Raffi Vizcaíno

P Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 31 RHP 6'0" / 237 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2021	25	AASF	34	2	40	5.40	4.03	24.9%	13.8%	—	K 20.1% · BB 15.2% · FIP 4.90
2023	27	MIX3 levels	44	3	52	5.23	4.61	30.7%	16.8%	—	K 25.3% · BB 17.0% · FIP 4.66
2024	28	MIX2 levels	45	0	58	4.01	2.84	29.6%	14.4%	—	K 24.5% · BB 14.1% · FIP 3.33
2025	29	No MLB games played
2026	30	No MLB games played
2027PROJ	31	MLBMIA	1	0	1	4.51	4.51	23.9%	11.5%	0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	32	MLBMIA	9	0	9	4.62	4.71	23.4%	11.7%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsDustin Molleken (age 31) · Jim Miller (age 30) · Joe Nelson (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.51

FIP4.51

K%23.9%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%12.3%

Proj IP38

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants	14	14	72	289	73	16	2	100%	5.1	17.2%	6.9%	10.3%	1.0%	2.50	3.06	—
2015	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants	14	14	72	289	73	16	2	100%	5.1	25.3%	5.5%	19.7%	0.7%	2.50	2.10	—
2016	20	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	2	2	11	43	11	1	0	100%	5.5	25.6%	2.3%	23.3%	0.0%	3.27	1.23	—
2016	20	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	2	2	11	43	11	1	0	100%	5.5	25.6%	2.3%	23.3%	0.0%	3.27	1.37	—
2017	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	16	12	78	335	74	28	4	75%	4.9	16.3%	9.9%	6.5%	1.9%	4.98	4.01	—
2017	21	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	16	12	78	335	74	28	4	75%	4.9	22.1%	8.4%	13.7%	1.2%	4.98	2.95	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	17	16	79	348	85	52	11	94%	4.7	18.8%	17.2%	1.6%	4.3%	4.65	6.03	—
2018	22	A+ RAW	San Jose Giants	17	16	79	348	85	52	11	94%	4.7	24.4%	14.9%	9.5%	3.2%	4.65	4.73	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	63	266	74	34	3	0%	1.5	22.1%	14.2%	7.9%	1.5%	3.16	3.87	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	63	266	74	34	3	0%	1.5	27.8%	12.8%	15.0%	1.1%	3.16	2.99	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	34	2	40	181	45	25	4	6%	1.2	20.1%	15.2%	4.9%	2.9%	5.40	4.90	—
2021	25	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	34	2	40	181	45	25	4	6%	1.2	24.9%	13.8%	11.0%	2.2%	5.40	4.03	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	3	52	238	73	40	8	7%	1.2	25.3%	17.0%	8.3%	2.8%	5.23	4.66	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	44	3	52	238	73	40	8	7%	1.2	30.7%	16.8%	13.9%	3.4%	5.23	4.61	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	58	257	76	37	2	0%	1.3	24.5%	14.1%	10.4%	0.9%	4.01	3.33	—
2024	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	58	257	76	37	2	0%	1.3	24.5%	14.1%	10.4%	0.9%	4.01	3.33	—
2024	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	58	257	76	37	2	0%	1.3	29.6%	14.4%	15.2%	0.8%	4.01	2.84	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	MIA	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	23.9%	11.5%	12.3%	2.9%	4.51	4.51	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	MIA	29	0	30	127	30	15	4	0%	1.0	23.4%	11.7%	11.7%	3.1%	4.62	4.71	-0.1
2028	32	MLB CTX	MIA	9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	23.4%	11.7%	11.7%	3.1%	4.62	4.71	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	40	9	5	1	0%	1.0	23.4%	11.7%	11.7%	3.1%	4.62	4.34	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	107	21	0%	1.1	23.4%	11.7%	11.7%	3.1%	4.62	4.34	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		215	49	453	1957	399	256	42	23%	2.1	20.4%	13.1%	7.3%	2.2%	4.18	4.22	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	22	200	865	176	113	19	23%	2.1	20.4%	13.1%	7.3%	2.2%	4.18	4.22	-0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 37 IPFIP 1.74 → 2.36 (+0.62)K% 30.9% → 25.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	30.92%	—	×0.810	25.05%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.87%	—	×1.100	10.86%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.064	×1.200	0.00%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 113).

Result: FIP 1.74 → 2.36, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 21 IPFIP 4.47 → 4.73 (+0.26)K% 27.6% → 23.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	27.62%	—	×0.860	23.75%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	20.95%	—	×0.900	18.86%
HR / BF /BF	1.90%	÷0.925	×1.100	2.26%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 85).

Result: FIP 4.47 → 4.73, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 35 IPFIP 4.77 → 4.79 (+0.01)K% 31.2% → 25.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	31.17%	—	×0.810	25.25%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	14.29%	—	×1.100	15.71%
HR / BF /BF	4.55%	÷1.637	×1.200	3.33%

Result: FIP 4.77 → 4.79, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAReno Aces · 14 IPFIP 4.22 → 4.36 (+0.14)K% 29.4% → 25.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	29.41%	—	×0.860	25.29%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	22.06%	—	×0.900	19.85%
HR / BF /BF	1.47%	÷1.012	×1.100	1.60%

Result: FIP 4.22 → 4.36, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 40 IPFIP 3.96 → 4.90 (+0.94)K% 24.9% → 20.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	24.86%	—	×0.810	20.14%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	13.81%	—	×1.100	15.19%
HR / BF /BF	2.21%	÷0.923	×1.200	2.87%

Result: FIP 3.96 → 4.90, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 47 IPFIP 3.70 → 4.48 (+0.78)K% 21.5% → 17.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	21.46%	—	×0.810	17.39%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	12.68%	—	×1.100	13.95%
HR / BF /BF	1.46%	÷0.890	×1.200	1.97%

Result: FIP 3.70 → 4.48, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+San Jose Giants · 16 IPFIP 0.61 → 1.81 (+1.20)K% 49.2% → 37.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	49.18%	—	×0.770	37.87%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	13.11%	—	×1.150	15.08%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷0.947	×1.250	0.00%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 89).

Result: FIP 0.61 → 1.81, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 A+San Jose Giants · 79 IPFIP 4.67 → 6.03 (+1.37)K% 24.4% → 18.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	24.43%	—	×0.770	18.81%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	14.94%	—	×1.150	17.18%
HR / BF /BF	3.16%	÷0.924	×1.250	4.27%

Result: FIP 4.67 → 6.03, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Raffi Vizcaíno (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.51	23.9%	11.5%	2.9%	—	4.71	23.4%	11.7%	30	+0.20	—	—	—
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	79
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	78
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	76
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	76
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	72
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	71
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	70
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.51	246	70
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	70
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	69
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	69
Manny Acosta R 2012 · 4.49 FIP	31	SU	4.49	21.3%	11.1%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	350	69
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	69
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	69
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	31	SU	3.34	26.5%	9.6%	2.3%	.241	3.89	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.55	3.34	335	68
Brian Sanches R 2010 · 4.24 FIP	31	SU	4.24	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.217	4.35	19.6%	8.5%	62	+0.11	3.39	229	68
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	2.60	292	68
Erik Davis R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	31	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.9%	1.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	227	68
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	68
Robert Stock R 2021 · 4.18 FIP	31	SW	4.18	23.0%	8.5%	3.5%	.301	7.20	14.3%	0.1%	23	+3.02	2.74	378	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	34	23.6%	11.6%	1.16	4.56
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Mac Scarce ('72-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.0	52	25.9%*	12.4%*	1.27*	4.17*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*