Jordan Balazovic

P Toledo Mud Hens

Age 28 RHP 6'5" / 215 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	24	MIX2 levels	40	3	70	5.01	4.81	22.3%	13.8%	-0.2	K 19.9% · BB 12.8% · FIP 4.84
2024	25	AAAMIN	24	1	35	5.60	2.70	30.1%	9.2%	—	K 25.9% · BB 8.3% · FIP 3.04
2025	26	MIX2 levels	37	8	58	3.75	4.26	21.2%	9.2%	—	K 17.6% · BB 8.8% · FIP 4.80
2027PROJ	28	MLBDET	66	0	69	4.85	4.78	19.0%	9.3%	-0.2
2028PROJ37% MLB	29	MLBDET	23	0	24	4.85	4.89	18.8%	9.5%	-0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	30	MLBDET	32	0	34	4.96	5.05	18.5%	9.8%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2023

FB Velo58

xwOBA vs15

Whiff%10

K%10

CompsJosh Roeder (age 26) · Ramon Delgado (age 29) · Jose Pina (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.85

FIP4.78

K%19.0%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%9.7%

Proj IP69

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5895.1

Whiff%

p1018.1%

p1015.7%

xwOBA vs

p150.353

SL+1.5

FB-1.3

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	17	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	8	6	32	133	16	5	0	75%	4.0	8.2%	4.7%	3.5%	0.0%	1.97	3.00	—
2016	17	ROK RAW	GCL Twins	8	6	32	133	16	5	0	75%	4.0	12.0%	3.8%	8.3%	0.0%	1.97	2.57	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	10	3	40	183	29	18	5	30%	4.0	10.8%	12.3%	-1.5%	3.8%	4.91	5.85	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	GCL Twins	10	3	40	183	29	18	5	30%	4.0	15.8%	9.8%	6.0%	2.7%	4.91	4.61	—
2018	19	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	12	11	62	254	78	18	5	92%	5.1	22.7%	8.4%	14.4%	2.2%	3.94	3.45	—
2018	19	A RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	12	11	62	254	78	18	5	92%	5.1	30.7%	7.1%	23.6%	2.0%	3.94	2.50	—
2019	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	18	94	381	129	25	4	95%	4.9	25.8%	7.6%	18.2%	1.1%	2.69	2.46	—
2019	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	18	94	381	129	25	4	95%	4.9	33.9%	6.6%	27.3%	1.0%	2.69	1.70	—
2021	22	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	20	20	97	429	102	38	9	100%	4.8	19.3%	9.7%	9.5%	2.3%	3.62	3.96	—
2021	22	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	20	20	97	429	102	38	9	100%	4.8	23.8%	8.9%	14.9%	2.1%	3.62	3.38	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	21	73	356	77	37	21	91%	3.2	19.5%	10.7%	8.8%	7.3%	7.68	6.80	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	21	73	356	77	37	21	91%	3.2	21.6%	10.4%	11.2%	5.9%	7.68	6.27	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	3	70	318	71	44	10	8%	1.8	19.9%	12.8%	7.1%	3.3%	5.01	4.84	-0.2
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	3	70	318	71	44	10	8%	1.8	22.3%	13.8%	8.5%	3.1%	5.01	4.81	-0.2
2024	25	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	24	1	35	163	49	15	3	4%	1.5	25.9%	8.3%	17.6%	1.9%	5.60	3.04	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	24	1	35	163	49	15	3	4%	1.5	25.9%	8.3%	17.6%	1.9%	5.60	3.04	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	St. Paul Saints	24	1	35	163	49	15	3	4%	1.5	30.1%	9.2%	20.9%	1.8%	5.60	2.70	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	8	58	250	53	23	8	22%	1.6	17.6%	8.8%	8.8%	3.8%	3.75	4.80	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	8	58	250	53	23	8	22%	1.6	17.6%	8.8%	8.8%	3.8%	3.75	4.80	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	8	58	250	53	23	8	22%	1.6	21.2%	9.2%	12.0%	3.2%	3.75	4.26	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			18	0	24	108	17	12	5	0%	1.4	15.7%	11.1%	4.6%	4.6%	4.44	5.85	-0.4
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	DET	66	0	69	291	55	27	9	0%	1.0	19.0%	9.3%	9.7%	3.1%	4.85	4.78	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	DET	63	0	66	280	53	27	9	0%	1.1	18.8%	9.5%	9.3%	3.3%	4.85	4.89	-0.3
2029	30	MLB MLE	DET	59	0	62	263	48	26	9	0%	1.1	18.5%	9.8%	8.7%	3.5%	4.96	5.05	-0.4
2028	29	MLB CTX	DET	23	0	24	101	19	10	3	0%	1.0	18.8%	9.5%	9.3%	3.3%	4.85	4.89	-0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	DET	32	0	34	144	27	14	5	0%	1.1	18.5%	9.8%	8.7%	3.5%	4.96	5.05	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		74	0	83	356	63	36	13	0%	1.1	17.7%	10.1%	7.6%	3.8%	4.77	4.94	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		178	0	200	857	152	87	31	0%	1.1	17.7%	10.1%	7.6%	3.8%	4.77	4.94	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		193	91	560	2467	488	235	75	47%	2.9	19.8%	9.5%	10.3%	3.1%	4.34	4.31	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		69	32	200	881	174	84	27	47%	2.9	19.8%	9.5%	10.3%	3.1%	4.34	4.31	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jordan Balazovic (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.78	19.0%	9.3%	3.1%	—	4.97	18.6%	9.0%	128	+0.19	—	—	—
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	79
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	78
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	77
Casey Sadler R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	28	SW	3.95	16.0%	7.8%	2.2%	.298	3.35	23.2%	16.5%	145	-0.60	2.21	385	77
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	77
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	76
Dustin Nippert R 2009 · 4.09 FIP	28	SP-	4.09	18.0%	9.7%	2.3%	.271	4.49	17.9%	6.1%	57	+0.40	3.83	268	76
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	74
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	74
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	74
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2017 · 4.61 FIP	27	SW	4.61	18.2%	10.5%	3.1%	.304	4.70	15.8%	3.2%	11	+0.09	3.22	242	73
Todd Wellemeyer R 2007 · 4.74 FIP	28	SW	4.74	17.0%	10.8%	3.1%	.270	4.86	15.5%	6.4%	373	+0.12	3.35	615	73
Eddie Bonine R 2009 · 5.60 FIP	28	SW	5.60	13.1%	7.6%	4.8%	.306	4.54	8.6%	2.0%	68	-1.06	4.40	129	73
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	73
Cory Lidle R 2000 · 4.32 FIP	28	SW	4.32	14.6%	6.1%	3.1%	.313	4.06	14.2%	8.7%	573	-0.26	3.48	1,318	73
Noah Davis R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	27	SW	3.88	18.5%	8.4%	2.3%	.368	5.10	18.3%	7.9%	183	+1.22	3.76	596	73
Grant Judkins R 2024 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	16.8%	9.1%	4.2%	.264	5.80	14.9%	5.8%	124	+0.67	5.13	322	72
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	72
Mike Connolly R 2018 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	328	72
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	56	18.4%	9.7%	1.33	4.84
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*