Sean Reid-Foley

P Reno Aces

Age 31 RHP 6'3" / 230 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	27	MIX4 levels	30	2	30	3.94	3.71	40.5%	14.0%	0.3	K 32.9% · BB 13.2% · FIP 5.54
2024	28	MIX4 levels	32	0	29	3.37	3.41	27.1%	17.1%	0.4	K 27.8% · BB 15.6% · FIP 2.72
2025	29	AAAARI	31	0	28	7.07	6.17	25.5%	21.6%	—	K 21.9% · BB 19.4% · FIP 5.89
2027PROJ	31	MLBARI	28	28	165	4.26	4.55	25.0%	12.2%	0.7
2028PROJ37% MLB	32	MLBARI	9	9	56	4.59	4.81	24.2%	12.6%	0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	33	MLBARI	13	13	77	4.89	5.09	23.3%	13.0%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.7 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024

xwOBA vs90

K%80

Whiff%76

FB Velo55

CompsHisashi Iwakuma (age 31) · Scott Copeland (age 31) · Josh A. Smith (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 103

ERA4.26

FIP4.55

K%25.0%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%12.8%

Proj IP165

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 165 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF6060

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5594.9

Whiff%

p7629.4%

p8027.8%

xwOBA vs

p900.273

FB+2.6 (68%)

CH+0.9 (20%)

SL (12%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	96	441	125	67	4	100%	3.8	21.2%	17.8%	3.4%	1.1%	4.22	4.19	—
2015	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	96	441	125	67	4	100%	3.8	28.3%	15.2%	13.2%	0.9%	4.22	3.13	—
2016	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	21	115	452	130	38	4	100%	5.5	21.8%	9.8%	11.9%	1.2%	2.81	3.16	—
2016	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	21	115	452	130	38	4	100%	5.5	28.8%	8.4%	20.4%	0.9%	2.81	2.28	—
2017	21	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	27	27	133	590	122	53	22	100%	4.9	16.7%	9.9%	6.9%	3.8%	5.09	5.05	—
2017	21	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	27	27	133	590	122	53	22	100%	4.9	20.7%	9.0%	11.7%	3.7%	5.09	4.62	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	31	163	690	192	71	14	100%	5.3	24.7%	10.8%	13.9%	2.2%	3.64	3.57	+2.6
2018	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	31	163	690	192	71	14	100%	5.3	27.8%	10.3%	17.5%	2.0%	3.64	3.17	+3.5
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	25	121	564	133	86	18	86%	4.2	21.3%	15.8%	5.5%	3.4%	5.89	5.18	-0.4
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	25	121	564	133	86	18	86%	4.2	23.6%	15.2%	8.3%	3.2%	5.89	4.97	-0.1
2020	24	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	5	0	7	30	6	5	0	0%	1.3	20.0%	16.7%	3.3%	0.0%	1.35	3.52	+0.1
2020	24	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	5	0	7	30	6	5	0	0%	1.3	20.0%	16.7%	3.3%	0.0%	1.35	3.55	+0.1
2021	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	1	34	146	47	15	4	4%	1.4	28.3%	7.6%	20.7%	3.3%	3.93	3.47	+0.4
2021	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	1	34	146	47	15	4	4%	1.4	32.2%	10.3%	21.9%	2.7%	3.93	3.19	+0.6
2022	26	MLB MLE	New York Mets	7	0	10	44	8	7	1	0%	1.4	18.2%	15.9%	2.3%	2.3%	5.40	4.83	-0.0
2022	26	MLB RAW	New York Mets	7	0	10	44	8	7	1	0%	1.4	18.2%	15.9%	2.3%	2.3%	5.40	4.90	-0.0
2023	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	30	2	30	121	49	17	5	7%	1.0	32.9%	13.2%	19.6%	6.5%	3.94	5.54	-0.3
2023	27	MIX RAW	4 levels	30	2	30	121	49	17	5	7%	1.0	40.5%	14.0%	26.4%	4.1%	3.94	3.71	+0.3
2024	28	MIX MLE	4 levels	32	0	29	129	35	22	1	0%	0.9	27.8%	15.6%	12.2%	0.0%	3.37	2.72	+0.6
2024	28	MIX MLE	4 levels	32	0	29	129	35	22	1	0%	0.9	27.8%	15.6%	12.2%	0.0%	3.37	2.72	+0.6
2024	28	MIX RAW	4 levels	32	0	29	129	35	22	1	0%	0.9	27.1%	17.1%	10.1%	0.8%	3.37	3.41	+0.4
2025	29	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	31	0	28	153	39	33	5	0%	0.9	21.9%	19.4%	2.5%	4.0%	7.07	5.89	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	31	0	28	153	39	33	5	0%	0.9	21.9%	19.4%	2.5%	4.0%	7.07	5.89	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	31	0	28	153	39	33	5	0%	0.9	25.5%	21.6%	3.9%	3.3%	7.07	6.17	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			71	13	132	590	151	81	15	18%	1.9	25.6%	13.7%	11.9%	2.5%	4.10	4.13	+0.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	ARI	28	28	165	697	174	85	21	100%	5.9	25.0%	12.2%	12.8%	3.0%	4.26	4.55	+0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	ARI	25	25	153	644	156	81	21	100%	6.1	24.2%	12.6%	11.6%	3.2%	4.59	4.81	+0.2
2029	33	MLB MLE	ARI	23	23	140	591	138	77	21	100%	6.1	23.3%	13.0%	10.3%	3.5%	4.89	5.09	-0.3
2028	32	MLB CTX	ARI	9	9	56	236	57	30	8	100%	6.2	24.2%	12.6%	11.6%	3.2%	4.59	4.81	+0.1
2029	33	MLB CTX	ARI	13	13	77	325	76	42	11	100%	5.9	23.3%	13.0%	10.3%	3.5%	4.89	5.09	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		93	35	265	1153	284	153	34	38%	2.8	24.7%	13.3%	11.4%	3.0%	4.43	4.33	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		70	27	200	870	214	115	26	38%	2.8	24.7%	13.3%	11.4%	3.0%	4.43	4.33	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		262	132	766	3360	746	434	87	50%	2.9	22.2%	12.9%	9.3%	2.6%	4.34	4.28	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	34	200	878	195	113	23	50%	2.9	22.2%	12.9%	9.3%	2.6%	4.34	4.28	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sean Reid-Foley (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.55	25.0%	12.2%	3.0%	—	4.94	23.8%	11.0%	293	+0.39	—	—	—
Hisashi Iwakuma R 2012 · 4.28 FIP	31	SP-	4.28	19.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.277	3.45	21.5%	17.8%	528	-0.83	3.19	884	60
Scott Copeland R 2019 · 5.62 FIP	31	SP-	5.62	17.1%	12.4%	4.4%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	569	58
Josh A. Smith R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	31	SW	4.65	20.8%	6.4%	4.5%	.341	3.67	17.4%	8.6%	59	-0.98	2.91	598	55
Jorge Campillo R 2008 · 3.93 FIP	29	SP-	3.93	16.3%	5.5%	2.8%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	172	55
Mike Wright Jr. R 2021 · 3.89 FIP	31	SP-	3.89	19.1%	8.8%	2.4%	.237	4.79	14.4%	1.1%	56	+0.90	3.76	725	54
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	53
Samuel Deduno R 2014 · 3.92 FIP	31	SW	3.92	18.7%	9.9%	2.1%	.287	3.84	19.8%	12.3%	39	-0.08	2.99	327	53
Kenshin Kawakami R 2009 · 3.97 FIP	34	SP-	3.97	15.7%	7.6%	2.2%	.277	4.06	15.1%	9.5%	87	+0.09	3.97	244	52
Pete Walker R 2002 · 4.59 FIP	33	SP-	4.59	13.4%	7.7%	3.0%	.279	5.16	12.0%	2.8%	139	+0.57	4.45	327	51
Luke Hudson R 2006 · 3.81 FIP	29	SP-	3.81	14.5%	8.4%	1.6%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	235	51
Mitch Lively R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	31	SP-	3.47	17.0%	6.4%	1.8%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	2.39	158	51
Todd Redmond R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	30	SW	3.86	15.4%	7.1%	2.1%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.21	247	49
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	49
Luke Farrell R 2022 · 4.87 FIP	31	SP-	4.87	17.8%	11.0%	3.4%	.289	4.85	17.3%	7.9%	55	-0.02	3.69	584	48
Nick Martinez R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	31	SW	4.26	21.2%	9.2%	3.3%	.273	3.56	19.7%	14.0%	418	-0.70	2.94	1,288	48
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	48
Yohan Pino R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	31	SP-	4.13	17.8%	5.8%	3.3%	.312	5.33	15.2%	11.6%	35	+1.20	3.84	193	47
Kohei Arihara R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	29	SP-	4.58	16.4%	7.2%	3.5%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	135	47
Mark Leiter Jr. R 2022 · 3.98 FIP	31	SW	3.98	26.9%	7.8%	3.9%	.259	3.13	29.2%	20.8%	171	-0.85	2.53	827	46
Chris Jakubauskas R 2009 · 4.97 FIP	30	SW	4.97	12.1%	6.2%	3.9%	.250	4.42	15.7%	7.8%	72	-0.55	4.42	165	46

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.9	84	24.5%	13.0%	1.19	4.46
Tom Cheney ('57-'66, 4 WAR*)	2.3	93	23.8%*	11.9%*	1.20*	4.06*
Red Witt ('57-'62, 0 WAR*)	1.1	57	22.3%*	12.5%*	1.08*	4.77*
Doug McWeeny ('21-'30, 5 WAR*)	4.7	135	24.8%*	11.5%*	1.26*	4.35*
Rick Ankiel ('04)	1.2	81	25.9%	12.5%	1.19	3.90
Rob Tejeda ('05-'11, 3 WAR*)	2.2	74	21.8%*	12.6%*	1.00*	4.23*
Jonathan Sánchez ('13)	3.9	112	22.8%	12.5%	1.04	4.70