Sean Newcomb

P Chicago White Sox

Age 34 LHP 6'5" / 255 lbs MLB Svc 6.0 · Ctrl thru 2027 peak 0.9 · 2027

Overview

MLBRP40-MANExt / FA-dealFA 2028

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	31	MIX3 levels	11	1	16	5.06	5.16	18.3%	15.5%	-0.1	K 18.3% · BB 15.5% · FIP 5.06
2025	32	MLBOAK	48	5	92	2.73	2.78	23.3%	7.4%	2.0
2026	33	MLBCWS	60	6	90	3.09	2.85	22.6%	8.3%	1.9
2027PROJ	34	MLBCWS	76	0	80	3.57	3.56	22.6%	8.1%	1.0
2028PROJ	35	MLBCWS	69	0	72	3.62	3.65	23.7%	7.8%	0.8
2029PROJ	36	MLBCWS	61	0	64	3.86	4.01	22.7%	8.4%	0.4

Last 3 seasons WAR 3.7 · Next 3 projected WAR 2.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2027Service6.238First FA2028

2027Ext / FA-deal$7M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo55

K%52

xwOBA vs45

Whiff%40

CompsHisanori Takahashi (age 35) · Alejandro Soto (age 33) · Luke Westphal (age 33)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8796vR 104

ERA3.57

FIP3.56

K%22.6%

BB%8.1%

K-BB%14.5%

Proj IP80

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 80 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—60

STUF5555

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5594.9

Whiff%

p4023.9%

p5222.6%

xwOBA vs

p450.317

FB (60%)

SL (31%)

SI (21%)

CU (35%)

CT (2%)

CH-1.0 (3%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 6.238 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+1.0	$8M	+$1M
Totals		$7M		$8M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	27	136	575	168	76	5	100%	5.0	22.5%	15.1%	7.4%	1.1%	2.38	3.69	—
2015	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	27	136	575	168	76	5	100%	5.0	29.2%	13.2%	16.0%	0.9%	2.38	2.78	—
2016	23	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	27	27	140	595	152	71	4	100%	5.2	20.7%	13.1%	7.6%	0.7%	3.86	3.42	—
2016	23	AA RAW	Mississippi Braves	27	27	140	595	152	71	4	100%	5.2	25.5%	11.9%	13.6%	0.7%	3.86	2.82	—
2017	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	30	158	705	182	84	13	100%	5.3	24.6%	12.1%	12.4%	1.9%	3.82	3.61	+2.5
2017	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	30	158	705	182	84	13	100%	5.3	25.8%	11.9%	13.9%	1.8%	3.82	3.46	+2.8
2018	25	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	31	30	164	696	160	80	18	97%	5.3	23.0%	11.5%	11.5%	2.6%	3.90	4.03	+1.7
2018	25	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	31	30	164	696	160	80	18	97%	5.3	23.0%	11.5%	11.5%	2.6%	3.90	4.04	+1.7
2019	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	59	7	89	373	85	33	9	12%	1.5	22.1%	8.9%	13.2%	2.5%	2.93	3.72	+0.9
2019	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	59	7	89	373	85	33	9	12%	1.5	22.8%	8.8%	13.9%	2.4%	2.93	3.62	+1.0
2020	27	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	4	4	14	70	10	6	4	100%	3.4	14.3%	8.6%	5.7%	5.7%	11.20	6.12	-0.2
2020	27	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	4	4	14	70	10	6	4	100%	3.4	14.3%	8.6%	5.7%	5.7%	11.20	6.76	-0.3
2021	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	49	214	71	30	2	0%	1.0	31.6%	14.1%	17.5%	1.0%	3.67	2.76	+1.1
2021	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	49	214	71	30	2	0%	1.0	33.2%	14.0%	19.2%	0.9%	3.67	2.57	+1.2
2022	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	2	52	235	59	37	9	6%	1.6	23.5%	16.1%	7.4%	4.0%	6.27	5.36	-0.5
2022	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	2	52	235	59	37	9	6%	1.6	25.1%	15.7%	9.4%	3.8%	6.27	5.23	-0.4
2023	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	4	49	204	62	29	3	15%	1.8	26.8%	14.1%	12.7%	1.7%	3.10	3.53	+0.6
2023	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	4	49	204	62	29	3	15%	1.8	30.4%	14.2%	16.2%	1.5%	3.10	3.14	+0.8
2024	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	11	1	16	71	13	11	2	9%	1.5	18.3%	15.5%	2.8%	2.8%	5.06	5.06	-0.1
2024	31	MIX MLE	3 levels	11	1	16	71	13	11	2	9%	1.5	18.3%	15.5%	2.8%	2.8%	5.06	5.06	-0.1
2024	31	MIX RAW	3 levels	11	1	16	71	13	11	2	9%	1.5	18.3%	15.5%	2.8%	2.8%	5.06	5.16	-0.1
2025	32	MLB MLE	Athletics	48	5	92	391	91	29	5	10%	1.9	23.3%	7.4%	15.9%	1.3%	2.73	2.79	+2.0
2025	32	MLB MLE	Athletics	48	5	92	391	91	29	5	10%	1.9	23.3%	7.4%	15.9%	1.3%	2.73	2.79	+2.0
2025	32	MLB RAW	Athletics	48	5	92	391	91	29	5	10%	1.9	23.3%	7.4%	15.9%	1.3%	2.73	2.78	+2.0
2026	33	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	60	6	90	372	84	31	4	10%	1.5	22.6%	8.3%	14.2%	1.1%	3.09	2.83	+1.9
2026	33	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	60	6	90	372	84	31	4	10%	1.5	22.6%	8.3%	14.2%	1.1%	3.09	2.83	+1.9
2026	33	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	60	6	90	372	84	31	4	10%	1.5	22.6%	8.3%	14.2%	1.1%	3.09	2.85	+1.9
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			283	71	614	2668	613	286	61	25%	2.2	23.0%	10.7%	12.3%	2.3%	4.03	3.79	+5.5
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	34	MLB	CWS	76	0	80	338	76	27	6	0%	1.1	22.6%	8.1%	14.5%	1.8%	3.57	3.56	+1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	35	MLB MLE	CWS	69	0	72	305	72	24	6	0%	1.0	23.7%	7.8%	15.8%	2.1%	3.60	3.63	+0.8
2029	36	MLB MLE	CWS	61	0	64	270	61	23	7	0%	1.0	22.7%	8.4%	14.2%	2.5%	3.84	3.99	+0.4
2028	35	MLB CTX	CWS	69	0	72	304	72	24	6	0%	1.0	23.7%	7.8%	15.8%	2.1%	3.62	3.65	+0.8
2029	36	MLB CTX	CWS	61	0	64	270	61	23	7	0%	1.0	22.7%	8.4%	14.2%	2.5%	3.86	4.01	+0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		413	71	750	3243	746	333	74	17%	1.8	23.0%	10.3%	12.8%	2.3%	3.98	3.71	+7.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		110	19	200	865	199	89	20	17%	1.8	23.0%	10.3%	12.8%	2.3%	3.98	3.71	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		403	143	1049	4501	1044	538	81	35%	2.6	23.2%	11.9%	11.3%	1.8%	3.61	3.64	+6.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	27	200	858	199	102	15	35%	2.6	23.2%	11.9%	11.3%	1.8%	3.61	3.64	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sean Newcomb (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.56	22.6%	8.1%	1.8%	—	3.80	23.2%	15.1%	136	+0.24	—	—	—
Hisanori Takahashi L 2010 · 3.50 FIP	35	SW	3.50	22.1%	7.0%	2.5%	.292	3.81	21.1%	15.0%	118	+0.31	3.50	240	75
Alejandro Soto L 2019 · 4.03 FIP	33	SW	4.03	17.1%	6.9%	2.7%	.376	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	280	61
Luke Westphal L 2022 · 4.35 FIP	33	SW	4.35	24.2%	13.4%	2.9%	.302	5.19	15.7%	-0.7%	26	+0.84	2.97	294	61
Juan Pablo Perez L 2013 · 3.68 FIP	34	SU	3.68	25.2%	11.5%	2.3%	.250	3.68	26.5%	11.2%	51	-0.00	1.75	104	56
John Bale L 2008 · 3.22 FIP	34	SW	3.22	12.7%	5.5%	0.9%	.315	4.31	17.6%	5.8%	28	+1.09	2.49	168	55
Pedro Borbón L 2002 · 4.57 FIP	34	SU	4.57	21.6%	7.3%	4.3%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	2.26	264	55
Hideki Okajima L 2010 · 4.27 FIP	34	SU	4.27	15.5%	7.0%	2.9%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	238	55
Brandon Mann L 2018 · 3.59 FIP	34	SU	3.59	17.8%	11.4%	1.0%	.232	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	190	54
Clay Rapada L 2015 · 3.84 FIP	34	SU	3.84	14.3%	8.0%	1.7%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	120	51
Jamie Walker L 2005 · 3.81 FIP	34	SU	3.81	14.4%	4.8%	2.4%	.270	4.46	16.3%	12.2%	147	+0.65	3.48	442	50
Tom Martin L 2004 · 4.74 FIP	34	SU	4.74	14.7%	7.8%	3.4%	.278	3.96	14.7%	7.1%	86	-0.78	3.40	303	49
James Jones L 2023 · 4.67 FIP	34	SU	4.67	13.7%	11.5%	2.3%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	127	49
Heriberto Ruelas L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	34	SU	3.75	15.0%	8.9%	1.4%	.310	3.42	17.2%	10.5%	49	-0.33	2.95	117	48
Joey Eischen L 2004 · 3.63 FIP	34	SU	3.63	21.2%	7.5%	2.5%	.255	3.37	19.0%	9.1%	51	-0.26	2.13	294	48
Zac Rosscup L 2022 · 2.83 FIP	34	SU	2.83	24.1%	13.9%	0.0%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	173	47
Brian Shouse L 2003 · 2.38 FIP	34	SU	2.38	15.8%	3.2%	0.4%	.299	3.97	15.6%	8.5%	136	+1.59	2.32	339	46
Brooks Raley L 2022 · 2.39 FIP	34	SU	2.39	27.9%	6.8%	1.4%	.243	2.62	25.6%	17.4%	80	+0.23	1.74	294	46
Jonny Venters L 2018 · 3.04 FIP	33	SU	3.04	18.6%	9.0%	0.7%	.240	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	264	45
Brady Feigl L 2024 · 4.12 FIP	33	SU	4.12	23.7%	4.7%	4.4%	.312	3.70	22.2%	14.9%	14	-0.42	2.69	212	45
Kwang Hyun Kim L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	33	SP-	4.21	17.7%	8.2%	2.9%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	146	45

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.2	83	23.0%	10.5%	0.86	3.94
David Phelps ('22)	3.4	76	22.9%	9.4%	0.94	3.80
Dan Osinski ('62-'70, 4 WAR*)	2.9	84	20.1%*	10.4%*	0.88*	4.00*
Joe Kelly ('24)	4.2	70	21.1%	9.8%	0.78	3.98
Al Worthington ('53-'69, 13 WAR*)	6.2	104	22.0%*	9.9%*	0.93*	3.87*
Larry Sherry ('58-'68, 2 WAR*)	4.0	89	22.8%*	10.9%*	1.09*	4.22*
Wade Davis ('21)	5.0	83	22.1%	9.3%	0.95	3.94