Zach Pop — OGILVIE

Zach Pop P Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 220 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113105vR 96

ERA4.38

FIP4.19

K%18.8%

BB%8.4%

K-BB%10.4%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD3535

K†4545

FB+2.6 (63%)

SI (62%)

SL-0.8 (26%)

CT-1.2 (11%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	20	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	5	0	5	18	5	2	0	0%	1.0	27.8%	11.1%	16.7%	0.0%	0.00	2.16	—
2017	20	ROK RAW	AZL Dodgers	5	0	5	18	5	2	0	0%	1.0	27.8%	11.1%	16.7%	0.0%	0.00	2.30	—
2018	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	0	65	247	64	19	1	0%	1.5	19.9%	8.8%	11.1%	0.5%	1.53	2.80	—
2018	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	44	0	65	247	64	19	1	0%	1.5	25.9%	7.7%	18.2%	0.4%	1.53	2.20	—
2019	22	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	8	0	11	44	11	4	0	0%	1.3	25.0%	9.1%	15.9%	0.0%	0.84	2.14	—
2019	22	AA RAW	Bowie Baysox	8	0	11	44	11	4	0	0%	1.3	25.0%	9.1%	15.9%	0.0%	0.84	2.16	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	1	57	255	54	22	3	2%	1.1	20.7%	8.9%	11.8%	1.3%	4.11	3.19	+0.9
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	1	57	255	54	22	3	2%	1.1	21.2%	8.6%	12.5%	1.2%	4.11	3.05	+1.0
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	67	280	50	16	2	0%	1.2	16.8%	5.9%	10.9%	0.7%	2.69	2.83	+1.4
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	0	67	280	50	16	2	0%	1.2	17.9%	5.7%	12.1%	0.7%	2.69	2.71	+1.5
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	49	0	49	213	48	20	8	0%	1.0	20.2%	8.8%	11.4%	4.4%	5.47	4.91	-0.2
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	49	0	49	213	48	20	8	0%	1.0	20.2%	8.8%	11.4%	4.4%	5.47	4.91	-0.2
2023	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	49	0	49	213	48	20	8	0%	1.0	22.5%	9.4%	13.1%	3.8%	5.47	4.48	+0.0
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	69	0	60	259	45	20	9	0%	0.9	16.6%	7.5%	9.1%	3.5%	4.80	4.56	-0.0
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	69	0	60	259	45	20	9	0%	0.9	16.6%	7.5%	9.1%	3.5%	4.80	4.56	-0.0
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	69	0	60	259	45	20	9	0%	0.9	17.4%	7.7%	9.7%	3.5%	4.80	4.55	0.0
2025	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	26	129	26	8	4	0%	1.0	20.5%	5.6%	14.9%	0.0%	6.92	2.07	+0.8
2025	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	26	129	26	8	4	0%	1.0	20.5%	5.6%	14.9%	0.0%	6.92	2.07	+0.8
2025	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	0	26	129	26	8	4	0%	1.0	20.2%	6.2%	14.0%	3.1%	6.92	4.02	+0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			170	1	170	738	132	52	22	1%	1.0	17.9%	7.0%	10.8%	3.0%	4.83	4.15	+0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	38	1	38	168	31	16	3	3%	1.0	15.1%	8.5%	6.6%	2.4%	4.93	4.22	—
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	38	1	38	168	31	16	3	3%	1.0	15.1%	8.5%	6.6%	2.4%	4.93	4.22	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AAA RAW	PHI	31	0	31	137	25	13	3	0%	1.0	18.2%	9.5%	8.8%	2.2%	5.23	3.96	—
2026	29	MLB RAW	PHI	7	1	7	31	6	3	0	14%	1.0	19.4%	9.7%	9.7%	0.0%	3.68	2.69	—
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	PHI	7	1	7	31	6	3	0	14%	1.0	19.4%	9.7%	9.7%	0.0%	3.68	2.69	—
ROS	29	MLB MLE	PHI	5	0	5	21	4	2	1	0%	1.0	18.8%	8.4%	10.4%	2.9%	4.38	4.19	+0.0
ROS	29	MLB CTX	PHI	5	0	5	21	4	2	1	0%	1.0	18.8%	8.4%	10.4%	2.9%	4.38	4.19	+0.0
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	PHI	—	—	43	189	35	18	4	—	—	18.5%	9.4%	9.1%	1.9%	4.87	4.22	+0.2
FULL	29	MLB A+C	PHI	—	—	12	52	35	18	4	—	—	67.0%	34.0%	33.0%	6.9%	17.06	5.56	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	PHI	54	0	56	237	44	21	7	0%	1.0	18.7%	8.8%	9.9%	3.0%	4.64	4.65	-0.1
2028	31	MLB MLE	PHI	50	0	52	221	40	20	7	0%	1.0	17.9%	9.1%	8.8%	3.2%	4.78	4.88	-0.2
2027	30	MLB CTX	PHI	50	0	53	224	42	20	7	0%	1.1	18.7%	8.8%	9.9%	3.0%	4.64	4.65	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	PHI	48	0	50	211	38	19	7	0%	1.0	17.9%	9.1%	8.8%	3.2%	4.78	4.88	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		273	1	278	1195	216	93	36	0%	1.0	18.1%	7.8%	10.3%	3.0%	4.77	4.21	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		197	1	200	860	155	67	26	0%	1.0	18.1%	7.8%	10.3%	3.0%	4.77	4.21	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		348	2	378	1613	303	127	29	1%	1.1	18.8%	7.9%	10.9%	1.8%	3.83	3.49	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		184	1	200	853	160	67	15	1%	1.1	18.8%	7.9%	10.9%	1.8%	3.83	3.49	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zach Pop (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.52	19.4%	8.3%	2.9%	—	4.76	18.3%	9.4%	109	+0.24	—	—	—
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	78
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	78
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	78
Diego Moreno R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	21.0%	8.2%	2.5%	.347	3.13	17.8%	11.9%	54	-0.62	2.29	187	78
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	78
Jhan Mariñez R 2018 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	21.2%	7.9%	3.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	253	77
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	77
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	77
Adrian Garza R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	16.0%	7.0%	3.4%	.351	5.18	9.7%	4.1%	113	+0.71	3.94	229	77
Bo Schultz R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SU	4.30	18.3%	7.9%	3.2%	.218	3.49	15.1%	8.9%	77	-0.81	2.73	141	76
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	76
Drew Storen R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	29	SU	3.83	19.5%	7.3%	2.6%	.289	4.31	19.4%	8.4%	10	+0.48	2.36	172	76
Luis García R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	20.6%	10.9%	1.8%	.281	3.74	21.6%	12.6%	179	-0.01	2.33	617	76
Pedro Beato R 2016 · 4.20 FIP	29	SU	4.20	19.2%	8.5%	3.0%	.275	3.72	18.5%	11.1%	152	-0.48	3.47	295	76
Justin Miller R 2016 · 3.74 FIP	29	SU	3.74	20.8%	9.7%	2.1%	.353	4.72	22.5%	16.5%	127	+0.98	2.63	279	75
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	75
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	75
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	75
Mike Broadway R 2016 · 4.10 FIP	29	SU	4.10	19.8%	7.9%	3.1%	.315	4.69	20.6%	10.2%	100	+0.59	1.74	195	75
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	56	18.7%	8.7%	1.17	4.71
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41