Jake Polancic
P
Wisconsin Timber Rattlers
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 7 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123113vR 104
ERA4.57
FIP4.57
K%22.8%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%12.6%
ROS IP8
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 6 | 4 | 11 | 50 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 67% | 1.8 | 8.2% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.59 | 5.80 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 6 | 4 | 11 | 50 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 67% | 1.8 | 12.0% | 2.0% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 7.59 | 4.69 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 13 | 5 | 46 | 230 | 54 | 24 | 4 | 38% | 3.6 | 16.0% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 7.38 | 4.74 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 13 | 5 | 46 | 230 | 54 | 24 | 4 | 38% | 3.6 | 23.5% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 1.7% | 7.38 | 3.45 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | 18 | 0 | 21 | 95 | 23 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.5% | 19.7% | -3.3% | 1.5% | 5.23 | 5.02 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | Missoula Osprey | 18 | 0 | 21 | 95 | 23 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 15.8% | 8.4% | 1.1% | 5.23 | 3.68 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 14 | 0 | 13 | 65 | 12 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 14.2% | 24.8% | -10.6% | 8.0% | 9.24 | 9.44 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 14 | 0 | 13 | 65 | 12 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.5% | 21.5% | -3.1% | 6.2% | 9.24 | 8.63 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.29 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 99 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 51 | 9 | 90 | 440 | 66 | 66 | 15 | 18% | 1.8 | 14.9% | 15.0% | -0.1% | 3.4% | 7.17 | 5.62 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 113 | 20 | 200 | 974 | 145 | 146 | 33 | 18% | 1.8 | 14.9% | 15.0% | -0.1% | 3.4% | 7.17 | 5.62 | -0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Polancic (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 22.8% | 10.2% | 3.1% | — | 4.67 | 22.7% | 12.3% | 20 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 78 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 77 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 75 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 75 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 75 |
| Trevor May R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .291 | 3.46 | 31.9% | 23.6% | 150 | -0.37 | 3.04 | 432 | 75 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 75 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 472 | 74 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 74 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2024 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 74 |
| Nick Merkel R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.85 | 17.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 201 | 74 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 74 |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 74 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 74 |
| David Hernandez R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 74 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 74 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 74 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.60 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.6% | .310 | 3.16 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.44 | 2.16 | 186 | 74 |
| José Cisnero R 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 74 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 73 |