Aaron Shortridge
P Altoona Curve| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 26 | MIX2 levels | 30 | 28 | 143 | 4.90 | 4.24 | 19.4% | 8.5% | — | K 15.8% · BB 8.9% · FIP 4.77 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX3 levels | 17 | 10 | 64 | 4.36 | 3.52 | 23.9% | 8.1% | — | K 16.0% · BB 8.4% · FIP 4.97 |
| 2026 | 29 | MIX3 levels | 30 | 0 | 40 | 4.99 | 2.80 | 26.6% | 7.7% | — | K 21.7% · BB 9.1% · FIP 4.45 |
| 2027PROJ | 30 | MLBPIT | — | — | 0 | 4.59 | 4.59 | 20.6% | 9.0% | — | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 31 | MLBPIT | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4.69 | 4.77 | 20.5% | 9.3% | 0.0 |
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | 24 | 24 | 136 | 545 | 104 | 25 | 13 | 100% | 5.7 | 14.7% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 3.25 | 4.06 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ RAW | Bradenton Marauders | 24 | 24 | 136 | 545 | 104 | 25 | 13 | 100% | 5.7 | 19.1% | 4.6% | 14.5% | 2.4% | 3.25 | 3.37 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 17 | 17 | 64 | 289 | 43 | 33 | 6 | 100% | 3.8 | 11.8% | 13.4% | -1.6% | 2.6% | 4.34 | 5.24 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 17 | 17 | 64 | 289 | 43 | 33 | 6 | 100% | 3.8 | 14.9% | 11.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.34 | 4.51 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 30 | 28 | 143 | 624 | 121 | 53 | 19 | 93% | 4.8 | 15.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 4.90 | 4.77 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 30 | 28 | 143 | 624 | 121 | 53 | 19 | 93% | 4.8 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.90 | 4.24 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 17 | 10 | 64 | 272 | 65 | 22 | 7 | 59% | 3.8 | 16.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 4.36 | 4.97 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 17 | 10 | 64 | 272 | 65 | 22 | 7 | 59% | 3.8 | 16.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 4.36 | 4.97 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 17 | 10 | 64 | 272 | 65 | 22 | 7 | 59% | 3.8 | 23.9% | 8.1% | 15.8% | 2.6% | 4.36 | 3.52 | — |
| 2026 | 29 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 30 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 45 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.7% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 3.7% | 4.99 | 4.45 | — |
| 2026 | 29 | MIX MLE | 3 levels | 30 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 45 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.7% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 3.7% | 4.99 | 4.45 | — |
| 2026 | 29 | MIX RAW | 3 levels | 30 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 45 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 26.6% | 7.7% | 18.9% | 1.8% | 4.99 | 2.80 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.59 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | PIT | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 20.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | PIT | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.77 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 1 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.3 | 20.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.39 | +0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 160 | 64 | 32 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.39 | +2.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 118 | 79 | 447 | 1899 | 293 | 161 | 61 | 67% | 3.8 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 4.25 | 4.64 | +0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 53 | 35 | 200 | 850 | 131 | 72 | 27 | 67% | 3.8 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 4.25 | 4.64 | +1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAltoona Curve · 23 IPFIP 3.58 → 4.45 (+0.87)K% 26.8% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 26.80% | — | ×0.810 | 21.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 8.25% | — | ×1.100 | 9.07% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.09% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | 3.71% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 3.58 → 4.45, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKFCL Nationals · 9 IPFIP 1.41 → 2.67 (+1.26)K% 35.0% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 35.00% | — | ×0.680 | 23.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 10.00% | — | ×1.250 | 12.50% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.400 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 1.41 → 2.67, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 7 IPFIP 2.18 → 2.54 (+0.36)K% 15.6% → 12.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 15.62% | — | ×0.770 | 12.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 3.12% | — | ×1.150 | 3.59% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.250 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 2.18 → 2.54, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 49 IPFIP 4.49 → 4.97 (+0.48)K% 18.6% → 16.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 18.60% | — | ×0.860 | 16.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 9.30% | — | ×0.900 | 8.37% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.26% | ÷0.909 | ×1.100 | 3.94% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 82).
Result: FIP 4.49 → 4.97, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ABradenton Marauders · 10 IPFIP -0.38 → 0.66 (+1.04)K% 45.0% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 45.00% | — | ×0.740 | 33.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 2.50% | — | ×1.180 | 2.95% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.046 | ×1.300 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 109).
Result: FIP -0.38 → 0.66, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAltoona Curve · 138 IPFIP 4.20 → 4.77 (+0.56)K% 19.5% → 15.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 19.54% | — | ×0.810 | 15.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 8.11% | — | ×1.100 | 8.92% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.15% | ÷1.106 | ×1.200 | 3.41% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 121).
Result: FIP 4.20 → 4.77, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 5 IPFIP 4.37 → 4.29 (−0.08)K% 15.0% → 12.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 15.00% | — | ×0.860 | 12.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 20.00% | — | ×0.900 | 18.00% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.095 | ×1.100 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 119).
Result: FIP 4.37 → 4.29, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAltoona Curve · 55 IPFIP 4.71 → 5.24 (+0.53)K% 14.6% → 11.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 14.57% | — | ×0.810 | 11.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 12.20% | — | ×1.100 | 13.43% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.36% | ÷1.084 | ×1.200 | 2.62% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 117).
Result: FIP 4.71 → 5.24, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).