Jake Thompson
P
Worcester Red Sox
Age 31
RHP
6'0" / 215 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 5 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 99
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%22.8%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP6
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | 26 | 26 | 126 | 559 | 96 | 47 | 9 | 100% | 4.8 | 13.2% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 5.30 | 4.47 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | 26 | 26 | 126 | 559 | 96 | 47 | 9 | 100% | 4.8 | 17.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 1.6% | 5.30 | 3.63 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | 4 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.8 | 17.9% | 3.6% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 2.04 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | 4 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.8 | 17.9% | 3.6% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 3.86 | 2.10 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 32 | 149 | 31 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 15.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.55 | 4.86 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 32 | 149 | 31 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 14.1% | 6.7% | 1.3% | 4.55 | 3.95 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 1 | 48 | 219 | 56 | 31 | 1 | 3% | 1.5 | 21.5% | 15.1% | 6.4% | 0.5% | 3.54 | 3.50 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 1 | 48 | 219 | 56 | 31 | 1 | 3% | 1.5 | 25.6% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 0.5% | 3.54 | 2.98 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 0 | 17 | 95 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 9.6% | 9.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 8.47 | 3.50 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 0 | 17 | 95 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 14.7% | 14.7% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 8.47 | 4.69 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 5 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | BOS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 4.47 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | BOS | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 4.47 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 4.47 | 4.18 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 4.47 | 4.18 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 106 | 27 | 230 | 1050 | 162 | 120 | 18 | 25% | 2.2 | 15.4% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 5.02 | 4.17 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 92 | 24 | 200 | 914 | 141 | 105 | 15 | 25% | 2.2 | 15.4% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 5.02 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Thompson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 22.8% | 9.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.56 | 22.4% | 12.8% | 20 | +0.22 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 74 |
| Tim Dillard R 2027 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 72 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 70 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.18 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .276 | 3.35 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.83 | 3.35 | 129 | 70 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 70 |
| Robert Stock R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.10 | 23.0% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .301 | 7.89 | 14.7% | -1.9% | 23 | +3.79 | 0.76 | 348 | 69 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 69 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 68 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 68 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.26 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 147 | 68 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | .333 | 3.66 | 27.2% | 18.8% | 45 | -0.62 | 3.66 | 348 | 68 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 3.1% | .355 | 4.62 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 51 | +0.39 | 4.23 | 221 | 67 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 67 |
| Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 67 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .246 | 3.76 | 28.8% | 20.4% | 145 | -0.32 | 1.74 | 468 | 67 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.65 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 101 | 67 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2025 · 3.20 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.20 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 0.9% | .333 | 3.74 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.54 | 3.20 | 244 | 67 |
| Logan Kensing R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 67 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 67 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2029 · 4.65 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.65 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .347 | 3.78 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.87 | 3.32 | 119 | 66 |