Enoli Paredes — OGILVIE

Enoli Paredes P Norfolk Tides

+0.5 WAR

Age 30 RHP 5'11" / 171 lbs AAA peak 0.5 · 2026

ERA3.14

FIP4.13

xFIP4.82

SIERA4.65

K%24.2%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%12.8%

IP52

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2026

STUF5555

CTRL4545

CMD5555

K†6060

FB Velo

p4193.9

Whiff%

p6928.2%

p2418.4%

xwOBA vs

p390.324

SL+3.1 (38%)

FB+1.7 (62%)

SI (22%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2016	20	ROK	GCL Astros	12	3	34	146	46	19	0	21.4%	16.3%	0.0%	3.74	3.35	+0.6
2017	21	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	8	6	38	143	33	13	3	17.1%	10.7%	2.4%	2.11	4.31	+0.3
2018	22	A+	Buies Creek Astros	24	5	69	277	90	29	1	24.2%	12.3%	0.5%	1.43	2.88	+1.7
2019	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	22	12	94	374	128	42	4	27.1%	12.6%	1.3%	2.78	3.15	+2.2
2020	24	MLB	Houston Astros	22	0	21	90	20	11	1	22.2%	12.2%	1.1%	3.05	3.39	+0.4
2021	25	MLB	Houston Astros	42	0	41	198	62	38	7	26.5%	20.8%	4.6%	4.17	6.00	-0.5
2022	26	MLB	Houston Astros	53	0	58	244	83	32	4	31.0%	13.2%	2.1%	2.65	3.32	+1.1
2023	27	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	52	0	54	242	66	45	6	24.0%	19.5%	2.9%	4.80	5.16	-0.1
2024	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	45	1	53	213	64	22	1	27.3%	11.3%	0.0%	1.86	2.23	+1.6
2025	29	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	46	0	57	261	72	30	4	24.3%	12.1%	1.8%	4.40	3.55	+0.9
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	AAA	Norfolk Tides	7	0	9	40	12	8	1	—	—	—	0.96	—	—
ROS	30	MLB	BAL	52	—	52	222	57	25	5	25.7%	11.4%	2.4%	3.11	4.06	+0.5
2026 Total	30	MLB	BAL	—	—	62	262	69	33	6	26.4%	12.7%	2.4%	2.79	3.45	+1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	31	MLB	BAL	51	—	51	214	53	24	5	24.9%	11.3%	2.5%	3.77	4.19	+0.4
2028	32	MLB	BAL	49	—	49	206	50	23	5	24.2%	11.3%	2.6%	4.10	4.32	+0.3
2029	33	MLB	BAL	46	—	46	196	46	22	5	23.5%	11.3%	2.8%	4.31	4.45	+0.3
2030	34	MLB	BAL	44	—	44	187	42	21	5	22.8%	11.5%	2.9%	4.47	4.58	+0.2
2031	35	MLB	BAL	42	—	42	176	39	21	5	22.0%	11.7%	3.0%	4.63	4.73	+0.1
2032	36	MLB	BAL	39	—	39	165	35	20	5	21.2%	12.0%	3.1%	4.79	4.90	+0.0
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			333	27	529	2228	564	316	38	25.3%	14.2%	1.7%	2.98	3.68	+9.7
/ 200 IP	—			126	10	200	843	213	120	14	25.3%	14.2%	1.7%	2.98	3.68	+3.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Enoli Paredes (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.06	25.7%	11.4%	2.4%	—	4.32	24.2%	12.9%	146	+0.26	—	—	—
Ryan Cook R 2027 · 3.85 FIP	31	SW	3.85	25.1%	10.8%	2.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	102	89
Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP	30	SW	4.06	24.4%	11.8%	2.8%	.301	3.94	24.1%	15.2%	140	-0.12	1.69	468	87
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2027 · 3.38 FIP	31	SW	3.38	26.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.241	3.98	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.60	3.38	212	85
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2027 · 3.11 FIP	31	SW	3.11	22.5%	9.7%	1.2%	.298	5.81	13.8%	4.1%	86	+2.70	3.11	148	85
Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.73 FIP	31	SW	3.73	24.5%	8.2%	3.0%	.325	3.80	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.07	3.65	137	85
Carlos Fisher R 2028 · 3.45 FIP	32	SW	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.18	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.27	2.48	147	84
AJ Ramos R 2026 · 3.96 FIP	30	SW	3.96	27.9%	12.8%	2.9%	.288	5.08	25.0%	8.0%	20	+1.12	2.55	266	83
Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.79 FIP	30	SW	3.79	24.5%	10.6%	2.6%	.307	3.35	25.3%	16.0%	74	-0.44	2.91	210	82
Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.72 FIP	30	SW	3.72	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.88	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	81
Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.24 FIP	30	SW	4.24	22.2%	11.1%	2.9%	.349	3.54	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.70	3.05	227	81
Ross Ohlendorf R 2028 · 3.33 FIP	32	SW	3.33	23.7%	7.2%	2.4%	.342	4.98	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.65	3.33	122	81
Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.62 FIP	30	SW	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	81
Kevin Jepsen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP	31	SW	3.46	20.7%	9.1%	1.7%	.241	5.68	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.22	3.46	160	81
Pedro Báez R 2026 · 2.89 FIP	30	SW	2.89	26.2%	8.9%	1.6%	.280	3.33	23.7%	15.4%	87	+0.44	2.29	332	80
Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.26 FIP	33	SU	4.26	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.44	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.82	1.94	112	80
Gregory Infante R 2026 · 2.97 FIP	30	SW	2.97	22.8%	8.2%	1.4%	.251	4.16	22.0%	17.4%	50	+1.19	2.97	230	79
Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.56 FIP	30	SW	3.56	23.3%	8.5%	2.5%	.288	4.73	20.6%	9.9%	86	+1.17	2.72	392	78
Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.30 FIP	30	SW	4.30	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.87	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.43	3.01	260	77
Ryan Tepera R 2026 · 3.84 FIP	30	SW	3.84	25.9%	8.7%	3.3%	.282	3.13	28.4%	19.9%	104	-0.71	2.27	445	77
Joakim Soria R 2027 · 3.48 FIP	31	SW	3.48	23.5%	6.6%	2.8%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.57	2.00	380	77

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.