Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 100% | 2.3 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.71 | 8.17 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 100% | 2.3 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.71 | 8.24 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 7 | 7 | 16 | 59 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 2.2 | 17.3% | 4.2% | 13.1% | 2.4% | 2.30 | 3.48 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 7 | 7 | 16 | 59 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 2.2 | 25.4% | 3.4% | 22.0% | 1.7% | 2.30 | 2.40 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 23 | 18 | 81 | 337 | 100 | 20 | 9 | 78% | 3.5 | 26.0% | 6.0% | 20.0% | 2.9% | 3.57 | 3.26 | +1.6 |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 23 | 18 | 81 | 337 | 100 | 20 | 9 | 78% | 3.5 | 29.7% | 5.9% | 23.7% | 2.7% | 3.57 | 2.81 | +2.1 |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 9 | 49 | 214 | 59 | 21 | 9 | 43% | 2.3 | 26.0% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 4.1% | 4.93 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 9 | 49 | 214 | 59 | 21 | 9 | 43% | 2.3 | 27.6% | 9.8% | 17.8% | 4.2% | 4.93 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | New York Yankees | 12 | 3 | 23 | 100 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 25% | 1.9 | 22.0% | 6.0% | 16.0% | 2.8% | 3.52 | 3.53 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | New York Yankees | 12 | 3 | 23 | 100 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 25% | 1.9 | 22.0% | 6.0% | 16.0% | 3.0% | 3.52 | 3.67 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB | New York Yankees | 57 | 0 | 71 | 283 | 69 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.4% | 5.7% | 18.7% | 1.0% | 2.17 | 2.30 | +2.0 |
| 2021 | 26 | MLB | New York Yankees | 57 | 0 | 71 | 283 | 69 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.4% | 5.7% | 18.7% | 1.1% | 2.17 | 2.38 | +2.0 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 52 | 1 | 50 | 212 | 40 | 18 | 3 | 2% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 1.4% | 4.14 | 3.44 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 52 | 1 | 50 | 212 | 40 | 18 | 3 | 2% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 1.4% | 4.14 | 3.36 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 0 | 22 | 85 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 8.7% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 3.32 | 3.85 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 20 | 0 | 22 | 85 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.9% | 0.0% | 12.9% | 2.4% | 3.32 | 3.28 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | New York Yankees | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.0% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.47 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | New York Yankees | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.0% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.35 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 1 | 38 | 164 | 35 | 8 | 7 | 3% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 5.2% | 13.3% | 4.8% | 3.55 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 1 | 38 | 164 | 35 | 8 | 7 | 3% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 4.9% | 16.5% | 4.3% | 3.55 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 40 | 0 | 37 | 145 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 17.9% | 4.1% | 13.8% | 0.7% | 2.17 | 2.49 | +0.9 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | ARI | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 5.3% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 3.53 | 3.69 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | ARI | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.2% | 5.3% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 3.53 | 3.69 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 59 | 237 | 44 | 11 | 4 | — | — | 18.4% | 4.6% | 13.8% | 1.5% | 2.67 | 2.93 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 59 | 250 | 44 | 11 | 4 | — | — | 17.5% | 4.3% | 13.1% | 1.4% | 2.67 | 2.96 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 52 | 0 | 55 | 231 | 43 | 13 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.6% | 5.7% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.16 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 48 | 0 | 50 | 212 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 3.4% | 4.43 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 41 | 13 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 5.7% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.16 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 36 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 3.4% | 4.43 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 349 | 11 | 408 | 1716 | 352 | 112 | 44 | 3% | 1.2 | 20.5% | 6.5% | 14.0% | 2.6% | 3.60 | 3.60 | +8.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 171 | 5 | 200 | 840 | 172 | 55 | 22 | 3% | 1.2 | 20.5% | 6.5% | 14.0% | 2.6% | 3.60 | 3.60 | +4.2 | ||
| Career | — | 273 | 40 | 393 | 1629 | 352 | 102 | 41 | 15% | 1.4 | 21.6% | 6.3% | 15.3% | 2.5% | 3.35 | 3.44 | +9.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 139 | 20 | 200 | 830 | 179 | 52 | 21 | 15% | 1.4 | 21.6% | 6.3% | 15.3% | 2.5% | 3.35 | 3.44 | +4.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jonathan Loáisiga (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 20.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | — | 4.46 | 18.2% | 12.3% | 105 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.65 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 101 | 78 |
| Bo Schultz R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.84 | 14.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% | .276 | 2.73 | 16.4% | 8.4% | 27 | -1.11 | 2.73 | 141 | 77 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 77 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2029 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.77 | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .294 | 3.35 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.42 | 3.17 | 225 | 76 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .240 | 5.21 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.45 | 3.03 | 120 | 76 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 76 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 21.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | .266 | 3.41 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 29 | -0.38 | 3.40 | 295 | 75 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.86 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 137 | 75 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.64 | 22.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 230 | 74 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 74 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 74 |
| Jim Johnson R 2027 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 17.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.64 | 22.0% | 14.1% | 185 | +0.21 | 2.51 | 251 | 73 |
| Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 73 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 73 |
| Pedro Rodriguez R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.95 | 14.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 145 | 73 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.55 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.55 | 20.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 137 | 73 |
| Héctor Rondón R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 3.7% | .257 | 5.52 | 23.7% | 14.4% | 20 | +1.00 | 2.37 | 318 | 73 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 72 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 72 |
| Alex Wilson R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.25 | 17.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | .232 | 5.01 | 19.4% | 13.4% | 62 | +0.76 | 3.40 | 326 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 55 | 18.9% | 5.9% | 1.28 | 4.28 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Jarlín García ('22) | 5 | 61 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 1.33 | 3.79 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |