Enoli Paredes
P
Norfolk Tides
Age 30
RHP
5'11" / 171 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 64 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 96
ERA4.19
FIP4.17
K%25.8%
BB%12.1%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP64
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 102 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4193.9
Whiff%
p6928.2%
K%
p2418.4%
xwOBA vs
p390.324
SL+3.1 (38%)
FB+1.7 (62%)
SI (22%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | GCL Astros | 12 | 3 | 34 | 146 | 46 | 19 | 0 | 25% | 2.8 | 21.4% | 16.3% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 3.74 | 3.35 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | GCL Astros | 12 | 3 | 34 | 146 | 46 | 19 | 0 | 25% | 2.8 | 31.5% | 13.0% | 18.5% | 0.0% | 3.74 | 2.06 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | 8 | 6 | 38 | 143 | 33 | 13 | 3 | 75% | 4.8 | 17.1% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 2.11 | 4.16 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | 8 | 6 | 38 | 143 | 33 | 13 | 3 | 75% | 4.8 | 23.1% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 2.1% | 2.11 | 3.41 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 5 | 69 | 277 | 90 | 29 | 1 | 21% | 2.9 | 24.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 0.5% | 1.43 | 2.88 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 5 | 69 | 277 | 90 | 29 | 1 | 21% | 2.9 | 32.5% | 10.5% | 22.0% | 0.4% | 1.43 | 1.94 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 12 | 94 | 374 | 128 | 42 | 4 | 55% | 4.3 | 27.1% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 1.4% | 2.78 | 3.15 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 12 | 94 | 374 | 128 | 42 | 4 | 55% | 4.3 | 34.2% | 11.2% | 23.0% | 1.1% | 2.78 | 2.27 | — |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Houston Astros | 22 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 1.0% | 3.05 | 3.35 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Houston Astros | 22 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 1.1% | 3.05 | 3.39 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 0 | 41 | 198 | 62 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.5% | 20.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.17 | 6.15 | -0.8 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 0 | 41 | 198 | 62 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.3% | 19.2% | 12.1% | 3.5% | 4.17 | 5.08 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 83 | 32 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.0% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 2.3% | 2.65 | 3.42 | +0.8 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 83 | 32 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 34.0% | 13.1% | 20.9% | 1.6% | 2.65 | 2.79 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 52 | 0 | 54 | 242 | 66 | 45 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 19.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.80 | 5.44 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 52 | 0 | 54 | 242 | 66 | 45 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.3% | 18.6% | 8.7% | 2.5% | 4.80 | 4.59 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 45 | 1 | 53 | 213 | 64 | 22 | 1 | 2% | 1.2 | 27.3% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 0.0% | 1.86 | 2.23 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 45 | 1 | 53 | 213 | 64 | 22 | 1 | 2% | 1.2 | 30.0% | 10.3% | 19.7% | 0.5% | 1.86 | 2.18 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 46 | 0 | 57 | 261 | 72 | 30 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 1.8% | 4.40 | 3.58 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 46 | 0 | 57 | 261 | 72 | 30 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.6% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 1.5% | 4.40 | 3.07 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 31 | 1 | 37 | 173 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 3% | 1.2 | 17.3% | 17.6% | -0.3% | 3.2% | 6.51 | 5.61 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | BAL | 61 | 0 | 64 | 271 | 70 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 2.4% | 4.19 | 4.17 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | BAL | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 2.4% | 4.19 | 4.17 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 102 | 444 | 104 | 62 | 12 | — | — | 23.4% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 5.04 | 4.70 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 6 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 25.8% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 2.4% | 4.19 | 3.79 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 57 | 0 | 60 | 253 | 63 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 53 | 0 | 55 | 234 | 56 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.9% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.66 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 48 | 0 | 51 | 214 | 49 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 4.76 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.9% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 4.76 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 144 | 0 | 147 | 638 | 147 | 90 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 2.0% | 3.98 | 4.03 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 195 | 0 | 200 | 866 | 200 | 122 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 2.0% | 3.98 | 4.03 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 357 | 28 | 557 | 2361 | 582 | 338 | 44 | 8% | 1.6 | 24.6% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 1.9% | 3.25 | 3.86 | +10.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 128 | 10 | 200 | 848 | 209 | 121 | 16 | 8% | 1.6 | 24.6% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 1.9% | 3.25 | 3.86 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Enoli Paredes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.17 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 2.4% | — | 4.66 | 24.0% | 11.6% | 166 | +0.49 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.97 | 24.4% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .301 | 4.06 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 140 | +0.09 | 1.74 | 468 | 84 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 84 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2027 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 84 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2027 · 3.09 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.09 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .298 | 5.84 | 13.8% | 4.1% | 86 | +2.75 | 3.09 | 148 | 83 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2028 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 83 |
| AJ Ramos R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.86 | 27.9% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .288 | 5.03 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 20 | +1.17 | 2.55 | 266 | 81 |
| Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.79 | 24.5% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .307 | 3.52 | 25.3% | 16.0% | 74 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 210 | 81 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 81 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 81 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.18 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .349 | 3.44 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.74 | 3.07 | 227 | 81 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 79 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 79 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 78 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 78 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2028 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 78 |
| Curtis Partch R 2025 · 3.14 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.14 | 21.7% | 12.5% | 0.5% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 124 | 77 |
| Pedro Báez R 2026 · 2.99 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.99 | 26.2% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .280 | 3.50 | 23.7% | 15.4% | 87 | +0.51 | 2.39 | 332 | 77 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 3.20 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.20 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 0.9% | .333 | 3.74 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.54 | 3.20 | 244 | 77 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.23 | 24.4% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.16 | 186 | 77 |
| Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .288 | 4.75 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 86 | +0.99 | 2.71 | 392 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 58 | 24.5% | 12.3% | 1.09 | 4.43 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |