Corbin Martin — OGILVIE

Corbin Martin P Iowa Cubs

Age 30 RHP 6'2" / 225 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION29 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.60

FIP4.72

K%21.5%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%8.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†5555

FB+0.6 (55%)

SL (14%)

SI (4%)

CU (24%)

CH (6%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	21	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	2	1	5	17	5	1	0	50%	2.5	29.4%	5.9%	23.5%	0.0%	0.00	1.36	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	GCL Astros	2	1	5	17	5	1	0	50%	2.5	29.4%	5.9%	23.5%	0.0%	0.00	1.70	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	21	122	479	122	35	7	84%	4.9	20.4%	8.1%	12.3%	1.7%	2.51	3.31	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	21	122	479	122	35	7	84%	4.9	25.5%	7.3%	18.2%	1.5%	2.51	2.71	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	13	57	250	64	30	10	93%	4.0	23.4%	12.4%	11.1%	4.2%	3.97	5.00	-0.1
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	13	57	250	64	30	10	93%	4.0	25.6%	12.0%	13.6%	4.0%	3.97	4.72	+0.1
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	9	43	219	43	33	12	82%	3.9	18.0%	15.5%	2.5%	6.1%	7.68	6.89	-0.9
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	9	43	219	43	33	12	82%	3.9	19.6%	15.1%	4.6%	5.5%	7.68	7.00	-1.0
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	19	99	441	100	42	18	79%	4.1	20.5%	9.9%	10.7%	4.6%	5.80	5.14	-0.3
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	19	99	441	100	42	18	79%	4.1	22.7%	9.5%	13.2%	4.1%	5.80	4.71	+0.2
2024	28	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	38	0	43	211	41	33	3	0%	1.1	16.1%	14.1%	2.1%	1.6%	4.78	4.38	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	38	0	43	211	41	33	3	0%	1.1	16.1%	14.1%	2.1%	1.6%	4.78	4.38	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	38	0	43	211	41	33	3	0%	1.1	19.4%	15.6%	3.8%	1.4%	4.78	4.39	—
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	1	57	258	61	32	9	2%	1.1	21.1%	11.5%	9.6%	3.7%	5.88	4.83	-0.2
2025	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	1	57	258	61	32	9	2%	1.1	21.1%	11.5%	9.6%	3.7%	5.88	4.83	-0.2
2025	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	1	57	258	61	32	9	2%	1.1	23.6%	12.4%	11.2%	3.5%	5.88	4.71	-0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			41	10	81	393	80	52	22	24%	2.0	20.4%	13.2%	7.1%	5.6%	6.81	6.60	-1.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	28	1	29	139	27	23	7	4%	1.0	16.7%	14.2%	2.5%	4.8%	7.14	6.13	—
YTD	30	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	28	1	29	139	27	23	7	4%	1.0	16.7%	14.2%	2.5%	4.8%	7.14	6.13	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	30	AAA RAW	CHC	21	1	24	114	23	18	5	5%	1.1	20.2%	15.8%	4.4%	4.4%	6.38	5.80	—
2026	30	MLB RAW	CHC	7	0	5	25	4	5	2	0%	0.7	16.0%	20.0%	-4.0%	8.0%	10.80	8.67	—
SO FAR	30	MLB RAW	CHC	7	0	5	25	4	5	2	0%	0.7	16.0%	20.0%	-4.0%	8.0%	10.80	8.67	—
ROS	30	MLB MLE	CHC	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	12.6%	8.9%	3.4%	4.60	4.72	-0.0
ROS	30	MLB CTX	CHC	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	21.5%	12.6%	8.9%	3.4%	4.60	4.72	-0.0
2026 TOT	30	MLB MLE	CHC	—	—	35	164	32	26	8	—	—	19.7%	16.0%	3.8%	4.8%	6.71	5.90	-0.5
FULL	30	MLB A+C	CHC	—	—	11	46	32	26	8	—	—	70.5%	57.0%	13.5%	17.1%	21.56	13.74	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	CHC	126	0	132	559	117	72	21	0%	1.1	20.9%	12.8%	8.0%	3.7%	5.25	5.39	-1.2
2028	32	MLB MLE	CHC	117	0	122	517	104	66	20	0%	1.0	20.2%	12.8%	7.3%	3.9%	5.40	5.56	-1.3
2027	31	MLB CTX	CHC	120	0	126	532	111	68	20	0%	1.1	20.9%	12.8%	8.0%	3.7%	5.25	5.39	-1.2
2028	32	MLB CTX	CHC	110	0	116	490	99	63	19	0%	1.1	20.2%	12.8%	7.3%	3.9%	5.40	5.56	-1.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		277	10	329	1440	295	186	62	4%	1.2	20.5%	12.9%	7.5%	4.3%	5.67	5.37	-3.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		169	6	200	876	180	113	38	4%	1.2	20.5%	12.9%	7.5%	4.3%	5.67	5.37	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		193	65	455	2014	403	227	72	34%	2.4	20.0%	11.3%	8.7%	3.6%	4.80	4.80	-4.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	29	200	885	177	100	32	34%	2.4	20.0%	11.3%	8.7%	3.6%	4.80	4.80	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Corbin Martin (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.04	22.0%	12.5%	3.3%	—	5.47	20.5%	7.7%	255	+0.43	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	76
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	75
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	73
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	72
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	72
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	70
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	70
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	70
André Rienzo R 2017 · 4.40 FIP	29	SW	4.40	18.9%	15.6%	1.7%	.301	5.33	17.9%	6.1%	29	+0.93	3.53	200	69
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	69
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	68
Hector Velázquez R 2019 · 4.82 FIP	30	SW	4.82	19.6%	12.3%	3.3%	.292	3.81	19.2%	10.9%	25	-1.01	2.75	536	67
Taylor Williams R 2021 · 5.96 FIP	30	SU	5.96	19.9%	14.1%	5.0%	.261	3.81	18.7%	8.9%	101	-2.15	2.51	309	67
Dustin McGowan R 2015 · 5.32 FIP	33	SU	5.32	15.0%	14.5%	3.0%	.300	4.23	20.9%	13.0%	145	-1.09	3.82	208	67
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	67
Tanner Scheppers R 2017 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	15.7%	6.7%	4.1%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	101	67
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	67
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	66
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	66
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	132	21.1%	12.7%	1.41	5.18
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Brandon Finnegan ('18)	1.2	80	19.7%	11.6%	1.57	4.19
Ian Anderson ('22)	1.4	91	22.5%	10.4%	0.96	3.97
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48