Jose Chacin — OGILVIE

Jose Chacin P Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 192 lbs AA peak 0.6 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.72

FIP4.72

K%18.9%

BB%7.8%

K-BB%11.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	19	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers 1	12	12	63	251	51	10	1	100%	5.3	13.8%	5.0%	8.8%	0.6%	1.71	2.87	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers 1	12	12	63	251	51	10	1	100%	5.3	20.3%	4.0%	16.3%	0.4%	1.71	2.17	—
2017	20	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	15	4	42	170	41	6	5	27%	2.8	16.4%	4.4%	12.0%	4.1%	4.04	4.53	—
2017	20	ROK RAW	AZL Dodgers	15	4	42	170	41	6	5	27%	2.8	24.1%	3.5%	20.6%	2.9%	4.04	3.12	—
2018	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	18	99	430	79	24	5	95%	5.2	12.9%	6.8%	6.1%	1.5%	3.35	3.68	—
2018	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	18	99	430	79	24	5	95%	5.2	18.4%	5.6%	12.8%	1.2%	3.35	2.89	—
2019	22	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	26	12	127	550	95	25	9	46%	4.9	12.8%	5.4%	7.4%	2.1%	4.68	3.85	—
2019	22	A RAW	Great Lakes Loons	26	12	127	550	95	25	9	46%	4.9	17.3%	4.5%	12.7%	1.6%	4.68	3.12	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	11	61	241	58	17	7	79%	4.3	18.0%	8.5%	9.5%	3.9%	3.26	4.78	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	14	11	61	241	58	17	7	79%	4.3	24.1%	7.1%	17.0%	2.9%	3.26	3.53	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	24	119	521	116	36	16	89%	4.4	17.9%	7.6%	10.2%	4.1%	5.05	4.82	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	24	119	521	116	36	16	89%	4.4	22.3%	6.9%	15.4%	3.1%	5.05	3.80	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	21	106	453	91	31	25	75%	3.8	16.4%	7.0%	9.4%	6.8%	5.25	6.36	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	21	106	453	91	31	25	75%	3.8	16.4%	7.0%	9.4%	6.8%	5.25	6.36	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	21	106	453	91	31	25	75%	3.8	20.1%	6.8%	13.2%	5.5%	5.25	5.32	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	NYM	1	1	6	25	5	2	1	100%	6.0	18.9%	7.8%	11.1%	3.4%	4.72	4.72	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	NYM	11	11	68	289	55	24	10	100%	6.2	19.0%	8.3%	10.8%	3.5%	4.79	4.86	+0.0
2028	31	MLB MLE	NYM	11	11	64	270	51	23	10	100%	5.8	19.0%	8.7%	10.3%	3.7%	4.91	5.02	-0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	NYM	3	3	21	89	17	7	3	100%	7.0	19.0%	8.3%	10.8%	3.5%	4.79	4.86	+0.0
2028	31	MLB CTX	NYM	5	5	33	139	26	12	5	100%	6.6	19.0%	8.7%	10.3%	3.7%	4.91	5.02	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	9	54	229	43	20	8	100%	6.0	19.0%	8.5%	10.5%	3.6%	4.86	4.57	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	159	74	29	100%	6.1	19.0%	8.5%	10.5%	3.6%	4.86	4.57	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		141	102	618	2616	399	171	88	72%	4.4	15.2%	6.5%	8.7%	3.4%	4.15	4.49	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	33	200	846	129	55	28	72%	4.4	15.2%	6.5%	8.7%	3.4%	4.15	4.49	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Chacin (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	18.9%	7.8%	3.4%	—	4.94	19.0%	10.5%	132	+0.22	—	—	—
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	88
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	83
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	83
Matt Cain R 2015 · 4.88 FIP	30	SP-	4.88	17.1%	6.8%	4.3%	.296	4.87	15.2%	7.6%	214	-0.01	4.82	294	81
Shawn Haviland R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	29	SP-	3.95	14.6%	6.0%	2.4%	.303	4.67	16.1%	8.8%	169	+0.72	3.69	283	80
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	79
Mitch Atkins R 2016 · 3.65 FIP	30	SP-	3.65	21.4%	8.2%	2.4%	.341	4.77	14.3%	6.2%	78	+1.12	3.65	205	78
Yohan Pino R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	31	SP-	4.13	17.8%	5.8%	3.3%	.312	5.33	15.2%	11.6%	35	+1.20	4.13	133	77
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2015 · 3.97 FIP	30	SP	3.97	17.4%	7.1%	2.6%	.315	4.94	15.9%	8.7%	305	+0.97	3.97	567	76
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	73
Jacob Turner R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	27	SP-	4.48	14.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	340	73
Aaron Brooks R 2019 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.0%	7.1%	3.9%	.281	4.38	15.8%	8.8%	70	-0.34	3.71	879	72
Daniel McCutchen R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	32	SP-	4.30	13.9%	4.4%	3.3%	.268	4.74	10.8%	4.9%	155	+0.44	4.30	287	72
Trevor Cahill R 2017 · 5.13 FIP	29	SP-	5.13	22.8%	11.5%	4.5%	.321	4.36	21.3%	11.7%	251	-0.77	3.37	556	72
Kyle Friedrichs R 2021 · 4.73 FIP	29	SP-	4.73	13.9%	6.2%	3.7%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	603	72
Kohei Arihara R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	29	SP-	4.58	16.4%	7.2%	3.5%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	135	72
Jason Berken R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	31	SW	4.34	13.5%	6.6%	2.8%	.315	4.54	11.5%	3.2%	106	+0.20	4.34	219	72
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	71
Juan Delgadillo R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	32	SP	4.54	15.5%	7.2%	3.3%	.316	4.47	10.9%	4.7%	39	-0.07	4.47	143	71
Jorge Martinez R 2016 · 3.53 FIP	31	SP-	3.53	12.9%	5.3%	1.6%	.266	3.71	16.5%	11.5%	154	+0.18	3.53	214	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	19.0%	8.2%	1.37	4.80
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78