Zach Pop
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Age 29
RHP
6'4" / 220 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116106vR 97
ERA4.42
FIP4.24
K%19.3%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%10.5%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 86 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB+2.6 (63%)
SI (62%)
SL-0.8 (26%)
CT-1.2 (11%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.8% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.16 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.8% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.30 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 0 | 65 | 247 | 64 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 0.4% | 1.53 | 2.77 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 0 | 65 | 247 | 64 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.9% | 7.7% | 18.2% | 0.4% | 1.53 | 2.20 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 8 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.0% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 0.0% | 0.84 | 2.14 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 8 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.0% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 0.0% | 0.84 | 2.16 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 1 | 57 | 255 | 54 | 22 | 3 | 2% | 1.1 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 1.3% | 4.11 | 3.19 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 1 | 57 | 255 | 54 | 22 | 3 | 2% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 1.2% | 4.11 | 3.05 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 67 | 280 | 50 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.8% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 0.7% | 2.69 | 2.83 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 67 | 280 | 50 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.9% | 5.7% | 12.1% | 0.7% | 2.69 | 2.71 | +1.6 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 49 | 0 | 49 | 213 | 48 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 4.6% | 5.47 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 49 | 0 | 49 | 213 | 48 | 20 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 3.8% | 5.47 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 69 | 0 | 60 | 259 | 45 | 20 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 4.80 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 69 | 0 | 60 | 259 | 45 | 20 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 17.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 4.80 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 0 | 26 | 129 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 6.5% | 15.2% | 0.0% | 6.92 | 2.09 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 0 | 26 | 129 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 6.2% | 14.0% | 3.1% | 6.92 | 4.02 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 31 | 1 | 33 | 153 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 3% | 1.1 | 15.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 6.75 | 5.06 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | PHI | 50 | 0 | 52 | 222 | 43 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.24 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | PHI | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 42 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.24 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 86 | 375 | 71 | 32 | 11 | — | — | 18.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 5.33 | 4.56 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 60 | 252 | 71 | 32 | 11 | — | — | 28.0% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 4.2% | 7.64 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 54 | 0 | 56 | 237 | 45 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 50 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 41 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 4.80 | 4.90 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 50 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 43 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 39 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 4.80 | 4.90 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 318 | 1 | 325 | 1395 | 256 | 112 | 42 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.23 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 196 | 1 | 200 | 858 | 157 | 69 | 26 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.23 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 341 | 2 | 373 | 1598 | 306 | 130 | 31 | 1% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 2.0% | 3.98 | 3.59 | +7.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 183 | 1 | 200 | 857 | 164 | 70 | 17 | 1% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 2.0% | 3.98 | 3.59 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zach Pop (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.54 | 19.8% | 8.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.78 | 18.7% | 9.4% | 109 | +0.24 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 79 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 78 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 78 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 78 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 78 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 77 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.81 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .373 | 3.58 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.23 | 3.37 | 170 | 77 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 77 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 253 | 77 |
| Nick Merkel R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.85 | 17.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 201 | 76 |
| Bo Schultz R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .218 | 3.45 | 15.1% | 8.9% | 77 | -0.86 | 2.73 | 141 | 76 |
| Adrian Garza R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.70 | 16.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | .351 | 5.58 | 9.7% | 4.1% | 113 | +0.88 | 4.03 | 229 | 76 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.80 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .281 | 3.81 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 179 | +0.01 | 2.40 | 617 | 75 |
| Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 75 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 75 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 75 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 75 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 75 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 75 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2028 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 56 | 19.1% | 9.1% | 1.18 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |