José Suarez — OGILVIE

José Suarez P Athletics

Age 28 LHP 5'10" / 225 lbs MLB

2026 ROS PROJECTION61 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 94102vR 110

ERA4.29

FIP4.06

K%21.8%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%13.1%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2592.7

Whiff%

p5926.7%

p4922.0%

xwOBA vs

p450.317

CH+1.0 (24%)

SL+0.9 (29%)

SI (10%)

FB-1.7 (46%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	17	ROK MLE	AZL Angels	15	13	73	303	46	12	0	87%	4.8	10.3%	5.0%	5.4%	0.0%	2.97	2.86	—
2015	17	ROK RAW	AZL Angels	15	13	73	303	46	12	0	87%	4.8	15.2%	4.0%	11.2%	0.0%	2.97	2.33	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	Orem Owlz	12	6	45	201	53	14	1	50%	3.7	17.9%	8.7%	9.2%	0.7%	4.84	3.07	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	Orem Owlz	12	6	45	201	53	14	1	50%	3.7	26.4%	7.0%	19.4%	0.5%	4.84	1.96	—
2017	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	15	69	277	90	22	8	100%	4.6	23.6%	9.5%	14.2%	3.5%	3.28	4.21	—
2017	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	15	69	277	90	22	8	100%	4.6	32.5%	7.9%	24.5%	2.9%	3.28	2.95	—
2018	20	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	26	117	507	142	43	5	100%	4.5	22.5%	9.5%	13.0%	1.2%	3.92	3.07	—
2018	20	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	26	117	507	142	43	5	100%	4.5	28.0%	8.5%	19.5%	1.0%	3.92	2.33	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	21	113	513	103	49	26	81%	4.4	19.4%	9.7%	9.6%	5.0%	6.11	5.44	-0.7
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	21	113	513	103	49	26	81%	4.4	20.1%	9.6%	10.5%	5.1%	6.11	5.56	-0.8
2020	22	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	2	2	2	23	2	5	1	100%	1.2	8.7%	21.7%	-13.0%	4.3%	38.57	7.51	-0.1
2020	22	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	2	2	2	23	2	5	1	100%	1.2	8.7%	21.7%	-13.0%	4.3%	38.57	13.39	-0.2
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	16	104	440	89	36	11	64%	4.2	20.6%	8.5%	12.1%	2.6%	3.62	3.87	+1.3
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	16	104	440	89	36	11	64%	4.2	20.2%	8.2%	12.0%	2.5%	3.62	3.80	+1.4
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	23	126	539	120	39	17	88%	4.8	21.9%	7.3%	14.6%	3.2%	4.58	3.92	+1.5
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	23	126	539	120	39	17	88%	4.8	22.3%	7.2%	15.0%	3.2%	4.58	3.88	+1.5
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	9	37	182	32	21	10	69%	2.8	17.0%	11.5%	5.5%	5.9%	7.78	6.39	-0.6
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	9	37	182	32	21	10	69%	2.8	17.0%	11.5%	5.5%	5.9%	7.78	6.39	-0.6
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	9	37	182	32	21	10	69%	2.8	17.6%	11.5%	6.0%	5.5%	7.78	6.59	-0.7
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	14	105	485	118	44	17	42%	3.2	22.2%	8.7%	13.4%	4.0%	6.28	4.52	+0.0
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	14	105	485	118	44	17	42%	3.2	22.2%	8.7%	13.4%	4.0%	6.28	4.52	+0.0
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	14	105	485	118	44	17	42%	3.2	24.3%	9.1%	15.3%	3.5%	6.28	4.22	+0.4
2025	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	20	12	81	332	85	21	8	60%	4.1	21.6%	6.3%	15.2%	2.9%	3.11	3.68	+1.2
2025	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	20	12	81	332	85	21	8	60%	4.1	21.6%	6.3%	15.2%	2.9%	3.11	3.68	+1.2
2025	27	MIX RAW	4 levels	20	12	81	332	85	21	8	60%	4.1	25.6%	6.3%	19.3%	2.4%	3.11	3.06	+1.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			151	64	457	2036	423	184	73	42%	3.0	20.8%	9.0%	11.7%	3.6%	5.37	4.53	+0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	MLB MLE	Athletics	45	2	61	277	61	26	6	4%	1.4	22.0%	9.4%	12.6%	2.2%	5.87	3.65	+0.7
YTD	28	MLB MLE	Athletics	45	2	61	277	61	26	6	4%	1.4	22.0%	9.4%	12.6%	2.2%	5.87	3.65	+0.7
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	MLB RAW	OAK	45	2	61	277	61	26	6	4%	1.4	22.0%	9.4%	12.6%	2.2%	5.87	3.62	+0.7
SO FAR	28	MLB RAW	OAK	45	2	61	277	61	26	6	4%	1.4	22.0%	9.4%	12.6%	2.2%	5.87	3.62	+0.7
ROS	28	MLB MLE	OAK	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	8.7%	13.1%	3.1%	4.29	4.06	+0.0
ROS	28	MLB CTX	OAK	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	8.7%	13.1%	3.1%	4.29	4.06	+0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	OAK	—	—	66	298	66	28	7	—	—	22.0%	9.3%	12.7%	2.2%	5.75	3.68	+0.7
FULL	28	MLB A+C	OAK	—	—	66	280	66	28	7	—	—	23.4%	9.9%	13.5%	2.4%	5.75	3.69	+0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	OAK	9	9	58	243	51	22	7	100%	6.4	21.1%	8.9%	12.2%	3.0%	4.50	4.47	+0.3
2028	30	MLB MLE	OAK	9	9	54	228	47	21	7	100%	6.0	20.4%	9.2%	11.2%	3.2%	4.61	4.68	+0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	OAK	9	9	58	245	52	22	7	100%	6.4	21.1%	8.9%	12.2%	3.0%	4.50	4.47	+0.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	OAK	9	9	54	228	47	21	7	100%	6.0	20.4%	9.2%	11.2%	3.2%	4.61	4.68	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		173	82	574	2528	526	229	88	47%	3.3	20.8%	9.0%	11.7%	3.5%	5.20	4.40	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		60	28	200	881	183	80	31	47%	3.3	20.8%	9.0%	11.7%	3.5%	5.20	4.40	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		258	159	933	4079	827	349	118	62%	3.6	20.3%	8.5%	11.7%	2.9%	4.73	4.06	+2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	34	200	875	177	75	25	62%	3.6	20.3%	8.5%	11.7%	2.9%	4.73	4.06	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
José Suarez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.47	21.4%	8.2%	3.2%	—	4.57	20.8%	11.7%	112	+0.10	—	—	—
Hector Hernandez L 2019 · 3.39 FIP	28	SW	3.39	20.2%	9.0%	1.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	121	72
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	67
Jordan Carr L 2023 · 3.49 FIP	26	SW	3.49	17.2%	8.5%	1.4%	.270	5.16	12.7%	2.3%	137	+1.67	3.49	269	67
Chad Bell L 2017 · 4.57 FIP	28	SW	4.57	19.4%	8.9%	3.6%	.341	4.38	18.8%	11.4%	57	-0.19	3.39	393	65
Andy Oliver L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	28	SP-	3.93	19.9%	9.9%	2.3%	.321	7.12	16.6%	2.7%	21	+3.19	3.93	165	65
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	65
Matt Whitehouse L 2019 · 4.07 FIP	28	SW	4.07	20.1%	10.9%	2.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	353	64
Andy Otero L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	29	SP-	3.89	24.7%	6.2%	3.8%	.298	4.36	14.5%	5.6%	68	+0.47	2.86	200	64
Chris O'Grady L 2017 · 4.33 FIP	27	SP-	4.33	21.4%	9.0%	3.5%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	232	62
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	61
Onelki Garcia L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	27	SP-	4.02	16.5%	9.3%	2.1%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.99	164	61
Tyler Alexander L 2019 · 5.56 FIP	27	SP-	5.56	21.7%	9.8%	5.6%	.289	5.27	15.7%	5.0%	26	-0.29	5.27	128	61
Rito Lugo L 2022 · 4.04 FIP	26	SW	4.04	18.3%	7.3%	2.8%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	176	61
Austin Warner L 2022 · 4.78 FIP	28	SW	4.78	16.9%	9.0%	3.6%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	491	60
Duane Below L 2015 · 3.63 FIP	29	SW	3.63	12.5%	3.7%	2.0%	.266	4.57	14.7%	9.6%	140	+0.94	3.63	189	60
Edgar Olmos L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	27	SW	3.64	18.9%	9.7%	1.7%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	203	60
Aaron Laffey L 2015 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	13.5%	9.7%	1.7%	.318	4.39	12.5%	5.2%	192	+0.27	3.51	282	60
Miguel Pena L 2019 · 5.08 FIP	28	SW	5.08	16.0%	7.0%	4.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	282	59
Matt Tracy L 2017 · 4.82 FIP	28	SP-	4.82	16.1%	9.4%	3.5%	.325	3.24	13.9%	3.5%	49	-1.58	3.24	298	59
Carlos Teller L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	28	SP-	3.75	13.8%	10.9%	0.8%	.329	4.75	13.3%	3.1%	187	+1.00	3.75	333	58

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	21.0%	8.8%	1.21	4.60
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47