Brandon Lowe
2B Pittsburgh Pirates
Age 33
L/R
5'9" / 181 lbs
MLB
HR -15%K -5%
Svc 7.337 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
MLB40-MANExt / FA-dealFA 2028
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30 | MLBTB | 425 | .244/.312/.473 | 21 | 5 | 117 | 2.0 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLBTB | 553 | .256/.311/.477 | 31 | 3 | 111 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 32 | MLBPIT | 656 | .260/.334/.493 | 35 | 2 | 134 | 4.5 |
| 2027PROJ | 33 | MLBPIT | 576 | .245/.315/.470 | 31 | 4 | 123 | 2.7 |
| 2028PROJ | 34 | MLBPIT | 527 | .235/.304/.447 | 27 | 2 | 114 | 1.3 |
| 2029PROJ | 35 | MLBPIT | 470 | .224/.291/.422 | 23 | 2 | 103 | 0.5 |
Last 3 seasons WAR 7.7 · Next 3 projected WAR 4.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service7.337First FA2028
2027Ext / FA-deal$15M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Chase%90
Barrel%79
xwOBA74
Avg EV74
Bat Spd61
Whiff%58
Form.254/.335/.508 ▲ rolling true talent (45d window) · proj .248/.316/.486
CompsBrad Miller (age 32) · Derek Dietrich (age 32) · Ramon Castro (age 33)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 81123vR 138
AVG/OBP/SLG.245 / .315 / .470
PA576
HR31
K%28
BB%9
BABIP291
ISO228
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 60
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1080 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
250
830
—
wRC+
64
135
▶▶R
wOBA
262
368
▶▶R
ISO
160
254
▶▶R
BABIP
252
301
▶▶R
K%
31.6%
24.8%
▶▶R
BB%
3.2%
8.7%
▶▶R
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 449 | 379 | 94 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 60 | 77 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 248 | 358 | 343 | 701 | 95 | 298 | 17 | 13 | 321 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 101 | 95 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 253 | 276 | 389 | 665 | 137 | 319 | 26 | 2 | 285 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 367 | 315 | 98 | 34 | 3 | 9 | 47 | 65 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 311 | 405 | 524 | 929 | 213 | 366 | 18 | 13 | 407 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 69 | 58 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 224 | 348 | 414 | 762 | 190 | 262 | 20 | 13 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 148 | 129 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 327 | 450 | 776 | 217 | 279 | 26 | 11 | 341 | 118 | +3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.9 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 205 | 181 | 55 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 304 | 382 | 613 | 996 | 309 | 339 | 23 | 11 | 427 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 240 | 199 | 58 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 55 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 291 | 405 | 508 | 913 | 216 | 360 | 23 | 15 | 399 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 327 | 296 | 80 | 17 | 2 | 17 | 25 | 113 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 270 | 337 | 514 | 851 | 243 | 377 | 35 | 8 | 371 | 138 | +15 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +7 | 2.1 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 224 | 193 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 58 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 269 | 365 | 554 | 919 | 285 | 309 | 26 | 11 | 396 | 156 | +15 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 2.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 615 | 535 | 132 | 31 | 0 | 39 | 68 | 167 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 247 | 342 | 523 | 865 | 277 | 280 | 27 | 11 | 376 | 140 | +29 | +1 | -5 | +2 | +13 | 4.1 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 266 | 235 | 52 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 61 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 309 | 383 | 692 | 162 | 263 | 23 | 10 | 311 | 97 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 17 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 353 | 438 | 790 | 125 | 357 | 12 | 0 | 354 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 436 | 377 | 87 | 15 | 1 | 21 | 50 | 119 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 231 | 330 | 443 | 773 | 212 | 275 | 27 | 11 | 342 | 119 | +10 | +1 | +4 | +2 | +9 | 2.7 |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 17 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 353 | 357 | 710 | 143 | 333 | 29 | 18 | 327 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 425 | 385 | 94 | 19 | 3 | 21 | 33 | 112 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 244 | 312 | 473 | 785 | 229 | 287 | 26 | 8 | 343 | 117 | +9 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +9 | 2.0 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 21 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 381 | 647 | 1.028 | 412 | 333 | 43 | 19 | 435 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 553 | 507 | 130 | 19 | 0 | 31 | 38 | 149 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 256 | 311 | 477 | 788 | 221 | 297 | 27 | 7 | 342 | 111 | +7 | -0 | -10 | +2 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 656 | 584 | 152 | 29 | 1 | 35 | 62 | 189 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 260 | 334 | 493 | 828 | 233 | 319 | 29 | 9 | 360 | 134 | +26 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +14 | 4.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 3650 | 3241 | 809 | 155 | 13 | 192 | 344 | 1006 | 39 | 35 | 5 | 250 | 329 | 483 | 812 | 234 | 298 | 28 | 9 | 355 | 126 | +114 | +5 | -16 | +15 | +79 | 20.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 449 | 398 | 83 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 41 | 103 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 209 | 291 | 286 | 577 | 78 | 261 | 23 | 9 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 101 | 96 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 240 | 255 | 375 | 630 | 135 | 300 | 32 | 1 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Charlotte Stone Crabs | — | 367 | 327 | 83 | 31 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 91 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 254 | 332 | 434 | 766 | 180 | 322 | 25 | 10 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 148 | 129 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 327 | 450 | 776 | 217 | 279 | 26 | 11 | 342 | 118 | +3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.9 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 205 | 187 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 16 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 262 | 324 | 529 | 853 | 267 | 292 | 27 | 8 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 240 | 211 | 55 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 64 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 261 | 342 | 445 | 787 | 185 | 325 | 27 | 10 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 327 | 296 | 79 | 17 | 2 | 17 | 25 | 113 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 267 | 334 | 510 | 844 | 243 | 377 | 35 | 8 | 373 | 138 | +15 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +7 | 2.1 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 224 | 193 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 58 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 264 | 360 | 549 | 910 | 285 | 309 | 26 | 11 | 398 | 156 | +15 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 2.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 615 | 539 | 133 | 32 | 0 | 40 | 64 | 167 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 247 | 337 | 529 | 865 | 282 | 280 | 27 | 10 | 375 | 140 | +29 | +1 | -5 | +2 | +13 | 4.1 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 266 | 235 | 51 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 61 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 306 | 379 | 684 | 162 | 263 | 23 | 10 | 311 | 97 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 17 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 294 | 312 | 607 | 62 | 308 | 12 | 0 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 436 | 377 | 87 | 15 | 1 | 22 | 50 | 119 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 231 | 330 | 451 | 781 | 220 | 275 | 27 | 11 | 344 | 119 | +10 | +1 | +4 | +2 | +9 | 2.7 |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 17 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 333 | 627 | 133 | 279 | 35 | 12 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 425 | 387 | 94 | 19 | 3 | 22 | 31 | 112 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 243 | 307 | 478 | 785 | 235 | 287 | 26 | 7 | 341 | 117 | +9 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +9 | 2.0 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 21 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 286 | 389 | 675 | 222 | 257 | 52 | 14 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 553 | 508 | 126 | 18 | 0 | 30 | 37 | 149 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 248 | 302 | 461 | 762 | 213 | 297 | 27 | 7 | 332 | 111 | +7 | -0 | -10 | +2 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 32 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 656 | 585 | 154 | 28 | 1 | 38 | 61 | 189 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 263 | 336 | 509 | 845 | 246 | 319 | 29 | 9 | 366 | 134 | +26 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +14 | 4.5 |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 449 | 398 | 83 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 41 | 103 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 209 | 291 | 286 | 577 | 78 | 270 | 23 | 9 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A RAW | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 449 | 379 | 94 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 60 | 77 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 248 | 358 | 343 | 701 | 95 | 298 | 17 | 13 | 321 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 537 | 484 | 119 | 40 | 3 | 11 | 42 | 141 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 246 | 314 | 409 | 723 | 163 | 321 | 26 | 8 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 537 | 468 | 135 | 42 | 5 | 13 | 58 | 105 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 288 | 374 | 483 | 857 | 194 | 345 | 20 | 11 | 376 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 593 | 527 | 134 | 33 | 3 | 26 | 55 | 156 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 254 | 332 | 476 | 808 | 222 | 309 | 26 | 9 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 593 | 509 | 143 | 37 | 3 | 28 | 73 | 140 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 281 | 378 | 530 | 908 | 250 | 332 | 24 | 12 | 394 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 327 | 296 | 79 | 17 | 2 | 17 | 25 | 113 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 267 | 334 | 510 | 844 | 243 | 371 | 35 | 8 | 373 | 138 | +15 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +7 | 2.1 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB RAW | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 327 | 296 | 80 | 17 | 2 | 17 | 25 | 113 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 270 | 337 | 514 | 851 | 243 | 377 | 35 | 8 | 371 | 138 | +15 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +7 | 2.1 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 224 | 193 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 58 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 264 | 360 | 549 | 910 | 285 | 301 | 26 | 11 | 398 | 156 | +15 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 2.2 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB RAW | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 224 | 193 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 58 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 269 | 365 | 554 | 919 | 285 | 309 | 26 | 11 | 396 | 156 | +15 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 2.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 615 | 539 | 133 | 32 | 0 | 40 | 64 | 167 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 247 | 337 | 529 | 865 | 282 | 278 | 27 | 10 | 375 | 140 | +29 | +1 | -5 | +2 | +13 | 4.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB RAW | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 615 | 535 | 132 | 31 | 0 | 39 | 68 | 167 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 247 | 342 | 523 | 865 | 277 | 280 | 27 | 11 | 376 | 140 | +29 | +1 | -5 | +2 | +13 | 4.1 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 283 | 251 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 63 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 223 | 309 | 382 | 691 | 159 | 265 | 22 | 10 | 310 | 96 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 283 | 251 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 63 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 312 | 386 | 699 | 159 | 271 | 22 | 10 | 314 | 96 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 453 | 392 | 90 | 17 | 1 | 22 | 52 | 125 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 230 | 329 | 446 | 775 | 217 | 274 | 28 | 11 | 340 | 116 | +9 | +1 | +4 | +2 | +10 | 2.6 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 453 | 391 | 90 | 17 | 1 | 21 | 53 | 124 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 230 | 331 | 440 | 771 | 210 | 277 | 27 | 12 | 341 | 116 | +9 | +1 | +4 | +2 | +10 | 2.6 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 446 | 405 | 97 | 20 | 3 | 23 | 34 | 123 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 240 | 306 | 474 | 780 | 235 | 284 | 28 | 8 | 339 | 115 | +8 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +10 | 2.0 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 446 | 402 | 98 | 20 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 121 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 244 | 315 | 480 | 795 | 236 | 288 | 27 | 8 | 347 | 115 | +8 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +10 | 2.0 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 553 | 508 | 126 | 18 | 0 | 30 | 37 | 149 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 248 | 302 | 461 | 762 | 213 | 287 | 27 | 7 | 332 | 111 | +7 | -0 | -10 | +2 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB RAW | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 553 | 507 | 130 | 19 | 0 | 31 | 38 | 149 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 256 | 311 | 477 | 788 | 221 | 297 | 27 | 7 | 342 | 111 | +7 | -0 | -10 | +2 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 32 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 656 | 585 | 154 | 28 | 1 | 38 | 61 | 189 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 263 | 336 | 509 | 845 | 246 | 318 | 29 | 9 | 366 | 134 | +26 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +14 | 4.5 |
| 2026 | 32 | MLB RAW | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 656 | 584 | 152 | 29 | 1 | 35 | 62 | 189 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 260 | 334 | 493 | 828 | 233 | 319 | 29 | 9 | 360 | 134 | +26 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +14 | 4.5 |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 449 | 400 | 83 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 41 | 103 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 207 | 291 | 285 | 576 | 77 | 261 | 23 | 9 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 537 | 484 | 119 | 40 | 3 | 11 | 42 | 141 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 246 | 314 | 409 | 723 | 163 | 317 | 26 | 8 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 593 | 527 | 134 | 33 | 3 | 26 | 55 | 156 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 254 | 332 | 476 | 808 | 222 | 302 | 26 | 9 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 327 | 294 | 79 | 17 | 2 | 17 | 25 | 113 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 269 | 334 | 514 | 848 | 245 | 377 | 35 | 8 | 373 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 224 | 193 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 58 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 264 | 360 | 549 | 910 | 285 | 309 | 26 | 11 | 398 | 156 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 615 | 537 | 133 | 32 | 0 | 40 | 64 | 167 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 248 | 337 | 531 | 867 | 283 | 280 | 27 | 10 | 375 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 283 | 250 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 63 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 309 | 384 | 693 | 160 | 266 | 22 | 10 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 453 | 392 | 90 | 17 | 1 | 22 | 52 | 125 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 230 | 329 | 446 | 775 | 217 | 275 | 28 | 11 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 446 | 404 | 97 | 20 | 3 | 23 | 34 | 123 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 240 | 306 | 475 | 782 | 235 | 286 | 28 | 8 | 339 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 553 | 509 | 126 | 18 | 0 | 30 | 37 | 149 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 248 | 302 | 460 | 761 | 212 | 297 | 27 | 7 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 32 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 656 | 587 | 154 | 28 | 1 | 38 | 61 | 189 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 262 | 336 | 508 | 844 | 245 | 319 | 29 | 9 | 366 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 30 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 446 | 404 | 97 | 20 | 3 | 23 | 34 | 123 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 240 | 306 | 475 | 782 | 235 | 286 | 28 | 8 | 339 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 553 | 509 | 126 | 18 | 0 | 30 | 37 | 149 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 248 | 302 | 460 | 761 | 212 | 297 | 27 | 7 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 32 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 656 | 587 | 154 | 28 | 1 | 38 | 61 | 189 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 262 | 336 | 508 | 844 | 245 | 319 | 29 | 9 | 366 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB MLE | PIT | 100% | 576 | 518 | 129 | 22 | 1 | 33 | 50 | 161 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 249 | 318 | 486 | 804 | 237 | 291 | 28 | 9 | 350 | 123 | +16 | +0 | -5 | +2 | +12 | 2.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB CTX | PIT | 100% | 576 | 518 | 128 | 23 | 1 | 31 | 50 | 161 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 245 | 315 | 470 | 785 | 225 | 291 | 28 | 9 | 343 | 123 | +16 | +0 | -5 | +2 | +12 | 2.7 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 34 | MLB MLE | PIT | 100% | 527 | 475 | 114 | 18 | 1 | 29 | 45 | 151 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 307 | 463 | 770 | 224 | 282 | 29 | 9 | 336 | 114 | +9 | +0 | -9 | +2 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB MLE | PIT | 100% | 470 | 426 | 97 | 15 | 1 | 24 | 39 | 138 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 228 | 294 | 437 | 732 | 210 | 271 | 29 | 8 | 321 | 103 | +2 | +0 | -9 | +2 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB MLE | PIT | 100% | 409 | 372 | 80 | 12 | 0 | 20 | 33 | 124 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 282 | 411 | 692 | 194 | 261 | 30 | 8 | 305 | 92 | -4 | +0 | -10 | +1 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB CTX | PIT | 100% | 527 | 475 | 112 | 19 | 1 | 27 | 45 | 151 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 235 | 304 | 447 | 751 | 212 | 281 | 29 | 9 | 329 | 114 | +9 | +0 | -9 | +2 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB CTX | PIT | 100% | 470 | 426 | 96 | 15 | 1 | 23 | 39 | 138 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 224 | 291 | 422 | 714 | 198 | 271 | 29 | 8 | 314 | 103 | +2 | +0 | -9 | +2 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB CTX | PIT | 100% | 409 | 372 | 78 | 12 | 0 | 18 | 33 | 124 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 279 | 397 | 675 | 184 | 261 | 30 | 8 | 298 | 92 | -4 | +0 | -10 | +1 | +9 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 5056 | 4514 | 1095 | 201 | 15 | 260 | 461 | 1419 | 44 | 40 | 6 | 243 | 319 | 467 | 785 | 224 | 291 | 28 | 9 | 344 | 114 | +120 | +6 | -44 | +20 | +110 | 21.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 580 | 141 | 26 | 2 | 33 | 59 | 182 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 243 | 319 | 466 | 785 | 222 | 293 | 28 | 9 | 344 | 114 | +15 | +1 | -6 | +3 | +14 | 2.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 7118 | 6369 | 1542 | 306 | 23 | 339 | 630 | 1961 | 63 | 66 | 19 | 242 | 316 | 457 | 774 | 215 | 292 | 28 | 9 | 337 | 114 | +136 | +6 | -49 | +22 | +122 | 24.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 141 | 28 | 2 | 31 | 58 | 179 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 242 | 318 | 457 | 775 | 215 | 293 | 28 | 9 | 337 | 114 | +16 | +1 | -6 | +3 | +14 | 2.8 | |