Corbin Martin
P
Iowa Cubs
Age 30
RHP
6'2" / 225 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 137 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.71
FIP4.88
K%22.3%
BB%14.1%
K-BB%8.2%
ROS IP137
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 161 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB+0.6 (55%)
SL (14%)
SI (4%)
CU (24%)
CH (6%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Astros | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2.5 | 29.4% | 5.9% | 23.5% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.36 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Astros | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 2.5 | 29.4% | 5.9% | 23.5% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.70 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 21 | 122 | 479 | 122 | 35 | 7 | 84% | 4.9 | 20.4% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 1.6% | 2.51 | 3.26 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 21 | 122 | 479 | 122 | 35 | 7 | 84% | 4.9 | 25.5% | 7.3% | 18.2% | 1.5% | 2.51 | 2.71 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 13 | 57 | 250 | 64 | 30 | 10 | 93% | 4.0 | 23.4% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 3.97 | 4.88 | -0.2 |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 13 | 57 | 250 | 64 | 30 | 10 | 93% | 4.0 | 25.6% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 4.0% | 3.97 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 9 | 43 | 219 | 43 | 33 | 12 | 82% | 3.9 | 18.0% | 15.5% | 2.5% | 6.0% | 7.68 | 6.85 | -1.2 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 9 | 43 | 219 | 43 | 33 | 12 | 82% | 3.9 | 19.6% | 15.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.68 | 7.00 | -1.2 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 19 | 99 | 441 | 100 | 42 | 18 | 79% | 4.1 | 20.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 5.80 | 5.18 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 19 | 99 | 441 | 100 | 42 | 18 | 79% | 4.1 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 4.1% | 5.80 | 4.71 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 38 | 0 | 43 | 211 | 41 | 33 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.1% | 16.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 4.78 | 4.60 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 38 | 0 | 43 | 211 | 41 | 33 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 15.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 4.78 | 4.39 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 1 | 57 | 258 | 61 | 32 | 9 | 2% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 5.88 | 4.99 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 1 | 57 | 258 | 61 | 32 | 9 | 2% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 3.5% | 5.88 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 23 | 1 | 24 | 115 | 24 | 20 | 6 | 4% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 17.5% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 7.50 | 6.35 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | CHC | 130 | 0 | 137 | 578 | 129 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 4.71 | 4.88 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | CHC | 130 | 0 | 137 | 578 | 129 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 4.71 | 4.88 | +0.8 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 161 | 693 | 153 | 101 | 26 | — | — | 22.1% | 14.6% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 5.12 | 5.10 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 142 | 600 | 153 | 101 | 26 | — | — | 25.5% | 16.9% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 5.81 | 5.45 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 126 | 0 | 132 | 559 | 119 | 78 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 14.0% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 5.34 | 5.50 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 117 | 0 | 122 | 517 | 106 | 72 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 13.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.50 | 5.67 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 107 | 0 | 112 | 475 | 94 | 67 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 14.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.69 | 5.87 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 120 | 0 | 126 | 532 | 113 | 74 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 14.0% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 5.34 | 5.50 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 110 | 0 | 116 | 490 | 101 | 68 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 13.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.50 | 5.67 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 102 | 0 | 107 | 452 | 89 | 63 | 19 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 14.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.69 | 5.87 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 504 | 10 | 567 | 2445 | 513 | 339 | 100 | 2% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 13.9% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 5.49 | 5.33 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 178 | 4 | 200 | 863 | 181 | 120 | 35 | 2% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 13.9% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 5.49 | 5.33 | +0.2 | ||
| Career | — | 188 | 65 | 450 | 1990 | 406 | 236 | 70 | 35% | 2.4 | 20.4% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 4.80 | 4.81 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 29 | 200 | 884 | 180 | 105 | 31 | 35% | 2.4 | 20.4% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 4.80 | 4.81 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Corbin Martin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.17 | 22.6% | 13.9% | 3.4% | — | 5.67 | 20.6% | 6.7% | 367 | +0.50 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 74 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 73 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 73 |
| André Rienzo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.33 | 18.9% | 15.6% | 1.5% | .301 | 5.30 | 17.9% | 6.1% | 29 | +0.97 | 3.58 | 200 | 70 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.66 | 18.3% | 10.2% | 3.3% | .245 | 4.56 | 23.0% | 12.4% | 49 | -0.10 | 1.74 | 195 | 70 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.70 | 19.9% | 14.1% | 4.5% | .261 | 3.75 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 101 | -1.95 | 2.59 | 309 | 69 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 68 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.18 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .349 | 3.44 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.74 | 3.07 | 227 | 68 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 68 |
| Hector Velázquez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.76 | 19.6% | 12.3% | 3.2% | .292 | 3.91 | 19.2% | 10.9% | 25 | -0.85 | 2.82 | 536 | 68 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2029 · 5.47 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.47 | 15.0% | 14.5% | 3.3% | .300 | 4.24 | 20.9% | 13.0% | 145 | -1.23 | 3.83 | 208 | 67 |
| Noah Song R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.96 | 16.6% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 106 | 67 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.97 | 24.4% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .301 | 4.06 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 140 | +0.09 | 1.74 | 468 | 67 |
| Wil Browning R 2024 · 4.58 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.58 | 17.9% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.12 | 162 | 66 |
| Angel Castro R 2028 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 66 |
| Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.61 | 17.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .338 | 3.71 | 11.6% | 6.3% | 75 | -0.90 | 3.62 | 164 | 66 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 66 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2027 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 66 |
| Grant Black R 2025 · 5.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.81 | 16.3% | 13.2% | 4.4% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 215 | 65 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2025 · 5.61 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.61 | 17.8% | 17.5% | 3.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 185 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 127 | 21.2% | 13.9% | 1.46 | 5.36 |
| Josiah Gray ('23) | 3 | 126 | 22.6% | 10.8% | 1.88 | 4.64 |
| Brandon Finnegan ('18) | 3 | 80 | 19.7% | 11.6% | 1.57 | 4.19 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |