Nabil Crismatt — OGILVIE

Nabil Crismatt P Reno Aces

Age 31 RHP 6'1" / 220 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 13 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.75

FIP5.04

K%13.4%

BB%5.7%

K-BB%7.7%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL6565

CMD5555

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.1

Whiff%

p4023.8%

p1016.3%

xwOBA vs

p340.331

FB+1.4 (40%)

SI (24%)

CU (16%)

CT (7%)

CH-3.4 (38%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	20	ROK MLE	Kingsport Mets	12	8	62	254	63	12	6	67%	5.2	16.9%	5.9%	11.0%	3.3%	2.90	4.24	—
2015	20	ROK RAW	Kingsport Mets	12	8	62	254	63	12	6	67%	5.2	24.8%	4.7%	20.1%	2.4%	2.90	2.91	—
2016	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	4	35	132	39	3	2	80%	6.9	21.7%	2.2%	19.6%	1.1%	1.82	2.14	—
2016	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	4	35	132	39	3	2	80%	6.9	29.5%	2.3%	27.3%	1.5%	1.82	1.86	—
2017	22	A+ MLE	St. Lucie Mets	26	25	146	640	142	33	17	96%	5.6	17.1%	5.9%	11.2%	3.6%	3.95	4.41	—
2017	22	A+ RAW	St. Lucie Mets	26	25	146	640	142	33	17	96%	5.6	22.2%	5.2%	17.0%	2.7%	3.95	3.35	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	144	640	140	56	16	100%	5.3	18.1%	9.5%	8.6%	2.8%	5.00	4.33	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	144	640	140	56	16	100%	5.3	21.9%	8.8%	13.1%	2.5%	5.00	3.77	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	21	130	550	157	32	21	78%	4.8	24.0%	6.2%	17.8%	4.5%	4.49	4.35	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	21	130	550	157	32	21	78%	4.8	28.5%	5.8%	22.7%	3.8%	4.49	3.52	—
2020	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	6	0	8	31	8	0	2	0%	1.4	25.8%	0.0%	25.8%	6.5%	3.24	4.46	+0.0
2020	25	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	6	0	8	31	8	0	2	0%	1.4	25.8%	0.0%	25.8%	6.5%	3.24	4.30	+0.0
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	85	366	77	23	10	0%	1.8	20.2%	6.3%	14.0%	2.8%	3.60	3.71	+0.8
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	85	366	77	23	10	0%	1.8	21.0%	6.3%	14.8%	2.7%	3.60	3.63	+0.9
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	1	71	293	70	21	6	2%	1.3	23.2%	7.5%	15.7%	1.7%	2.92	3.05	+1.3
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	1	71	293	70	21	6	2%	1.3	23.9%	7.2%	16.7%	2.0%	2.92	3.11	+1.2
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	9	72	334	67	30	17	29%	2.3	17.3%	8.3%	9.0%	5.5%	7.12	5.72	-1.0
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	9	72	334	67	30	17	29%	2.3	17.3%	8.3%	9.0%	5.5%	7.12	5.72	-1.0
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	9	72	334	67	30	17	29%	2.3	20.1%	9.0%	11.1%	5.1%	7.12	5.56	-0.8
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	16	86	388	81	28	10	50%	2.7	17.2%	7.0%	10.2%	2.5%	5.55	3.92	+1.0
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	16	86	388	81	28	10	50%	2.7	17.2%	7.0%	10.2%	2.5%	5.55	3.92	+1.0
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	16	86	388	81	28	10	50%	2.7	20.9%	7.2%	13.7%	2.6%	5.55	3.70	+1.2
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	25	136	579	95	34	21	89%	4.9	14.4%	5.4%	8.9%	4.2%	3.89	4.91	-0.0
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	25	136	579	95	34	21	89%	4.9	14.4%	5.4%	8.9%	4.2%	3.89	4.91	-0.0
2025	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	25	136	579	95	34	21	89%	4.9	16.4%	5.9%	10.5%	3.6%	3.89	4.46	+0.7
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			122	6	211	906	187	59	27	5%	1.7	20.6%	6.5%	14.1%	3.0%	3.71	3.83	+1.8
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	ARI	12	0	13	55	7	3	2	0%	1.1	13.4%	5.7%	7.7%	3.6%	4.75	5.04	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	ARI	146	0	154	649	82	39	25	0%	1.1	12.6%	6.1%	6.5%	3.8%	5.08	5.30	-1.3
2028	33	MLB MLE	ARI	134	0	141	596	70	39	25	0%	1.1	11.7%	6.5%	5.2%	4.1%	5.38	5.58	-1.6
2027	32	MLB CTX	ARI	54	0	57	241	30	15	9	0%	1.1	12.6%	6.1%	6.5%	3.8%	5.08	5.30	-0.5
2028	33	MLB CTX	ARI	74	0	78	329	39	22	14	0%	1.1	11.7%	6.5%	5.2%	4.1%	5.38	5.58	-0.9
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		250	6	345	1473	255	95	50	2%	1.4	17.3%	6.4%	10.9%	3.4%	4.31	4.30	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		145	3	200	853	148	55	29	2%	1.4	17.3%	6.4%	10.9%	3.4%	4.31	4.30	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		295	136	975	4207	786	282	146	46%	3.3	18.7%	6.7%	12.0%	3.5%	4.29	4.28	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		60	28	200	863	161	58	30	46%	3.3	18.7%	6.7%	12.0%	3.5%	4.29	4.28	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nabil Crismatt (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.04	13.4%	5.7%	3.6%	—	5.43	12.2%	5.9%	295	+0.39	—	—	—
Roberto Hernandez R 2015 · 4.38 FIP	34	SP-	4.38	11.8%	6.7%	2.6%	.287	4.38	13.8%	6.8%	86	+0.00	4.38	171	73
Doug Fister R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	31	SP-	4.22	14.0%	4.7%	3.1%	.302	4.33	16.2%	8.3%	352	+0.11	3.63	455	70
Phil Hughes R 2017 · 5.04 FIP	31	SP-	5.04	15.6%	4.5%	4.9%	.328	5.95	21.1%	15.2%	33	+0.91	4.62	301	69
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	68
Yohan Pino R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	31	SP-	4.13	17.8%	5.8%	3.3%	.312	5.33	15.2%	11.6%	35	+1.20	4.13	133	67
Josh Lindblom R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	30	SW	3.91	18.7%	5.5%	3.1%	.333	3.50	27.2%	18.8%	45	-0.41	3.50	348	66
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	65
Francisco Cordova R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	31	SW	5.51	6.4%	4.6%	4.3%	.261	4.59	7.1%	-0.6%	83	-0.92	4.59	115	65
Jerome Williams R 2015 · 4.72 FIP	33	SP-	4.72	13.4%	5.6%	3.7%	.326	5.81	11.7%	5.6%	74	+1.09	4.72	195	65
Steve Johnson R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	29	SW	4.53	20.3%	8.9%	3.7%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	152	64
Mike Bolsinger R 2017 · 4.26 FIP	29	SW	4.26	20.2%	9.4%	3.0%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	327	64
Casey Coleman R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	31	SP-	4.79	15.2%	7.9%	3.6%	.344	5.06	18.4%	9.4%	78	+0.27	2.95	306	64
A.J. Morris R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	16.9%	6.9%	3.7%	.345	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	123	63
Josh A. Smith R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	31	SW	4.65	20.8%	6.4%	4.5%	.341	3.67	17.4%	8.6%	59	-0.98	2.91	598	62
Matt Cain R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	31	SP-	4.95	18.1%	7.8%	4.4%	.313	4.82	13.2%	5.6%	124	-0.13	4.82	294	62
Jason Berken R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	31	SW	4.34	13.5%	6.6%	2.8%	.315	4.54	11.5%	3.2%	106	+0.20	4.34	219	61
Paolo Espino R 2018 · 4.51 FIP	31	SW	4.51	18.7%	9.6%	3.2%	.348	4.42	20.4%	14.7%	202	-0.09	3.42	933	61
Jake Buchanan R 2021 · 5.19 FIP	31	SW	5.19	16.7%	7.2%	4.7%	.375	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	646	61
Paul Clemens R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SW	4.72	14.9%	11.0%	2.7%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	247	61
Tyler Cloyd R 2018 · 4.84 FIP	31	SP-	4.84	16.1%	6.0%	4.3%	.317	5.21	18.9%	9.4%	67	+0.37	3.89	250	61

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	154	12.6%	6.1%	1.48	5.05
Cole Irvin ('24)	2.9	118	17.1%	5.6%	1.28	4.46
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Zach Plesac ('23)	2.3	93	18.4%	6.3%	1.39	4.20
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Yonny Chirinos ('24)	1.7	84	18.9%	6.6%	1.38	4.37