Aaron Shortridge

Aaron Shortridge P Altoona Curve

Age 29 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 41 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.91

FIP4.91

K%16.9%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%8.2%

ROS IP41

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 41 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	24	24	136	545	104	25	13	100%	5.7	14.7%	5.3%	9.4%	2.8%	3.25	4.06	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Bradenton Marauders	24	24	136	545	104	25	13	100%	5.7	19.1%	4.6%	14.5%	2.4%	3.25	3.37	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	17	64	289	43	33	6	100%	3.8	11.8%	13.4%	-1.6%	2.6%	4.34	5.24	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	17	64	289	43	33	6	100%	3.8	14.9%	11.4%	3.5%	2.1%	4.34	4.51	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	28	143	624	121	53	19	93%	4.8	15.8%	8.9%	6.9%	3.4%	4.90	4.77	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	28	143	624	121	53	19	93%	4.8	15.8%	8.9%	6.9%	3.4%	4.90	4.77	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	28	143	624	121	53	19	93%	4.8	19.4%	8.5%	10.9%	3.0%	4.90	4.24	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	10	64	272	65	22	7	59%	3.8	15.4%	8.4%	7.1%	3.9%	4.36	5.02	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	10	64	272	65	22	7	59%	3.8	15.4%	8.4%	7.1%	3.9%	4.36	5.02	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	10	64	272	65	22	7	59%	3.8	23.9%	8.1%	15.8%	2.6%	4.36	3.52	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	30	0	40	169	45	13	3	0%	1.3	21.7%	9.1%	12.6%	3.7%	4.99	4.45	—
YTD	29	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	30	0	40	169	45	13	3	0%	1.3	21.7%	9.1%	12.6%	3.7%	4.99	4.45	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	ROK RAW	PIT	6	0	9	40	14	4	0	0%	1.5	35.0%	10.0%	25.0%	0.0%	5.00	1.41	—
2026	29	A+ RAW	PIT	5	0	7	32	5	1	0	0%	1.5	15.6%	3.1%	12.5%	0.0%	6.14	2.18	—
2026	29	AA RAW	PIT	19	0	23	97	26	8	3	0%	1.2	26.8%	8.2%	18.6%	3.1%	4.63	3.58	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	PIT	37	0	39	164	28	15	6	0%	1.1	17.2%	9.1%	8.1%	3.4%	4.96	5.03	-0.2
2027	30	MLB CTX	PIT	11	0	12	51	9	5	2	0%	1.1	17.2%	9.1%	8.1%	3.4%	4.96	5.03	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	51	9	5	2	0%	1.0	17.2%	9.1%	8.1%	3.4%	4.96	4.65	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	148	82	33	0%	1.1	17.2%	9.1%	8.1%	3.4%	4.96	4.65	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		118	79	447	1899	292	161	61	67%	3.8	15.4%	8.5%	6.9%	3.2%	4.25	4.64	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	35	200	850	130	72	27	67%	3.8	15.4%	8.5%	6.9%	3.2%	4.25	4.64	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aaron Shortridge (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.91	16.9%	8.7%	3.2%	—	5.03	17.2%	8.1%	39	+0.12	—	—	—
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	81
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	204	76
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	75
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	75
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	75
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	75
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	73
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	72
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	72
Jose A. Flores R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	29	SP-	4.77	13.7%	10.3%	2.8%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	237	72
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	72
Paul Clemens R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SW	4.72	14.9%	11.0%	2.7%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	247	71
Kanekoa Texeira R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	29	SP-	4.13	14.5%	11.2%	1.5%	.280	4.10	10.2%	-0.2%	63	-0.03	4.10	165	71
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	71
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	70
Steve Johnson R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	29	SW	4.53	20.3%	8.9%	3.7%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	152	70
Donovan Hand R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SW	4.30	11.1%	4.3%	2.9%	.305	4.56	12.5%	5.7%	140	+0.26	4.30	237	70
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	70
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	70
Justin Masterson R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	30	SP-	4.10	18.2%	10.5%	2.2%	.307	3.73	17.3%	6.4%	196	-0.37	3.50	269	70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	40	17.1%	8.9%	1.27	4.93
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38