José Suarez
P
Athletics
Age 28
LHP
5'10" / 225 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 64 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8291vR 100
ERA3.92
FIP3.72
K%23.5%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%14.6%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2692.8
Whiff%
p6828.1%
K%
p6424.8%
xwOBA vs
p680.294
CH+1.0 (24%)
SL+0.9 (28%)
SI (9%)
FB-1.7 (47%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | AZL Angels | 15 | 13 | 73 | 303 | 46 | 12 | 0 | 87% | 4.8 | 10.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 0.0% | 2.97 | 2.86 | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | AZL Angels | 15 | 13 | 73 | 303 | 46 | 12 | 0 | 87% | 4.8 | 15.2% | 4.0% | 11.2% | 0.0% | 2.97 | 2.33 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | Orem Owlz | 12 | 6 | 45 | 201 | 53 | 14 | 1 | 50% | 3.7 | 17.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 0.7% | 4.84 | 3.07 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | Orem Owlz | 12 | 6 | 45 | 201 | 53 | 14 | 1 | 50% | 3.7 | 26.4% | 7.0% | 19.4% | 0.5% | 4.84 | 1.96 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 15 | 69 | 277 | 90 | 22 | 8 | 100% | 4.6 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 3.2% | 3.28 | 4.07 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 15 | 69 | 277 | 90 | 22 | 8 | 100% | 4.6 | 32.5% | 7.9% | 24.5% | 2.9% | 3.28 | 2.95 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 26 | 117 | 507 | 142 | 43 | 5 | 100% | 4.5 | 22.5% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 1.3% | 3.92 | 3.10 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 26 | 117 | 507 | 142 | 43 | 5 | 100% | 4.5 | 28.0% | 8.5% | 19.5% | 1.0% | 3.92 | 2.33 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 21 | 113 | 513 | 103 | 49 | 26 | 81% | 4.4 | 19.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 6.11 | 5.56 | -0.2 |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 21 | 113 | 513 | 103 | 49 | 26 | 81% | 4.4 | 20.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 6.11 | 5.56 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 22 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 2 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 1.2 | 8.7% | 21.7% | -13.0% | 4.3% | 38.57 | 7.51 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 22 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 2 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 1.2 | 8.7% | 21.7% | -13.0% | 4.3% | 38.57 | 13.39 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 16 | 104 | 440 | 89 | 36 | 11 | 64% | 4.2 | 20.6% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 2.8% | 3.62 | 3.95 | +1.8 |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 16 | 104 | 440 | 89 | 36 | 11 | 64% | 4.2 | 20.2% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 2.5% | 3.62 | 3.80 | +2.0 |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 23 | 126 | 539 | 120 | 39 | 17 | 88% | 4.8 | 21.9% | 7.3% | 14.6% | 3.3% | 4.58 | 4.01 | +2.0 |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 23 | 126 | 539 | 120 | 39 | 17 | 88% | 4.8 | 22.3% | 7.2% | 15.0% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 3.88 | +2.2 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 9 | 37 | 182 | 32 | 21 | 10 | 69% | 2.8 | 17.0% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.78 | 6.57 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 9 | 37 | 182 | 32 | 21 | 10 | 69% | 2.8 | 17.6% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.78 | 6.59 | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 14 | 105 | 485 | 118 | 44 | 17 | 42% | 3.2 | 22.8% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 4.4% | 6.28 | 4.78 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 14 | 105 | 485 | 118 | 44 | 17 | 42% | 3.2 | 24.3% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 3.5% | 6.28 | 4.22 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 4 levels | 20 | 12 | 81 | 332 | 85 | 21 | 8 | 60% | 4.1 | 22.3% | 6.7% | 15.6% | 3.1% | 3.11 | 3.75 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 4 levels | 20 | 12 | 81 | 332 | 85 | 21 | 8 | 60% | 4.1 | 25.6% | 6.3% | 19.3% | 2.4% | 3.11 | 3.06 | +1.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Athletics | 35 | 3 | 59 | 263 | 66 | 25 | 3 | 9% | 1.7 | 24.8% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 1.4% | 4.91 | 2.95 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 9 | 9 | 58 | 243 | 55 | 22 | 7 | 100% | 6.4 | 22.9% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 2.7% | 4.24 | 4.22 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 51 | 22 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.1% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 9 | 9 | 58 | 245 | 56 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 6.4 | 22.9% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 2.7% | 4.24 | 4.22 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 51 | 22 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.1% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 159 | 83 | 566 | 2493 | 534 | 227 | 83 | 52% | 3.6 | 21.4% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 5.06 | 4.28 | +7.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 29 | 200 | 881 | 189 | 80 | 29 | 52% | 3.6 | 21.4% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 5.06 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 248 | 160 | 930 | 4065 | 837 | 351 | 121 | 65% | 3.7 | 20.6% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.09 | +14.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 34 | 200 | 874 | 180 | 76 | 26 | 65% | 3.7 | 20.6% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| José Suarez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 22.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% | — | 4.32 | 22.5% | 13.2% | 112 | -0.23 | — | — | — |
| Hector Hernandez L 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 69 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2024 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 65 |
| Andy Otero L 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.08 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.38 | 14.5% | 5.6% | 68 | +0.30 | 2.85 | 200 | 63 |
| Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .321 | 7.40 | 16.6% | 2.7% | 21 | +2.96 | 4.08 | 165 | 63 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2025 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 63 |
| Roy Merritt L 2028 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 62 |
| Chad Bell L 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.62 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 3.7% | .341 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 11.4% | 57 | -0.18 | 3.47 | 393 | 61 |
| Chris O'Grady L 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.44 | 21.4% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 232 | 61 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 60 |
| Jack Dashwood L 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.80 | 17.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 309 | 60 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.13 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 2.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 300 | 59 |
| Zach Logue L 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.95 | 20.2% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 700 | 59 |
| Easton Lucas L 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.19 | 21.7% | 10.9% | 4.6% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 311 | 59 |
| Onelki Garcia L 2025 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.07 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 164 | 59 |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.88 | 16.1% | 9.4% | 3.6% | .325 | 3.24 | 13.9% | 3.5% | 49 | -1.64 | 3.24 | 298 | 58 |
| Chris Reed L 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 137 | 58 |
| Rito Lugo L 2024 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.97 | 18.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 176 | 58 |
| Duane Below L 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.54 | 12.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | .266 | 4.42 | 14.7% | 9.6% | 140 | +0.88 | 3.54 | 189 | 56 |
| Marco Tovar L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.97 | 16.1% | 11.3% | 3.3% | .317 | 4.79 | 12.6% | 7.0% | 82 | -0.18 | 3.79 | 327 | 56 |
| Austin Warner L 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.56 | 16.9% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 491 | 56 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 57 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 1.17 | 4.45 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |