Edwuin Bencomo prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Edwuin Bencomo P Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.57

FIP4.57

K%18.8%

BB%7.3%

K-BB%11.5%

ROS IP50

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	19	0	22	109	26	10	1	0%	1.2	16.2%	11.5%	4.8%	1.3%	5.24	3.89	—
2016	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	19	0	22	109	26	10	1	0%	1.2	23.9%	9.2%	14.7%	0.9%	5.24	2.70	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 2	24	0	26	118	30	10	1	0%	1.1	17.3%	10.6%	6.7%	1.2%	3.81	3.63	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	AZL Padres 2	24	0	26	118	30	10	1	0%	1.1	25.4%	8.5%	16.9%	0.8%	3.81	2.45	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 1	13	3	42	183	33	8	0	23%	3.3	12.3%	5.5%	6.8%	0.0%	4.04	2.76	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	AZL Padres 1	13	3	42	183	33	8	0	23%	3.3	18.0%	4.4%	13.7%	0.0%	4.04	2.11	—
2019	20	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	4	45	206	48	15	4	24%	2.6	15.1%	9.6%	5.5%	2.3%	4.23	4.31	—
2019	20	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	4	45	206	48	15	4	24%	2.6	23.3%	7.3%	16.0%	1.9%	4.23	3.12	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	31	2	66	270	78	17	5	6%	2.1	22.2%	7.2%	15.0%	2.2%	3.97	3.34	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	31	2	66	270	78	17	5	6%	2.1	28.9%	6.3%	22.6%	1.9%	3.97	2.49	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	76	308	67	22	6	0%	2.1	17.0%	8.1%	8.9%	2.7%	2.96	4.16	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	76	308	67	22	6	0%	2.1	21.8%	7.1%	14.6%	1.9%	2.96	3.23	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	7	71	308	48	15	13	24%	2.4	12.2%	5.5%	6.7%	6.2%	6.24	6.17	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	7	71	308	48	15	13	24%	2.4	12.2%	5.5%	6.7%	6.2%	6.24	6.17	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	7	71	308	48	15	13	24%	2.4	15.6%	4.9%	10.7%	4.2%	6.24	4.77	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	SD	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.8%	7.3%	11.5%	3.2%	4.57	4.57	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SD	46	0	48	203	39	15	7	0%	1.0	19.1%	7.6%	11.5%	3.3%	4.59	4.63	-0.0
2028	29	MLB MLE	SD	44	0	46	193	37	15	7	0%	1.0	19.2%	8.0%	11.2%	3.4%	4.67	4.73	-0.1
2029	30	MLB MLE	SD	41	0	43	182	35	15	7	0%	1.1	19.1%	8.3%	10.7%	3.6%	4.80	4.89	-0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	SD	17	0	18	76	15	6	2	0%	1.1	19.1%	7.6%	11.5%	3.3%	4.59	4.63	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	SD	24	0	25	106	20	8	4	0%	1.0	19.2%	8.0%	11.2%	3.4%	4.67	4.73	-0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	SD	28	0	29	122	23	10	4	0%	1.0	19.1%	8.3%	10.7%	3.6%	4.80	4.89	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		69	0	72	304	58	24	10	0%	1.0	19.1%	8.0%	11.1%	3.4%	4.70	4.39	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	161	67	28	0%	1.1	19.1%	8.0%	11.1%	3.4%	4.70	4.39	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		169	16	348	1502	242	116	41	9%	2.1	16.1%	7.7%	8.3%	2.7%	4.32	4.21	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	9	200	864	139	67	23	9%	2.1	16.1%	7.7%	8.3%	2.7%	4.32	4.21	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Edwuin Bencomo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.57	18.8%	7.3%	3.2%	—	4.75	19.1%	11.1%	137	+0.18	—	—	—
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	86
Shawn Camp R 2004 · 4.18 FIP	28	SU	4.18	17.8%	5.2%	3.5%	.305	3.88	15.5%	10.5%	164	-0.30	2.79	589	85
J.J. Putz R 2004 · 4.57 FIP	27	SU	4.57	17.1%	7.3%	3.6%	.283	2.58	28.5%	23.0%	210	-1.99	1.43	563	84
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	84
Cristhian Martinez R 2009 · 3.51 FIP	27	SU	3.51	16.1%	6.2%	1.8%	.294	3.46	19.8%	14.7%	177	-0.05	3.09	204	84
Tyler Walker R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	28	SU	4.28	17.5%	8.4%	2.9%	.311	3.77	18.5%	10.4%	101	-0.51	2.38	289	83
Geoff Geary R 2004 · 4.85 FIP	27	SU	4.85	15.0%	6.5%	4.0%	.295	3.65	15.0%	9.5%	217	-1.20	3.16	345	83
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	83
Gus Schlosser R 2016 · 3.92 FIP	27	SU	3.92	18.7%	5.6%	3.1%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	107	83
Andrew Robinson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	17.6%	6.3%	2.5%	.246	3.64	22.7%	14.4%	97	-0.13	3.19	160	83
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	83
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	82
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	82
Hector Ambriz R 2010 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	16.5%	7.1%	4.5%	.360	4.28	19.5%	10.8%	56	-0.79	2.24	259	81
Nick Merkel R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	25	SU	3.99	22.8%	7.1%	3.5%	.284	3.44	20.7%	10.3%	129	-0.55	3.15	205	81
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	81
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	81
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	81
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	81
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	47	19.0%	7.8%	1.30	4.65
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Juan Carlos Oviedo ('14)	1.9	56	18.9%	8.0%	1.16	4.28
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Juan Gutierrez ('14)	1.4	57	19.4%	8.4%	1.04	4.49