José Urquidy — OGILVIE

José Urquidy P Charlotte Knights

Age 31 RHP 6'0" / 225 lbs AAA Svc 6.0 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 1.5 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION125 act + 15 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116107vR 99

ERA4.21

FIP4.34

K%17.5%

BB%7.3%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 139 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5050

CTRL6060

CMD6060

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1992.3

Whiff%

p2722.0%

p1016.0%

xwOBA vs

p770.286

SI (19%)

CU (16%)

CT (2%)

SL-0.6 (14%)

CH-1.4 (28%)

FB-3.0 (41%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 6.285 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.3M
Totals		$0.1M		$0.5M	+$0.3M

Options · projected decision
2027	CLUB OPT	$1.5M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2028	CLUB OPT	$4.0M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	20	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	6	3	21	82	25	4	0	50%	3.6	20.7%	6.1%	14.6%	0.0%	2.11	2.12	—
2015	20	ROK RAW	Greeneville Astros	6	3	21	82	25	4	0	50%	3.6	30.5%	4.9%	25.6%	0.0%	2.11	1.32	—
2016	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	21	125	519	127	24	9	88%	5.2	18.4%	5.4%	13.0%	2.1%	2.94	3.37	—
2016	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	21	125	519	127	24	9	88%	5.2	24.5%	4.6%	19.8%	1.7%	2.94	2.58	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	Buies Creek Astros	9	7	46	185	38	8	2	78%	5.1	15.8%	5.0%	10.8%	1.4%	2.35	3.17	—
2018	23	A+ RAW	Buies Creek Astros	9	7	46	185	38	8	2	78%	5.1	20.5%	4.3%	16.2%	1.1%	2.35	2.53	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	29	25	144	593	174	28	23	86%	5.0	26.2%	4.9%	21.2%	4.4%	4.31	3.91	+1.7
2019	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	29	25	144	593	174	28	23	86%	5.0	29.3%	4.7%	24.6%	3.9%	4.31	3.34	+2.7
2020	25	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	5	5	30	116	17	8	4	100%	5.9	14.7%	6.9%	7.8%	3.5%	2.73	4.68	+0.1
2020	25	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	5	5	30	116	17	8	4	100%	5.9	14.7%	6.9%	7.8%	3.4%	2.73	4.52	+0.1
2021	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	24	24	123	479	110	21	19	100%	5.1	21.3%	4.5%	16.8%	4.1%	3.30	4.14	+1.1
2021	26	MIX RAW	4 levels	24	24	123	479	110	21	19	100%	5.1	23.0%	4.4%	18.6%	4.0%	3.30	3.83	+1.6
2022	27	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	29	28	164	681	134	38	29	97%	5.7	19.7%	5.6%	14.1%	4.4%	3.94	4.55	+0.7
2022	27	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	29	28	164	681	134	38	29	97%	5.7	19.7%	5.6%	14.1%	4.3%	3.94	4.46	+0.8
2023	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	14	77	337	56	28	11	70%	3.9	16.4%	9.1%	7.3%	4.1%	5.14	5.13	-0.2
2023	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	14	77	337	56	28	11	70%	3.9	16.4%	9.1%	7.3%	4.1%	5.14	5.13	-0.2
2023	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	14	77	337	56	28	11	70%	3.9	16.6%	8.3%	8.3%	3.3%	5.14	4.59	+0.3
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	3	10	46	8	1	2	100%	3.4	17.4%	2.2%	15.2%	4.3%	6.97	4.29	—
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	3	10	46	8	1	2	100%	3.4	17.4%	2.2%	15.2%	4.3%	6.97	4.29	—
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	3	3	10	46	8	1	2	100%	3.4	17.4%	2.2%	15.2%	4.3%	6.97	4.36	—
2025	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	8	24	95	21	8	2	62%	1.8	17.9%	6.9%	11.0%	3.9%	3.38	4.60	+0.1
2025	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	8	24	95	21	8	2	62%	1.8	17.9%	6.9%	11.0%	3.9%	3.38	4.60	+0.1
2025	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	8	24	95	21	8	2	62%	1.8	22.1%	8.4%	13.7%	2.1%	3.38	3.43	+0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			92	71	436	1807	350	107	71	77%	4.7	19.4%	5.9%	13.4%	3.9%	4.08	4.35	+2.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	31	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	31	21	125	511	100	27	15	68%	4.0	16.9%	4.9%	12.0%	3.1%	3.90	4.01	—
YTD	31	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	31	21	125	511	100	27	15	68%	4.0	16.9%	4.9%	12.0%	3.1%	3.90	4.01	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	31	AAA RAW	CWS	20	20	96	380	79	20	11	100%	4.8	20.8%	5.3%	15.5%	2.9%	3.48	3.60	—
2026	31	MLB RAW	CWS	11	1	29	131	21	7	4	9%	2.6	16.0%	5.3%	10.7%	3.1%	5.28	4.10	+0.2
SO FAR	31	MLB RAW	CWS	11	1	29	131	21	7	4	9%	2.6	16.0%	5.3%	10.7%	3.1%	5.28	4.10	+0.2
ROS	31	MLB MLE	CWS	2	2	15	62	11	5	2	100%	7.4	17.5%	7.3%	10.2%	3.3%	4.21	4.34	+0.1
ROS	31	MLB CTX	CWS	2	2	15	63	11	5	2	100%	7.5	17.5%	7.3%	10.2%	3.3%	4.24	4.37	+0.1
2026 TOT	31	MLB MLE	CWS	—	—	139	573	111	32	17	—	—	19.3%	5.5%	13.8%	3.0%	3.93	4.05	+1.4
FULL	31	MLB A+C	CWS	—	—	44	185	111	32	17	—	—	60.0%	17.1%	42.9%	9.2%	12.53	5.26	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	CWS	25	25	151	636	105	49	22	100%	6.0	16.5%	7.8%	8.7%	3.5%	4.82	4.98	-0.1
2028	33	MLB MLE	CWS	23	23	138	584	91	48	22	100%	6.0	15.7%	8.2%	7.4%	3.7%	5.08	5.26	-0.6
2027	32	MLB CTX	CWS	25	25	151	638	105	50	23	100%	6.0	16.5%	7.8%	8.7%	3.5%	4.85	5.01	-0.1
2028	33	MLB CTX	CWS	23	23	138	583	91	48	22	100%	6.0	15.7%	8.2%	7.4%	3.8%	5.12	5.30	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		143	122	740	3089	557	209	118	85%	5.2	18.0%	6.8%	11.3%	3.8%	4.44	4.53	+3.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	33	200	835	151	56	32	85%	5.2	18.0%	6.8%	11.3%	3.8%	4.44	4.53	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		193	159	889	3644	716	202	128	82%	4.6	19.7%	5.6%	14.1%	3.5%	3.72	4.08	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		43	36	200	819	161	45	29	82%	4.6	19.7%	5.6%	14.1%	3.5%	3.72	4.08	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
José Urquidy (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.80	17.8%	8.1%	3.3%	—	5.11	16.1%	8.1%	289	+0.31	—	—	—
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	78
Jair Jurrjens R 2017 · 4.27 FIP	31	SP	4.27	16.3%	7.9%	2.8%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	125	72
Alfredo Aceves R 2015 · 4.98 FIP	32	SP	4.98	10.0%	6.2%	3.5%	.244	4.93	9.9%	2.0%	107	-0.05	4.78	160	69
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	69
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	67
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	67
Tyler Herron R 2017 · 4.02 FIP	30	SP	4.02	16.4%	8.7%	2.2%	.377	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	117	67
André Rienzo R 2019 · 5.33 FIP	31	SP	5.33	17.9%	11.8%	4.1%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	200	66
Matt Cain R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	31	SP-	4.95	18.1%	7.8%	4.4%	.313	4.82	13.2%	5.6%	124	-0.13	4.82	294	65
Phil Hughes R 2017 · 5.04 FIP	31	SP-	5.04	15.6%	4.5%	4.9%	.328	5.95	21.1%	15.2%	33	+0.91	4.62	301	65
Miguel Ruiz R 2017 · 5.60 FIP	31	SP	5.60	10.6%	11.0%	3.6%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	5.60	117	65
Kameron Loe R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	34	SP	3.84	11.9%	5.3%	2.0%	.356	3.38	17.1%	9.1%	133	-0.46	3.38	201	64
Hector Ambriz R 2016 · 3.63 FIP	32	SP	3.63	16.0%	6.4%	2.0%	.273	6.40	10.4%	2.9%	91	+2.77	3.63	155	64
Elih Villanueva R 2017 · 5.48 FIP	31	SP	5.48	14.1%	6.0%	5.1%	.365	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	225	63
Danny Gutierrez R 2017 · 4.11 FIP	30	SP	4.11	15.1%	6.1%	2.8%	.362	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	239	63
Hiram Burgos R 2017 · 4.94 FIP	29	SP	4.94	19.3%	7.5%	4.6%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	355	62
Mat Latos R 2017 · 5.66 FIP	29	SP	5.66	16.8%	11.2%	4.7%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	244	62
Guillermo Moscoso R 2017 · 3.77 FIP	33	SP	3.77	14.5%	6.9%	1.8%	.270	4.64	14.9%	7.5%	176	+0.87	3.77	264	61
Yohan Pino R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	31	SP-	4.13	17.8%	5.8%	3.3%	.312	5.33	15.2%	11.6%	35	+1.20	4.13	133	61
Stephen Fife R 2018 · 3.77 FIP	31	SP	3.77	12.5%	5.1%	2.0%	.374	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	179	60

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	151	16.7%	8.0%	1.35	4.85
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Cole Irvin ('24)	2.9	118	17.1%	5.6%	1.28	4.46
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12