Sixto Sánchez
P
Miami Marlins
Age 28
RHP
6'0" / 234 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION21 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.83
FIP4.93
xFIP5.30
SIERA5.42
K%14.4%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%5.5%
IP21
K†3030
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
FB Velo
p4093.8
Whiff%
p1013.2%
K%
p1010.5%
xwOBA vs
p200.348
CH+1.4 (31%)
SI (5%)
FB-3.7 (35%)
SL-4.4 (34%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | DSL Phillies | 11 | 2 | 26 | 118 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 10.4% | 6.4% | 0.0% | 4.56 | 3.03 | +0.5 |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Phillies | 11 | 11 | 54 | 194 | 44 | 8 | 0 | 15.4% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 0.50 | 2.45 | +1.3 |
| 2017 | 19 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | 18 | 18 | 95 | 375 | 84 | 18 | 2 | 16.7% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 3.03 | 2.83 | +2.7 |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | 8 | 8 | 47 | 188 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 18.4% | 6.7% | 0.5% | 2.51 | 2.66 | +1.0 |
| 2019 | 21 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 20 | 20 | 114 | 457 | 103 | 21 | 6 | 19.1% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 2.76 | 3.09 | +3.1 |
| 2020 | 22 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 7 | 7 | 39 | 158 | 33 | 10 | 3 | 20.9% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 3.46 | 3.24 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 40.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.26 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 15 | 7 | 37 | 166 | 18 | 14 | 3 | 10.5% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 5.89 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 21 | — | 21 | 89 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 14.4% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 4.83 | 4.93 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 20 | — | 20 | 85 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 14.8% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.92 | 5.03 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 91 | 74 | 412 | 1661 | 279 | 100 | 18 | 16.8% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 2.95 | 3.04 | +11.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 36 | 200 | 806 | 135 | 49 | 9 | 16.8% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 2.95 | 3.04 | +5.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sixto Sánchez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.93 | 14.4% | 9.0% | 2.8% | — | 5.03 | 14.8% | 5.5% | 20 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.23 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 3.92 | 14.1% | 5.5% | 68 | -1.31 | 3.92 | 256 | 81 |
| Eder Llamas R 2027 · 5.20 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.20 | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.7% | .261 | 3.71 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 120 | -1.49 | 3.27 | 171 | 81 |
| Benjamin Sandoval R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.89 | 8.6% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .253 | 5.27 | 5.8% | -5.7% | 62 | +0.38 | 4.89 | 146 | 80 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 79 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.09 | 15.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 173 | 79 |
| Tyler Mizenko R 2024 · 5.20 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.20 | 13.3% | 10.2% | 3.5% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 104 | 79 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 79 |
| Jose De La Torre R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.39 | 14.5% | 13.1% | 1.5% | .256 | 2.88 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 65 | -1.51 | 2.54 | 130 | 79 |
| Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2029 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.29 | 9.8% | 9.5% | 1.5% | .307 | 3.44 | 13.2% | 7.9% | 80 | -0.85 | 2.23 | 173 | 78 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 78 |
| Kyle McMyne R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.79 | 12.5% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 181 | 78 |
| Alex Caldera R 2027 · 5.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.56 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 3.1% | .333 | 4.61 | 11.9% | 0.8% | 84 | -0.95 | 4.61 | 120 | 77 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.11 | 14.0% | 11.0% | 3.3% | .250 | 5.81 | 16.3% | 3.1% | 79 | +0.70 | 4.49 | 215 | 77 |
| Carlos Frías R 2025 · 5.72 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.72 | 10.4% | 13.0% | 3.4% | .299 | 4.59 | 16.9% | 5.8% | 31 | -1.13 | 3.64 | 204 | 76 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 76 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.46 | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .365 | 4.29 | 16.3% | 8.4% | 54 | -0.17 | 4.29 | 125 | 76 |
| Chris Leroux R 2029 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 76 |
| Juan Omar Espinoza R 2029 · 4.68 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.68 | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.7% | .346 | 4.95 | 8.4% | -0.8% | 52 | +0.27 | 4.68 | 104 | 75 |
| Collin Balester R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 14.2% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .240 | 3.40 | 21.2% | 15.4% | 43 | -0.85 | 3.40 | 116 | 75 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.