Enoli Paredes — OGILVIE

Enoli Paredes P Norfolk Tides

Age 30 RHP 5'11" / 171 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110102vR 94

ERA4.12

FIP4.06

K%24.8%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%14.1%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 47 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4545

CMD5555

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4193.9

Whiff%

p6928.2%

p2418.4%

xwOBA vs

p390.324

SL+3.1 (38%)

FB+1.7 (62%)

SI (22%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	20	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	12	3	34	146	46	19	0	25%	2.8	21.4%	16.3%	5.2%	0.0%	3.74	3.35	—
2016	20	ROK RAW	GCL Astros	12	3	34	146	46	19	0	25%	2.8	31.5%	13.0%	18.5%	0.0%	3.74	2.06	—
2017	21	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	8	6	38	143	33	13	3	75%	4.8	17.1%	10.7%	6.3%	2.4%	2.11	4.31	—
2017	21	A RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	8	6	38	143	33	13	3	75%	4.8	23.1%	9.1%	14.0%	2.1%	2.11	3.41	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	5	69	277	90	29	1	21%	2.9	24.2%	12.3%	11.9%	0.5%	1.43	2.87	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	5	69	277	90	29	1	21%	2.9	32.5%	10.5%	22.0%	0.4%	1.43	1.94	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	12	94	374	128	42	4	55%	4.3	27.1%	12.6%	14.5%	1.3%	2.78	3.15	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	12	94	374	128	42	4	55%	4.3	34.2%	11.2%	23.0%	1.1%	2.78	2.27	—
2020	24	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	22	0	21	90	20	11	1	0%	0.9	22.2%	12.2%	10.0%	1.1%	3.05	3.40	+0.3
2020	24	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	22	0	21	90	20	11	1	0%	0.9	22.2%	12.2%	10.0%	1.1%	3.05	3.39	+0.3
2021	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	41	198	62	38	7	0%	1.0	26.5%	20.8%	5.7%	4.5%	4.17	5.96	-0.7
2021	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	42	0	41	198	62	38	7	0%	1.0	31.3%	19.2%	12.1%	3.5%	4.17	5.08	-0.3
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	58	244	83	32	4	0%	1.1	31.0%	13.2%	17.8%	2.1%	2.65	3.30	+0.9
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	0	58	244	83	32	4	0%	1.1	34.0%	13.1%	20.9%	1.6%	2.65	2.79	+1.2
2023	27	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	52	0	54	242	66	45	6	0%	1.0	22.6%	16.7%	5.9%	3.0%	4.80	4.98	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	52	0	54	242	66	45	6	0%	1.0	22.6%	16.7%	5.9%	3.0%	4.80	4.98	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	52	0	54	242	66	45	6	0%	1.0	27.3%	18.6%	8.7%	2.5%	4.80	4.59	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	45	1	53	213	64	22	1	2%	1.2	26.2%	10.4%	15.8%	0.0%	1.86	2.21	+1.5
2024	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	45	1	53	213	64	22	1	2%	1.2	26.2%	10.4%	15.8%	0.0%	1.86	2.21	+1.5
2024	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	45	1	53	213	64	22	1	2%	1.2	30.0%	10.3%	19.7%	0.5%	1.86	2.18	+1.5
2025	29	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	46	0	57	261	72	30	4	0%	1.2	22.9%	10.3%	12.6%	1.8%	4.40	3.44	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	46	0	57	261	72	30	4	0%	1.2	22.9%	10.3%	12.6%	1.8%	4.40	3.44	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	46	0	57	261	72	30	4	0%	1.2	27.6%	11.5%	16.1%	1.5%	4.40	3.07	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			55	0	54	244	53	41	1	0%	1.0	21.7%	16.8%	4.9%	0.4%	3.00	3.66	+0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	35	1	41	188	38	30	6	3%	1.2	16.8%	14.4%	2.4%	3.5%	6.10	5.43	—
YTD	30	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	35	1	41	188	38	30	6	3%	1.2	16.8%	14.4%	2.4%	3.5%	6.10	5.43	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	30	AAA RAW	BAL	35	1	41	188	38	30	6	3%	1.2	20.2%	16.0%	4.3%	3.2%	6.10	5.17	—
ROS	30	MLB MLE	BAL	5	0	5	23	6	2	1	0%	1.1	24.8%	10.7%	14.1%	2.4%	4.12	4.06	+0.0
2026 TOT	30	MLB MLE	BAL	—	—	47	211	44	32	7	—	—	20.7%	15.4%	5.3%	3.1%	5.87	5.27	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	BAL	57	0	60	253	61	28	7	0%	1.1	23.9%	10.9%	13.0%	2.7%	4.24	4.31	+0.2
2028	32	MLB MLE	BAL	53	0	55	234	54	26	7	0%	1.0	23.1%	11.2%	11.9%	3.0%	4.44	4.57	-0.0
2027	31	MLB CTX	BAL	21	0	22	93	22	10	2	0%	1.0	23.9%	10.9%	13.0%	2.7%	4.24	4.31	+0.1
2028	32	MLB CTX	BAL	30	0	31	131	30	15	4	0%	1.0	23.1%	11.2%	11.9%	3.0%	4.44	4.57	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		106	0	107	468	106	66	7	0%	1.0	22.6%	14.1%	8.5%	1.6%	3.67	3.84	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		197	0	200	874	198	123	13	0%	1.0	22.6%	14.1%	8.5%	1.6%	3.67	3.84	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		361	28	561	2376	574	322	43	8%	1.6	24.2%	13.5%	10.6%	1.8%	3.24	3.77	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		129	10	200	848	205	115	15	8%	1.6	24.2%	13.5%	10.6%	1.8%	3.24	3.77	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Enoli Paredes (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.06	24.8%	10.7%	2.4%	—	4.43	23.5%	12.5%	115	+0.37	—	—	—
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2015 · 3.07 FIP	31	SU	3.07	22.5%	9.7%	1.1%	.298	5.78	13.8%	4.1%	86	+2.71	3.07	148	86
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	31	SU	3.34	26.5%	9.6%	2.3%	.241	3.89	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.55	3.34	212	86
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	85
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	84
Carlos Fisher R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.17	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.28	2.48	147	84
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	82
Blake Wood R 2016 · 3.76 FIP	30	SU	3.76	24.5%	10.6%	2.5%	.307	3.44	25.3%	16.0%	74	-0.32	2.92	210	82
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	82
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	81
Kevin Jepsen R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	31	SU	3.47	20.7%	9.1%	1.8%	.241	5.85	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.38	3.47	160	81
Daniel Hudson R 2017 · 4.07 FIP	30	SU	4.07	24.4%	11.8%	2.8%	.301	4.01	24.1%	15.2%	140	-0.06	1.68	468	81
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	81
Gregory Infante R 2017 · 2.97 FIP	30	SU	2.97	22.8%	8.2%	1.4%	.251	4.07	22.0%	17.4%	50	+1.10	2.97	230	80
Danny Farquhar R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	30	SU	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	79
Brian Schlitter R 2016 · 3.28 FIP	30	SU	3.28	20.6%	10.8%	1.0%	.333	3.81	14.4%	6.6%	110	+0.53	3.28	244	79
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	77
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	21.9%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.09	24.6%	16.4%	87	-0.42	2.32	186	77
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	77
Curtis Partch R 2016 · 3.12 FIP	29	SU	3.12	21.7%	12.5%	0.5%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	2.84	124	77
Joakim Soria R 2015 · 3.70 FIP	31	SU	3.70	23.5%	6.6%	3.2%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.79	2.01	380	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	60	24.0%	10.9%	1.03	4.26
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93