Elvis Peguero — OGILVIE

Elvis Peguero P Charlotte Knights

Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 238 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.38

FIP4.53

K%22.5%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%10.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†5555

SI (50%)

FB-1.4 (50%)

SL-1.6 (50%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	19	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees 2	14	9	53	244	43	27	3	64%	3.8	12.0%	13.8%	-1.8%	1.7%	4.39	4.78	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees 2	14	9	53	244	43	27	3	64%	3.8	17.6%	11.1%	6.6%	1.2%	4.39	3.74	—
2017	20	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees	10	6	37	167	21	15	1	60%	3.7	8.6%	11.2%	-2.7%	0.8%	6.87	4.26	—
2017	20	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees	10	6	37	167	21	15	1	60%	3.7	12.6%	9.0%	3.6%	0.6%	6.87	3.54	—
2018	21	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees East	9	6	32	157	23	17	7	67%	3.5	10.0%	13.5%	-3.6%	6.2%	6.25	7.40	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees East	9	6	32	157	23	17	7	67%	3.5	14.6%	10.8%	3.8%	4.5%	6.25	6.13	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	34	0	60	256	72	22	5	0%	1.8	25.0%	9.4%	15.6%	2.6%	4.35	3.63	+0.7
2021	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	34	0	60	256	72	22	5	0%	1.8	28.1%	8.6%	19.5%	2.0%	4.35	2.88	+1.2
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	62	259	62	18	6	0%	1.2	21.6%	7.2%	14.4%	2.4%	3.94	3.49	+0.8
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	62	259	62	18	6	0%	1.2	23.9%	6.9%	17.0%	2.3%	3.94	3.23	+1.0
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	0	69	283	64	27	5	0%	1.1	21.4%	9.9%	11.5%	1.5%	3.28	3.38	+1.0
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	0	69	283	64	27	5	0%	1.1	21.4%	9.9%	11.5%	1.5%	3.28	3.38	+1.0
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	63	0	69	283	64	27	5	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.5%	13.1%	1.8%	3.28	3.36	+1.0
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	57	253	51	27	4	0%	1.0	20.7%	10.6%	10.1%	1.7%	3.49	3.61	+0.6
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	57	253	51	27	4	0%	1.0	20.7%	10.6%	10.1%	1.7%	3.49	3.61	+0.6
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	0	57	253	51	27	4	0%	1.0	20.2%	10.7%	9.5%	1.6%	3.49	3.65	+0.6
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	1	37	172	34	24	6	3%	1.0	17.3%	13.0%	4.3%	3.3%	4.66	5.11	-0.2
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	1	37	172	34	24	6	3%	1.0	17.3%	13.0%	4.3%	3.3%	4.66	5.11	-0.2
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	1	37	172	34	24	6	3%	1.0	19.8%	14.0%	5.8%	3.5%	4.66	5.34	-0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			135	1	142	620	121	63	13	1%	1.0	19.5%	10.2%	9.4%	2.1%	4.26	3.92	+1.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	CWS	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.5%	12.2%	10.3%	2.6%	4.38	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	CWS	63	0	66	280	61	35	8	0%	1.1	21.8%	12.5%	9.3%	2.8%	4.60	4.74	-0.1
2028	31	MLB MLE	CWS	59	0	62	261	55	33	8	0%	1.0	21.1%	12.8%	8.2%	3.0%	4.82	4.97	-0.3
2027	30	MLB CTX	CWS	23	0	24	101	22	13	3	0%	1.0	21.8%	12.5%	9.3%	2.8%	4.60	4.74	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	CWS	32	0	34	144	30	18	4	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.8%	8.2%	3.0%	4.82	4.97	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		191	1	200	866	174	94	20	1%	1.0	20.0%	10.9%	9.2%	2.3%	4.39	4.06	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		191	1	200	866	174	94	20	1%	1.0	20.0%	10.9%	9.2%	2.3%	4.39	4.06	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		276	22	405	1791	322	194	43	8%	1.5	18.0%	10.8%	7.2%	2.4%	4.40	4.26	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		136	11	200	884	159	96	21	8%	1.5	18.0%	10.8%	7.2%	2.4%	4.40	4.26	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Elvis Peguero (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	22.5%	12.2%	2.6%	—	4.85	21.5%	8.8%	128	+0.32	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	77
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	76
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	76
Luis García R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	20.6%	10.9%	1.8%	.281	3.74	21.6%	12.6%	179	-0.01	2.33	617	76
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	21.9%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.09	24.6%	16.4%	87	-0.42	2.32	186	75
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	74
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	74
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	74
Carlos Fisher R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.17	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.28	2.48	147	73
Jhan Mariñez R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	21.2%	7.9%	3.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	73
Al Alburquerque R 2015 · 3.54 FIP	29	SU	3.54	21.4%	11.1%	1.5%	.330	3.23	21.3%	12.5%	114	-0.31	2.84	228	73
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	73
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	73
Brandon Maurer R 2018 · 4.87 FIP	28	SU	4.87	19.7%	13.0%	3.2%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	234	73
Arquimedes Caminero R 2016 · 4.45 FIP	29	SU	4.45	17.9%	11.4%	2.6%	.314	4.62	18.6%	7.5%	38	+0.17	3.54	173	73
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	72
Michael Dimock R 2018 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	23.5%	10.7%	1.6%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	166	72
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	72
Pedro Báez R 2017 · 4.08 FIP	29	SU	4.08	22.9%	9.6%	3.1%	.261	3.18	24.7%	16.1%	143	-0.90	2.29	332	72
Cody Hall R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	29	SU	4.03	26.8%	10.0%	3.5%	.299	3.92	25.9%	8.4%	19	-0.11	3.51	134	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	21.8%	12.5%	1.07	4.59
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99