Charlie Barnes

P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 31 LHP 6'2" / 190 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2027

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2021	25	MIX2 levels	25	24	114	4.50	3.97	16.4%	8.0%	1.3	K 14.9% · BB 8.3% · FIP 4.08
2025	29	AAACIN	6	6	24	7.12	4.18	23.1%	4.3%	—	K 19.8% · BB 3.8% · FIP 4.77
2026	30	MIX2 levels	29	15	96	3.95	4.08	20.2%	9.6%	0.9	K 17.6% · BB 8.8% · FIP 4.24
2027PROJ	31	MLBLAD	10	10	63	5.29	5.43	12.8%	10.6%	-0.4
2028PROJ37% MLB	32	MLBLAD	4	4	21	5.41	5.57	13.1%	10.8%	-0.2
2029PROJ55% MLB	33	MLBLAD	5	5	29	5.58	5.76	13.0%	11.2%	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo10

Whiff%10

K%10

xwOBA vs10

CompsMarlon Arias (age 30) · Kelvin Marte (age 31) · Carlos Teller (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120128vR 136

ERA5.29

FIP5.43

K%12.8%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%2.2%

Proj IP63

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 63 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4545

CMD2525

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.3

Whiff%

p1015.1%

p109.5%

xwOBA vs

p100.403

FB (52%)

SI (21%)

SL-0.7 (27%)

CH-0.9 (20%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	11	48	205	46	18	5	92%	4.0	15.9%	10.7%	5.2%	3.3%	2.61	4.90	—
2017	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	11	48	205	46	18	5	92%	4.0	22.4%	8.8%	13.7%	2.4%	2.61	3.66	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	23	23	118	508	84	43	6	100%	5.1	12.7%	9.7%	3.0%	1.4%	2.81	4.02	—
2018	22	A+ RAW	Fort Myers Miracle	23	23	118	508	84	43	6	100%	5.1	16.5%	8.5%	8.1%	1.2%	2.81	3.43	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	25	131	584	124	55	8	96%	5.0	17.2%	10.4%	6.7%	1.5%	4.88	3.79	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	25	131	584	124	55	8	96%	5.0	21.2%	9.4%	11.8%	1.4%	4.88	3.26	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	114	499	82	40	11	96%	4.6	14.9%	8.3%	6.7%	2.2%	4.50	4.08	+1.1
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	114	499	82	40	11	96%	4.6	16.4%	8.0%	8.4%	2.2%	4.50	3.97	+1.3
2025	29	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	6	6	24	117	27	5	5	100%	4.0	19.8%	3.8%	16.0%	5.2%	7.12	4.77	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	6	6	24	117	27	5	5	100%	4.0	19.8%	3.8%	16.0%	5.2%	7.12	4.77	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	6	6	24	117	27	5	5	100%	4.0	23.1%	4.3%	18.8%	4.3%	7.12	4.18	—
2026	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	15	96	426	86	41	11	52%	3.3	17.6%	8.8%	8.7%	2.7%	3.95	4.24	+0.7
2026	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	15	96	426	86	41	11	52%	3.3	17.6%	8.8%	8.7%	2.7%	3.95	4.24	+0.7
2026	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	15	96	426	86	41	11	52%	3.3	20.2%	9.6%	10.6%	2.6%	3.95	4.08	+0.9
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			14	8	51	238	26	23	7	57%	3.6	10.9%	9.7%	1.3%	2.9%	6.18	5.22	-0.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	LAD	10	10	63	266	34	28	8	100%	6.3	12.8%	10.6%	2.2%	3.1%	5.29	5.43	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	LAD	10	10	58	246	32	27	8	100%	5.8	13.1%	10.8%	2.3%	3.3%	5.41	5.57	-0.4
2029	33	MLB MLE	LAD	9	9	54	226	29	25	8	100%	5.9	13.0%	11.2%	1.8%	3.6%	5.58	5.76	-0.5
2028	32	MLB CTX	LAD	4	4	21	89	12	10	3	100%	5.2	13.1%	10.8%	2.3%	3.3%	5.41	5.57	-0.2
2029	33	MLB CTX	LAD	5	5	29	122	16	14	4	100%	5.8	13.0%	11.2%	1.8%	3.6%	5.58	5.76	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		22	16	102	453	54	47	14	73%	4.6	11.9%	10.3%	1.6%	3.2%	5.84	5.15	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		44	32	200	889	106	92	27	73%	4.5	11.9%	10.3%	1.6%	3.2%	5.84	5.15	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		121	104	531	2339	370	216	51	86%	4.4	15.8%	9.2%	6.6%	2.2%	4.07	4.13	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	39	200	880	139	81	19	86%	4.4	15.8%	9.2%	6.6%	2.2%	4.07	4.13	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Charlie Barnes (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.43	12.8%	10.6%	3.1%	—	5.66	13.1%	2.1%	112	+0.23	—	—	—
Marlon Arias L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	30	SP	4.32	16.8%	12.2%	2.0%	.330	3.73	17.2%	9.5%	22	-0.59	3.73	154	66
Kelvin Marte L 2019 · 5.25 FIP	31	SP	5.25	12.0%	10.8%	3.3%	.340	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	360	63
Carlos Teller L 2017 · 4.63 FIP	30	SP	4.63	12.2%	9.6%	2.5%	.322	4.90	13.1%	-1.1%	60	+0.27	3.75	333	60
Randy Keisler L 2007 · 5.51 FIP	31	SP-	5.51	6.5%	6.5%	3.9%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	5.07	135	57
Jorge Castillo L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	33	SP	4.50	16.8%	9.2%	3.0%	.292	4.95	12.4%	7.2%	186	+0.45	4.50	408	56
Brad Mills L 2016 · 6.13 FIP	31	SP	6.13	14.4%	11.8%	5.0%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.22	243	55
Sean Nolin L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	31	SP-	4.54	20.4%	8.9%	3.7%	.316	5.87	19.3%	12.9%	23	+1.33	3.79	309	55
Brandon Mann L 2016 · 4.72 FIP	32	SP	4.72	19.4%	7.9%	4.1%	.320	3.97	19.0%	7.6%	128	-0.75	3.59	190	55
Marco Tovar L 2019 · 4.78 FIP	30	SP	4.78	12.6%	5.6%	3.7%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	327	53
Irwin Delgado L 2019 · 4.73 FIP	30	SP	4.73	15.6%	9.5%	3.2%	.404	—	—	—	—	—	3.52	383	53
Arturo Lopez L 2015 · 4.80 FIP	32	SP	4.80	13.7%	6.2%	3.8%	.301	4.80	10.9%	4.2%	217	+0.00	4.34	445	52
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	208	52
Tyler Alexander L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	29	SW	5.27	15.7%	10.7%	3.9%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	5.27	128	52
Joey Lucchesi L 2024 · 4.73 FIP	31	SP-	4.73	14.9%	10.1%	2.9%	.293	3.65	22.6%	15.8%	102	-1.08	3.12	817	52
Luke Westphal L 2021 · 4.70 FIP	32	SP-	4.70	22.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.321	4.58	21.9%	7.6%	95	-0.12	2.97	294	49
Anthony Vasquez L 2018 · 4.64 FIP	31	SW	4.64	17.1%	8.9%	3.4%	.322	6.00	14.6%	7.3%	85	+1.36	4.02	671	46
Daniel Rodriguez L 2016 · 4.46 FIP	31	SP	4.46	19.3%	11.1%	2.9%	.333	4.32	16.9%	8.2%	226	-0.14	2.89	391	41
Frank Garces L 2019 · 4.84 FIP	29	SP	4.84	15.0%	7.9%	3.6%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	306	41
Alejandro Soto L 2017 · 4.36 FIP	31	SW	4.36	13.8%	3.3%	3.7%	.323	4.03	17.1%	10.2%	61	-0.33	3.96	280	40
Edgar Osuna L 2019 · 5.09 FIP	31	SW	5.09	10.0%	7.2%	3.5%	.373	—	—	—	—	—	5.05	175	40

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	56	12.5%	10.6%	1.25	5.59
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Luther Hackman ('03)	1.1	71	13.3%	10.9%	1.10	5.09
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Larry Bearnarth ('63-'71, -3 WAR*)	1.6	81	11.0%*	10.7%*	1.16*	5.02*
Russ Swan ('89-'94, -2 WAR*)	1.3	89	12.3%*	9.9%*	1.13*	5.09*
Dennis Powell ('85-'93, -2 WAR*)	1.7	49	17.6%*	10.1%*	1.18*	5.31*