Ryder Ryan
P
Oklahoma City Comets
Age 31
RHP
6'2" / 205 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION52 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136126vR 117
ERA4.95
FIP5.18
K%16.8%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%4.1%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 113 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4494.1
Whiff%
p3723.5%
K%
p2318.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.360
FB (56%)
SI (42%)
SL-2.0 (44%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | AZL Indians | 15 | 0 | 19 | 85 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.2% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 3.86 | 4.06 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | AZL Indians | 15 | 0 | 19 | 85 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.2% | 10.6% | 17.6% | 1.2% | 3.86 | 2.67 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 41 | 0 | 54 | 239 | 62 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 4.14 | 4.30 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 41 | 0 | 54 | 239 | 62 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.9% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 2.1% | 4.14 | 3.17 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 53 | 214 | 59 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.9% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 2.7% | 3.23 | 3.74 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 53 | 214 | 59 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.6% | 7.0% | 20.6% | 2.3% | 3.23 | 2.95 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 25 | 2 | 44 | 184 | 40 | 23 | 2 | 8% | 1.8 | 17.6% | 13.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 3.05 | 4.05 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 25 | 2 | 44 | 184 | 40 | 23 | 2 | 8% | 1.8 | 21.7% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 1.1% | 3.05 | 3.44 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 38 | 0 | 45 | 207 | 55 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.4% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 4.1% | 5.60 | 4.57 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 38 | 0 | 45 | 207 | 55 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.6% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 3.4% | 5.60 | 3.94 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 47 | 0 | 59 | 260 | 67 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 3.64 | 4.45 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 47 | 0 | 59 | 260 | 67 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.8% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 2.7% | 3.64 | 3.84 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 1 | 56 | 234 | 58 | 22 | 4 | 2% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 1.5% | 3.70 | 3.30 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 1 | 56 | 234 | 58 | 22 | 4 | 2% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 1.7% | 3.70 | 3.14 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 62 | 269 | 51 | 24 | 10 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 4.96 | 5.40 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 62 | 269 | 51 | 24 | 10 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 4.96 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 42 | 3 | 72 | 309 | 61 | 38 | 4 | 7% | 1.7 | 17.4% | 12.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 4.73 | 4.21 | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 42 | 3 | 72 | 309 | 61 | 38 | 4 | 7% | 1.7 | 19.7% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 1.3% | 4.73 | 3.71 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 15 | 9 | 52 | 235 | 43 | 26 | 8 | 60% | 3.4 | 16.1% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.75 | 5.27 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 10 | 62 | 261 | 44 | 33 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.95 | 5.18 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | LAD | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.95 | 5.18 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 113 | 496 | 87 | 59 | 15 | — | — | 17.5% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 5.31 | 5.22 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 6 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 16.8% | 12.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.95 | 4.80 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 40 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.15 | 5.35 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 50 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.3% | 12.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.36 | 5.55 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.15 | 5.35 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.3% | 12.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.36 | 5.55 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 65 | 1 | 78 | 334 | 58 | 40 | 9 | 2% | 1.2 | 17.4% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 5.28 | 4.71 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 166 | 3 | 200 | 859 | 149 | 103 | 23 | 2% | 1.2 | 17.4% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 5.28 | 4.71 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 361 | 15 | 516 | 2236 | 437 | 243 | 63 | 4% | 1.4 | 19.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 4.38 | +6.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 140 | 6 | 200 | 866 | 169 | 94 | 25 | 4% | 1.4 | 19.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryder Ryan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.18 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 2.8% | — | 5.45 | 16.5% | 3.7% | 110 | +0.27 | — | — | — |
| Dustin McGowan R 2028 · 5.47 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.47 | 15.0% | 14.5% | 3.3% | .300 | 4.24 | 20.9% | 13.0% | 145 | -1.23 | 3.83 | 208 | 77 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.18 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .276 | 3.35 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.83 | 3.35 | 129 | 77 |
| Luis Angel Daniel R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.80 | 13.4% | 8.9% | 3.1% | .286 | 4.11 | 9.8% | 0.3% | 53 | -0.69 | 4.11 | 156 | 74 |
| Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 73 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2029 · 4.65 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.65 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .347 | 3.78 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.87 | 3.32 | 119 | 73 |
| Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 72 |
| Vin Mazzaro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.99 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 1.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.82 | 126 | 72 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.29 | 18.6% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .268 | 4.46 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 136 | +0.17 | 2.78 | 596 | 72 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 108 | 72 |
| Noah Song R 2024 · 4.96 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.96 | 16.6% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 106 | 71 |
| Grant Black R 2024 · 5.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.81 | 16.3% | 13.2% | 4.4% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 215 | 71 |
| Fernando Villalobos R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.15 | 12.3% | 8.6% | 1.8% | .305 | 4.73 | 10.6% | 2.6% | 55 | +0.58 | 4.15 | 152 | 70 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 70 |
| Chris Leroux R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 70 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.66 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.6% | .270 | 4.93 | 19.3% | 9.7% | 63 | +0.27 | 2.90 | 227 | 69 |
| Fredy Quintero R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.42 | 17.2% | 13.7% | 1.9% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 241 | 69 |
| Francisco Rodriguez R 2027 · 5.14 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.14 | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.6% | .281 | 4.13 | 12.1% | 4.4% | 139 | -1.01 | 3.26 | 273 | 69 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 69 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.34 | 13.0% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 150 | 68 |
| Ivan Zavala R 2025 · 5.18 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.18 | 12.8% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .286 | 5.36 | 12.7% | 5.3% | 61 | +0.18 | 4.31 | 209 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 57 | 16.6% | 12.7% | 1.17 | 5.14 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |