Jacob Webb
P
Chicago Cubs
+0.4
WAR
Age 32
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
MLB
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA3.86
FIP4.28
xFIP3.79
SIERA3.82
K%22.9%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%14.4%
IP57
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL4545
CMD5050
K†5555
FB Velo
p3493.4
Whiff%
p6527.6%
K%
p4721.7%
xwOBA vs
p820.281
SL (13%)
CU (5%)
CH-2.0 (37%)
FB-3.2 (50%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22 | A | Rome Braves | 14 | 0 | 13 | 58 | 31 | 9 | 1 | — | — | — | 4.85 | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 38 | 0 | 65 | 269 | 74 | 32 | 2 | 21.6% | 13.4% | 1.0% | 2.07 | 3.53 | +1.1 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 69 | 18 | 7 | 25.7% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 3.15 | 4.15 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 47 | 1 | 44 | 183 | 41 | 21 | 5 | 21.4% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 2.68 | 4.04 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 8 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 10 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 58 | 0 | 58 | 252 | 67 | 17 | 6 | 25.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 3.70 | 3.22 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 34 | 0 | 36 | 147 | 42 | 9 | 5 | 25.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 6.06 | 3.87 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 70 | 1 | 71 | 318 | 78 | 39 | 6 | 23.7% | 12.5% | 1.8% | 4.44 | 3.65 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 64 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 60 | 28 | 4 | 24.5% | 11.0% | 1.6% | 3.45 | 3.31 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 58 | 0 | 69 | 282 | 62 | 18 | 10 | 21.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.99 | 4.18 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 8 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | 5.40 | — | — |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | CHC | 50 | — | 50 | 211 | 49 | 18 | 6 | 23.1% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 3.79 | 4.26 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 32 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 57 | 242 | 56 | 23 | 8 | 23.1% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 3.98 | 3.76 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 54 | — | 54 | 228 | 51 | 21 | 8 | 22.4% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 4.34 | 4.58 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 47 | 21 | 7 | 21.7% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 4.57 | 4.72 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 43 | 20 | 7 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 4.75 | 4.87 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB | CHC | 45 | — | 45 | 191 | 39 | 19 | 7 | 20.2% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 4.92 | 5.03 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 450 | 2 | 487 | 2061 | 502 | 203 | 52 | 24.4% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 3.45 | 3.68 | +9.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 185 | 1 | 200 | 846 | 206 | 83 | 21 | 24.4% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 3.45 | 3.68 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jacob Webb (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.26 | 23.1% | 8.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.72 | 21.7% | 12.2% | 154 | +0.46 | — | — | — |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 79 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 78 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.37 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.8% | .319 | 2.59 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.78 | 2.00 | 380 | 78 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.53 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .268 | 4.27 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.26 | 3.50 | 292 | 77 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.53 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .338 | 4.03 | 24.4% | 11.0% | 97 | +0.50 | 2.80 | 410 | 77 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.65 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.36 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.71 | 3.65 | 137 | 76 |
| Elian Leyva R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 158 | 75 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.68 | 16.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 337 | 74 |
| Hector Ambriz R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.55 | 16.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | .273 | 6.40 | 10.4% | 2.9% | 91 | +2.85 | 3.55 | 155 | 74 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 74 |
| Erik Davis R 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.54 | 17.4% | 8.9% | 1.4% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 227 | 74 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2028 · 3.82 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.82 | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .294 | 3.34 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.48 | 3.21 | 225 | 74 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 74 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2025 · 4.27 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.27 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 125 | 74 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.34 | 17.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.67 | 22.0% | 14.1% | 185 | +0.33 | 2.57 | 251 | 74 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.60 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.87 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.27 | 3.12 | 352 | 74 |
| Tyler Herron R 2024 · 3.99 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.99 | 16.4% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .377 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 117 | 74 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2029 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 73 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.33 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .342 | 4.98 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 122 | 73 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 73 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.