Sixto Sánchez

P Miami Marlins

Age 29 RHP 6'0" / 234 lbs MLB peak 0.6 · 2027

Overview

MLBSP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2020	22	MLBMIA	7	7	39	3.46	3.18	20.9%	6.3%	0.8
2023	25	AAMIA	1	1	1	0.00	2.10	40.0%	20.0%	—	K 40.0% · BB 20.0% · FIP 2.26
2024	26	MIX2 levels	15	7	37	5.89	4.33	10.8%	8.4%	0.1	K 10.5% · BB 8.6% · FIP 4.38
2027PROJ	29	MLBMIA	9	9	53	4.82	4.86	18.5%	10.7%	0.0
2028PROJ95% MLB	30	MLBMIA	8	8	47	4.91	5.01	18.3%	10.9%	-0.1
2029PROJ95% MLB	31	MLBMIA	7	7	44	5.06	5.19	18.0%	11.1%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.9 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024

FB Velo40

xwOBA vs20

Whiff%10

K%10

CompsZack Segovia (age 32) · Travis Smith (age 29) · Fabio Castillo (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.82

FIP4.86

K%18.5%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%7.8%

Proj IP53

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL5050

CMD2525

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4093.8

Whiff%

p1013.2%

p1010.5%

xwOBA vs

p200.348

CH+1.4 (31%)

SI (5%)

FB-3.7 (35%)

SL-4.4 (34%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	11	2	26	118	18	6	0	18%	2.3	10.4%	6.4%	4.0%	0.0%	4.56	3.03	—
2015	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies	11	2	26	118	18	6	0	18%	2.3	15.3%	5.1%	10.2%	0.0%	4.56	2.40	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	11	11	54	194	44	8	0	100%	4.9	15.4%	5.2%	10.3%	0.0%	0.50	2.45	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies	11	11	54	194	44	8	0	100%	4.9	22.7%	4.1%	18.6%	0.0%	0.50	1.91	—
2017	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	18	95	375	84	18	2	100%	5.3	16.7%	5.6%	11.1%	0.7%	3.03	2.79	—
2017	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	18	95	375	84	18	2	100%	5.3	22.4%	4.8%	17.6%	0.5%	3.03	2.17	—
2018	20	A+ MLE	Clearwater Threshers	8	8	47	188	45	11	1	100%	5.8	18.4%	6.7%	11.7%	0.6%	2.51	2.70	—
2018	20	A+ RAW	Clearwater Threshers	8	8	47	188	45	11	1	100%	5.8	23.9%	5.9%	18.1%	0.5%	2.51	2.16	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	20	114	457	103	21	6	100%	5.7	19.1%	5.1%	14.0%	1.6%	2.76	3.00	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	20	114	457	103	21	6	100%	5.7	22.5%	4.6%	17.9%	1.3%	2.76	2.53	—
2020	22	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	7	7	39	158	33	10	3	100%	5.6	20.9%	6.3%	14.6%	2.0%	3.46	3.24	+0.8
2020	22	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	7	7	39	158	33	10	3	100%	5.6	20.9%	6.3%	14.6%	1.9%	3.46	3.18	+0.8
2023	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	1	1	1	5	2	1	0	100%	1.0	40.0%	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	2.26	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	1	1	1	5	2	1	0	100%	1.0	40.0%	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	2.10	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	7	37	166	18	14	3	47%	2.4	10.5%	8.6%	1.9%	1.9%	5.89	4.38	+0.1
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	7	37	166	18	14	3	47%	2.4	10.5%	8.6%	1.9%	1.9%	5.89	4.38	+0.1
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	7	37	166	18	14	3	47%	2.4	10.8%	8.4%	2.4%	1.8%	5.89	4.33	+0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			21	14	75	320	50	24	6	67%	3.6	15.6%	7.5%	8.1%	1.9%	4.70	3.77	+1.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	MIA	9	9	53	224	41	24	6	100%	5.9	18.5%	10.7%	7.8%	2.9%	4.82	4.86	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	MIA	8	8	50	211	39	23	7	100%	6.2	18.3%	10.9%	7.4%	3.1%	4.91	5.01	-0.1
2029	31	MLB MLE	MIA	8	8	46	196	35	22	7	100%	5.8	18.0%	11.1%	6.9%	3.3%	5.06	5.19	-0.2
2030	32	MLB MLE	MIA	7	7	43	182	32	21	6	100%	6.1	17.4%	11.4%	6.0%	3.5%	5.24	5.40	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	MIA	8	8	47	198	36	22	6	100%	5.9	18.3%	10.9%	7.4%	3.1%	4.91	5.01	-0.1
2029	31	MLB CTX	MIA	7	7	44	186	33	21	6	100%	6.3	18.0%	11.1%	6.9%	3.3%	5.06	5.19	-0.1
2030	32	MLB CTX	MIA	7	7	41	173	30	20	6	100%	5.9	17.4%	11.4%	6.0%	3.5%	5.24	5.40	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		43	36	207	879	150	86	24	84%	4.8	17.1%	9.8%	7.3%	2.8%	4.93	4.43	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		42	35	200	849	145	83	23	84%	4.8	17.1%	9.8%	7.3%	2.8%	4.93	4.43	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		91	74	412	1661	279	100	17	81%	4.5	16.8%	6.0%	10.8%	1.0%	2.95	3.02	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		44	36	200	806	136	48	8	81%	4.5	16.8%	6.0%	10.8%	1.0%	2.95	3.02	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sixto Sánchez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	18.5%	10.7%	2.9%	—	5.19	17.9%	6.8%	139	+0.33	—	—	—
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	78
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	75
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	73
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	72
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	71
Ariel Peña R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SP	3.99	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.08	3.74	223	69
Shawn Haviland R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	29	SP-	3.95	14.6%	6.0%	2.4%	.303	4.67	16.1%	8.8%	169	+0.72	3.69	283	68
Yariel Rodríguez R 2024 · 3.76 FIP	27	SP	3.76	24.9%	11.4%	2.4%	.275	3.72	24.1%	12.7%	89	-0.04	2.32	196	68
Daniel Guerrero R 2016 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP	4.81	12.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.328	4.93	11.7%	2.0%	175	+0.12	4.61	269	68
Rolando Valdez R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	29	SP	4.07	13.3%	5.9%	2.4%	.301	3.78	13.2%	7.9%	176	-0.29	3.06	258	67
Juan Delgadillo R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	32	SP	4.54	15.5%	7.2%	3.3%	.316	4.47	10.9%	4.7%	39	-0.07	4.47	143	67
Kenneth Sigman R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	29	SP-	4.05	13.9%	7.7%	2.1%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	267	66
Marco Quevedo R 2016 · 4.57 FIP	29	SP	4.57	13.6%	6.2%	3.3%	.258	5.02	11.5%	3.2%	107	+0.45	4.13	300	66
Robert Ellis R 2001 · 4.84 FIP	30	SP	4.84	9.9%	7.7%	2.9%	.287	8.08	9.0%	-2.2%	18	+3.24	4.84	110	66
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	66
Tyler Herron R 2016 · 4.40 FIP	29	SP	4.40	13.4%	6.9%	2.9%	.389	4.02	16.4%	7.7%	60	-0.38	4.02	117	66
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP-	5.83	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	65
Andres Ivan Meza R 2015 · 4.45 FIP	28	SP	4.45	10.9%	5.6%	2.9%	.322	4.14	12.5%	4.0%	85	-0.31	4.14	275	65
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	65
Patrick Johnson R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	30	SP	4.14	15.7%	9.3%	2.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	248	65

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	45	17.4%	10.1%	1.09	4.91
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Rodney Myers ('04)	1.2	60	15.0%	10.3%	1.05	5.07
Travis Miller ('02)	1.3	45	16.3%	9.2%	0.91	5.05
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*