Colton Eastman prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Colton Eastman P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 29 RHP 6'3" / 185 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.91

FIP4.91

K%19.0%

BB%10.5%

K-BB%8.5%

ROS IP45

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	19	129	534	134	37	14	79%	5.4	19.4%	7.9%	11.5%	3.4%	3.71	4.32	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	19	129	534	134	37	14	79%	5.4	25.1%	6.9%	18.2%	2.6%	3.71	3.29	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	11	54	222	48	23	5	73%	3.6	18.0%	11.2%	6.7%	2.1%	3.33	4.17	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	11	54	222	48	23	5	73%	3.6	21.6%	10.4%	11.3%	2.3%	3.33	3.80	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	101	444	86	66	12	96%	4.0	16.5%	15.9%	0.7%	3.0%	4.63	5.37	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	101	444	86	66	12	96%	4.0	19.4%	14.9%	4.5%	2.7%	4.63	4.90	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	22	10	66	317	59	41	12	45%	3.0	16.0%	11.6%	4.4%	4.2%	7.26	5.52	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	22	10	66	317	59	41	12	45%	3.0	16.0%	11.6%	4.4%	4.2%	7.26	5.52	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	Las Vegas Aviators	22	10	66	317	59	41	12	45%	3.0	18.6%	12.9%	5.7%	3.8%	7.26	5.55	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	OAK	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.0%	10.5%	8.5%	3.1%	4.91	4.91	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	OAK	7	7	42	179	34	19	6	100%	6.0	19.1%	10.7%	8.4%	3.3%	4.96	5.03	-0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	OAK	3	3	16	68	13	7	2	100%	5.3	19.1%	10.7%	8.4%	3.3%	4.96	5.03	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	16	66	13	7	2	100%	5.2	19.1%	10.7%	8.4%	3.3%	4.96	4.65	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	167	90	26	100%	6.0	19.1%	10.7%	8.4%	3.3%	4.96	4.65	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		86	64	349	1517	268	174	49	74%	4.1	17.6%	11.5%	6.2%	3.3%	4.59	4.86	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	37	200	869	153	100	28	74%	4.1	17.6%	11.5%	6.2%	3.3%	4.59	4.86	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Colton Eastman (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.91	19.0%	10.5%	3.1%	—	5.03	19.1%	8.4%	42	+0.12	—	—	—
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	81
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	79
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	78
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	76
Ariel Peña R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SP	3.99	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.08	3.74	223	72
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	71
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP-	5.83	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	71
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	70
Shawn Haviland R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	29	SP-	3.95	14.6%	6.0%	2.4%	.303	4.67	16.1%	8.8%	169	+0.72	3.69	283	69
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	69
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	68
Kenneth Sigman R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	29	SP-	4.05	13.9%	7.7%	2.1%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	267	68
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	67
Kohei Arihara R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	29	SP-	4.58	16.4%	7.2%	3.5%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	135	67
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2015 · 3.97 FIP	30	SP	3.97	17.4%	7.1%	2.6%	.315	4.94	15.9%	8.7%	305	+0.97	3.97	567	67
Derek Eitel R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.2%	16.0%	1.9%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	138	67
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	66
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	66
Rolando Valdez R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	29	SP	4.07	13.3%	5.9%	2.4%	.301	3.78	13.2%	7.9%	176	-0.29	3.06	258	66
Daniel Guerrero R 2016 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP	4.81	12.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.328	4.93	11.7%	2.0%	175	+0.12	4.61	269	66

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	44	19.0%	10.6%	1.24	4.93
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27