Sean Poppen
P
Rocket City Trash Pandas
Age 32
RHP
6'3" / 210 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133124vR 115
ERA5.08
FIP5.07
K%18.7%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%6.0%
ROS IP54
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5294.7
Whiff%
p1016.0%
K%
p2318.3%
xwOBA vs
p670.295
FB+1.7
CH-1.1
SL-3.5
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 11 | 53 | 230 | 57 | 24 | 3 | 92% | 4.4 | 17.3% | 12.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 2.70 | 4.14 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 11 | 53 | 230 | 57 | 24 | 3 | 92% | 4.4 | 24.8% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 1.3% | 2.70 | 3.04 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 139 | 585 | 122 | 25 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 15.6% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 1.1% | 3.17 | 3.04 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 139 | 585 | 122 | 25 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 20.9% | 4.3% | 16.6% | 0.9% | 3.17 | 2.35 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 20 | 128 | 528 | 123 | 38 | 14 | 77% | 4.9 | 18.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 3.3% | 3.45 | 4.34 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 20 | 128 | 528 | 123 | 38 | 14 | 77% | 4.9 | 23.3% | 7.2% | 16.1% | 2.7% | 3.45 | 3.49 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 16 | 98 | 433 | 116 | 49 | 5 | 67% | 4.1 | 23.0% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 1.2% | 4.32 | 3.32 | +2.3 |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 16 | 98 | 433 | 116 | 49 | 5 | 67% | 4.1 | 26.8% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 1.2% | 4.32 | 2.90 | +2.8 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 6 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.6% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 0.0% | 4.70 | 2.13 | +0.2 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 6 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.6% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 0.0% | 4.70 | 2.06 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 57 | 249 | 63 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.5% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 1.7% | 3.30 | 3.12 | +1.0 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 57 | 249 | 63 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.3% | 8.0% | 17.3% | 1.6% | 3.30 | 2.86 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 54 | 232 | 41 | 15 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.7% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 4.50 | 3.94 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 54 | 232 | 41 | 15 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 2.6% | 4.50 | 3.86 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 47 | 1 | 58 | 290 | 51 | 30 | 3 | 2% | 1.2 | 15.5% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 6.33 | 3.73 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 47 | 1 | 58 | 290 | 51 | 30 | 3 | 2% | 1.2 | 17.6% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 1.0% | 6.33 | 3.56 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 31.2% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 10.80 | 8.91 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 31.2% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 10.80 | 9.70 | — |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 1 | 30 | 145 | 38 | 19 | 3 | 5% | 1.4 | 20.2% | 14.1% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 5.34 | 4.52 | — |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 1 | 30 | 145 | 38 | 19 | 3 | 5% | 1.4 | 26.2% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 2.1% | 5.34 | 3.76 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 43 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 5.08 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 12.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 5.16 | 5.27 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 43 | 0 | 45 | 192 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 13.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.34 | 5.50 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 39 | 0 | 41 | 172 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 13.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.58 | 5.78 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 12.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 5.16 | 5.27 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.8% | 13.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.34 | 5.50 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 13.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.58 | 5.78 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 98 | 0 | 104 | 457 | 95 | 45 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 5.17 | 4.20 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 188 | 0 | 200 | 877 | 182 | 86 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 5.17 | 4.20 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 262 | 74 | 629 | 2743 | 516 | 246 | 52 | 28% | 2.4 | 18.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 1.9% | 3.95 | 3.69 | +12.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 24 | 200 | 872 | 164 | 78 | 16 | 28% | 2.4 | 18.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 1.9% | 3.95 | 3.69 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sean Poppen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.07 | 18.7% | 12.7% | 2.8% | — | 5.50 | 17.8% | 4.7% | 136 | +0.43 | — | — | — |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.65 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .347 | 3.78 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.87 | 3.32 | 119 | 75 |
| Ivan Maldonado R 2029 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.91 | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .269 | 5.68 | 6.4% | -3.3% | 104 | +0.77 | 4.91 | 172 | 73 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2027 · 5.47 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.47 | 15.0% | 14.5% | 3.3% | .300 | 4.24 | 20.9% | 13.0% | 145 | -1.23 | 3.83 | 208 | 72 |
| Angel Sánchez R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 3.6% | .333 | 3.80 | 12.1% | 6.3% | 27 | -1.18 | 3.80 | 284 | 72 |
| Bradin Hagens R 2024 · 5.33 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.33 | 13.2% | 12.6% | 3.2% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 254 | 70 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 70 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.07 | 17.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 365 | 69 |
| Marco Antonio Duarte R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.68 | 12.2% | 9.1% | 2.6% | .420 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 203 | 69 |
| Josh Zeid R 2024 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 69 |
| Marco Quevedo R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.40 | 13.6% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 300 | 68 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 67 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 67 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 66 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2024 · 4.65 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.65 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 101 | 66 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2024 · 4.26 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.26 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 147 | 65 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 65 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 65 |
| Casey Coleman R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SW | 5.00 | 18.4% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | 306 | 65 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.91 | 16.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 337 | 65 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2026 · 6.21 FIP | 32 | SW | 6.21 | 10.0% | 13.0% | 4.2% | .316 | 4.21 | 21.3% | 16.2% | 15 | -2.00 | 3.49 | 212 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 48 | 18.1% | 13.0% | 1.25 | 5.27 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |