Raffi Vizcaíno P Pensacola Blue Wahoos
Age 30 RHP 6'0" / 237 lbs AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.49
FIP4.49
K%23.9%
BB%12.3%
K-BB%11.7%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP
K: +0.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -1.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -0.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +1.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.03 (38 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201519ROKDSL Giants14147228973162100%5.117.2%6.9%10.3%1.0%2.503.06
201519ROKDSL Giants14147228973162100%5.125.3%5.5%19.7%0.7%2.502.10
201620AAugusta GreenJackets2211431110100%5.525.6%2.3%23.3%0.0%3.271.23
201620AAugusta GreenJackets2211431110100%5.525.6%2.3%23.3%0.0%3.271.37
201721AAugusta GreenJackets1612783357428475%4.916.3%9.9%6.5%2.4%4.984.31
201721AAugusta GreenJackets1612783357428475%4.922.1%8.4%13.7%1.2%4.982.95
201822A+San Jose Giants17167934885521194%4.718.8%17.2%1.6%4.7%4.656.24
201822A+San Jose Giants17167934885521194%4.724.4%14.9%9.5%3.2%4.654.73
201923MIX2 levels43063266743430%1.522.1%14.2%7.9%1.7%3.163.99
201923MIX2 levels43063266743430%1.527.8%12.8%15.0%1.1%3.162.99
202125AARichmond Flying Squirrels34240181452546%1.220.1%15.2%4.9%3.1%5.405.04
202125AARichmond Flying Squirrels34240181452546%1.224.9%13.8%11.0%2.2%5.404.03
202327MIX3 levels44352238734087%1.225.4%18.0%7.4%2.1%5.234.41
202327MIX3 levels44352238734087%1.230.7%16.8%13.9%3.4%5.234.61
202428MIX2 levels45058257763720%1.324.7%15.4%9.3%1.0%4.013.51
202428MIX2 levels45058257763720%1.329.6%14.4%15.2%0.8%4.012.84
▸ 2026 Season
202630MLBMIA36038160382040%1.123.9%12.3%11.7%2.7%4.494.49+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731MLBMIA34035149351840%1.023.5%12.3%11.2%2.9%4.594.67-0.0
202731MLBMIA100114611610%1.123.5%12.3%11.2%2.9%4.594.67-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career110114711610%1.023.5%12.3%11.2%2.9%4.594.29+0.0
/ 200 IP1900200844199108180%1.123.5%12.3%11.2%2.9%4.594.29+2.6
Career2154945319574002624523%2.120.4%13.4%7.1%2.3%4.184.33+5.6
/ 200 IP95222008651771162023%2.120.4%13.4%7.1%2.3%4.184.33+2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Raffi Vizcaíno (OGILVIE) 4.49 23.9%12.3%2.7% 4.67 23.5%11.2%35 +0.18
Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.61 FIP 30 SU 3.61 20.4%11.7%1.4%.287 4.00 20.6%8.4%77 +0.39 3.35 129 79
Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 30 SU 4.25 21.3%13.9%2.2%.303 3.99 19.5%13.0%193 -0.26 2.95 260 76
Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP 33 SU 4.17 22.0%10.5%2.9%.290 2.37 26.9%22.6%89 -1.80 2.08 112 76
Carlos Fisher R 2028 · 3.44 FIP 32 SU 3.44 22.6%11.6%1.4%.236 3.25 22.5%11.1%91 -0.19 2.56 147 75
Esmil Rogers R 2025 · 3.51 FIP 29 SW 3.51 18.5%8.9%1.6%.348 2.88 21.7%17.9%40 -0.63 2.88 199 75
Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.87 FIP 30 SU 4.87 18.6%12.2%3.3%.292 1.30 28.6%24.5%126 -3.57 1.30 218 74
Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP 31 SU 4.04 25.1%10.8%3.1%.280 4.04 102 74
Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP 30 SU 4.18 22.2%11.1%2.8%.349 3.44 17.4%8.5%65 -0.74 3.07 227 74
Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.90 FIP 30 SW 4.90 18.8%8.2%4.3%.327 3.85 24.2%15.5%233 -1.05 3.52 316 73
Tim Dillard R 2028 · 3.70 FIP 32 SW 3.70 15.9%7.7%1.8%.330 3.83 16.7%8.1%144 +0.13 3.15 352 72
Hector Velázquez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 30 SW 4.76 19.6%12.3%3.2%.292 3.91 19.2%10.9%25 -0.85 2.82 536 71
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2027 · 3.41 FIP 31 SU 3.41 26.5%9.6%2.4%.241 3.66 23.3%13.2%105 +0.25 3.41 212 71
Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.57 FIP 30 SU 3.57 22.3%11.0%1.7%.247 3.57 224 71
Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.66 FIP 30 SU 4.66 18.3%10.2%3.3%.245 4.56 23.0%12.4%49 -0.10 1.74 195 70
André Rienzo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP 29 SW 4.33 18.9%15.6%1.5%.301 5.30 17.9%6.1%29 +0.97 3.58 200 70
Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.97 FIP 30 SU 3.97 24.4%11.8%2.6%.301 4.06 24.1%15.2%140 +0.09 1.74 468 70
Blake Smith R 2024 · 3.66 FIP 28 SU 3.66 22.4%8.6%2.5%.307 3.08 124 70
Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.76 FIP 30 SU 3.76 23.3%8.5%2.8%.288 4.75 20.6%9.9%86 +0.99 2.71 392 70
Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.57 FIP 31 SU 3.57 24.5%8.2%2.7%.325 3.78 21.7%13.5%76 +0.21 3.57 137 69
Kevin Jepsen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP 31 SU 3.46 20.7%9.1%1.7%.241 5.92 16.9%7.2%90 +2.46 3.46 160 69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23723.7%12.3%1.094.54
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
José Cisnero ('23)54224.8%11.3%0.943.84
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82
Keegan Thompson ('24)45723.0%11.3%1.193.64
Greg Holland ('21)64525.4%12.3%0.874.03
Lucas Sims ('24)64727.6%11.6%1.244.22