Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 19 | 82 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 0.0% | 2.33 | 2.36 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 19 | 82 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 35.4% | 6.1% | 29.3% | 0.0% | 2.33 | 0.88 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 43 | 0 | 51 | 223 | 54 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.6% | 15.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.26 | 5.99 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 43 | 0 | 51 | 223 | 54 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.2% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 5.26 | 4.83 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 52 | 207 | 62 | 14 | 8 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.1% | 7.3% | 17.8% | 4.6% | 2.96 | 4.43 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 52 | 207 | 62 | 14 | 8 | 0% | 1.3 | 30.0% | 6.8% | 23.2% | 3.9% | 2.96 | 3.53 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 40 | 0 | 48 | 222 | 56 | 24 | 12 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.2% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 7.63 | 6.38 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 40 | 0 | 48 | 222 | 56 | 24 | 12 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.2% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 5.4% | 7.63 | 5.50 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 40 | 168 | 44 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 20.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 3.15 | 3.98 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 40 | 168 | 44 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 26.2% | 8.9% | 17.3% | 3.0% | 3.15 | 3.65 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 9.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | STL | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | STL | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | STL | — | — | 23 | 96 | 22 | 9 | 4 | — | — | 23.3% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 3.9% | 4.53 | 4.14 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | STL | — | — | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.95 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | STL | 20 | 0 | 20 | 87 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.43 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | STL | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.43 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.41 | 4.09 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 185 | 82 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.41 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 164 | 0 | 212 | 906 | 199 | 98 | 40 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 4.59 | 5.07 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 155 | 0 | 200 | 856 | 188 | 93 | 38 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 4.59 | 5.07 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Durbin Feltman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.51 | 22.9% | 13.3% | 20 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 87 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 87 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 84 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 83 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 83 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 82 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 82 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2029 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 82 |
| Cody Hall R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.45 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 4.3% | .299 | 3.95 | 25.9% | 8.4% | 19 | -0.50 | 3.53 | 134 | 82 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 82 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 81 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 253 | 80 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 160 | 80 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 80 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.27 | 24.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .274 | 5.34 | 13.0% | -0.4% | 31 | +2.07 | 3.27 | 150 | 79 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 79 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 79 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.81 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .373 | 3.58 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.23 | 3.37 | 170 | 79 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2029 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 78 |
| Chris Martin R 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.28 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .319 | 3.06 | 20.9% | 19.2% | 42 | -0.22 | 1.76 | 416 | 78 |