Nabil Crismatt
P
Reno Aces
+0.2
WAR
Age 31
RHP
6'1" / 220 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.97
FIP4.90
xFIP4.32
SIERA4.46
K%17.3%
BB%7.2%
K-BB%10.1%
IP105
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL6060
CMD4040
K†3030
FB Velo
p1089.1
Whiff%
p4023.8%
K%
p1016.3%
xwOBA vs
p340.331
FB+1.4 (40%)
SI (24%)
CU (16%)
CT (7%)
CH-3.4 (38%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | 12 | 8 | 62 | 254 | 63 | 12 | 6 | 16.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.90 | 4.24 | +0.5 |
| 2016 | 21 | AA | Binghamton Mets | 5 | 4 | 35 | 132 | 39 | 3 | 2 | 21.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.82 | 2.15 | +1.1 |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | 26 | 25 | 146 | 640 | 142 | 33 | 17 | 17.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.95 | 4.43 | +1.4 |
| 2018 | 23 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | 27 | 27 | 144 | 640 | 140 | 56 | 16 | 18.1% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 5.00 | 4.34 | +1.6 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 27 | 21 | 130 | 550 | 157 | 32 | 21 | 24.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.49 | 4.35 | +1.4 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 6 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 2 | — | — | — | 3.24 | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 48 | 0 | 85 | 366 | 77 | 23 | 10 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 3.60 | 3.74 | +1.4 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 53 | 1 | 71 | 293 | 70 | 21 | 6 | 23.2% | 7.5% | 1.5% | 2.92 | 2.94 | +1.7 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 31 | 9 | 72 | 334 | 67 | 30 | 17 | 18.1% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 7.12 | 5.74 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 32 | 16 | 86 | 388 | 81 | 28 | 10 | 18.2% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 5.55 | 3.98 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 28 | 25 | 136 | 579 | 95 | 34 | 21 | 15.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.89 | 4.89 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | ARI | 19 | 19 | 105 | 442 | 63 | 32 | 15 | 14.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 5.02 | 5.10 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 18 | 18 | 101 | 425 | 58 | 32 | 15 | 13.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 5.14 | 5.21 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 17 | 17 | 96 | 406 | 53 | 31 | 15 | 13.1% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 5.26 | 5.34 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | ARI | 17 | 17 | 91 | 385 | 48 | 30 | 14 | 12.3% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 5.39 | 5.48 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 35 | MLB | ARI | 16 | 16 | 86 | 364 | 42 | 29 | 14 | 11.6% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 5.53 | 5.63 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 36 | MLB | ARI | 15 | 15 | 80 | 340 | 37 | 28 | 13 | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 5.69 | 5.79 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 295 | 136 | 975 | 4207 | 796 | 293 | 146 | 18.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 4.29 | 4.28 | +11.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 60 | 28 | 200 | 863 | 163 | 60 | 30 | 18.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 4.29 | 4.28 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nabil Crismatt (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.10 | 14.3% | 7.3% | 3.5% | — | 5.34 | 13.1% | 5.4% | 288 | +0.24 | — | — | — |
| Sam LeCure R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.41 | 15.6% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .283 | 4.16 | 16.6% | 10.1% | 91 | -0.25 | 4.16 | 171 | 77 |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2029 · 4.25 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.25 | 11.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% | .287 | 4.35 | 13.8% | 6.8% | 86 | +0.10 | 4.25 | 171 | 76 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.00 | 18.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | .313 | 5.07 | 13.2% | 5.6% | 124 | +0.07 | 4.87 | 294 | 73 |
| Yohan Pino R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.10 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | .312 | 5.35 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.25 | 4.10 | 133 | 71 |
| Scott Feldman R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.16 | 13.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% | .291 | 4.32 | 18.4% | 12.4% | 188 | +0.16 | 3.98 | 297 | 71 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.95 | 14.9% | 7.2% | 4.0% | .277 | 5.19 | 16.3% | 8.8% | 259 | +0.24 | 3.94 | 567 | 70 |
| Doug Fister R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.05 | 14.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | .302 | 4.32 | 16.2% | 8.3% | 352 | +0.27 | 3.76 | 455 | 70 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2024 · 4.28 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.28 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 327 | 68 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .316 | 4.46 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.10 | 4.46 | 143 | 68 |
| Scott Carroll R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.96 | 10.5% | 8.6% | 3.0% | .289 | 5.63 | 14.4% | 5.8% | 22 | +0.67 | 3.96 | 248 | 67 |
| Jerome Williams R 2028 · 4.66 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.66 | 13.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | .326 | 5.79 | 11.7% | 5.6% | 74 | +1.13 | 4.66 | 195 | 66 |
| Kyle Kendrick R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.42 | 15.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | .299 | 5.55 | 13.8% | 9.9% | 102 | +1.13 | 4.42 | 337 | 66 |
| Jason Berken R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.51 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | +0.15 | 4.36 | 219 | 65 |
| Andres Ivan Meza R 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.14 | 12.5% | 8.5% | 1.9% | .351 | 4.35 | 11.7% | 4.0% | 89 | +0.21 | 4.14 | 275 | 65 |
| Scott McGregor R 2023 · 4.41 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.41 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.4% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 107 | 64 |
| Daniel Guerrero R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.86 | 12.4% | 11.6% | 2.4% | .328 | 4.86 | 11.7% | 2.0% | 175 | +0.00 | 4.54 | 269 | 64 |
| Kohei Arihara R 2024 · 4.66 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.66 | 16.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.66 | 135 | 64 |
| Ervin Santana R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.00 | 17.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .273 | 4.12 | 19.2% | 12.4% | 417 | +0.12 | 3.75 | 720 | 64 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.85 | 16.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | .317 | 5.21 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 67 | +0.36 | 3.89 | 250 | 64 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.73 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.73 | 17.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | .277 | 4.50 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 81 | -1.23 | 3.40 | 556 | 63 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.