Tyler Gilbert

P Charlotte Knights

Age 33 LHP 6'3" / 225 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	30	MIX2 levels	44	3	60	4.50	2.47	25.9%	6.0%	1.5	K 24.5% · BB 5.5% · FIP 2.53
2025	31	MIX2 levels	52	5	57	4.74	3.87	22.8%	10.6%	0.5	K 22.8% · BB 9.8% · FIP 3.67
2026	32	MIX2 levels	28	6	42	6.17	5.01	20.6%	9.4%	-0.2	K 19.2% · BB 7.9% · FIP 4.93
2027PROJ	33	MLBCWS	54	0	57	4.46	4.71	20.1%	9.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ6% MLB	34	MLBCWS	3	0	3	4.79	5.01	19.2%	9.8%	-0.0
2029PROJ1% MLB	35	MLBCWS	—	—	0	5.13	5.35	18.3%	10.3%	—

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.7 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025

Whiff%56

K%53

xwOBA vs49

FB Velo10

CompsAdam Liberatore (age 31) · Brandon Mann (age 33) · Juan Pablo Perez (age 34)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101109vR 117

ERA4.46

FIP4.71

K%20.1%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%10.8%

Proj IP57

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL3535

CMD4545

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1090.5

Whiff%

p5626.2%

p5322.8%

xwOBA vs

p490.313

SI (40%)

SL (37%)

CT-1.3 (13%)

FB-1.7 (47%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2016	22	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	23	23	131	558	106	26	10	100%	5.7	14.1%	5.5%	8.6%	2.7%	3.98	4.09	—
2016	22	A RAW	Lakewood BlueClaws	23	23	131	558	106	26	10	100%	5.7	19.0%	4.7%	14.3%	1.8%	3.98	3.07	—
2017	23	A+ MLE	Clearwater Threshers	35	1	61	260	52	13	5	3%	1.7	15.4%	5.8%	9.7%	2.3%	2.95	3.77	—
2017	23	A+ RAW	Clearwater Threshers	35	1	61	260	52	13	5	3%	1.7	20.0%	5.0%	15.0%	1.9%	2.95	3.10	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	69	281	69	13	7	0%	1.4	20.6%	5.0%	15.6%	2.7%	3.25	3.50	—
2018	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	69	281	69	13	7	0%	1.4	24.6%	4.6%	19.9%	2.5%	3.25	2.98	—
2019	25	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	36	0	48	194	46	14	4	0%	1.3	20.9%	7.6%	13.3%	2.6%	2.83	3.74	—
2019	25	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	36	0	48	194	46	14	4	0%	1.3	23.7%	7.2%	16.5%	2.1%	2.83	3.14	—
2021	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	16	92	376	75	32	8	80%	4.6	18.4%	8.8%	9.6%	2.3%	3.31	3.95	+1.0
2021	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	16	92	376	75	32	8	80%	4.6	19.9%	8.5%	11.4%	2.1%	3.31	3.64	+1.4
2022	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	17	78	352	46	33	19	89%	4.1	12.2%	9.7%	2.5%	6.0%	6.55	6.58	-1.4
2022	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	17	78	352	46	33	19	89%	4.1	13.1%	9.4%	3.7%	5.4%	6.55	6.34	-1.2
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	7	92	409	107	31	12	17%	2.2	23.1%	6.9%	16.2%	3.2%	5.28	3.77	+0.9
2023	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	7	92	409	107	31	12	17%	2.2	26.2%	7.6%	18.6%	2.9%	5.28	3.48	+1.2
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	3	60	266	69	16	4	7%	1.4	24.5%	5.5%	19.0%	1.5%	4.50	2.53	+1.5
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	3	60	266	69	16	4	7%	1.4	24.5%	5.5%	19.0%	1.5%	4.50	2.53	+1.5
2024	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	3	60	266	69	16	4	7%	1.4	25.9%	6.0%	19.9%	1.5%	4.50	2.47	+1.5
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	5	57	246	56	26	6	10%	1.1	22.8%	9.8%	13.0%	2.3%	4.74	3.67	+0.6
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	5	57	246	56	26	6	10%	1.1	22.8%	9.8%	13.0%	2.3%	4.74	3.67	+0.6
2025	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	5	57	246	56	26	6	10%	1.1	22.8%	10.6%	12.2%	2.4%	4.74	3.87	+0.5
2026	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	6	42	180	37	17	8	21%	1.5	19.2%	7.9%	11.3%	4.5%	6.17	4.93	-0.2
2026	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	6	42	180	37	17	8	21%	1.5	19.2%	7.9%	11.3%	4.5%	6.17	4.93	-0.2
2026	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	6	42	180	37	17	8	21%	1.5	20.6%	9.4%	11.1%	4.4%	6.17	5.01	-0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			85	19	157	660	121	54	22	22%	1.8	18.3%	8.2%	10.2%	3.3%	4.41	4.41	+0.3
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	33	MLB	CWS	54	0	57	241	48	22	8	0%	1.1	20.1%	9.3%	10.8%	3.2%	4.46	4.71	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	CWS	49	0	52	218	42	21	8	0%	1.1	19.2%	9.8%	9.4%	3.5%	4.79	5.01	-0.3
2029	35	MLB MLE	CWS	44	0	46	195	36	20	7	0%	1.1	18.3%	10.3%	7.9%	3.8%	5.13	5.35	-0.4
2030	36	MLB MLE	CWS	39	0	41	173	30	19	7	0%	1.1	17.2%	10.9%	6.3%	4.2%	5.48	5.72	-0.5
2028	34	MLB CTX	CWS	3	0	3	13	2	1	0	0%	1.0	19.2%	9.8%	9.4%	3.5%	4.79	5.01	-0.0
2029	35	MLB CTX	CWS	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.3%	10.3%	7.9%	3.8%	5.13	5.35	—
2030	36	MLB CTX	CWS	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	17.2%	10.9%	6.3%	4.2%	5.48	5.72	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		88	19	160	674	124	55	22	22%	1.8	18.3%	8.2%	10.1%	3.3%	4.42	4.42	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		110	24	200	841	155	69	27	22%	1.8	18.3%	8.2%	10.1%	3.3%	4.42	4.42	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		346	78	731	3122	579	223	94	23%	2.1	18.6%	7.1%	11.4%	3.0%	4.33	4.09	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	21	200	854	158	61	26	23%	2.1	18.6%	7.1%	11.4%	3.0%	4.33	4.09	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tyler Gilbert (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.71	20.1%	9.3%	3.2%	—	5.33	18.3%	8.0%	139	+0.62	—	—	—
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	67
Brandon Mann L 2017 · 4.24 FIP	33	SU	4.24	19.8%	11.3%	2.5%	.286	3.59	17.8%	6.4%	52	-0.65	3.59	190	64
Juan Pablo Perez L 2013 · 3.68 FIP	34	SU	3.68	25.2%	11.5%	2.3%	.250	3.68	26.5%	11.2%	51	-0.00	1.75	104	64
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	64
Kelly Wunsch L 2005 · 3.82 FIP	33	SU	3.82	21.0%	11.4%	1.9%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	175	64
Colt Hynes L 2017 · 3.75 FIP	32	SW	3.75	14.1%	4.6%	2.3%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	169	64
Alejandro Soto L 2019 · 4.03 FIP	33	SW	4.03	17.1%	6.9%	2.7%	.376	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	280	64
Zach Phillips L 2019 · 3.67 FIP	32	SU	3.67	19.1%	8.5%	2.0%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	2.33	202	63
Hideki Okajima L 2009 · 3.95 FIP	33	SU	3.95	20.5%	7.0%	3.1%	.268	4.27	15.5%	8.5%	46	+0.32	3.05	238	63
Doug Creek L 2002 · 4.99 FIP	33	SU	4.99	21.4%	12.6%	3.8%	.288	5.79	17.1%	7.9%	36	+0.80	4.48	277	63
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	62
Brian Moran L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	33	SU	4.20	21.7%	7.0%	3.7%	.304	3.72	21.5%	14.5%	152	-0.48	1.80	421	61
Chris Narveson L 2015 · 4.79 FIP	33	SW	4.79	23.6%	8.0%	4.9%	.333	4.59	14.1%	4.5%	193	-0.20	4.00	625	61
Scott Sauerbeck L 2005 · 3.75 FIP	33	SU	3.75	22.3%	8.9%	2.5%	.298	5.05	14.0%	0.0%	25	+1.30	2.79	386	61
Tommy Phelps L 2005 · 3.98 FIP	31	SU	3.98	13.2%	7.5%	1.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	120	60
Clay Rapada L 2015 · 3.84 FIP	34	SU	3.84	14.3%	8.0%	1.7%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	120	60
Edward Paredes L 2019 · 5.10 FIP	32	SU	5.10	21.5%	7.3%	5.3%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	130	60
Marlon Arias L 2017 · 3.73 FIP	32	SU	3.73	17.2%	7.7%	2.0%	.443	4.83	19.8%	8.6%	74	+1.10	3.73	154	60
Ryan Sherriff L 2023 · 3.78 FIP	33	SU	3.78	21.9%	11.0%	2.1%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	2.96	245	59
Francisley Bueno L 2014 · 3.61 FIP	33	SU	3.61	14.1%	3.5%	2.3%	.289	3.94	13.6%	6.9%	138	+0.33	2.43	188	58

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	50	18.6%	9.5%	1.35	4.69
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*