Brady Singer

P Cincinnati Reds

Age 30 RHP 6'5" / 215 lbs MLB peak 1.0 · 2027

Overview

MLBSP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR
2024	27	MLBKC	32	32	180	3.71	3.70	22.3%	7.1%	2.6
2025	28	MLBCIN	32	32	170	4.03	3.70	22.8%	8.4%	2.5
2026	29	MLBCIN	31	31	157	5.85	5.33	17.4%	8.6%	-0.8
2027PROJ	30	MLBCIN	26	26	158	4.72	4.85	18.7%	8.4%	0.1
2028PROJ	31	MLBCIN	25	25	148	4.94	5.08	17.9%	8.7%	-0.3
2029PROJ	32	MLBCIN	23	23	136	5.18	5.34	17.1%	9.1%	-0.7

Last 3 seasons WAR 4.3 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

Whiff%40

K%17

FB Velo10

xwOBA vs10

CompsTom Koehler (age 30) · Chase Anderson (age 30) · Miguel González (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 115

ERA4.72

FIP4.85

K%18.7%

BB%8.4%

K-BB%10.3%

Proj IP158

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 158 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF6560

CTRL5555

CMD5555

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1090.7

Whiff%

p4023.9%

p1717.4%

xwOBA vs

p100.368

SI (51%)

SL (41%)

CT (7%)

FB-5.7 (52%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	148	613	138	39	9	100%	5.7	17.9%	7.1%	10.8%	2.0%	2.85	3.57	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	148	613	138	39	9	100%	5.7	22.5%	6.4%	16.2%	1.5%	2.85	2.82	—
2020	23	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	12	12	64	263	61	23	8	100%	5.4	23.2%	8.7%	14.4%	3.3%	4.06	4.05	+0.6
2020	23	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	12	12	64	263	61	23	8	100%	5.4	23.2%	8.7%	14.4%	3.0%	4.06	3.89	+0.8
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	29	133	609	133	53	15	100%	4.6	22.4%	8.9%	13.5%	2.6%	5.21	3.75	+1.8
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	29	133	609	133	53	15	100%	4.6	21.8%	8.7%	13.1%	2.5%	5.21	3.76	+1.8
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	27	167	674	161	39	21	90%	5.6	23.7%	5.8%	17.9%	3.4%	3.23	3.69	+2.4
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	27	167	674	161	39	21	90%	5.6	23.9%	5.8%	18.1%	3.1%	3.23	3.51	+2.8
2023	26	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	29	29	160	702	133	49	20	100%	5.5	18.9%	7.0%	12.0%	3.1%	5.52	4.07	+1.6
2023	26	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	29	29	160	702	133	49	20	100%	5.5	18.9%	7.0%	12.0%	2.8%	5.52	3.98	+1.7
2024	27	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	32	32	180	762	170	54	22	100%	5.6	22.3%	7.1%	15.2%	3.1%	3.71	3.83	+2.3
2024	27	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	32	32	180	762	170	54	22	100%	5.6	22.3%	7.1%	15.2%	3.1%	3.71	3.83	+2.3
2024	27	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	32	32	180	762	170	54	22	100%	5.6	22.3%	7.1%	15.2%	2.9%	3.71	3.70	+2.6
2025	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	32	32	170	716	163	60	19	100%	5.3	22.8%	8.4%	14.4%	2.5%	4.03	3.59	+2.7
2025	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	32	32	170	716	163	60	19	100%	5.3	22.8%	8.4%	14.4%	2.5%	4.03	3.59	+2.7
2025	28	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	32	32	170	716	163	60	19	100%	5.3	22.8%	8.4%	14.4%	2.7%	4.03	3.70	+2.5
2026	29	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	31	31	157	725	126	62	32	100%	5.1	17.4%	8.6%	8.8%	4.1%	5.85	4.96	-0.1
2026	29	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	31	31	157	725	126	62	32	100%	5.1	17.4%	8.6%	8.8%	4.1%	5.85	4.96	-0.1
2026	29	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	31	31	157	725	126	62	32	100%	5.1	17.4%	8.6%	8.8%	4.4%	5.85	5.33	-0.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			190	187	1012	4375	934	335	133	98%	5.3	21.3%	7.7%	13.7%	3.0%	4.48	3.96	+11.4
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	CIN	26	26	158	667	124	56	23	100%	6.1	18.7%	8.4%	10.3%	3.4%	4.72	4.85	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	CIN	25	25	148	623	112	54	23	100%	5.9	17.9%	8.7%	9.2%	3.7%	4.94	5.08	-0.3
2029	32	MLB MLE	CIN	23	23	136	576	99	52	23	100%	5.9	17.1%	9.1%	8.0%	3.9%	5.18	5.34	-0.7
2028	31	MLB CTX	CIN	25	25	148	625	112	54	23	100%	5.9	17.9%	8.7%	9.2%	3.7%	4.94	5.08	-0.3
2029	32	MLB CTX	CIN	23	23	136	574	98	52	22	100%	5.9	17.1%	9.1%	8.0%	3.9%	5.18	5.34	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		237	234	1296	5574	1144	442	178	99%	5.5	20.5%	7.9%	12.6%	3.2%	4.61	4.13	+11.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		37	36	200	860	177	68	27	99%	5.5	20.5%	7.9%	12.6%	3.2%	4.61	4.13	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		221	218	1179	5064	1058	385	152	99%	5.3	20.9%	7.6%	13.3%	3.0%	4.30	3.94	+10.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		38	37	200	859	180	65	26	99%	5.3	20.9%	7.6%	13.3%	3.0%	4.30	3.94	+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brady Singer (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.85	18.7%	8.4%	3.4%	—	5.20	17.5%	8.6%	284	+0.35	—	—	—
Tom Koehler R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	30	SP	4.38	19.0%	9.8%	3.0%	.291	4.66	22.4%	13.4%	110	+0.28	3.76	822	77
Chase Anderson R 2018 · 4.98 FIP	30	SP	4.98	19.9%	8.9%	4.4%	.235	4.93	20.1%	11.9%	253	-0.05	3.30	1,260	73
Miguel González R 2014 · 4.49 FIP	30	SP	4.49	16.5%	7.5%	3.4%	.268	4.26	16.6%	9.5%	457	-0.23	3.72	905	70
Tanner Roark R 2017 · 3.88 FIP	30	SP	3.88	21.4%	7.6%	3.0%	.294	4.48	20.3%	13.2%	393	+0.60	2.40	1,194	69
Rolando Arrojo R 2000 · 4.47 FIP	32	SP	4.47	16.1%	8.0%	3.1%	.291	3.68	16.4%	9.2%	185	-0.79	3.50	700	67
Jeremy Guthrie R 2009 · 5.09 FIP	30	SP	5.09	12.6%	6.8%	4.0%	.282	4.41	13.7%	7.5%	599	-0.68	4.08	1,834	67
Masahiro Tanaka R 2019 · 4.01 FIP	30	SP	4.01	19.6%	5.3%	3.5%	.292	4.08	22.3%	18.2%	48	+0.07	2.82	1,054	66
Roberto Hernandez R 2011 · 4.32 FIP	30	SP	4.32	13.1%	6.8%	2.6%	.284	4.48	15.4%	8.5%	330	+0.16	3.63	1,435	64
Kyle Gibson R 2018 · 3.97 FIP	30	SP	3.97	21.7%	9.3%	2.8%	.282	3.91	21.2%	12.9%	409	-0.06	3.56	1,920	63
Rodrigo Lopez R 2006 · 4.67 FIP	30	SP-	4.67	16.1%	6.7%	3.8%	.325	4.30	13.2%	7.9%	109	-0.37	4.06	1,344	63
Orlando Hernandez R 2000 · 4.68 FIP	30	SP	4.68	17.2%	6.0%	4.2%	.255	4.38	18.6%	11.3%	241	-0.30	3.35	1,315	62
Ramon Ortiz R 2003 · 4.99 FIP	30	SP	4.99	11.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.288	4.88	13.0%	6.8%	490	-0.11	4.32	1,525	61
Matt Shoemaker R 2017 · 4.88 FIP	30	SP	4.88	21.2%	8.6%	4.5%	.271	4.29	23.5%	15.5%	88	-0.59	3.12	728	61
Todd Ritchie R 2002 · 4.66 FIP	30	SP	4.66	12.4%	8.0%	2.9%	.331	4.78	11.5%	3.9%	28	+0.12	3.03	828	59
Lance Lynn R 2017 · 4.68 FIP	30	SP	4.68	19.7%	9.4%	3.7%	.237	3.25	25.9%	17.8%	449	-1.43	2.85	2,006	59
Kris Benson R 2005 · 4.56 FIP	30	SP	4.56	12.9%	6.0%	3.3%	.256	5.38	11.3%	4.1%	183	+0.82	3.53	1,244	58
Robert Person R 2000 · 3.80 FIP	30	SP	3.80	22.1%	12.7%	1.8%	.278	4.75	19.5%	9.1%	308	+0.95	3.41	885	57
Cory Lidle R 2002 · 3.67 FIP	30	SP	3.67	13.9%	4.5%	2.1%	.275	4.13	14.1%	8.3%	589	+0.46	3.48	1,318	57
Paul Wilson R 2003 · 4.61 FIP	30	SP	4.61	12.7%	6.2%	3.3%	.292	4.72	14.4%	7.2%	230	+0.11	2.59	942	56
Mike Fiers R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	30	SP	3.86	23.7%	7.8%	3.2%	.277	4.73	19.9%	13.3%	494	+0.87	2.83	1,140	55

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	7.3	145	20.3%	8.0%	1.25	4.62
Jim Nash ('66-'72, 11 WAR*)	5.5	158	20.8%*	8.4%*	1.25*	4.37*
Homer Bailey ('20)	7.0	117	19.2%	7.7%	1.12	4.56
Alex Kellner ('48-'59, 14 WAR*)	9.2	154	18.9%*	7.8%*	1.35*	4.50*
Jeremy Bonderman ('13)	6.2	154	18.0%	8.1%	1.13	4.91
Kyle Gibson ('25)	9.4	156	18.8%	8.2%	1.12	4.60
Craig Swan ('73-'84, 10 WAR*)	6.2	124	18.8%*	7.1%*	1.36*	4.46*