Aaron Shortridge
P
FCL Nationals
Age 29
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 41 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 108
ERA4.73
FIP4.73
K%20.2%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%10.9%
ROS IP41
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | 24 | 24 | 136 | 545 | 104 | 25 | 13 | 100% | 5.7 | 14.7% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 3.25 | 3.97 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | 24 | 24 | 136 | 545 | 104 | 25 | 13 | 100% | 5.7 | 19.1% | 4.6% | 14.5% | 2.4% | 3.25 | 3.37 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 17 | 64 | 289 | 43 | 33 | 6 | 100% | 3.8 | 11.8% | 13.4% | -1.6% | 2.4% | 4.34 | 5.14 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 17 | 64 | 289 | 43 | 33 | 6 | 100% | 3.8 | 14.9% | 11.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.34 | 4.51 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 28 | 143 | 624 | 121 | 53 | 19 | 93% | 4.8 | 15.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 4.90 | 4.60 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 28 | 143 | 624 | 121 | 53 | 19 | 93% | 4.8 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.90 | 4.24 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 10 | 64 | 272 | 65 | 22 | 7 | 59% | 3.8 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.36 | 5.36 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 10 | 64 | 272 | 65 | 22 | 7 | 59% | 3.8 | 23.9% | 8.1% | 15.8% | 2.6% | 4.36 | 3.52 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 18 | 0 | 24 | 108 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | — | — | — | — | 6.29 | — | — |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | WSH | 39 | 0 | 41 | 175 | 35 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.73 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.73 | 4.73 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 66 | 283 | 60 | 23 | 7 | — | — | 21.3% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 2.4% | 5.31 | 2.98 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 6 | 6 | 39 | 164 | 33 | 16 | 6 | 100% | 6.5 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 3.4% | 4.80 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 2 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 3.4% | 4.80 | 4.87 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 12 | 49 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 3.4% | 4.80 | 4.49 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 172 | 86 | 34 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 3.4% | 4.80 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 106 | 79 | 432 | 1838 | 282 | 157 | 54 | 75% | 4.1 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 4.48 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 37 | 200 | 852 | 131 | 73 | 25 | 75% | 4.1 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 4.48 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Aaron Shortridge (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.73 | 20.2% | 9.3% | 3.2% | — | 4.87 | 20.2% | 10.5% | 39 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 78 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 73 |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 73 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.10 | 22.8% | 11.5% | 4.5% | .321 | 4.41 | 21.3% | 11.7% | 251 | -0.69 | 3.33 | 556 | 73 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 72 |
| Justin Masterson R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 70 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 70 |
| Matt Cain R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 69 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 69 |
| Jacob Turner R 2024 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 68 |
| Kanekoa Texeira R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.12 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .280 | 4.05 | 10.2% | -0.2% | 63 | -0.07 | 4.05 | 165 | 68 |
| Bradin Hagens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.85 | 14.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .341 | 5.33 | 13.2% | 0.6% | 66 | +0.48 | 3.78 | 254 | 68 |
| Zack Segovia R 2029 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 68 |
| Yohan Pino R 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 68 |
| Steve Johnson R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 68 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.28 | 15.3% | 8.5% | 2.6% | .316 | 3.71 | 17.1% | 8.5% | 348 | -0.57 | 3.16 | 593 | 67 |
| Paul Clemens R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.76 | 14.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.76 | 247 | 67 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.54 | 12.5% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .346 | 7.46 | 8.6% | 1.4% | 39 | +2.92 | 4.54 | 224 | 67 |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 67 |
| Hiram Burgos R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.14 | 19.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 355 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 40 | 20.2% | 9.5% | 1.28 | 4.76 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |