Jacob Webb
P
Chicago Cubs
Age 32
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 15 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10697vR 87
ERA3.52
FIP3.76
K%24.9%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%16.3%
ROS IP15
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4494.1
Whiff%
p9032.3%
K%
p7727.1%
xwOBA vs
p490.313
SL (11%)
CU (6%)
CH-2.0 (36%)
FB-3.2 (47%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 0 | 13 | 58 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 53.4% | 15.5% | 37.9% | 1.7% | 4.85 | 1.50 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 0 | 13 | 58 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 53.4% | 15.5% | 37.9% | 1.7% | 4.85 | 1.41 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 65 | 269 | 74 | 32 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 21.6% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 1.1% | 2.07 | 3.57 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 65 | 269 | 74 | 32 | 2 | 0% | 1.7 | 27.5% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 0.7% | 2.07 | 2.70 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 69 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.7% | 8.5% | 17.1% | 4.2% | 3.15 | 4.33 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 69 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.4% | 7.9% | 22.5% | 3.1% | 3.15 | 3.23 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 47 | 1 | 44 | 183 | 41 | 21 | 5 | 2% | 0.9 | 21.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 3.1% | 2.68 | 4.13 | +0.2 |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 47 | 1 | 44 | 183 | 41 | 21 | 5 | 2% | 0.9 | 22.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 2.7% | 2.68 | 4.15 | +0.2 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 8 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.26 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 8 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.30 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 58 | 252 | 67 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 6.9% | 18.1% | 2.5% | 3.70 | 3.21 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 58 | 252 | 67 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.6% | 6.7% | 19.8% | 2.4% | 3.70 | 3.01 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 34 | 0 | 36 | 147 | 42 | 9 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 6.4% | 18.7% | 3.9% | 6.06 | 3.93 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 34 | 0 | 36 | 147 | 42 | 9 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.6% | 6.1% | 22.4% | 3.4% | 6.06 | 3.32 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 70 | 1 | 71 | 318 | 78 | 39 | 6 | 1% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 1.8% | 4.44 | 3.64 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 70 | 1 | 71 | 318 | 78 | 39 | 6 | 1% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.9% | 4.44 | 3.65 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 64 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 60 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.5% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 1.6% | 3.45 | 3.28 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 64 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 60 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 23.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% | 3.45 | 3.37 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 69 | 282 | 62 | 18 | 10 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.7% | 6.4% | 15.4% | 3.7% | 2.99 | 4.08 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 69 | 282 | 62 | 18 | 10 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.0% | 6.4% | 15.6% | 3.5% | 2.99 | 3.97 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 42 | 0 | 41 | 177 | 48 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.1% | 9.0% | 18.1% | 3.4% | 3.05 | 3.82 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | CHC | 15 | 0 | 15 | 65 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.9% | 8.6% | 16.3% | 3.0% | 3.52 | 3.76 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | CHC | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.9% | 8.6% | 16.3% | 3.0% | 3.52 | 3.76 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 32 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 57 | 242 | 64 | 22 | 8 | — | — | 26.5% | 8.9% | 17.6% | 3.3% | 3.18 | 3.80 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 32 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 57 | 239 | 64 | 22 | 8 | — | — | 26.8% | 9.0% | 17.8% | 3.3% | 3.18 | 3.81 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 52 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 3.3% | 4.24 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 45 | 0 | 47 | 200 | 46 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 3.6% | 4.55 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 40 | 0 | 42 | 179 | 39 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 4.87 | 5.09 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 47 | 0 | 49 | 207 | 49 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 3.3% | 4.24 | 4.45 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 41 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 3.6% | 4.55 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 4.87 | 5.09 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 426 | 0 | 438 | 1846 | 432 | 169 | 56 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 3.46 | 3.94 | +7.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 194 | 0 | 200 | 842 | 197 | 77 | 26 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 3.46 | 3.94 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 484 | 2 | 522 | 2207 | 543 | 214 | 57 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 2.6% | 3.40 | 3.66 | +10.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 185 | 1 | 200 | 846 | 208 | 82 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 2.6% | 3.40 | 3.66 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jacob Webb (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.21 | 23.0% | 8.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.75 | 22.8% | 13.3% | 142 | +0.54 | — | — | — |
| Santiago Casilla R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 80 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 79 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 78 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.66 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.24 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.57 | 137 | 77 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 77 |
| Blake Wood R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 75 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 3.03 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.03 | 26.0% | 10.0% | 1.6% | .263 | 3.35 | 25.3% | 16.4% | 101 | +0.32 | 2.48 | 277 | 74 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.20 | 24.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | .291 | 5.21 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 36 | +1.01 | 3.05 | 176 | 74 |
| George Kontos R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.59 | 25.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | .287 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 8.6% | 97 | +0.85 | 3.56 | 290 | 74 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 74 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 3.13 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.13 | 29.9% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .235 | 4.87 | 20.2% | 8.1% | 85 | +1.74 | 2.00 | 320 | 74 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .240 | 5.21 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.45 | 3.03 | 120 | 74 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 73 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 1.7% | .338 | 4.07 | 24.4% | 11.0% | 97 | +0.63 | 2.73 | 410 | 73 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 73 |
| Tony Barnette R 2026 · 3.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.06 | 19.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% | .281 | 3.28 | 23.4% | 17.0% | 84 | +0.22 | 2.63 | 144 | 73 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 73 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.89 | 22.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .247 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.8% | 141 | -0.59 | 2.82 | 284 | 72 |
| Fernando Salas R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.59 | 21.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.32 | 19.4% | 14.1% | 92 | +0.73 | 2.80 | 288 | 72 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.94 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.0% | .292 | 3.77 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 55 | -0.17 | 3.15 | 272 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 50 | 22.9% | 9.2% | 1.32 | 4.37 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Mike Mayers ('23) | 5 | 47 | 24.3% | 7.8% | 1.50 | 4.47 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |