Tanner Kiest
P
Tulsa Drillers
Age 31
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.55
FIP4.55
K%22.2%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%11.6%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | GCL Phillies | 12 | 0 | 17 | 81 | 18 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.1% | 26.2% | -11.1% | 0.0% | 4.67 | 5.15 | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | GCL Phillies | 12 | 0 | 17 | 81 | 18 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.2% | 21.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 4.67 | 3.97 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 7 | 2 | 15 | 76 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 29% | 2.1 | 13.6% | 21.7% | -8.1% | 0.0% | 7.98 | 4.70 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 7 | 2 | 15 | 76 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 29% | 2.1 | 18.4% | 18.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.98 | 4.05 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 40 | 170 | 53 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 24.1% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 1.3% | 3.86 | 3.10 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 40 | 170 | 53 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 31.2% | 8.8% | 22.4% | 1.2% | 3.86 | 2.22 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 42 | 0 | 58 | 250 | 68 | 30 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.0% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 2.62 | 2.91 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 42 | 0 | 58 | 250 | 68 | 30 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 27.2% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 0.0% | 2.62 | 2.31 | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 11 | 0 | 13 | 69 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.4% | 12.8% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 10.66 | 7.51 | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 11 | 0 | 13 | 69 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.3% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 10.66 | 6.89 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 4.37 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 96 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 4.37 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 98 | 2 | 143 | 646 | 130 | 97 | 7 | 2% | 1.5 | 20.1% | 15.1% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 4.48 | 3.94 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 137 | 3 | 200 | 906 | 182 | 136 | 10 | 2% | 1.5 | 20.1% | 15.1% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 4.48 | 3.94 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tanner Kiest (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 22.2% | 10.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.75 | 21.9% | 11.0% | 20 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 93 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 83 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 82 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 81 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 81 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.18 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .276 | 3.35 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.83 | 3.35 | 129 | 80 |
| Logan Kensing R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 78 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 78 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 78 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 77 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 77 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 77 |
| Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 76 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 76 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 108 | 75 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .246 | 3.76 | 28.8% | 20.4% | 145 | -0.32 | 1.74 | 468 | 75 |
| Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 75 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 75 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.40 | 25.5% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.69 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 129 | +0.29 | 2.73 | 410 | 75 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2024 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 160 | 75 |