Elvis Peguero — OGILVIE

Elvis Peguero P Charlotte Knights

+0.3 WAR

Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 238 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2026

ERA4.00

FIP4.54

xFIP5.49

SIERA5.06

K%21.1%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%10.0%

IP53

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2026

STUF5555

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†6060

FB Velo

p8296.8

Whiff%

p6527.7%

p4020.7%

xwOBA vs

p460.316

SI (50%)

FB-1.4 (50%)

SL-1.6 (50%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2016	19	ROK	DSL Yankees 2	14	9	53	244	43	27	3	12.0%	13.8%	1.7%	4.39	4.78	+0.1
2017	20	ROK	DSL Yankees	10	6	37	167	21	15	1	8.6%	11.2%	0.8%	6.87	4.26	+0.3
2018	21	ROK	GCL Yankees East	9	6	32	157	23	17	7	10.0%	13.5%	6.2%	6.25	7.40	-0.9
2021	24	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	34	0	60	256	72	22	5	25.0%	9.4%	2.6%	4.35	3.61	+0.9
2022	25	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	51	0	62	259	62	18	6	21.6%	7.2%	2.3%	3.94	3.43	+1.1
2023	26	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	63	0	69	283	64	27	5	21.4%	9.9%	1.5%	3.28	3.39	+1.3
2024	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	58	0	57	253	51	27	4	20.7%	10.6%	1.5%	3.49	3.53	+0.9
2025	28	MLB	Chicago White Sox	37	1	37	172	34	24	6	18.3%	15.1%	3.3%	4.66	5.26	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	CWS	53	—	53	223	54	27	6	24.1%	12.1%	2.6%	4.05	4.38	+0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	30	MLB	CWS	51	—	51	216	51	26	6	23.6%	12.2%	2.6%	4.31	4.48	+0.3
2028	31	MLB	CWS	49	—	49	209	48	26	6	23.0%	12.3%	2.7%	4.47	4.58	+0.2
2029	32	MLB	CWS	47	—	47	200	45	25	6	22.4%	12.5%	2.8%	4.61	4.70	+0.1
2030	33	MLB	CWS	45	—	45	191	42	24	5	21.7%	12.7%	2.9%	4.74	4.82	+0.1
2031	34	MLB	CWS	43	—	43	182	38	23	5	21.0%	12.8%	3.0%	4.87	4.96	-0.0
2032	35	MLB	CWS	40	—	40	171	35	22	5	20.3%	13.1%	3.1%	5.02	5.11	-0.1
2033	36	MLB	CWS	38	—	38	160	31	21	5	19.5%	13.3%	3.2%	5.17	5.28	-0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			276	22	405	1791	324	197	42	18.1%	11.0%	2.3%	4.40	4.25	+4.8
/ 200 IP	—			136	11	200	884	160	97	21	18.1%	11.0%	2.3%	4.40	4.25	+2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Elvis Peguero (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.38	24.1%	12.1%	2.6%	—	4.58	23.0%	10.7%	148	+0.20	—	—	—
Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.72 FIP	30	SW	3.72	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.88	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	75
Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.56 FIP	29	SW	3.56	21.4%	11.1%	1.6%	.330	3.23	21.3%	12.5%	114	-0.33	2.83	228	74
Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.03 FIP	29	SW	4.03	24.4%	10.9%	2.9%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.65	2.38	160	74
Carlos Fisher R 2029 · 3.45 FIP	32	SW	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.18	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.27	2.48	147	74
Luis García R 2026 · 3.77 FIP	29	SW	3.77	20.6%	10.9%	1.9%	.281	3.74	21.6%	12.6%	179	-0.03	2.26	602	73
Cody Hall R 2026 · 3.95 FIP	29	SU	3.95	26.8%	10.0%	3.4%	.299	3.92	25.9%	8.4%	19	-0.03	3.51	134	73
Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.30 FIP	30	SW	4.30	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.87	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.43	3.01	260	73
Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.38 FIP	28	SW	4.38	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.82	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.44	4.38	101	73
Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.83 FIP	30	SU	4.83	18.6%	12.2%	3.2%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.52	1.30	218	73
Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.73 FIP	31	SW	3.73	24.5%	8.2%	3.0%	.325	3.80	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.07	3.65	137	72
Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.30 FIP	27	SU	4.30	20.4%	12.1%	2.5%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	113	72
Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.12	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.63	2.31	187	72
Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.46 FIP	29	SW	4.46	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.47	22.5%	15.8%	120	-0.99	2.97	230	71
Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.57	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.10	2.59	137	71
Michael Dimock R 2025 · 3.39 FIP	28	SU	3.39	23.5%	10.7%	1.7%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	166	71
Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.25 FIP	29	SW	4.25	22.7%	13.7%	2.4%	.310	4.90	15.3%	5.5%	154	+0.65	3.99	748	71
Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.82 FIP	28	SW	4.82	20.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.275	6.70	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+1.88	3.88	180	71
Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 3.68 FIP	28	SW	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.07	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.61	2.31	403	71
Pedro Báez R 2026 · 4.23 FIP	29	SW	4.23	22.9%	9.6%	3.4%	.261	3.16	24.7%	16.1%	143	-1.07	2.29	332	70
Kevin Jepsen R 2028 · 3.46 FIP	31	SW	3.46	20.7%	9.1%	1.7%	.241	5.68	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.22	3.46	160	70

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.