Eli Lingos P Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 30 LHP 5'11" / 200 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 34 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103113vR 122
ERA4.53
FIP4.53
K%22.2%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%12.3%
ROS IP34
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP
K: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.01 (34 IP)+0.0WAR
0.0-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201822ROKAZL Indians 1120218534210%1.727.2%2.9%24.3%1.6%2.612.08
201822ROKAZL Indians 1120218534210%1.740.0%2.4%37.6%1.2%2.610.73
201923MIX2 levels321110844499311134%3.417.5%7.9%9.6%3.0%3.994.26
201923MIX2 levels321110844499311134%3.422.3%7.0%15.3%2.5%3.993.45
202125AAAkron RubberDucks6620881690100%3.314.7%11.3%3.5%0.0%4.953.28
202125AAAkron RubberDucks6620881690100%3.318.2%10.2%8.0%0.0%4.952.85
202226MIX2 levels38363255532068%1.717.4%8.5%8.9%2.7%3.134.19
202226MIX2 levels38363255532068%1.720.8%7.8%12.9%2.4%3.133.61
202327AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes32050217372880%1.615.0%13.5%1.5%3.6%5.015.53
202327AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes32050217372880%1.617.1%12.9%4.1%3.7%5.015.36
▸ 2026 Season
202630MLBCOL33034144321440%1.022.2%9.9%12.3%3.0%4.534.53+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731MLBCOL30032135301440%1.121.9%10.2%11.8%3.3%4.634.71-0.1
202731MLBCOL110125111520%1.121.9%10.2%11.8%3.3%4.634.71-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career110125011520%1.121.9%10.2%11.8%3.3%4.634.33+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084418885340%1.121.9%10.2%11.8%3.3%4.634.33+2.5
Career120202631089191992917%2.217.5%9.1%8.4%2.7%3.944.25+3.5
/ 200 IP9115200829145752217%2.217.5%9.1%8.4%2.7%3.944.25+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Eli Lingos (OGILVIE) 4.53 22.2%9.9%3.0% 4.71 21.9%11.8%32 +0.18
Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP 29 SU 4.83 20.2%9.6%4.0%.301 2.68 175 80
Phil Coke L 2029 · 4.00 FIP 33 SU 4.00 18.8%9.1%2.4%.373 3.04 18.0%11.3%70 -0.96 3.04 101 74
Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP 30 SU 3.73 20.7%10.1%2.0%.271 2.91 21.8%17.1%88 -0.82 2.35 306 73
Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.48 FIP 30 SU 4.48 23.7%11.1%3.6%.270 3.80 172 73
Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.29 FIP 30 SU 4.29 24.9%9.8%3.7%.268 8.16 15.0%-1.4%20 +3.87 3.04 145 73
Chris Narveson L 2029 · 4.83 FIP 33 SW 4.83 23.6%8.0%4.9%.333 4.57 14.1%4.5%193 -0.26 4.40 249 72
Arturo Barradas L 2025 · 3.45 FIP 29 SU 3.45 18.1%7.0%1.8%.288 3.17 16.1%9.5%34 -0.28 3.17 163 70
David Huff L 2026 · 3.63 FIP 30 SW 3.63 17.1%3.8%2.7%.271 4.00 19.5%14.6%52 +0.37 3.63 158 70
Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.73 FIP 29 SU 3.73 18.1%7.0%2.3%.342 2.95 20.6%17.2%29 -0.78 2.95 101 70
Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.37 FIP 30 SU 4.37 19.1%9.0%3.2%.245 3.99 16.6%8.5%64 -0.38 3.09 244 70
Vidal Nuño L 2026 · 4.69 FIP 30 SU 4.69 20.7%8.1%4.2%.315 4.13 20.6%15.0%125 -0.56 4.07 424 70
Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.76 FIP 30 SU 3.76 27.7%11.9%2.7%.294 4.09 22.5%10.9%110 +0.33 3.72 181 70
Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.44 FIP 30 SU 3.44 16.2%8.4%1.2%.290 3.67 17.9%13.2%105 +0.23 3.44 152 69
Héctor Santiago L 2026 · 4.62 FIP 30 SU 4.62 22.4%12.4%3.4%.299 4.70 22.5%11.9%154 +0.08 4.40 713 69
Aaron Brown L 2026 · 5.22 FIP 30 SU 5.22 21.3%12.5%4.2%.253 3.88 269 69
Ryan O'Rourke L 2027 · 4.13 FIP 31 SU 4.13 22.1%14.3%2.0%.290 3.06 145 69
Keith Hessler L 2025 · 4.73 FIP 29 SU 4.73 19.8%13.3%3.0%.348 3.33 228 69
Jeff Beliveau L 2026 · 4.55 FIP 30 SU 4.55 25.2%11.3%3.9%.261 3.76 23.3%8.9%26 -0.79 3.10 137 69
Felix Doubront L 2025 · 4.45 FIP 29 SU 4.45 23.7%9.0%4.0%.304 3.39 17.6%12.6%126 -1.06 3.39 291 68
Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.16 FIP 30 SU 4.16 26.2%8.9%3.9%.291 2.51 190 68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23322.1%10.0%1.224.58
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21