Cristhian Tortosa

P Altoona Curve

Age 28 LHP 6'4" / 170 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #793

ETA2029FG ETA2026MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	24	A+DET	30	1	31	5.58	3.98	21.5%	17.4%	—	K 16.5% · BB 20.1% · FIP 4.77
2025	26	MIX2 levels	29	0	37	4.14	2.86	35.6%	13.8%	—	K 27.8% · BB 16.4% · FIP 4.18
2026	27	MIX4 levels	36	1	50	5.26	3.76	32.3%	16.8%	—	K 25.1% · BB 18.2% · FIP 4.93
2027PROJ	28	MLBPIT	56	0	59	5.13	5.13	27.3%	18.4%	-0.4
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBPIT	17	0	18	5.13	5.18	26.7%	17.7%	-0.1
2029PROJ51% MLB	30	MLBPIT	26	0	27	5.21	5.30	26.1%	17.4%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff60Command30FB velo60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsAaron Brown (age 27) · James Reeves (age 28) · Armando Almanza (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 131

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%27.3%

BB%18.4%

K-BB%8.9%

Proj IP59

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CMD2030

K†6565

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	17	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers East	13	0	20	87	18	9	0	0%	1.5	14.1%	12.9%	1.1%	0.0%	4.12	3.55	—
2016	17	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers East	13	0	20	87	18	9	0	0%	1.5	20.7%	10.3%	10.3%	0.0%	4.12	2.64	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers East	11	1	29	124	29	17	0	9%	2.7	15.9%	17.1%	-1.2%	0.0%	3.68	3.93	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers East	11	1	29	124	29	17	0	9%	2.7	23.4%	13.7%	9.7%	0.0%	3.68	2.86	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers East	12	0	12	70	12	17	2	0%	1.0	11.7%	30.4%	-18.7%	4.0%	13.89	8.16	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers East	12	0	12	70	12	17	2	0%	1.0	17.1%	24.3%	-7.1%	2.9%	13.89	7.64	—
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers West	17	0	28	141	41	26	4	0%	1.7	19.8%	23.0%	-3.3%	4.4%	6.67	6.76	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers West	17	0	28	141	41	26	4	0%	1.7	29.1%	18.4%	10.6%	2.8%	6.67	4.79	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	37	171	61	25	5	0%	1.3	24.3%	17.7%	6.6%	2.9%	5.30	4.88	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	37	171	61	25	5	0%	1.3	35.7%	14.6%	21.1%	2.9%	5.30	3.58	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	30	1	31	149	32	26	1	3%	1.0	16.5%	20.1%	-3.5%	1.0%	5.58	4.77	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	30	1	31	149	32	26	1	3%	1.0	21.5%	17.4%	4.0%	0.7%	5.58	3.98	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	37	160	57	22	3	0%	1.3	27.8%	16.4%	11.3%	2.4%	4.14	4.18	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	37	160	57	22	3	0%	1.3	27.8%	16.4%	11.3%	2.4%	4.14	4.18	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	37	160	57	22	3	0%	1.3	35.6%	13.8%	21.9%	1.9%	4.14	2.86	—
2026	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	36	1	50	226	73	38	5	3%	1.4	25.1%	18.2%	7.0%	3.0%	5.26	4.93	—
2026	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	36	1	50	226	73	38	5	3%	1.4	25.1%	18.2%	7.0%	3.0%	5.26	4.93	—
2026	27	MIX RAW	4 levels	36	1	50	226	73	38	5	3%	1.4	32.3%	16.8%	15.5%	2.2%	5.26	3.76	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	PIT	56	0	59	249	68	46	7	0%	1.1	27.3%	18.4%	8.9%	3.0%	5.13	5.13	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	PIT	54	0	56	237	63	42	7	0%	1.0	26.7%	17.7%	9.0%	3.1%	5.13	5.18	-0.4
2029	30	MLB MLE	PIT	50	0	53	223	58	39	7	0%	1.1	26.1%	17.4%	8.7%	3.3%	5.21	5.30	-0.4
2028	29	MLB CTX	PIT	17	0	18	76	20	13	2	0%	1.1	26.7%	17.7%	9.0%	3.1%	5.13	5.18	-0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	PIT	26	0	27	114	30	20	4	0%	1.0	26.1%	17.4%	8.7%	3.3%	5.21	5.30	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		43	0	45	189	50	33	6	0%	1.0	26.3%	17.5%	8.8%	3.2%	5.18	4.87	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	224	148	27	0%	1.1	26.3%	17.5%	8.8%	3.2%	5.18	4.87	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		177	3	244	1128	235	214	26	2%	1.4	20.9%	18.9%	1.9%	2.3%	5.43	5.01	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	2	200	926	193	175	21	2%	1.4	20.9%	18.9%	1.9%	2.3%	5.43	5.01	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cristhian Tortosa (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	27.3%	18.4%	3.0%	—	5.24	26.4%	8.9%	109	+0.11	—	—	—
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	76
James Reeves L 2021 · 5.11 FIP	28	SU	5.11	27.0%	16.2%	4.1%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	2.02	280	76
Armando Almanza L 2001 · 5.21 FIP	28	SU	5.21	25.3%	14.0%	4.5%	.260	4.73	25.3%	14.7%	108	-0.48	2.90	211	75
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	74
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	72
Stephen Randolph L 2003 · 4.83 FIP	29	SU	4.83	18.5%	14.8%	2.6%	.247	5.69	15.8%	-3.0%	82	+0.86	4.83	155	72
Braulio Lara L 2017 · 5.80 FIP	28	SU	5.80	19.8%	17.8%	3.9%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	118	72
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	70
Matt Thornton L 2005 · 5.92 FIP	28	SU	5.92	21.8%	15.3%	5.0%	.270	2.98	24.4%	17.2%	178	-2.94	1.71	663	70
Josh Osich L 2017 · 5.00 FIP	28	SU	5.00	21.4%	12.9%	3.8%	.328	4.47	21.1%	14.1%	143	-0.53	3.41	315	69
Jack Leathersich L 2018 · 4.55 FIP	28	SU	4.55	21.7%	19.8%	1.4%	.224	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	101	68
Sam Freeman L 2015 · 4.21 FIP	28	SU	4.21	23.4%	14.6%	2.2%	.265	3.52	22.0%	10.3%	166	-0.69	3.02	369	68
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	68
Trevor Lane L 2022 · 4.05 FIP	28	SU	4.05	22.2%	12.7%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	246	67
Luke Westphal L 2016 · 4.69 FIP	27	SU	4.69	21.2%	19.7%	1.6%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	294	67
Damon Jones L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	25.5%	18.1%	1.8%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	3.71	269	66
Logan Salow L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	22.0%	18.4%	1.1%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.78	148	66
Will Lamb L 2017 · 5.78 FIP	26	SU	5.78	20.0%	14.0%	4.7%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	178	66
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	65
Daniel Zamora L 2021 · 5.17 FIP	28	SU	5.17	23.6%	12.5%	4.5%	.357	3.74	21.5%	9.9%	92	-1.43	2.15	310	65

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	56	26.7%	17.8%	1.21	5.16
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*