.4% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .322 | 4.41 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 75 | -0.24 | 4.41 | 210 | 66 |
| Matt Cain R 2029 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 66 |
| Chad Dallas R 2025 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 322 | 65 |
| Blake Beers R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.20 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 416 | 65 |
| Parker Curry R 2024 · 5.07 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.07 | 17.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 256 | 65 |
| Max Beatty R 2025 · 3.69 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.69 | 13.2% | 6.4% | 1.6% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 117 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 64 | 18.3% | 7.0% | 1.35 | 4.60 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Jarlín García ('22) | 5 | 61 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 1.33 | 3.79 |
| Adam Morgan ('21) | 6 | 59 | 20.5% | 7.1% | 1.56 | 4.77 |