Durbin Feltman P Memphis Redbirds
Age 29 RHP 6'0" / 211 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION1 act + 22 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%23.2%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP
K: +0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: +0.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+0CONTACTSTAM: +0.9 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.11 (23 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201821MIX2 levels180198229500%1.121.8%8.7%13.1%0.0%2.332.36
201821MIX2 levels180198229500%1.135.4%6.1%29.3%0.0%2.330.88
201922AAPortland Sea Dogs43051223543180%1.219.6%15.3%4.3%4.7%5.265.99
201922AAPortland Sea Dogs43051223543180%1.224.2%13.9%10.3%3.6%5.264.83
202124MIX2 levels39052207621480%1.325.1%7.3%17.8%4.6%2.964.43
202124MIX2 levels39052207621480%1.330.0%6.8%23.2%3.9%2.963.53
202225AAAWorcester Red Sox400482225624120%1.222.2%11.4%10.8%6.8%7.636.38
202225AAAWorcester Red Sox400482225624120%1.225.2%10.8%14.4%5.4%7.635.50
202326MIX2 levels23040168441550%1.720.8%9.9%10.9%2.5%3.153.98
202326MIX2 levels23040168441550%1.726.2%8.9%17.3%3.0%3.153.65
▸ 2026 Season
202629AAAMemphis Redbirds10141010%1.09.00
ROS29MLBSTL210229221930%1.023.2%9.2%14.0%3.0%4.334.33+0.1
ROS29MLBSTL20282100%1.023.2%9.2%14.0%3.0%4.334.33+0.0
2026 TOT29MLBSTL2396229423.3%8.9%14.4%3.9%4.534.14+0.1
2026 FULL29MLBSTL2921023.2%9.2%14.0%3.0%4.333.95+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202730MLBSTL200208720830%1.022.9%9.6%13.3%3.2%4.434.51+0.0
202730MLBSTL808348310%1.022.9%9.6%13.3%3.2%4.434.51+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career9010419410%1.123.0%9.5%13.5%3.1%4.414.09+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084418582210%1.123.0%9.5%13.5%3.1%4.414.09+3.1
Career164021290619998400%1.321.9%10.8%11.1%4.5%4.595.07+0.8
/ 200 IP155020085618893380%1.321.9%10.8%11.1%4.5%4.595.07+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Durbin Feltman (OGILVIE) 4.33 23.2%9.2%3.0% 4.51 22.9%13.3%20 +0.18
David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP 30 SU 4.32 22.9%7.6%4.0%.287 3.20 24.9%18.4%192 -1.12 2.56 268 87
Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP 29 SU 4.07 21.3%8.5%3.1%.241 4.06 18.5%11.9%118 -0.01 3.28 149 87
Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP 28 SU 3.49 21.6%8.4%2.1%.355 3.55 20.5%15.1%56 +0.06 2.51 137 84
Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.57 FIP 31 SU 3.57 24.5%8.2%2.7%.325 3.78 21.7%13.5%76 +0.21 3.57 137 83
Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP 29 SU 3.76 21.0%8.2%2.5%.347 2.99 17.8%11.9%54 -0.77 2.22 187 83
Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 4.03 FIP 28 SU 4.03 25.0%7.7%3.8%.289 3.03 24.2%17.9%130 -1.00 2.27 426 82
Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.55 FIP 29 SU 3.55 22.1%7.5%2.5%.283 3.52 22.2%13.6%174 -0.03 3.15 272 82
Ross Ohlendorf R 2029 · 3.26 FIP 32 SU 3.26 23.7%7.2%2.3%.342 4.99 23.4%12.7%66 +1.73 3.26 122 82
Cody Hall R 2026 · 4.45 FIP 29 SU 4.45 26.8%10.0%4.3%.299 3.95 25.9%8.4%19 -0.50 3.53 134 82
Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP 29 SU 4.19 24.4%10.9%3.2%.311 2.38 20.9%12.6%25 -1.81 2.38 160 82
Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 29 SU 3.86 19.5%7.3%2.7%.289 4.49 19.4%8.4%10 +0.63 2.36 172 81
Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP 29 SU 4.16 21.2%7.9%3.4%.331 3.23 253 80
Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 29 SU 4.39 23.4%8.8%3.9%.245 2.96 160 80
Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.58 FIP 29 SU 3.58 21.4%11.1%1.6%.330 3.18 21.3%12.5%114 -0.40 2.76 228 80
Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.27 FIP 29 SU 3.27 24.6%6.4%2.6%.274 5.34 13.0%-0.4%31 +2.07 3.27 150 79
Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP 30 SU 4.87 18.6%12.2%3.3%.292 1.30 28.6%24.5%126 -3.57 1.30 218 79
Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 3.72 FIP 28 SU 3.72 19.6%7.3%2.5%.307 3.62 125 79
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP 30 SU 4.81 18.6%7.6%4.2%.373 3.58 18.5%9.3%93 -1.23 3.37 170 79
Carlos Fisher R 2029 · 3.44 FIP 32 SU 3.44 22.6%11.6%1.4%.236 3.25 22.5%11.1%91 -0.19 2.56 147 78
Chris Martin R 2026 · 3.28 FIP 29 SU 3.28 18.1%7.0%1.5%.319 3.06 20.9%19.2%42 -0.22 1.76 416 78