Marcelo Martinez prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Marcelo Martinez P Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 29 LHP 6'2" / 190 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 120

ERA4.55

FIP4.55

K%19.9%

BB%8.1%

K-BB%11.8%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	20	AAA MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	4	0	3	16	3	2	0	0%	0.8	18.8%	12.5%	6.2%	0.0%	3.00	3.10	—
2017	20	AAA RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	4	0	3	16	3	2	0	0%	0.8	18.8%	12.5%	6.2%	0.0%	3.00	3.10	—
2018	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	11	69	273	90	14	5	85%	5.3	22.0%	6.5%	15.5%	2.2%	2.74	3.29	—
2018	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	11	69	273	90	14	5	85%	5.3	33.0%	5.1%	27.8%	1.8%	2.74	2.04	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	21	130	540	118	37	17	78%	4.8	16.5%	8.4%	8.1%	4.5%	4.07	5.24	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	21	130	540	118	37	17	78%	4.8	21.9%	6.9%	15.0%	3.1%	4.07	3.84	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	113	483	117	38	26	96%	4.5	20.8%	8.4%	12.5%	6.0%	5.11	5.71	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	113	483	117	38	26	96%	4.5	24.2%	7.9%	16.4%	5.4%	5.11	5.03	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	18	109	494	115	53	23	60%	3.6	20.2%	11.3%	8.9%	5.3%	6.17	5.73	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	18	109	494	115	53	23	60%	3.6	23.3%	10.7%	12.6%	4.7%	6.17	5.19	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	9	1	21	94	13	5	6	11%	2.3	11.9%	4.8%	7.1%	7.5%	4.29	6.79	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	9	1	21	94	13	5	6	11%	2.3	11.9%	4.8%	7.1%	7.5%	4.29	6.79	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	9	1	21	94	13	5	6	11%	2.3	13.8%	5.3%	8.5%	6.4%	4.29	6.29	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	KC	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.9%	8.1%	11.8%	3.1%	4.55	4.55	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	KC	3	3	20	84	17	7	3	100%	6.7	19.9%	8.5%	11.4%	3.3%	4.63	4.70	+0.0
2027	30	MLB CTX	KC	1	1	7	30	6	3	1	100%	7.0	19.9%	8.5%	11.4%	3.3%	4.63	4.70	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	7	31	6	3	1	100%	7.4	19.9%	8.5%	11.4%	3.3%	4.63	4.32	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	163	82	27	100%	6.0	19.9%	8.5%	11.4%	3.3%	4.63	4.32	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		108	75	445	1900	364	166	93	69%	4.1	19.2%	8.8%	10.4%	4.9%	4.65	5.27	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	34	200	853	164	75	42	69%	4.1	19.2%	8.8%	10.4%	4.9%	4.65	5.27	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Marcelo Martinez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.55	19.9%	8.1%	3.1%	—	4.70	19.9%	11.4%	20	+0.15	—	—	—
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	79
Brad Mills L 2014 · 5.61 FIP	29	SP-	5.61	18.8%	10.9%	5.0%	.364	5.00	14.5%	4.0%	182	-0.61	4.22	243	72
John Bale L 2003 · 4.12 FIP	29	SP	4.12	19.0%	5.1%	3.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	168	71
Jack Snodgrass L 2016 · 5.01 FIP	28	SP-	5.01	15.7%	10.1%	3.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.66	118	69
Marco Tovar L 2017 · 5.04 FIP	28	SP-	5.04	16.1%	11.3%	3.4%	.317	4.78	12.6%	7.0%	82	-0.26	3.78	327	67
Kwang Hyun Kim L 2020 · 3.76 FIP	32	SP	3.76	15.6%	6.5%	2.1%	.214	4.21	17.7%	9.5%	107	+0.45	3.76	146	67
Matt Lujan L 2017 · 4.69 FIP	28	SP-	4.69	14.3%	6.4%	3.6%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.06	227	66
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.34	16.7%	9.5%	356	-0.53	3.68	579	66
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.54	14.3%	5.8%	242	-0.58	2.95	313	64
Brandon Mann L 2016 · 4.72 FIP	32	SP	4.72	19.4%	7.9%	4.1%	.320	3.97	19.0%	7.6%	128	-0.75	3.59	190	63
Marlon Arias L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	30	SP	4.32	16.8%	12.2%	2.0%	.330	3.73	17.2%	9.5%	22	-0.59	3.73	154	63
Darin Gorski L 2016 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP	4.50	15.0%	9.8%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	206	62
Duane Below L 2015 · 3.63 FIP	29	SW	3.63	12.5%	3.7%	2.0%	.266	4.57	14.7%	9.6%	140	+0.94	3.63	265	62
Tyler Alexander L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	29	SW	5.27	15.7%	10.7%	3.9%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	5.27	128	61
Onelki Garcia L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	27	SP-	4.02	16.5%	9.3%	2.1%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	164	60
John Lamb L 2018 · 4.64 FIP	28	SP	4.64	22.5%	7.2%	4.6%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.38	390	59
Carlos Teller L 2016 · 4.86 FIP	29	SP-	4.86	14.3%	10.7%	2.9%	.297	4.74	12.6%	1.1%	148	-0.12	3.75	333	59
Misael Siverio L 2017 · 4.32 FIP	28	SP	4.32	17.3%	9.1%	2.8%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	185	58
Edgar Osuna L 2017 · 5.05 FIP	29	SP	5.05	10.6%	8.2%	3.3%	.345	5.09	10.0%	2.8%	83	+0.04	5.05	175	57
Andy Otero L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	29	SP-	3.89	24.7%	6.2%	3.8%	.298	4.36	14.5%	5.6%	68	+0.47	2.86	200	57