Jacob Webb — OGILVIE

Jacob Webb P Chicago Cubs

Age 32 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs MLB peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION63 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10698vR 90

ERA3.51

FIP3.74

K%24.5%

BB%8.5%

K-BB%16.0%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4545

CMD5050

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4594.2

Whiff%

p9033.4%

p6825.6%

xwOBA vs

p440.318

SL (11%)

CU (7%)

CH-2.0 (39%)

FB-3.2 (43%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	13	58	31	9	1	0%	0.9	53.4%	15.5%	37.9%	1.7%	4.85	1.50	—
2016	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	13	58	31	9	1	0%	0.9	53.4%	15.5%	37.9%	1.7%	4.85	1.41	—
2017	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	65	269	74	32	2	0%	1.7	21.6%	13.4%	8.1%	1.0%	2.07	3.52	—
2017	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	65	269	74	32	2	0%	1.7	27.5%	11.9%	15.6%	0.7%	2.07	2.70	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	54	227	69	18	7	0%	1.1	25.7%	8.5%	17.1%	3.9%	3.15	4.13	—
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	54	227	69	18	7	0%	1.1	30.4%	7.9%	22.5%	3.1%	3.15	3.23	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	47	1	44	183	41	21	5	2%	0.9	21.4%	9.2%	12.2%	3.1%	2.68	4.13	+0.2
2019	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	47	1	44	183	41	21	5	2%	0.9	22.4%	11.5%	10.9%	2.7%	2.68	4.15	+0.2
2020	26	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	8	0	10	40	10	4	0	0%	1.2	25.0%	10.0%	15.0%	0.0%	0.00	2.26	+0.3
2020	26	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	8	0	10	40	10	4	0	0%	1.2	25.0%	10.0%	15.0%	0.0%	0.00	2.30	+0.3
2021	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	58	252	67	17	6	0%	1.0	25.0%	6.9%	18.1%	2.5%	3.70	3.21	+0.9
2021	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	0	58	252	67	17	6	0%	1.0	26.6%	6.7%	19.8%	2.4%	3.70	3.01	+1.1
2022	28	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	34	0	36	147	42	9	5	0%	1.0	25.1%	6.4%	18.7%	3.8%	6.06	3.88	—
2022	28	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	34	0	36	147	42	9	5	0%	1.0	28.6%	6.1%	22.4%	3.4%	6.06	3.32	—
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	70	1	71	318	78	39	6	1%	1.0	23.4%	11.9%	11.5%	1.9%	4.44	3.67	+0.7
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	70	1	71	318	78	39	6	1%	1.0	23.4%	11.9%	11.5%	1.9%	4.44	3.67	+0.7
2023	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	70	1	71	318	78	39	6	1%	1.0	24.5%	12.3%	12.3%	1.9%	4.44	3.65	+0.8
2024	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	64	0	60	254	60	28	4	0%	0.9	24.5%	11.0%	13.5%	1.7%	3.45	3.36	+0.9
2024	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	64	0	60	254	60	28	4	0%	0.9	24.5%	11.0%	13.5%	1.7%	3.45	3.36	+0.9
2024	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	64	0	60	254	60	28	4	0%	0.9	23.6%	11.0%	12.6%	1.6%	3.45	3.37	+0.8
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	69	282	62	18	10	0%	1.2	21.7%	6.4%	15.4%	3.5%	2.99	3.98	+0.5
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	69	282	62	18	10	0%	1.2	21.7%	6.4%	15.4%	3.5%	2.99	3.98	+0.5
2025	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	0	69	282	62	18	10	0%	1.2	22.0%	6.4%	15.6%	3.5%	2.99	3.97	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			311	0	316	1326	312	119	37	0%	1.0	23.5%	9.0%	14.6%	2.8%	3.05	3.78	+2.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	32	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	64	0	63	266	68	23	9	0%	1.0	25.6%	8.6%	16.9%	3.5%	3.29	3.97	+0.4
YTD	32	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	64	0	63	266	68	23	9	0%	1.0	25.6%	8.6%	16.9%	3.5%	3.29	3.97	+0.4
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	32	MLB RAW	CHC	64	0	63	266	68	23	9	0%	1.0	25.6%	8.6%	16.9%	3.4%	3.29	3.89	+0.5
SO FAR	32	MLB RAW	CHC	64	0	63	266	68	23	9	0%	1.0	25.6%	8.6%	16.9%	3.4%	3.29	3.89	+0.5
ROS	32	MLB MLE	CHC	5	0	5	20	5	2	1	0%	1.0	24.5%	8.5%	16.0%	3.0%	3.51	3.74	+0.0
ROS	32	MLB CTX	CHC	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	24.5%	8.5%	16.0%	3.0%	3.51	3.74	+0.0
2026 TOT	32	MLB MLE	CHC	—	—	68	286	73	25	10	—	—	25.5%	8.6%	16.9%	3.4%	3.30	3.95	+0.5
FULL	32	MLB A+C	CHC	—	—	68	286	73	25	10	—	—	25.5%	8.6%	16.9%	3.4%	3.30	3.88	+0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	CHC	50	0	52	220	51	20	7	0%	1.0	23.3%	8.9%	14.4%	3.3%	4.27	4.47	+0.0
2028	34	MLB MLE	CHC	45	0	47	200	45	19	7	0%	1.1	22.4%	9.4%	13.0%	3.6%	4.57	4.78	-0.1
2029	35	MLB MLE	CHC	40	0	42	179	39	18	7	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.0%	11.5%	4.0%	4.90	5.11	-0.3
2027	33	MLB CTX	CHC	47	0	49	207	48	18	7	0%	1.0	23.3%	8.9%	14.4%	3.3%	4.27	4.47	+0.0
2028	34	MLB CTX	CHC	41	0	43	182	41	17	7	0%	1.0	22.4%	9.4%	13.0%	3.6%	4.57	4.78	-0.1
2029	35	MLB CTX	CHC	35	0	37	156	34	16	6	0%	1.1	21.5%	10.0%	11.5%	4.0%	4.90	5.11	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		438	0	450	1890	439	172	57	0%	1.0	23.2%	9.1%	14.2%	3.0%	3.48	3.95	+3.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		195	0	200	841	195	77	25	0%	1.0	23.2%	9.1%	14.2%	3.0%	3.48	3.95	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		506	2	544	2296	562	219	59	0%	1.1	24.5%	9.5%	15.0%	2.6%	3.41	3.66	+2.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		186	1	200	845	207	80	22	0%	1.1	24.5%	9.5%	15.0%	2.6%	3.41	3.66	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jacob Webb (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.19	23.0%	8.3%	2.9%	—	4.77	22.5%	13.1%	142	+0.58	—	—	—
Joakim Soria R 2016 · 4.33 FIP	32	SU	4.33	23.2%	9.2%	3.7%	.319	2.63	28.5%	21.7%	186	-1.70	2.01	380	85
Jonathan Broxton R 2016 · 3.77 FIP	32	SU	3.77	22.0%	7.3%	2.9%	.256	4.34	20.5%	9.0%	16	+0.57	3.67	137	83
Pedro Strop R 2017 · 3.08 FIP	32	SU	3.08	26.0%	10.0%	1.7%	.263	3.43	25.3%	16.4%	101	+0.35	2.56	277	81
Brad Brach R 2018 · 3.44 FIP	32	SU	3.44	20.8%	9.0%	1.7%	.338	4.06	24.4%	11.0%	97	+0.62	2.69	410	81
Wade Davis R 2018 · 3.33 FIP	32	SU	3.33	29.9%	10.0%	2.7%	.235	5.00	20.2%	8.1%	85	+1.67	2.00	320	81
George Kontos R 2017 · 3.71 FIP	32	SU	3.71	25.2%	6.5%	3.5%	.287	4.41	14.7%	8.6%	97	+0.70	3.55	290	80
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	80
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	80
Fernando Salas R 2017 · 3.50 FIP	32	SU	3.50	21.3%	6.1%	2.6%	.326	4.15	19.4%	14.1%	92	+0.65	2.71	288	79
Chris Hatcher R 2017 · 4.31 FIP	32	SU	4.31	24.5%	7.4%	4.3%	.291	5.32	18.0%	8.4%	36	+1.01	2.92	176	79
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	78
Cory Gearrin R 2018 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	8.1%	3.1%	.292	3.78	19.5%	9.5%	55	-0.24	3.15	272	78
Josh Fields R 2018 · 3.48 FIP	32	SU	3.48	21.4%	6.5%	2.5%	.224	7.56	18.9%	9.5%	25	+4.08	1.90	238	78
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	77
David Phelps R 2019 · 4.35 FIP	32	SU	4.35	24.5%	10.9%	3.5%	.289	3.46	26.7%	16.6%	84	-0.89	2.50	373	77
Tommy Hunter R 2018 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	18.9%	5.2%	2.1%	.296	2.78	24.5%	18.6%	25	-0.52	2.78	316	77
Jumbo Diaz R 2016 · 3.85 FIP	32	SU	3.85	22.3%	9.2%	2.7%	.247	3.28	23.0%	13.8%	141	-0.57	2.80	284	76
Jared Hughes R 2017 · 3.28 FIP	32	SU	3.28	19.7%	7.8%	1.6%	.260	3.99	19.3%	10.9%	172	+0.71	3.00	358	76
Danny Farquhar R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	30	SU	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	76
Bud Norris R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	32	SU	3.51	27.7%	9.0%	2.9%	.298	3.65	27.3%	20.0%	58	+0.14	3.51	316	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	50	22.6%	9.1%	1.32	4.39
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58