Elvis Peguero
P
Charlotte Knights
Age 29
RHP
6'4" / 238 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123113vR 104
ERA4.40
FIP4.57
K%22.8%
BB%12.9%
K-BB%9.9%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SI (50%)
FB-1.4 (50%)
SL-1.6 (50%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | DSL Yankees 2 | 14 | 9 | 53 | 244 | 43 | 27 | 3 | 64% | 3.8 | 12.0% | 13.8% | -1.8% | 1.7% | 4.39 | 4.78 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | DSL Yankees 2 | 14 | 9 | 53 | 244 | 43 | 27 | 3 | 64% | 3.8 | 17.6% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 1.2% | 4.39 | 3.74 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | DSL Yankees | 10 | 6 | 37 | 167 | 21 | 15 | 1 | 60% | 3.7 | 8.6% | 11.2% | -2.7% | 0.8% | 6.87 | 4.26 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | DSL Yankees | 10 | 6 | 37 | 167 | 21 | 15 | 1 | 60% | 3.7 | 12.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 6.87 | 3.54 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 9 | 6 | 32 | 157 | 23 | 17 | 7 | 67% | 3.5 | 10.0% | 13.5% | -3.6% | 6.2% | 6.25 | 7.40 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 9 | 6 | 32 | 157 | 23 | 17 | 7 | 67% | 3.5 | 14.6% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.25 | 6.13 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 34 | 0 | 60 | 256 | 72 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 25.0% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 2.4% | 4.35 | 3.50 | +0.7 |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 34 | 0 | 60 | 256 | 72 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.8 | 28.1% | 8.6% | 19.5% | 2.0% | 4.35 | 2.88 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 62 | 259 | 62 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.6% | 7.2% | 14.4% | 2.5% | 3.94 | 3.55 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 62 | 259 | 62 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.9% | 6.9% | 17.0% | 2.3% | 3.94 | 3.23 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 63 | 0 | 69 | 283 | 64 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 1.7% | 3.28 | 3.45 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 63 | 0 | 69 | 283 | 64 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 1.8% | 3.28 | 3.36 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 57 | 253 | 51 | 27 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 1.8% | 3.49 | 3.70 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 57 | 253 | 51 | 27 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 1.6% | 3.49 | 3.65 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 1 | 37 | 172 | 34 | 24 | 6 | 3% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 15.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.66 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 1 | 37 | 172 | 34 | 24 | 6 | 3% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 14.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.66 | 5.34 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 67 | 0 | 70 | 297 | 68 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 4.40 | 4.57 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 62 | 37 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.63 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 59 | 0 | 62 | 261 | 56 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 4.86 | 5.01 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.63 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 31 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 4.86 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 191 | 1 | 200 | 866 | 174 | 96 | 20 | 1% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 4.40 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 191 | 1 | 200 | 866 | 174 | 96 | 20 | 1% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 4.40 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 276 | 22 | 405 | 1791 | 324 | 197 | 42 | 8% | 1.5 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 4.40 | 4.25 | +5.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 136 | 11 | 200 | 884 | 160 | 97 | 21 | 8% | 1.5 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 4.40 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Elvis Peguero (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 22.8% | 12.9% | 2.5% | — | 4.89 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 128 | +0.32 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 77 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 76 |
| Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 75 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 74 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 74 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2029 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 73 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 73 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 73 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.80 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .281 | 3.81 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 179 | +0.01 | 2.40 | 617 | 73 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 73 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 72 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.18 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.3% | .310 | 4.93 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 154 | +0.75 | 4.02 | 748 | 72 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 71 |
| Brandon Maurer R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 19.7% | 13.0% | 3.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 234 | 71 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.37 | 19.5% | 12.4% | 2.5% | .356 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 163 | 71 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 71 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.87 | 232 | 71 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 70 |
| Arquimedes Caminero R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.48 | 17.9% | 11.4% | 2.6% | .314 | 4.46 | 18.6% | 7.5% | 38 | -0.02 | 3.46 | 173 | 70 |
| Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 66 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.05 | 4.62 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |