Zach Pop
P
Philadelphia Phillies
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Injured 15-Day (D15)
Age 29
RHP
6'4" / 220 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2027
ERA4.95
FIP4.38
xFIP4.65
SIERA4.12
K%20.5%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%12.3%
IP28
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
STUF4545
CTRL4545
CMD3535
K†5050
FB Velo
p7296.1
Whiff%
p2722.1%
K%
p1015.8%
xwOBA vs
p300.335
FB+2.6 (63%)
SI (62%)
SL-0.8 (26%)
CT-1.2 (11%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 44 | 0 | 65 | 247 | 64 | 19 | 1 | 19.9% | 8.8% | 0.5% | 1.53 | 2.78 | +1.6 |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 8 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 11 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.84 | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 52 | 1 | 57 | 255 | 54 | 22 | 3 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 1.3% | 4.11 | 3.20 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 58 | 0 | 67 | 280 | 50 | 16 | 2 | 16.8% | 5.9% | 0.7% | 2.69 | 2.79 | +1.7 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 49 | 0 | 49 | 213 | 48 | 20 | 8 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 5.47 | 5.05 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 69 | 0 | 60 | 259 | 45 | 20 | 9 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 4.80 | 4.51 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | New York Mets | 25 | 0 | 26 | 129 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 21.7% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 6.92 | 2.09 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 7 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 6 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.68 | — | — |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | PHI | 7 | — | 7 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21.7% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 5.10 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 14 | 60 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 20.5% | 9.4% | 1.4% | 4.37 | 2.13 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 28 | — | 28 | 116 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 20.8% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.43 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 317 | 2 | 347 | 1476 | 287 | 120 | 25 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 1.7% | 3.71 | 3.40 | +7.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 183 | 1 | 200 | 851 | 165 | 69 | 14 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 1.7% | 3.71 | 3.40 | +4.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zach Pop (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.40 | 21.7% | 9.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.43 | 20.8% | 11.6% | 28 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 80 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.75 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 3.12 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.63 | 2.31 | 187 | 80 |
| Brandon Morrow R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.51 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | .280 | 3.50 | 21.2% | 14.8% | 153 | -0.01 | 2.67 | 186 | 79 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.47 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.57 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.10 | 2.59 | 137 | 77 |
| Zack Segovia R 2029 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 77 |
| Adrian Garza R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.44 | 16.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% | .351 | 5.10 | 9.7% | 4.1% | 113 | +0.66 | 3.95 | 229 | 77 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 76 |
| Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 76 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 76 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.10 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 253 | 75 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 75 |
| Rolando Valdez R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% | .301 | 3.68 | 13.2% | 7.9% | 176 | -0.38 | 3.02 | 258 | 75 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 125 | 74 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.43 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 204 | 74 |
| Conor Mullee R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 1.5% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 110 | 74 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.49 | 16.5% | 10.4% | 2.7% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 187 | 74 |
| Jason Urquidez R 2029 · 3.58 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.58 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 1.1% | .386 | 1.79 | 25.5% | 20.7% | 90 | -1.79 | 1.25 | 123 | 74 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.38 | 13.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 101 | 74 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.12 | 19.8% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .315 | 4.68 | 20.6% | 10.2% | 100 | +0.56 | 1.74 | 195 | 74 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.16 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | .373 | 3.54 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.62 | 3.45 | 170 | 74 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.