Tayler Saucedo P Salt Lake Bees
Age 33 LHP 6'4" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 35 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 122
ERA4.37
FIP4.52
K%21.1%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%10.4%
ROS IP35
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP
K: -0.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -2.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: -0.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +4.3 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+4STAMTotal WAR: +0.05 (69 IP)+0.0WAR
0.1-0.1-0.2-0.4262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF5050
CTRL4040
CMD4545
K†5050
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1091.2
Whiff%
p3623.3%
K%
p2318.2%
xwOBA vs
p100.365
SL+1.0 (27%)
SI (49%)
FB-0.8 (55%)
CH-3.9 (19%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201522ROKBluefield Blue Jays622297184033%3.712.6%5.2%7.5%0.0%2.422.69
201522ROKBluefield Blue Jays622297184033%3.718.6%4.1%14.4%0.0%2.422.03
201623ALansing Lugnuts281612055171411457%4.39.5%8.8%0.8%3.5%5.915.34
201623ALansing Lugnuts281612055171411457%4.312.9%7.4%5.4%2.5%5.914.45
201724MIX2 levels3313964398545439%2.914.7%11.9%2.8%1.5%4.484.20
201724MIX2 levels3313964398545439%2.919.4%10.3%9.1%0.9%4.483.28
201825MIX2 levels26261486281043616100%5.713.0%6.4%6.5%3.0%4.144.47
201825MIX2 levels26261486281043616100%5.716.6%5.7%10.8%2.5%4.143.83
201926MIX2 levels368823666936622%2.316.2%10.5%5.6%2.0%3.614.15
201926MIX2 levels368823666936622%2.318.9%9.8%9.0%1.6%3.613.68
202128MIX2 levels41044178441110%1.123.0%6.2%16.8%0.6%3.482.25+1.2
202128MIX2 levels41044178441110%1.124.7%6.2%18.5%0.6%3.482.15+1.2
202229MIX3 levels25023100301140%0.930.0%12.8%17.2%1.5%3.573.00+0.4
202229MIX3 levels25023100301140%0.930.0%11.0%19.0%4.0%3.574.20+0.1
202330MIX2 levels57055233512420%1.020.8%10.6%10.1%1.0%3.093.25+0.8
202330MIX2 levels57055233512420%1.021.9%10.3%11.6%0.9%3.093.03+1.0
202431MIX2 levels54040169391530%0.722.9%9.0%13.9%1.9%3.403.36+0.6
202431MIX2 levels54040169391530%0.723.1%8.9%14.2%1.8%3.403.25+0.6
202532MIX2 levels32033152361650%1.021.8%10.9%10.9%2.9%4.644.24+0.1
202532MIX2 levels32033152361650%1.023.7%10.5%13.2%3.3%4.644.34+0.1
▸ 2026 Season
202633MLBLos Angeles Angels32134166382443%1.118.6%16.7%2.0%2.2%6.624.84-0.1
ROS33MLBLAA34035149311640%1.021.1%10.6%10.4%2.7%4.374.52+0.0
ROS33MLBLAA33035148311640%1.121.1%10.6%10.4%2.7%4.374.52+0.0
2026 TOT33MLBLAA693156940822.0%12.6%9.4%2.5%5.474.68+0.1
2026 FULL33MLBLAA391636940842.6%24.4%18.1%4.9%9.825.29-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202734MLBLAA50052220442570%1.020.2%11.1%9.0%3.0%4.644.82-0.2
202835MLBLAA45047198382370%1.019.2%11.7%7.5%3.3%4.955.16-0.3
202936MLBLAA39041175322160%1.118.2%12.3%5.9%3.7%5.305.53-0.5
202734MLBLAA48050211432360%1.020.2%11.1%9.0%3.0%4.644.82-0.2
202835MLBLAA41043182352160%1.019.2%11.7%7.5%3.3%4.955.16-0.3
202936MLBLAA32034144261850%1.118.2%12.3%5.9%3.7%5.305.53-0.4
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career30802931259252132340%1.020.0%10.5%9.6%2.7%4.624.19+4.1
/ 200 IP210020086017290230%1.020.0%10.5%9.6%2.7%4.624.19+2.8
Career3706669830794922936818%1.916.0%9.5%6.5%2.2%4.334.17+10.0
/ 200 IP10619200883141842018%1.916.0%9.5%6.5%2.2%4.334.17+2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Tayler Saucedo (OGILVIE) 4.52 21.1%10.6%2.7% 5.14 19.3%7.6%140 +0.62
Phil Coke L 2026 · 4.00 FIP 33 SU 4.00 18.8%9.1%2.4%.373 3.04 18.0%11.3%70 -0.96 3.04 101 76
Adam Liberatore L 2024 · 4.29 FIP 31 SU 4.29 18.6%9.1%2.9%.354 2.44 124 73
Brandon Mann L 2026 · 4.51 FIP 33 SU 4.51 19.8%11.3%3.0%.286 3.60 17.8%6.4%52 -0.91 3.60 190 72
Ryan O'Rourke L 2024 · 4.13 FIP 31 SU 4.13 22.1%14.3%2.0%.290 3.06 145 72
Dan Runzler L 2025 · 4.45 FIP 32 SU 4.45 17.5%11.0%2.6%.325 4.79 16.0%3.0%27 +0.34 3.77 127 71
Zach Phillips L 2025 · 3.65 FIP 32 SU 3.65 19.1%8.5%2.0%.355 2.29 202 71
Luis Avilán L 2026 · 5.19 FIP 33 SU 5.19 22.2%10.0%4.9%.290 2.68 256 68
Craig Breslow L 2027 · 4.86 FIP 34 SU 4.86 16.4%6.4%4.2%.279 4.51 16.2%6.5%94 -0.35 4.22 159 68
Roenis Elías L 2026 · 3.89 FIP 33 SW 3.89 17.4%7.2%2.5%.316 6.84 18.4%12.3%21 +2.95 3.19 564 68
Chris Narveson L 2026 · 4.83 FIP 33 SW 4.83 23.6%8.0%4.9%.333 4.57 14.1%4.5%193 -0.26 4.40 249 67
Neal Cotts L 2028 · 4.65 FIP 35 SU 4.65 21.6%7.4%4.4%.257 4.01 21.9%14.5%93 -0.64 3.24 156 67
Ryan Sherriff L 2026 · 3.96 FIP 33 SU 3.96 22.4%12.9%2.1%.297 2.94 245 67
Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.25 FIP 33 SU 4.25 21.7%7.0%3.8%.304 3.85 21.9%14.0%152 -0.40 1.67 421 67
Alejandro Soto L 2026 · 3.97 FIP 33 SW 3.97 17.1%6.9%2.6%.376 3.97 280 66
Boone Logan L 2026 · 5.55 FIP 33 SU 5.55 24.1%12.1%5.4%.353 2.44 113 66
Adam Loewen L 2026 · 4.13 FIP 33 SU 4.13 23.4%17.4%1.5%.293 2.96 176 66
Marlon Arias L 2025 · 3.89 FIP 32 SU 3.89 17.2%7.7%2.3%.443 5.09 19.8%8.6%74 +1.20 3.89 154 65
Jeff Beliveau L 2024 · 3.76 FIP 31 SU 3.76 23.3%14.4%1.5%.309 3.10 137 65
Robbie Ross Jr. L 2025 · 4.87 FIP 32 SU 4.87 15.2%7.0%4.0%.312 2.79 159 64
Colt Hynes L 2025 · 3.52 FIP 32 SW 3.52 14.1%4.6%1.9%.306 3.44 152 64

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION44519.6%11.4%1.234.82
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
Jacob Barnes ('24)74222.1%9.6%1.214.58