Reiver Sanmartin
P
Louisville Bats
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)
Age 30
LHP
6'1" / 188 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2027
ERA5.41
FIP4.30
xFIP4.39
SIERA3.94
K%19.6%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%11.7%
IP46
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
K†4040
FB Velo
p1090.2
Whiff%
p4224.1%
K%
p2518.6%
xwOBA vs
p630.299
SL+0.5 (12%)
FB (40%)
SI (28%)
CH-0.7 (48%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rangers 1 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 52 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 9.2% | 21.6% | 0.0% | 5.23 | 5.07 | -0.0 |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rangers 1 | 12 | 12 | 61 | 246 | 56 | 6 | 2 | 15.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 2.35 | 2.80 | +1.5 |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 7 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 14.4% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 2.62 | 3.00 | +0.8 |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Trenton Thunder | 11 | 10 | 60 | 245 | 45 | 4 | 2 | 12.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.15 | 3.27 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 25 | 25 | 122 | 531 | 114 | 31 | 11 | 16.9% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 4.05 | 3.84 | +2.0 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 27 | 19 | 112 | 456 | 123 | 30 | 6 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 3.13 | 2.83 | +3.1 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 52 | 6 | 75 | 337 | 73 | 31 | 10 | 20.7% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 6.57 | 4.10 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 14 | 0 | 14 | 70 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 18.6% | 14.3% | 2.5% | 7.07 | 4.71 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 21 | 2 | 21 | 100 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 17.6% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 6.33 | 3.84 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 47 | 2 | 69 | 289 | 57 | 18 | 5 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 2.61 | 3.69 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 14 | — | 14 | 58 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 17.8% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 5.37 | 4.48 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CIN | 44 | — | 44 | 187 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 4.88 | 4.57 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | CIN | 42 | — | 42 | 179 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 17.6% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.74 | 4.67 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 41 | — | 41 | 171 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 17.2% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.75 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 39 | — | 39 | 163 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 16.7% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 4.84 | 4.90 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 35 | MLB | CIN | 36 | — | 36 | 154 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 16.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 4.97 | 5.05 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 36 | MLB | CIN | 34 | — | 34 | 144 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 15.2% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 5.12 | 5.22 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 222 | 82 | 580 | 2470 | 442 | 169 | 48 | 17.9% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 3.85 | 3.51 | +11.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 77 | 28 | 200 | 852 | 152 | 58 | 17 | 17.9% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 3.85 | 3.51 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Reiver Sanmartin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.48 | 17.8% | 8.0% | 2.7% | — | 4.67 | 17.6% | 9.1% | 127 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Kwang Hyun Kim L 2028 · 3.69 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.69 | 15.6% | 6.5% | 2.0% | .214 | 4.23 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 107 | +0.54 | 3.69 | 146 | 77 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.08 | 16.3% | 10.2% | 1.9% | .303 | 3.62 | 29.2% | 20.0% | 43 | -0.46 | 3.62 | 113 | 77 |
| Roy Merritt L 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.92 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.2% | .293 | 3.92 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | +0.00 | 3.92 | 129 | 76 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 3.03 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.70 | 2.38 | 306 | 74 |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 3.85 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.85 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.1% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.81 | 3.04 | 101 | 73 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.66 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.2% | .342 | 2.89 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.77 | 2.89 | 101 | 72 |
| Jose Meraz L 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.51 | 3.70 | 110 | 72 |
| Brian Duensing L 2028 · 4.46 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.46 | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | .252 | 3.76 | 20.2% | 11.8% | 137 | -0.70 | 2.63 | 198 | 72 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.42 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 1.1% | .290 | 3.68 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.26 | 3.42 | 152 | 71 |
| Luis Avilán L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.40 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 3.4% | .304 | 5.45 | 22.2% | 12.2% | 26 | +1.05 | 2.65 | 256 | 71 |
| Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 8.1% | 4.1% | .315 | 4.24 | 20.6% | 15.0% | 125 | -0.37 | 4.10 | 424 | 70 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2025 · 3.42 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.42 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.24 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.18 | 3.24 | 163 | 69 |
| Jason Vargas L 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.25 | 14.8% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.61 | 19.2% | 12.1% | 285 | +0.36 | 4.04 | 478 | 69 |
| Tommy Layne L 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.64 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.6% | .284 | 3.27 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.37 | 1.32 | 182 | 69 |
| Lucas Luetge L 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.03 | 20.6% | 8.9% | 4.6% | .352 | 2.93 | 22.7% | 15.4% | 68 | -2.10 | 2.60 | 430 | 69 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.33 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.1% | .245 | 3.85 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.48 | 3.06 | 244 | 68 |
| Buddy Baumann L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 20.5% | 11.9% | 3.6% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 155 | 68 |
| Josh Outman L 2027 · 4.54 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.54 | 15.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | .323 | 5.68 | 12.8% | -1.0% | 86 | +1.14 | 4.54 | 106 | 68 |
| Jeff Locke L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.08 | 17.1% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 328 | 67 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 126 | 66 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.