Jake Jewell
P
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 33
RHP
6'2" / 217 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 157 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.45
FIP4.47
K%24.5%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%14.8%
ROS IP158
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 157 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5194.6
Whiff%
p7028.4%
K%
p3219.6%
xwOBA vs
p100.377
CH-0.7
SL-1.6
FB-5.7
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A | Burlington Bees | 31 | 15 | 111 | 476 | 110 | 31 | 8 | 48% | 3.6 | 17.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 1.2% | 4.77 | 3.28 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | Burlington Bees | 31 | 15 | 111 | 476 | 110 | 31 | 8 | 48% | 3.6 | 23.1% | 6.5% | 16.6% | 1.7% | 4.77 | 2.89 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | 28 | 27 | 137 | 655 | 104 | 64 | 10 | 96% | 4.9 | 12.2% | 11.2% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 6.31 | 4.90 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | 28 | 27 | 137 | 655 | 104 | 64 | 10 | 96% | 4.9 | 15.9% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 6.31 | 3.93 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 26 | 141 | 605 | 96 | 44 | 15 | 96% | 5.2 | 12.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.54 | 5.08 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 26 | 141 | 605 | 96 | 44 | 15 | 96% | 5.2 | 15.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 4.54 | 4.06 | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 0 | 40 | 175 | 36 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.3% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 3.38 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 29 | 0 | 40 | 175 | 36 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.6% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 1.7% | 3.38 | 3.78 | +0.4 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 64 | 283 | 64 | 25 | 11 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.9% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 5.91 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 64 | 283 | 64 | 25 | 11 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.6% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 3.9% | 5.91 | 4.51 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 55 | 237 | 60 | 24 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.8% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 4.58 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 55 | 237 | 60 | 24 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 3.8% | 4.58 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 45 | 0 | 56 | 235 | 65 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.3% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 0.6% | 3.21 | 2.57 | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 45 | 0 | 56 | 235 | 65 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.7% | 8.9% | 18.7% | 0.4% | 3.21 | 2.14 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 22 | 6 | 25 | 114 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 27% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 7.66 | 5.05 | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 22 | 6 | 25 | 114 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 27% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 7.66 | 4.80 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 153 | 0 | 161 | 679 | 166 | 66 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 3.3% | 4.45 | 4.47 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 139 | 0 | 146 | 617 | 144 | 62 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 3.6% | 4.62 | 4.75 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | PHI | 125 | 0 | 131 | 554 | 124 | 58 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 4.86 | 5.05 | +0.5 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 3.6% | 4.62 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | PHI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 4.86 | 5.05 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 40 | 0 | 48 | 215 | 43 | 18 | 14 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 7.14 | 6.14 | -0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 167 | 0 | 200 | 904 | 180 | 75 | 59 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 7.14 | 6.14 | -1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 277 | 74 | 629 | 2780 | 464 | 268 | 75 | 27% | 2.3 | 16.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 5.04 | 4.39 | +7.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 88 | 24 | 200 | 884 | 148 | 85 | 24 | 27% | 2.3 | 16.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 5.04 | 4.39 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Jewell (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 24.5% | 9.8% | 3.3% | — | 4.89 | 22.9% | 12.6% | 277 | +0.42 | — | — | — |
| Joe Blanton R 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.30 | 22.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | .272 | 3.78 | 23.5% | 17.0% | 124 | +0.48 | 3.13 | 240 | 66 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.03 | 18.7% | 9.5% | 4.2% | .278 | 5.32 | 16.9% | 6.9% | 252 | +0.29 | 3.69 | 521 | 60 |
| Tom Koehler R 2024 · 4.71 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.71 | 22.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 474 | 59 |
| Garrett Richards R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.41 | 18.6% | 9.6% | 3.0% | .328 | 3.22 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 43 | -1.19 | 2.34 | 577 | 58 |
| Blake Wood R 2024 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 56 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.52 | 23.0% | 8.0% | 2.5% | .252 | 4.01 | 18.9% | 10.0% | 186 | +0.49 | 2.78 | 326 | 56 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 54 |
| Dillon Gee R 2024 · 3.88 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.88 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 380 | 54 |
| Sam LeCure R 2025 · 4.27 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.27 | 16.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 171 | 53 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.58 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | .335 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 20.2% | 26 | -0.95 | 2.63 | 144 | 53 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 52 |
| Scott McGough R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.31 | 28.6% | 9.3% | 4.5% | .266 | 4.20 | 19.6% | 8.9% | 126 | -0.11 | 3.65 | 429 | 52 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.95 | 19.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | .277 | 4.37 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 16 | +0.42 | 2.95 | 260 | 52 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 52 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 52 |
| John Axford R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.81 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .304 | 4.13 | 22.1% | 11.3% | 76 | +0.32 | 3.10 | 197 | 52 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 21.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .274 | 3.99 | 19.7% | 8.3% | 169 | -0.41 | 2.78 | 596 | 52 |
| Michael Tonkin R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.20 | 23.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | .237 | 3.46 | 23.7% | 15.9% | 131 | -0.74 | 2.33 | 480 | 52 |
| Blake Parker R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 25.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | .290 | 4.17 | 24.9% | 16.5% | 121 | -0.09 | 2.61 | 339 | 51 |
| Jesse Chavez R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.03 | 20.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | .303 | 3.99 | 22.5% | 16.9% | 190 | -1.04 | 2.03 | 804 | 51 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 146 | 23.5% | 10.1% | 1.38 | 4.63 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Nate Karns ('17) | 3 | 96 | 24.2% | 9.3% | 1.22 | 4.24 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Dan Straily ('19) | 4 | 136 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 1.72 | 4.54 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |