Domingo Robles

P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 29 LHP 6'2" / 170 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2027

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	MIX2 levels	22	14	87	2.91	2.88	26.8%	7.1%	—	K 21.1% · BB 7.9% · FIP 3.79
2025	27	MIX3 levels	14	5	42	4.04	3.24	21.7%	5.7%	—	K 15.2% · BB 5.8% · FIP 3.97
2026	28	MIX2 levels	41	1	76	5.68	4.11	16.8%	9.9%	—	K 14.0% · BB 9.7% · FIP 4.39
2027PROJ	29	MLBOAK	25	25	165	4.66	4.66	16.0%	7.7%	0.5
2028PROJ31% MLB	30	MLBOAK	7	7	49	4.72	4.79	16.3%	8.0%	0.1
2029PROJ51% MLB	31	MLBOAK	11	11	74	4.85	4.95	16.3%	8.3%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Control62Command57FB velo57

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsChris Michalak (age 30) · Danny Wirchansky (age 27) · James Gillheeney (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105114vR 122

ERA4.66

FIP4.66

K%16.0%

BB%7.7%

K-BB%8.3%

Proj IP165

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 165 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5055

CTRL6060

CMD6060

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates	15	15	68	295	44	20	4	100%	4.6	10.1%	8.5%	1.7%	1.9%	3.95	4.36	—
2015	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates	15	15	68	295	44	20	4	100%	4.6	14.9%	6.8%	8.1%	1.4%	3.95	3.45	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	9	5	36	152	18	4	3	56%	4.0	8.1%	3.3%	4.8%	2.8%	4.25	4.35	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	GCL Pirates	9	5	36	152	18	4	3	56%	4.0	11.8%	2.6%	9.2%	2.0%	4.25	3.52	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	14	14	69	303	51	16	5	100%	4.9	11.4%	6.6%	4.8%	2.3%	4.83	4.24	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	Bristol Pirates	14	14	69	303	51	16	5	100%	4.9	16.8%	5.3%	11.6%	1.7%	4.83	3.26	—
2018	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	143	608	107	36	9	100%	5.5	13.1%	6.9%	6.2%	1.6%	3.33	3.77	—
2018	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	143	608	107	36	9	100%	5.5	17.6%	5.9%	11.7%	1.5%	3.33	3.18	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	28	165	684	124	36	18	100%	5.9	14.4%	5.9%	8.5%	3.8%	3.49	4.70	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	28	165	684	124	36	18	100%	5.9	18.1%	5.3%	12.9%	2.6%	3.49	3.67	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	23	21	92	411	78	24	18	91%	4.0	15.4%	6.4%	8.9%	5.3%	6.09	5.53	—
2021	23	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	23	21	92	411	78	24	18	91%	4.0	19.0%	5.8%	13.1%	4.4%	6.09	4.74	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	30	10	110	495	70	42	12	33%	3.7	11.5%	9.3%	2.1%	2.7%	6.14	4.81	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	30	10	110	495	70	42	12	33%	3.7	14.1%	8.5%	5.7%	2.4%	6.14	4.39	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	24	129	546	131	38	10	92%	5.0	19.5%	7.4%	12.1%	2.7%	3.91	3.87	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	24	129	546	131	38	10	92%	5.0	24.0%	7.0%	17.0%	1.8%	3.91	2.96	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	14	87	340	91	24	7	64%	3.9	21.1%	7.9%	13.2%	2.7%	2.91	3.79	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	14	87	340	91	24	7	64%	3.9	21.1%	7.9%	13.2%	2.7%	2.91	3.79	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	14	87	340	91	24	7	64%	3.9	26.8%	7.1%	19.7%	2.1%	2.91	2.88	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	5	42	175	38	10	4	36%	3.0	15.2%	5.8%	9.4%	2.6%	4.04	3.97	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	5	42	175	38	10	4	36%	3.0	15.2%	5.8%	9.4%	2.6%	4.04	3.97	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	14	5	42	175	38	10	4	36%	3.0	21.7%	5.7%	16.0%	2.3%	4.04	3.24	—
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	1	76	345	58	34	7	2%	1.9	14.0%	9.7%	4.2%	2.3%	5.68	4.39	—
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	1	76	345	58	34	7	2%	1.9	14.0%	9.7%	4.2%	2.3%	5.68	4.39	—
2026	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	1	76	345	58	34	7	2%	1.9	16.8%	9.9%	7.0%	2.0%	5.68	4.11	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	OAK	25	25	165	697	112	54	20	100%	6.6	16.0%	7.7%	8.3%	2.8%	4.66	4.66	+0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	OAK	24	24	155	655	107	52	20	100%	6.5	16.3%	8.0%	8.3%	3.1%	4.72	4.79	+0.2
2029	31	MLB MLE	OAK	22	22	145	611	100	51	20	100%	6.6	16.3%	8.3%	8.0%	3.3%	4.85	4.95	-0.1
2030	32	MLB MLE	OAK	20	20	134	565	91	49	20	100%	6.7	16.1%	8.7%	7.4%	3.5%	5.01	5.14	-0.4
2028	30	MLB CTX	OAK	7	7	49	207	34	17	6	100%	7.0	16.3%	8.0%	8.3%	3.1%	4.72	4.79	+0.1
2029	31	MLB CTX	OAK	11	11	74	312	51	26	10	100%	6.7	16.3%	8.3%	8.0%	3.3%	4.85	4.95	-0.0
2030	32	MLB CTX	OAK	13	13	87	367	59	32	13	100%	6.7	16.1%	8.7%	7.4%	3.5%	5.01	5.14	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		32	32	210	886	144	75	29	100%	6.6	16.2%	8.4%	7.8%	3.3%	4.89	4.62	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		30	30	200	844	137	71	28	100%	6.6	16.2%	8.4%	7.8%	3.3%	4.89	4.62	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		248	163	1017	4354	628	316	124	66%	4.1	14.4%	7.3%	7.2%	2.8%	4.33	4.36	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	32	200	856	124	62	24	66%	4.1	14.4%	7.3%	7.2%	2.8%	4.33	4.36	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Domingo Robles (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	16.0%	7.7%	2.8%	—	4.95	16.2%	7.9%	434	+0.29	—	—	—
Chris Michalak L 2001 · 4.92 FIP	30	SP-	4.92	11.0%	8.2%	3.1%	.291	4.71	7.0%	-4.3%	14	-0.21	4.71	186	80
Danny Wirchansky L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	16.2%	7.4%	3.3%	.246	5.88	13.0%	0.2%	68	+1.41	4.47	179	79
James Gillheeney L 2015 · 3.79 FIP	27	SP-	3.79	14.4%	8.0%	1.6%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	129	78
John Anderson L 2016 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP-	4.23	14.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	235	75
Yohan Flande L 2015 · 4.68 FIP	29	SP-	4.68	12.9%	5.5%	3.6%	.289	3.27	15.1%	8.4%	172	-1.41	3.18	394	68
Kyle Hald L 2015 · 4.33 FIP	26	SP	4.33	12.1%	7.4%	2.4%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.33	124	66
Matt Crouse L 2017 · 4.64 FIP	27	SP	4.64	12.0%	7.4%	2.9%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	342	66
Aaron Rozek L 2024 · 3.68 FIP	28	SP-	3.68	16.2%	5.8%	2.2%	.304	4.68	16.9%	9.0%	234	+1.00	3.68	579	66
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2024 · 5.19 FIP	27	SP-	5.19	12.4%	7.9%	3.9%	.290	3.85	16.3%	7.3%	118	-1.34	2.95	313	66
Carlos Teller L 2016 · 4.86 FIP	29	SP-	4.86	14.3%	10.7%	2.9%	.297	4.74	12.6%	1.1%	148	-0.12	3.75	333	64
Tommy Shirley L 2016 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP-	4.93	13.0%	8.8%	3.3%	.366	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	147	64
Darrell May L 2002 · 5.40 FIP	30	SP-	5.40	16.4%	8.1%	4.8%	.284	5.02	13.5%	7.2%	462	-0.38	4.24	657	63
Edgar Osuna L 2017 · 5.05 FIP	29	SP	5.05	10.6%	8.2%	3.3%	.345	5.09	10.0%	2.8%	83	+0.04	5.05	175	62
Logan Darnell L 2018 · 4.73 FIP	29	SP-	4.73	13.3%	6.0%	3.6%	.327	3.97	12.8%	6.7%	47	-0.76	3.16	454	62
Carlos Hernandez L 2016 · 3.47 FIP	29	SP-	3.47	13.4%	3.6%	1.9%	.386	2.97	16.1%	11.4%	171	-0.50	2.83	331	61
Scott Downs L 2005 · 4.22 FIP	29	SP-	4.22	18.4%	8.4%	2.9%	.283	3.29	20.5%	12.9%	206	-0.93	2.68	748	60
Arturo Lopez L 2015 · 4.80 FIP	32	SP	4.80	13.7%	6.2%	3.8%	.301	4.80	10.9%	4.2%	217	+0.00	4.34	445	59
Tomas Solis L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	32	SP	4.20	15.0%	6.2%	2.9%	.264	5.09	12.0%	3.7%	159	+0.89	4.20	327	59
Nick Greenwood L 2016 · 3.71 FIP	28	SP-	3.71	11.2%	2.9%	2.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.71	277	59
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	59

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.0	150	16.2%	8.2%	1.22	4.80
Paul Wilson ('05)	4.7	135	14.9%	8.1%	1.20	4.86
Walt Dickson ('10-'15, 2 WAR*)	3.5	140	13.6%*	8.3%*	1.08*	4.71*
Manny Salvo ('39-'43, 4 WAR*)	3.6	144	17.2%*	9.2%*	1.19*	4.37*
Socks Seibold ('16-'33, 4 WAR*)	5.3	133	15.4%*	9.6%*	1.16*	4.69*
Brandon Claussen ('06)	1.6	105	16.0%	8.5%	1.37	5.04
Miguel González ('18)	4.4	147	16.4%	7.6%	1.25	4.06