Tayler Saucedo — OGILVIE

Tayler Saucedo P Salt Lake Bees

Age 33 LHP 6'4" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 95103vR 111

ERA3.98

FIP4.11

K%21.1%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%10.8%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2392.6

Whiff%

p9038.1%

p9029.9%

xwOBA vs

p900.254

SL+1.0 (27%)

SI (49%)

FB-0.8 (55%)

CH-3.9 (19%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	22	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	6	2	22	97	18	4	0	33%	3.7	12.6%	5.2%	7.5%	0.0%	2.42	2.69	—
2015	22	ROK RAW	Bluefield Blue Jays	6	2	22	97	18	4	0	33%	3.7	18.6%	4.1%	14.4%	0.0%	2.42	2.03	—
2016	23	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	28	16	120	551	71	41	14	57%	4.3	9.5%	8.8%	0.8%	3.4%	5.91	5.28	—
2016	23	A RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	28	16	120	551	71	41	14	57%	4.3	12.9%	7.4%	5.4%	2.5%	5.91	4.45	—
2017	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	13	96	439	85	45	4	39%	2.9	14.7%	11.9%	2.8%	1.3%	4.48	4.10	—
2017	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	13	96	439	85	45	4	39%	2.9	19.4%	10.3%	9.1%	0.9%	4.48	3.28	—
2018	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	148	628	104	36	16	100%	5.7	13.0%	6.4%	6.5%	3.0%	4.14	4.49	—
2018	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	148	628	104	36	16	100%	5.7	16.6%	5.7%	10.8%	2.5%	4.14	3.83	—
2019	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	8	82	366	69	36	6	22%	2.3	16.2%	10.5%	5.6%	1.9%	3.61	4.11	—
2019	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	8	82	366	69	36	6	22%	2.3	18.9%	9.8%	9.0%	1.6%	3.61	3.68	—
2021	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	44	178	44	11	1	0%	1.1	23.0%	6.2%	16.8%	0.6%	3.48	2.25	+1.2
2021	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	44	178	44	11	1	0%	1.1	24.7%	6.2%	18.5%	0.6%	3.48	2.15	+1.3
2022	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	23	100	30	11	4	0%	0.9	30.0%	12.8%	17.2%	1.4%	3.57	2.96	+0.4
2022	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	0	23	100	30	11	4	0%	0.9	30.0%	11.0%	19.0%	4.0%	3.57	4.20	+0.1
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	55	233	51	24	2	0%	1.0	20.8%	10.6%	10.1%	1.0%	3.09	3.24	+0.9
2023	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	55	233	51	24	2	0%	1.0	20.8%	10.6%	10.1%	1.0%	3.09	3.24	+0.9
2023	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	0	55	233	51	24	2	0%	1.0	21.9%	10.3%	11.6%	0.9%	3.09	3.03	+1.0
2024	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	40	169	39	15	3	0%	0.7	22.9%	9.0%	13.9%	1.9%	3.40	3.33	+0.6
2024	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	40	169	39	15	3	0%	0.7	22.9%	9.0%	13.9%	1.9%	3.40	3.33	+0.6
2024	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	40	169	39	15	3	0%	0.7	23.1%	8.9%	14.2%	1.8%	3.40	3.25	+0.6
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	33	152	36	16	5	0%	1.0	21.0%	9.9%	11.1%	3.2%	4.64	4.31	+0.1
2025	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	33	152	36	16	5	0%	1.0	21.0%	9.9%	11.1%	3.2%	4.64	4.31	+0.1
2025	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	33	152	36	16	5	0%	1.0	23.7%	10.5%	13.2%	3.3%	4.64	4.34	+0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			169	0	145	630	132	58	12	0%	0.9	21.0%	9.2%	11.7%	1.9%	4.23	3.56	+1.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	33	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	55	1	55	247	61	29	6	2%	1.0	21.9%	10.7%	11.1%	2.6%	5.24	4.05	—
YTD	33	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	55	1	55	247	61	29	6	2%	1.0	21.9%	10.7%	11.1%	2.6%	5.24	4.05	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	33	AAA RAW	LAA	34	1	38	180	41	25	5	3%	1.1	22.8%	13.9%	8.9%	2.8%	6.10	4.46	—
2026	33	MLB RAW	LAA	21	0	17	67	20	4	1	0%	0.8	29.9%	6.0%	23.9%	1.5%	3.24	2.15	+0.5
SO FAR	33	MLB RAW	LAA	21	0	17	67	20	4	1	0%	0.8	29.9%	6.0%	23.9%	1.5%	3.24	2.15	+0.5
ROS	33	MLB MLE	LAA	5	0	5	22	5	2	1	0%	1.0	21.1%	10.3%	10.8%	2.7%	3.98	4.11	+0.0
ROS	33	MLB CTX	LAA	5	0	5	21	4	2	1	0%	1.0	21.1%	10.3%	10.8%	2.7%	3.98	4.11	+0.0
2026 TOT	33	MLB MLE	LAA	—	—	60	269	66	31	7	—	—	24.4%	11.6%	12.8%	2.5%	5.13	4.06	+0.4
FULL	33	MLB A+C	LAA	—	—	22	92	66	31	7	—	—	71.1%	33.8%	37.2%	7.1%	14.11	5.31	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	34	MLB MLE	LAA	50	0	52	220	47	22	6	0%	1.0	21.6%	10.0%	11.5%	2.9%	4.33	4.50	+0.0
2028	35	MLB MLE	LAA	45	0	47	198	41	21	6	0%	1.0	20.6%	10.6%	10.0%	3.2%	4.64	4.84	-0.2
2029	36	MLB MLE	LAA	39	0	41	175	34	20	6	0%	1.1	19.6%	11.2%	8.4%	3.6%	4.98	5.21	-0.3
2027	34	MLB CTX	LAA	48	0	50	211	45	21	6	0%	1.0	21.6%	10.0%	11.5%	2.9%	4.33	4.50	+0.0
2028	35	MLB CTX	LAA	41	0	43	182	37	19	6	0%	1.0	20.6%	10.6%	10.0%	3.2%	4.64	4.84	-0.1
2029	36	MLB CTX	LAA	32	0	34	144	28	16	5	0%	1.1	19.6%	11.2%	8.4%	3.6%	4.98	5.21	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		294	0	276	1185	247	116	29	0%	0.9	20.8%	9.8%	11.0%	2.5%	4.40	3.95	+2.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		213	0	200	858	179	84	21	0%	0.9	20.8%	9.8%	11.0%	2.5%	4.40	3.95	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		393	66	719	3160	514	290	70	17%	1.8	16.3%	9.2%	7.1%	2.2%	4.30	4.10	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		109	18	200	879	143	81	19	17%	1.8	16.3%	9.2%	7.1%	2.2%	4.30	4.10	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tayler Saucedo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.50	20.8%	10.2%	2.7%	—	4.82	20.6%	10.1%	140	+0.32	—	—	—
Phil Coke L 2015 · 3.89 FIP	33	SU	3.89	18.8%	9.1%	2.2%	.373	3.04	18.0%	11.3%	70	-0.85	3.04	101	74
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	74
Josh Edgin L 2018 · 3.63 FIP	31	SU	3.63	29.2%	9.2%	3.3%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	113	72
Zach Phillips L 2019 · 3.67 FIP	32	SU	3.67	19.1%	8.5%	2.0%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	2.33	202	70
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	70
Boone Logan L 2018 · 5.29 FIP	33	SU	5.29	24.1%	12.1%	4.9%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.58	113	70
Chris Narveson L 2015 · 4.79 FIP	33	SW	4.79	23.6%	8.0%	4.9%	.333	4.59	14.1%	4.5%	193	-0.20	4.59	249	70
Neal Cotts L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	35	SU	4.66	21.6%	7.4%	4.4%	.257	3.77	21.9%	14.5%	93	-0.89	3.21	156	70
Brandon Mann L 2017 · 4.24 FIP	33	SU	4.24	19.8%	11.3%	2.5%	.286	3.59	17.8%	6.4%	52	-0.65	3.59	190	69
Brian Moran L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	33	SU	4.20	21.7%	7.0%	3.7%	.304	3.76	21.0%	14.0%	152	-0.44	1.80	421	69
Luis Avilán L 2022 · 5.40 FIP	33	SU	5.40	22.2%	10.0%	5.3%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	256	68
Ryan Sherriff L 2023 · 3.85 FIP	33	SU	3.85	21.1%	11.0%	2.1%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	2.96	245	68
Dan Runzler L 2017 · 4.20 FIP	32	SU	4.20	17.5%	11.0%	2.1%	.325	4.84	16.0%	3.0%	27	+0.64	3.78	127	67
Roenis Elías L 2022 · 4.06 FIP	33	SW	4.06	17.4%	7.2%	2.8%	.316	6.66	17.4%	12.2%	21	+2.60	3.15	564	67
Craig Breslow L 2015 · 4.94 FIP	34	SU	4.94	16.4%	6.4%	4.4%	.279	4.42	16.2%	6.5%	94	-0.52	4.22	159	67
Jeff Beliveau L 2018 · 3.86 FIP	31	SU	3.86	23.3%	14.4%	1.7%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	137	65
Edward Paredes L 2019 · 5.10 FIP	32	SU	5.10	21.5%	7.3%	5.3%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	130	65
Alejandro Soto L 2019 · 4.03 FIP	33	SW	4.03	17.1%	6.9%	2.7%	.376	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	280	65
Adam Loewen L 2017 · 4.22 FIP	33	SU	4.22	23.4%	17.4%	1.6%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	2.96	176	64
Marlon Arias L 2017 · 3.73 FIP	32	SU	3.73	17.2%	7.7%	2.0%	.443	4.83	19.8%	8.6%	74	+1.10	3.73	154	63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	49	20.7%	10.4%	1.18	4.55
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99