Reiver Sanmartin
P
Sacramento River Cats
Age 30
LHP
6'1" / 188 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION32 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.22
FIP4.52
xFIP4.39
SIERA3.94
K%17.8%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%9.9%
IP32
K†4040
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p1090.2
Whiff%
p4224.1%
K%
p2518.6%
xwOBA vs
p630.299
SL+0.5 (12%)
FB (40%)
SI (28%)
CH-0.7 (48%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rangers 1 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 52 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 9.2% | 21.6% | 0.0% | 5.23 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rangers 1 | 12 | 12 | 61 | 246 | 56 | 6 | 2 | 15.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 2.35 | 2.80 | +1.3 |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 7 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 14.4% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 2.62 | 2.99 | +0.6 |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Trenton Thunder | 11 | 10 | 60 | 245 | 45 | 4 | 2 | 12.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.15 | 3.61 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 25 | 25 | 122 | 531 | 114 | 31 | 11 | 16.9% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 4.05 | 3.81 | +2.3 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 27 | 19 | 112 | 456 | 123 | 30 | 6 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 1.4% | 3.13 | 2.77 | +3.4 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 52 | 6 | 75 | 337 | 73 | 31 | 10 | 20.7% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 6.57 | 3.99 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 14 | 0 | 14 | 70 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 18.6% | 14.3% | 2.7% | 7.07 | 4.83 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 21 | 2 | 21 | 100 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 17.6% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 6.33 | 3.75 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 47 | 2 | 69 | 289 | 57 | 18 | 5 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 2.61 | 3.84 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 11 | 1 | 12 | 49 | 12 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 6.17 | — | — |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | SF | 30 | — | 30 | 127 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 17.8% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 4.22 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 30 | MLB | SF | — | — | 42 | 176 | 35 | 12 | 6 | 19.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 4.77 | 3.26 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | SF | 30 | — | 30 | 126 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 17.6% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 233 | 83 | 592 | 2519 | 454 | 171 | 50 | 18.0% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 3.89 | 3.54 | +12.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 79 | 28 | 200 | 851 | 153 | 58 | 17 | 18.0% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 3.89 | 3.54 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Reiver Sanmartin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 17.8% | 8.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.73 | 17.6% | 9.2% | 30 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Roy Merritt L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 75 |
| Kwang Hyun Kim L 2028 · 3.68 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.68 | 15.6% | 6.5% | 2.0% | .214 | 4.11 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 107 | +0.43 | 3.68 | 146 | 74 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.02 | 16.3% | 10.2% | 1.8% | .303 | 3.36 | 29.2% | 20.0% | 43 | -0.66 | 3.36 | 113 | 73 |
| Brian Duensing L 2028 · 4.46 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.46 | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | .252 | 3.70 | 20.2% | 11.8% | 137 | -0.76 | 2.59 | 198 | 71 |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 69 |
| Jose Meraz L 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.71 | 3.59 | 110 | 69 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 69 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.37 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .245 | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.38 | 3.09 | 244 | 69 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 2.91 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.82 | 2.35 | 306 | 69 |
| T.J. McFarland L 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.94 | 14.0% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .335 | 4.30 | 15.4% | 9.5% | 141 | +0.36 | 2.99 | 602 | 68 |
| Jason Vargas L 2028 · 4.29 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.29 | 14.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% | .295 | 4.63 | 19.2% | 12.1% | 285 | +0.34 | 3.87 | 478 | 67 |
| Luis Avilán L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.52 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 3.6% | .304 | 5.19 | 22.2% | 12.2% | 26 | +0.67 | 2.68 | 256 | 66 |
| Brandon Mann L 2028 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 4.14 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.59 | 3.60 | 190 | 66 |
| Josh Outman L 2027 · 4.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.70 | 15.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | .323 | 5.71 | 12.8% | -1.0% | 86 | +1.01 | 4.70 | 106 | 66 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.69 | 20.7% | 8.1% | 4.2% | .315 | 4.13 | 20.6% | 15.0% | 125 | -0.56 | 4.07 | 424 | 65 |
| Marlon Arias L 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.14 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.89 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.25 | 3.89 | 154 | 65 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2024 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 65 |
| Jeff Locke L 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.18 | 17.1% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 328 | 65 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.85 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 155 | 64 |
| Brian Flynn L 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 277 | 64 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.